This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rouen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.37
1.13
1.20
1.13
1.53
vs Stronger (20)
1.25
1.45
1.50
1.38
1.08
1.50
vs Similar (10)
0.90
1.20
0.71
1.00
1.33
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
66.4%
Under 1.5
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.3%
@ 2.18-4.8%
Under 2.5
61.7%
@ 1.65+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.5%
Under 3.5
81.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.1%
No
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.2%
1-0
11.5%
0-1 ✓
10.0%
2-1
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.9%
Dunkerque goals ↓
Rouen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
10.0%
5.9%
2.0%
0.5%
1
11%
15%
6.9%
2.4%
0.6%
2
7.5%
7.9%
4.1%
1.4%
0.4%
3
3.0%
3.1%
1.6%
0.6%
0.1%
4
0.9%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dunkerque goals (down), columns = Rouen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Auxerre
1.93
Angers
1.85
Saint Etienne
1.73
Caen
1.55
Paris FC
1.51
Rodez
1.48
Amiens
1.43
Laval
1.40
Grenoble
1.38
Guingamp
1.38
Bastia
1.38
PAU
1.30
Bordeaux
1.30
Ajaccio
1.25
Annecy
1.25
Dunkerque
1.23
Estac Troyes
1.10
Concarneau
1.05
Quevilly
1.00
Rouen
1.00
Valenciennes
0.78
Dunkerque is 0.23 points better than Rouen in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Auxerre
1.95
Rodez
1.62
PAU
1.55
Angers
1.50
Caen
1.40
Quevilly
1.34
Rouen
1.34
Bordeaux
1.30
Saint Etienne
1.29
Paris FC
1.29
Annecy
1.27
Guingamp
1.18
Grenoble
1.15
Estac Troyes
1.15
Bastia
1.12
Concarneau
1.05
Laval
1.05
Amiens
1.00
Dunkerque
0.95
Ajaccio
0.93
Valenciennes
0.70
Dunkerque is 0.39 goals worse than Rouen in terms of goals scored per game (0.95 vs 1.34).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Saint Etienne
0.83
Amiens
0.97
Auxerre
1.05
Guingamp
1.05
Angers
1.10
Paris FC
1.12
Grenoble
1.15
Ajaccio
1.18
Bastia
1.20
Caen
1.23
Laval
1.23
Annecy
1.27
Estac Troyes
1.32
Dunkerque
1.35
Bordeaux
1.38
Valenciennes
1.40
Quevilly
1.45
Rouen
1.45
Rodez
1.45
Concarneau
1.48
PAU
1.52
Dunkerque is 0.10 goals better than Rouen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 1.45).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bordeaux
60%
Auxerre
57%
Paris FC
56%
Concarneau
53%
Saint Etienne
53%
Angers
53%
Dunkerque
51%
Caen
51%
Estac Troyes
50%
Grenoble
50%
Ajaccio
49%
PAU
49%
Valenciennes
49%
Bastia
47%
Guingamp
47%
Quevilly
47%
Amiens
46%
Rodez
46%
Laval
44%
Annecy
43%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dunkerque
For 3.5 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 12.3 · Total 26.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rouen
For 4.3 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 12.5 · Total 27.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dunkerque
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
7.8
8.8
3.8
3.1
4.6
30.1
30.4
29.7
vs Stronger (5)
7.8
5.7
11.0
3.2
4.0
2.0
29.0
29.0
29.0
vs Similar (34)
8.2
8.1
8.4
4.1
3.1
5.3
29.4
29.3
29.6
vs Weaker (11)
8.5
8.2
8.8
3.1
2.4
3.7
32.5
35.2
30.2
% over line
28%
19%
38%
58%
42%
75%
96%
96%
96%
% under line
72%
81%
62%
42%
58%
25%
4%
4%
4%
This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rouen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.0
7.8
8.2
3.8
4.2
3.4
28.9
30.2
27.4
vs Stronger (32)
8.3
8.1
8.5
4.0
4.4
3.6
27.6
29.5
25.9
vs Similar (18)
7.4
7.3
7.6
3.4
3.9
2.8
31.2
31.3
31.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
24%
20%
29%
44%
48%
40%
90%
96%
83%
% under line
76%
80%
71%
56%
52%
60%
10%
4%
17%
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Estac Troyes
10.0
Concarneau
9.6
Bordeaux
9.3
Amiens
9.3
Valenciennes
9.2
Angers
9.1
Auxerre
9.1
PAU
9.0
Guingamp
9.0
Saint Etienne
8.9
Paris FC
8.9
Bastia
8.8
Caen
8.7
Grenoble
8.4
Annecy
8.3
Dunkerque
8.3
Rodez
8.2
Laval
8.1
Quevilly
8.0
Rouen
7.9
Ajaccio
7.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Valenciennes
4.6
Angers
4.4
Bordeaux
4.3
Caen
4.3
Estac Troyes
4.3
Ajaccio
4.2
PAU
4.1
Guingamp
4.1
Bastia
4.1
Saint Etienne
4.1
Grenoble
4.0
Rodez
3.9
Annecy
3.9
Amiens
3.9
Rouen
3.9
Dunkerque
3.8
Laval
3.8
Concarneau
3.6
Auxerre
3.4
Quevilly
3.2
Paris FC
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Valenciennes
30.8
Dunkerque
30.1
Concarneau
29.7
Rouen
28.9
Caen
28.1
Bastia
28.0
Ajaccio
27.9
Quevilly
27.9
Guingamp
27.6
Laval
27.5
Rodez
26.9
Amiens
26.8
PAU
26.4
Grenoble
26.2
Annecy
25.7
Angers
25.3
Saint Etienne
24.9
Estac Troyes
24.8
Paris FC
24.8
Bordeaux
23.6
Auxerre
23.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
34.1%
Under 9.5
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.2%
Under 3.5
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
79.5%
Under 21.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dunkerque
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.60
0.33
0.60
0.13
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.19
0.62
0.36
0.73
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (7)
0.43
0.57
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.75
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rouen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.47
0.47
0.47
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (20)
0.65
0.35
0.75
0.25
0.58
0.42
vs Similar (10)
0.20
0.70
0.14
0.71
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dunkerque over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dunkerque
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.90
0.40
0.60
0.47
1.20
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.38
0.76
0.27
0.45
0.50
1.10
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
1.29
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rouen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.90
0.67
0.73
0.60
1.07
vs Stronger (20)
0.60
1.10
0.75
1.12
0.50
1.08
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.50
0.57
0.29
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dunkerque over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dunkerque
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gaëtan Courtet22%
Armand Gnanduillet15%
Aïman Maurer14%
Ángel Orelien12%
Amadou Ba-Sy12%
Gessime Yassine11%
Samy Baghdadi10%
Jean-Philippe Gbamin10%
Remy Boissier9%
Julien Anziani8%
Nehemiah Fernandez8%
Enzo Bardeli8%
Opa Sangante6%
Elhadj Bah6%
Benjaloud Youssouf5%
Rayan Ghrieb4%
Yohan Bilingi3%
Moussa Guel0%
Arnaud Balijon0%
Loic Bessile0%
Alioune Ba0%
Demba Thiam0%
Driss Trichard0%
Tidiane Keita0%
Billy Koumetio0%
Ludéric Etonde0%
Hugo Gambor0%
Alain Ipiélé0%
Ibrahima Sy0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Bram Lagae0%
Achraf Laaziri0%
François Régis Mughe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Billy Koumetio38%
Ibrahima Sy33%
Gaëtan Courtet28%
Hugo Gambor26%
Loic Bessile25%
Remy Boissier22%
Achraf Laaziri21%
Demba Thiam20%
Julien Anziani19%
Opa Sangante18%
Mohamed Koné13%
Yohan Bilingi12%
Amadou Ba-Sy12%
Rayan Ghrieb12%
Benjaloud Youssouf11%
Enzo Bardeli11%
Gessime Yassine11%
Alioune Ba9%
Nehemiah Fernandez8%
Tidiane Keita8%
Bram Lagae7%
Ángel Orelien6%
Elhadj Bah6%
Samy Baghdadi5%
Arnaud Balijon4%
Jean-Philippe Gbamin0%
Armand Gnanduillet0%
Moussa Guel0%
Driss Trichard0%
Ludéric Etonde0%
Alain Ipiélé0%
Aïman Maurer0%
François Régis Mughe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rayan Ghrieb19%
Benjaloud Youssouf14%
Enzo Bardeli13%
Elhadj Bah6%
Gessime Yassine5%
Jean-Philippe Gbamin5%
Yohan Bilingi3%
Opa Sangante3%
Julien Anziani3%
Armand Gnanduillet0%
Gaëtan Courtet0%
Moussa Guel0%
Arnaud Balijon0%
Loic Bessile0%
Alioune Ba0%
Remy Boissier0%
Demba Thiam0%
Ángel Orelien0%
Driss Trichard0%
Tidiane Keita0%
Samy Baghdadi0%
Billy Koumetio0%
Amadou Ba-Sy0%
Ludéric Etonde0%
Hugo Gambor0%
Alain Ipiélé0%
Ibrahima Sy0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Nehemiah Fernandez0%
Aïman Maurer0%
Bram Lagae0%
Achraf Laaziri0%
François Régis Mughe0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Armand Gnanduillet23%
Julien Anziani22%
Rayan Ghrieb12%
Gaëtan Courtet11%
Yohan Bilingi6%
Ángel Orelien6%
Elhadj Bah6%
Jean-Philippe Gbamin0%
Moussa Guel0%
Arnaud Balijon0%
Opa Sangante0%
Benjaloud Youssouf0%
Loic Bessile0%
Alioune Ba0%
Remy Boissier0%
Demba Thiam0%
Driss Trichard0%
Tidiane Keita0%
Samy Baghdadi0%
Billy Koumetio0%
Enzo Bardeli0%
Amadou Ba-Sy0%
Ludéric Etonde0%
Hugo Gambor0%
Alain Ipiélé0%
Ibrahima Sy0%
Mohamed Koné0%
Nehemiah Fernandez0%
Aïman Maurer0%
Bram Lagae0%
Gessime Yassine0%
Achraf Laaziri0%
François Régis Mughe0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (37)
€176m
SE (30)
€93m
AUX (29)
€84m
ANG (23)
€73m
ET (23)
€36m
ROD (23)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
ANN (21)
€10m
LAV (24)
€9m
BAS (19)
€7m
AMI (14)
€4m
CAE (18)
€4m
VAL (21)
€4m
CON (18)
€3m
ROU (14)
€3m
QUE (10)
€2m
Dunkerque's squad is €8m more valuable than Rouen's (€11m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
SE (10)
€54m
ANG (9)
€30m
AUX (11)
€23m
ET (7)
€7m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
BAS (9)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
ANN (7)
€3m
LAV (7)
€2m
CAE (8)
€2m
ROU (5)
€2m
VAL (8)
€1m
CON (7)
€1m
AMI (4)
€0m
QUE (2)
€0m
Dunkerque's attack is €3m more valuable than Rouen's (€4m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
AUX (5)
€28m
ANG (3)
€11m
ET (6)
€11m
SE (7)
€11m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
ANN (6)
€3m
LAV (7)
€3m
GRE (5)
€3m
PAU (4)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
BAS (3)
€1m
CON (5)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
CAE (4)
€1m
AMI (2)
€0m
QUE (2)
€0m
ROU (3)
€0m
Dunkerque and Rouen have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (17)
€62m
AUX (13)
€33m
ANG (11)
€32m
SE (13)
€28m
ET (10)
€17m
ROD (10)
€7m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
LAV (10)
€4m
ANN (8)
€4m
GRE (10)
€4m
AMI (8)
€4m
GUI (8)
€3m
BAS (7)
€2m
VAL (10)
€2m
CAE (6)
€2m
QUE (6)
€1m
ROU (6)
€1m
CON (6)
€1m
Dunkerque's defence is €4m more valuable than Rouen's (€5m vs €1m).
France: Ligue 2 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →