Galatasaray is expected to come out on top in this match, with the model predicting an away win. The recent form of both teams suggests a closely contested match, with Erzurumspor FK coming off a defeat and Galatasaray coming off a draw. The expected total goals is 2.8, with the most likely score being 1-1 at 25%.
Erzurumspor FK has struggled at home, scoring an average of 1.5 goals and conceding none, but this is against stronger opponents. Galatasaray, on the other hand, has scored an average of 1.89 goals and conceded 1.44 on the road against weaker opponents.
The model suggests selecting Over 1.5 at 77.5%, Over 21.5 fouls at 72.7%, Home or Away at 70.6%, and Under 3.5 at 70.0%. The probabilities for a home win, draw, and away win are 28%, 27%, and 44% respectively.
Results analysis
The win extends Galatasaray’s recent run, with the 0-4 result confirming the model’s pick of an away victory. The Pythia model had assigned a 44 % probability to the away win, and its forecast proved correct. The final score of 0-4 matched the actual result, a decisive away triumph. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 (99.5 %) hit, Under 6.5 (98.5 %) hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.0 %) hit, Home under 3.5 goals (96.0 %) hit, Under 5.5 (95.6 %) hit and Under 4.5 (88.7 %) hit. The only misses were Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.7 %) and Away under 3.5 goals (96.1 %). Overall, the predictions were largely in line with the match outcome.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Erzurumspor FK win✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied 14.5% · @ 6.48
Edge
+14.4%
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
7.50
Unibet
7.00
Pinnacle
6.75
1xBet
6.65
Bet365
6.50
Draw✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied 21.7% · @ 4.32
Edge
+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
4.75
Pinnacle
4.49
1xBet
4.42
Dafabet
4.40
Unibet
4.40
Galatasaray win✓ Hit
43.6%
Avg Implied 63.8% · @ 1.47
Edge
-20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.53
Dafabet
1.52
Superbet
1.51
William Hil
1.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Erzurumspor FK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.23
0.87
3.29
0.50
1.31
1.19
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (28)
2.21
0.82
3.23
0.54
1.33
1.07
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Galatasaray
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.23
2.50
0.88
1.29
1.64
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (7)
1.57
1.43
2.50
0.75
0.33
2.33
vs Weaker (22)
2.14
1.14
2.50
0.92
1.70
1.40
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.2%
@ 1.20-0.7%
Under 1.5
22.8%
@ 4.23+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Under
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.40
BetVictor
4.40
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.25
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.9%
@ 1.68-4.2%
Under 2.5
48.1%
@ 2.14+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.71
Superbet
1.70
888Sport
1.70
1xBet
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Under
1xBet
2.26
Betfair
2.20
Betano
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
Marathonbet
2.19
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.7%
@ 2.66-5.3%
Under 3.5
70.3%
@ 1.43+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.80
888Sport
2.75
Unibet
2.75
Betfair
2.70
Betano
2.70
Under
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Bet365
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.4%
@ 1.80+4.7%
No
43.6%
@ 1.93-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.92
10Bet
1.90
888Sport
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.80
No
Betano
2.05
Betfair
2.05
1xBet
1.97
William Hil
1.95
BetVictor
1.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%@ 7.78+7.3%
1-2
9.2%@ 7.43+3.1%
0-1
8.6%@ 6.93+2.1%
0-0
7.6%@ 12.57+4.0%
0-2
7.5%@ 7.03+1.1%
2-1
7.2%@ 17.60+4.7%
1-0
6.6%@ 16.00+3.7%
2-2
5.6%@ 15.29+2.6%
Erzurumspor FK goals ↓
Galatasaray goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.6%
8.6%
7.5%
3.9%
1.5%
1
6.6%
13%
9.2%
4.7%
1.8%
2
4.7%
7.2%
5.6%
2.8%
1.1%
3
1.9%
2.9%
2.3%
1.2%
0.4%
4
0.6%
0.9%
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Erzurumspor FK goals (down), columns = Galatasaray goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Galatasaray
2.26
Fenerbahçe
2.18
Trabzonspor
2.03
Beşiktaş
1.76
Başakşehir
1.68
Göztepe
1.62
Samsunspor
1.50
Rizespor
1.21
Konyaspor
1.18
Gaziantep FK
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.09
Alanyaspor
1.09
Amed
1.05
Kasımpaşa
1.03
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.00
Eyüpspor
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.96
Çorum FK
0.95
Erzurumspor FK is 1.31 points worse than Galatasaray in terms of average points per game (0.96 vs 2.26).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fenerbahçe
2.26
Galatasaray
2.26
Trabzonspor
1.79
Beşiktaş
1.74
Başakşehir
1.71
Samsunspor
1.35
Rizespor
1.35
Gaziantep FK
1.26
Konyaspor
1.26
Göztepe
1.24
Alanyaspor
1.21
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.06
Amed
1.03
Eyüpspor
0.97
Kasımpaşa
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.94
Çorum FK
0.93
Kocaelispor
0.76
Erzurumspor FK is 1.33 goals worse than Galatasaray in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 2.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Galatasaray
0.88
Göztepe
0.94
Başakşehir
1.03
Fenerbahçe
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.12
Trabzonspor
1.15
Beşiktaş
1.18
Alanyaspor
1.21
Samsunspor
1.32
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.38
Eyüpspor
1.41
Kasımpaşa
1.44
Konyaspor
1.47
Rizespor
1.53
Gaziantep FK
1.71
Amed
1.71
Erzurumspor FK
1.88
Çorum FK
1.89
Erzurumspor FK is 0.99 goals worse than Galatasaray in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 0.88).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Galatasaray
62%
Fenerbahçe
59%
Beşiktaş
56%
Trabzonspor
55%
Başakşehir
54%
Samsunspor
54%
Konyaspor
52%
Rizespor
50%
Gaziantep FK
50%
Kocaelispor
50%
Alanyaspor
48%
Eyüpspor
48%
Kasımpaşa
44%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
43%
Göztepe
38%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Erzurumspor FK
For 3.7 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 10.2 · Total 20.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Galatasaray
For 6.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Erzurumspor FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.8
8.7
4.0
3.9
4.0
23.2
21.5
24.6
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
8.9
9.1
8.8
4.1
4.0
4.2
23.3
21.8
24.7
vs Weaker (4)
7.0
3.0
8.3
3.5
2.0
4.0
22.0
16.0
24.0
% over line
40%
38%
42%
58%
48%
67%
56%
48%
62%
% under line
60%
62%
58%
42%
52%
33%
44%
52%
38%
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Galatasaray
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.6
8.5
4.2
4.6
3.7
23.6
23.3
23.9
vs Stronger (1)
8.0
-
8.0
1.0
-
1.0
18.0
-
18.0
vs Similar (13)
10.1
10.4
9.7
6.5
7.4
5.5
26.7
25.9
27.7
vs Weaker (36)
8.7
9.3
8.0
3.4
3.5
3.2
22.5
22.3
22.7
% over line
48%
67%
27%
52%
58%
46%
70%
67%
73%
% under line
52%
33%
73%
48%
42%
54%
30%
33%
27%
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fenerbahçe
10.9
Beşiktaş
10.2
Samsunspor
9.9
Başakşehir
9.7
Konyaspor
9.7
Gaziantep FK
9.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
9.5
Trabzonspor
9.5
Rizespor
9.4
Çorum FK
9.2
Göztepe
9.2
Galatasaray
9.1
Eyüpspor
9.1
Kasımpaşa
9.0
Amed
9.0
Erzurumspor FK
8.5
Kocaelispor
8.2
Alanyaspor
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gaziantep FK
5.9
Fenerbahçe
5.7
Konyaspor
5.2
Çorum FK
5.2
Göztepe
5.1
Kasımpaşa
5.0
Alanyaspor
5.0
Beşiktaş
5.0
Amed
5.0
Eyüpspor
5.0
Başakşehir
4.9
Erzurumspor FK
4.9
Kocaelispor
4.8
Samsunspor
4.7
Trabzonspor
4.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.6
Galatasaray
4.6
Rizespor
4.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Gaziantep FK
29.0
Kasımpaşa
27.8
Kocaelispor
27.2
Alanyaspor
27.1
Başakşehir
26.8
Göztepe
26.6
Trabzonspor
26.3
Rizespor
26.1
Eyüpspor
26.0
Samsunspor
25.9
Fenerbahçe
25.4
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
25.3
Beşiktaş
25.3
Konyaspor
25.0
Erzurumspor FK
23.9
Galatasaray
23.7
Çorum FK
22.8
Amed
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
43.4%
@ 2.19+1.1%
Under 9.5
56.6%
@ 1.60-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.29
Betano
2.20
Superbet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
1xBet
2.14
Under
Pinnacle
1.64
Betano
1.62
Unibet
1.62
Superbet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
68.7%
@ 1.47+7.2%
Under 3.5
31.3%
@ 2.35-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.47
Under
Superbet
2.35
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
72.7%
Under 21.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Erzurumspor FK or Draw✗ Miss
65.1%
Avg Implied 36.1% · @ 2.60
Edge
+29.0%
29%
28%
44%
covers Erzurumspor FK + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.75
SBO
2.74
Betfair
2.70
888Sport
2.70
Unibet
2.65
Erzurumspor FK or Galatasaray✓ Hit
70.6%
Avg Implied 78.8% · @ 1.19
Edge
-8.1%
29%
28%
44%
covers Erzurumspor FK + Galatasaray
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Draw or Galatasaray✓ Hit
64.3%
Avg Implied 85.1% · @ 1.10
Edge
-20.9%
29%
28%
44%
covers Draw + Galatasaray
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.11
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
72.0%
@ 1.62+14.4%
Under
28.0%
@ 2.19-14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.73
888Sport
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.37
Betano
2.35
Superbet
2.27
BetVictor
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Erzurumspor FK over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
36.4%
@ 4.04+13.3%
Under
63.6%
@ 1.21-13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
4.60
Unibet
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
4.05
Under
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Erzurumspor FK over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.7%
@ 11.99+5.7%
Under
86.3%
@ 1.04-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
17.00
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
12.25
1xBet
12.20
Superbet
11.00
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Erzurumspor FK over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.0%
@ 37.00-96.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
41.00
Superbet
33.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Galatasaray over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.5%
@ 1.09-13.9%
Under
28.5%
@ 6.38+13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
888Sport
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Under
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
888Sport
6.50
Galatasaray over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
35.8%
@ 1.53-25.3%
Under
64.2%
@ 2.40+25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.55
BetVictor
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.62
Betfair
2.50
1xBet
2.41
Marathonbet
2.41
10Bet
2.40
Galatasaray over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
13.3%
@ 2.65-21.8%
Under
86.7%
@ 1.43+21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Pinnacle
2.71
Betano
2.67
Superbet
2.67
Under
Pinnacle
1.46
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
Betano
1.44
888Sport
1.44
Galatasaray over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
3.9%
@ 5.17-14.1%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.14+14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.25
Superbet
5.25
1xBet
5.25
Under
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
888Sport
1.14
Unibet
1.13
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Erzurumspor FK, so a minus line means Erzurumspor FK give that many goals of a start and Galatasaray receive them. At -1, Erzurumspor FK must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Erzurumspor FK win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Erzurumspor FK)Actual: Galatasaray
Erzurumspor FK -2
5.6%
@ 48.67+3.6%
Draw -2
10.7%
@ 19.00+5.7%
Galatasaray +2
83.7%
@ 1.02-9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
71.00
Bet365
41.00
Superbet
34.00
Draw
Betfair
23.00
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
15.00
Away
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Betfair
1.02
Handicap -1 (Erzurumspor FK)Actual: Galatasaray
Erzurumspor FK -1
16.3%
@ 15.00+10.2%
Draw -1
19.5%
@ 7.70+7.7%
Galatasaray +1
64.3%
@ 1.10-17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
18.00
Unibet
15.00
10Bet
15.00
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Draw
Betfair
8.50
Unibet
8.00
Bet365
8.00
10Bet
7.00
Superbet
7.00
Away
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Unibet
1.07
Handicap +1 (Erzurumspor FK)Actual: Galatasaray
Erzurumspor FK +1
65.1%
@ 2.61+30.8%
Draw +1
19.2%
@ 3.52-6.2%
Galatasaray -1
15.7%
@ 2.22-24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.75
Unibet
2.75
Betfair
2.60
Marathonbet
2.56
Superbet
2.50
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.64
Superbet
3.55
10Bet
3.45
Betfair
3.40
Away
Betfair
2.30
Bet365
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.23
10Bet
2.15
Handicap +2 (Erzurumspor FK)Actual: Galatasaray
Erzurumspor FK +2
84.3%
@ 1.58+27.2%
Draw +2
10.4%
@ 4.28-10.6%
Galatasaray -2
5.3%
@ 4.10-16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.54
Draw
Marathonbet
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.25
10Bet
4.00
Away
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.00
10Bet
3.90
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Erzurumspor FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.37
1.36
0.29
0.38
0.44
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.79
0.39
1.31
0.31
0.33
0.47
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Galatasaray
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.43
0.94
0.31
0.71
0.57
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.71
1.00
0.75
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (22)
0.91
0.27
0.92
0.17
0.90
0.40
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.3%
@ 1.30-3.6%
Under 0.5
31.7%
@ 3.33+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.33
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.40
William Hil
3.40
Betano
3.35
Superbet
3.35
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
33.4%
@ 2.40-5.4%
Under 1.5
66.6%
@ 1.52+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.54
Unibet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.44
1xBet
2.44
10Bet
2.40
Under
Betano
1.60
William Hil
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Pinnacle
1.53
BetVictor
1.52
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
12.0%
@ 5.67-4.4%
Under 2.5
88.0%
@ 1.11+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
BetVictor
6.00
1xBet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.75
William Hil
5.50
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
10Bet
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
45.5%
@ 2.83+12.6%
Under
54.5%
@ 1.39-12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.10
Unibet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.97
Marathonbet
2.80
Superbet
2.70
Under
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.41
Marathonbet
1.37
Erzurumspor FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.3%
@ 9.50+1.5%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.04-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Superbet
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Erzurumspor FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 45.00-98.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
45.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Galatasaray over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
45.7%
@ 1.55-14.2%
Under
54.3%
@ 2.32+14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.58
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.54
1xBet
1.53
Under
10Bet
2.45
Pinnacle
2.40
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.34
Superbet
2.32
Galatasaray over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
13.4%
@ 3.55-12.7%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.25+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.84
Superbet
3.55
1xBet
3.50
Betano
3.45
10Bet
3.40
Under
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
Galatasaray over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
2.3%
@ 9.07-8.0%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.04+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.90
Superbet
9.30
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Erzurumspor FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.50
1.93
0.21
0.94
0.75
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (28)
1.43
0.43
1.92
0.23
1.00
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Galatasaray
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.80
1.56
0.56
0.57
1.07
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (7)
0.86
0.71
1.50
0.00
0.00
1.67
vs Weaker (22)
1.23
0.86
1.58
0.75
0.80
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Erzurumspor FK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Erzurumspor FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galatasaray over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galatasaray over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galatasaray over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Betfair
1.01
Bet365
1.01
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+8.0%
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
96.1%
1.14
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
888Sport
1.14
Unibet
1.13
+14.1%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.6%
1.04
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
888Sport
1.05
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
88.7%
1.16
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
888Sport
1.15
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.7%
1.04
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
-
-1.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.0%
1.11
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
10Bet
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
+4.4%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.6%
1.25
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
+12.7%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
86.3%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
888Sport
1.03
-5.7%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
83.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Betfair
1.02
-
-
-9.3%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.7%
1.20
Superbet
1.24
Unibet
1.23
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.14
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.2%
1.20
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Superbet
1.21
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
72.0%
1.62
Unibet
1.73
888Sport
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
+14.4%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
71.5%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
888Sport
1.08
Betfair
1.08
-13.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.6%
1.19
1xBet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
888Sport
1.22
-8.1%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.3%
1.43
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Bet365
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Betfair
1.44
+5.3%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Erzurumspor FK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Eren Tozlu33%
Brandon Baiye0%
Martín Rodríguez0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Nihad Mujakić0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Mustafa Fettahoglu0%
Yakup Kırtay0%
Nariman Akhundzade0%
Amar Gerxhaliu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nihad Mujakić33%
Nariman Akhundzade33%
Brandon Baiye0%
Martín Rodríguez0%
Eren Tozlu0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Mustafa Fettahoglu0%
Yakup Kırtay0%
Amar Gerxhaliu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brandon Baiye0%
Martín Rodríguez0%
Eren Tozlu0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Nihad Mujakić0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Mustafa Fettahoglu0%
Yakup Kırtay0%
Nariman Akhundzade0%
Amar Gerxhaliu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eren Tozlu33%
Brandon Baiye0%
Martín Rodríguez0%
Orhan Ovacıklı0%
Nihad Mujakić0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Mustafa Fettahoglu0%
Yakup Kırtay0%
Nariman Akhundzade0%
Amar Gerxhaliu0%
Galatasaray
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Victor Osimhen100%
Davinson Sánchez33%
Yunus Akgün33%
Roland Sallai33%
Gabriel Sara33%
Leroy Sané0%
Lucas Torreira0%
Mario Lemina0%
Eren Elmalı0%
Abdülkerim Bardakcı0%
Barış Alper Yılmaz0%
Ismail Jakobs0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yunus Akgün33%
Eren Elmalı33%
Barış Alper Yılmaz33%
Davinson Sánchez0%
Leroy Sané0%
Lucas Torreira0%
Victor Osimhen0%
Mario Lemina0%
Roland Sallai0%
Abdülkerim Bardakcı0%
Gabriel Sara0%
Ismail Jakobs0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Victor Osimhen67%
Gabriel Sara67%
Lucas Torreira33%
Davinson Sánchez0%
Yunus Akgün0%
Leroy Sané0%
Mario Lemina0%
Roland Sallai0%
Eren Elmalı0%
Abdülkerim Bardakcı0%
Barış Alper Yılmaz0%
Ismail Jakobs0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yunus Akgün67%
Victor Osimhen67%
Gabriel Sara67%
Leroy Sané33%
Roland Sallai33%
Davinson Sánchez0%
Lucas Torreira0%
Mario Lemina0%
Eren Elmalı0%
Abdülkerim Bardakcı0%
Barış Alper Yılmaz0%
Ismail Jakobs0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
SAM (30)
€50m
ÇF (28)
€47m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
GF (28)
€28m
AME (22)
€27m
EF (26)
€26m
KOC (26)
€24m
GS (19)
€15m
EYÜ (24)
€14m
Erzurumspor FK's squad is €319m less valuable than Galatasaray's (€26m vs €345m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
SAM (12)
€20m
AME (7)
€15m
KAS (13)
€14m
GF (14)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
ÇF (9)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KOC (8)
€9m
EYÜ (10)
€5m
GS (4)
€4m
Erzurumspor FK's attack is €162m less valuable than Galatasaray's (€10m vs €173m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
ÇF (7)
€14m
SAM (6)
€12m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
KOC (8)
€9m
GF (5)
€8m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
GS (6)
€5m
KAS (7)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
AME (4)
€3m
EYÜ (4)
€2m
Erzurumspor FK's midfield is €65m less valuable than Galatasaray's (€7m vs €72m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
ÇF (12)
€21m
SAM (12)
€18m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
AME (11)
€9m
EF (13)
€8m
KOC (10)
€7m
EYÜ (10)
€7m
GF (9)
€6m
GS (9)
€5m
Erzurumspor FK's defence is €91m less valuable than Galatasaray's (€8m vs €100m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Beşiktaş
Fenerbahçe
Amed
Kocaelispor
Rizespor
Kasımpaşa
Başakşehir
Samsunspor
Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor
Gaziantep FK
Eyüpspor
Göztepe
Çorum FK
Konyaspor