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Estrela vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: 16/08/2025
Time: 19:30
Final 0-1
Estrela
Estrela
Vs
12%
20%
68%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Benfica
Benfica
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estrela win✗ Miss
11.5%
Avg Implied 6.8% · @ 13.63
Edge
+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.3%
Avg Implied 14.1% · @ 6.60
Edge
+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Benfica win✓ Hit
68.2%
Avg Implied 79.0% · @ 1.18
Edge
-10.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L03L10W01L01L20W02L01L04L11DA·GUI16/03H·SPO29/03A·NAC06/04H·FAR13/04A·ARO19/04H·FC 26/04A·RIO05/05H·AVS11/05A·EST17/05A·EST11/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.631.081.310.411.88
vs Stronger (10)0.702.501.201.800.203.20
vs Similar (20)0.701.201.001.000.501.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BenficaBenfica

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-622D30W40W60W21W11D11D11D20W20WH·ARO13/04A·GUI19/04H·TIR23/04H·AVS27/04A·EST03/05H·SPO10/05A·SC 17/05H·SPO25/05A·NIC06/08H·NIC12/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.501.032.671.132.330.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.891.671.802.202.001.00
vs Weaker (21)2.760.763.100.602.450.91
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.0%
Under 1.5
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.7%
@ 1.54-2.7%
Under 2.5
42.3%
@ 2.35+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.3%
Under 3.5
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.1%
No
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
12.0%
0-1 ✓
10.0%
1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-3
7.1%
0-0
5.8%
0-4
4.8%
Estrela goals ↓
Benfica goals →
01234
05.8%10%12%8.8%4.8%
13.1%9.7%9.7%7.1%3.9%
21.6%3.6%3.9%2.9%1.6%
30.4%1.0%1.0%0.8%0.4%
40.1%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Estrela goals (down), columns = Benfica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Porto
2.59
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
SC Braga
1.74
Famalicao
1.65
GIL Vicente
1.47
Moreirense
1.26
Guimaraes
1.24
Arouca
1.24
Alverca
1.15
Estoril
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Rio Ave
1.06
Nacional
1.00
Casa Pia
0.94
Estrela
0.88
Tondela
0.82
AVS
0.62
Torreense
0.50
Estrela is 1.47 points worse than Benfica in terms of average points per game (0.88 vs 2.35).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.62
Benfica
2.18
FC Porto
1.94
SC Braga
1.88
Estoril
1.59
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.38
Famalicao
1.24
Guimaraes
1.15
Estrela
1.12
Moreirense
1.09
Nacional
1.09
Alverca
1.03
Rio Ave
1.03
Santa Clara
0.94
Casa Pia
0.92
AVS
0.79
Tondela
0.79
Torreense
0.00
Estrela is 1.06 goals worse than Benfica in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 2.18).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.53
Sporting CP
0.71
Benfica
0.74
Famalicao
0.85
Torreense
1.00
SC Braga
1.06
GIL Vicente
1.12
Santa Clara
1.21
Nacional
1.32
Moreirense
1.44
Guimaraes
1.50
Alverca
1.53
Casa Pia
1.58
Tondela
1.62
Estrela
1.65
Estoril
1.68
Rio Ave
1.68
Arouca
1.88
AVS
1.97
Estrela is 0.91 goals worse than Benfica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.65 vs 0.74).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
SC Braga
63%
Sporting CP
62%
Torreense
60%
Benfica
58%
FC Porto
55%
Estoril
53%
Guimaraes
51%
Famalicao
51%
Arouca
50%
GIL Vicente
50%
Moreirense
50%
Santa Clara
48%
Rio Ave
47%
Estrela
47%
Nacional
46%
Alverca
45%
Tondela
44%
Casa Pia
41%
AVS
39%
Estrela is 10.9 percentage points worse than Benfica in terms of average possession (47% vs 58%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

EstrelaEstrela

For 3.8 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

16044441635511447357322888781681012510A·ESTA·ESTH·AVSA·RIOH·FC A·AROH·FARA·NACH·SPOA·GUI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.5

🟨 Cards

100142236453441219121543108813103A·ESTA·ESTH·AVSA·RIOH·FC A·AROH·FARA·NACH·SPOA·GUI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.8 · Against 14.9 · Total 30.7

⚠️ Fouls

36016131318911161717141617221114151818171529312033313333293632A·ESTA·ESTH·AVSA·RIOH·FC A·AROH·FARA·NACH·SPOA·GUI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BenficaBenfica

For 6.0 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

16066543766624210437115621291012861410168H·NICA·NICH·SPOA·SC H·SPOA·ESTH·AVSA·GUIH·AROA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

80121333255322134213133467844644H·NICA·NICH·SPOA·SC H·SPOA·ESTH·AVSA·GUIH·AROA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 12.7 · Total 25.5

⚠️ Fouls

38091314920108152414131511121210612111722233023382823221828H·NICA·NICH·SPOA·SC H·SPOA·ESTH·AVSA·GUIH·AROA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

EstrelaEstrela

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.810.34.64.74.630.030.030.0
vs Stronger (17)10.78.612.34.75.74.029.930.929.1
vs Similar (33)9.810.39.24.64.25.030.129.730.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line50%48%52%70%70%70%94%91%96%
% under line50%52%48%30%30%30%6%9%4%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BenficaBenfica

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.59.44.03.94.222.822.523.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (16)8.98.59.45.15.64.622.324.020.6
vs Weaker (34)10.511.69.43.53.13.923.021.624.4
% over line55%59%50%56%48%64%66%68%64%
% under line45%41%50%44%52%36%34%32%36%
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Torreense
11.7
Nacional
10.7
Guimaraes
10.5
Tondela
10.4
Famalicao
10.2
SC Braga
10.0
Estrela
10.0
Benfica
9.9
Arouca
9.9
Rio Ave
9.8
FC Porto
9.5
Casa Pia
9.4
Sporting CP
9.2
GIL Vicente
9.0
AVS
9.0
Estoril
8.9
Alverca
8.7
Moreirense
8.4
Santa Clara
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.2
FC Porto
5.9
Famalicao
5.8
Guimaraes
5.7
Casa Pia
5.3
AVS
5.3
Arouca
5.3
Sporting CP
5.1
Torreense
5.1
SC Braga
5.0
Rio Ave
5.0
Nacional
4.9
Moreirense
4.9
Estrela
4.9
Tondela
4.8
GIL Vicente
4.8
Benfica
4.7
Estoril
4.6
Alverca
4.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
30.6
Estrela
29.7
Santa Clara
29.2
Moreirense
28.9
Estoril
28.5
Rio Ave
28.1
Nacional
28.0
Guimaraes
27.9
AVS
27.5
Arouca
27.4
GIL Vicente
26.8
Casa Pia
26.5
FC Porto
26.3
Sporting CP
25.9
SC Braga
25.8
Benfica
22.9
Tondela
20.4
Torreense
16.7
Alverca
8.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.8%
Under 9.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
76.4%
Under 3.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.8%
Under 21.5
11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EstrelaEstrela

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D00D00D00D10W00D00D04L01LA·GUI16/03H·SPO29/03A·NAC06/04H·FAR13/04A·ARO19/04H·FC 26/04A·RIO05/05H·AVS11/05A·EST17/05A·EST11/08
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.230.870.310.620.181.06
vs Stronger (10)0.401.200.600.800.201.60
vs Similar (20)0.150.700.120.500.170.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BenficaBenfica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W10W40W20W01L01L00D00D20WH·ARO13/04A·GUI19/04H·TIR23/04H·AVS27/04A·EST03/05H·SPO10/05A·SC 17/05H·SPO25/05A·NIC06/08H·NIC12/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.401.470.331.000.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.890.670.800.601.000.75
vs Weaker (21)1.380.291.800.201.000.36
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Estrela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EstrelaEstrela

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L10W01L01L10W02L01L00D10WA·GUI16/03H·SPO29/03A·NAC06/04H·FAR13/04A·ARO19/04H·FC 26/04A·RIO05/05H·AVS11/05A·EST17/05A·EST11/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.770.770.690.240.82
vs Stronger (10)0.301.300.601.000.001.60
vs Similar (20)0.550.500.880.500.330.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BenficaBenfica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D20W30W20W01L10W10W11D20W00DH·ARO13/04A·GUI19/04H·TIR23/04H·AVS27/04A·EST03/05H·SPO10/05A·SC 17/05H·SPO25/05A·NIC06/08H·NIC12/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.631.200.801.330.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.001.001.001.601.000.25
vs Weaker (21)1.380.481.300.401.450.55
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Estrela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls94.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards89.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls88.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.581.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls79.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards76.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners76.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Estrela
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kikas29%
Jovane Cabral22%
Sidny Lopes Cabral20%
Abraham Marcus16%
Stefan Leković11%
Rodrigo Pinho10%
Paulo Moreira10%
Sydney van Hooijdonk10%
Ianis Stoica9%
Eddy Doué7%
Renan Ribeiro0%
Billal Brahimi0%
Jefferson Encada0%
Kevin Höög Jansson0%
Bruno Langa0%
Atanas Chernev0%
Luan Patrick0%
Alan Godoy0%
Bernardo Schappo0%
Yahya Kalley0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Jorge Meireles0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Max Scholze0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho0%
Otavio0%
Alisson Souza de Jesus0%
Alex Sola0%
João Moisés Gastão0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yahya Kalley33%
Eddy Doué29%
Oumar Ngom27%
Jefferson Encada27%
Atanas Chernev27%
João Moisés Gastão25%
Paulo Moreira24%
Kevin Höög Jansson23%
Bernardo Schappo23%
Otavio23%
Stefan Leković22%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho22%
Sydney van Hooijdonk20%
Sidny Lopes Cabral20%
Alisson Souza de Jesus20%
Jovane Cabral19%
Max Scholze18%
Guilherme Montóia18%
Rodrigo Pinho17%
Renan Ribeiro15%
Alex Sola12%
Ianis Stoica12%
Luan Patrick10%
Abraham Marcus6%
Jorge Meireles5%
Billal Brahimi0%
Kikas0%
Bruno Langa0%
Alan Godoy0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sidny Lopes Cabral13%
Abraham Marcus13%
João Moisés Gastão12%
Sydney van Hooijdonk10%
Oumar Ngom9%
Jorge Meireles9%
Jefferson Encada8%
Paulo Moreira7%
Kikas6%
Otavio5%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho4%
Jovane Cabral4%
Rodrigo Pinho3%
Ianis Stoica3%
Renan Ribeiro0%
Billal Brahimi0%
Kevin Höög Jansson0%
Bruno Langa0%
Atanas Chernev0%
Luan Patrick0%
Alan Godoy0%
Bernardo Schappo0%
Yahya Kalley0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Stefan Leković0%
Max Scholze0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Alisson Souza de Jesus0%
Alex Sola0%
Eddy Doué0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sidny Lopes Cabral20%
Jovane Cabral19%
Kikas18%
Rodrigo Pinho10%
Abraham Marcus6%
Ianis Stoica6%
Jorge Meireles5%
Bernardo Schappo4%
Renan Ribeiro0%
Billal Brahimi0%
Sydney van Hooijdonk0%
Jefferson Encada0%
Kevin Höög Jansson0%
Bruno Langa0%
Atanas Chernev0%
Paulo Moreira0%
Luan Patrick0%
Alan Godoy0%
Yahya Kalley0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Stefan Leković0%
Max Scholze0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho0%
Otavio0%
Alisson Souza de Jesus0%
Alex Sola0%
João Moisés Gastão0%
Eddy Doué0%
Benfica
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vangelis Pavlidis37%
Rafa Silva33%
Anísio Cabral33%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu25%
Alexander Bah22%
Andreas Schjelderup22%
Franjo Ivanović18%
Richard Ríos17%
Florentino Luís17%
Georgiy Sudakov12%
Leandro Barreiro11%
Sidny Lopes Cabral9%
Fredrik Aursnes9%
João Rêgo8%
Gianluca Prestianni8%
Enzo Barrenechea5%
Nicolás Otamendi4%
Samuel Dahl4%
Tomás Araújo3%
Amar Dedić2%
Anatoliy Trubin2%
Bruma0%
Dodi Lukebakio0%
Henrique Araújo0%
Samuel Soares0%
Manu Silva0%
António Silva0%
João Veloso0%
Rodrigo Rego0%
Daniel Banjaqui0%
José Neto0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Richard Ríos34%
Gianluca Prestianni29%
Enzo Barrenechea25%
Samuel Soares25%
Nicolás Otamendi22%
Alexander Bah22%
António Silva21%
Tomás Araújo17%
Florentino Luís17%
Amar Dedić15%
Dodi Lukebakio14%
Samuel Dahl10%
Sidny Lopes Cabral9%
Georgiy Sudakov9%
Leandro Barreiro9%
João Rêgo8%
Vangelis Pavlidis8%
Andreas Schjelderup7%
Fredrik Aursnes7%
Anatoliy Trubin4%
Franjo Ivanović3%
Rafa Silva0%
Bruma0%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu0%
Henrique Araújo0%
Manu Silva0%
João Veloso0%
Rodrigo Rego0%
Daniel Banjaqui0%
José Neto0%
Anísio Cabral0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sidny Lopes Cabral18%
Andreas Schjelderup15%
Dodi Lukebakio14%
Leandro Barreiro13%
Georgiy Sudakov12%
Fredrik Aursnes11%
Gianluca Prestianni11%
Amar Dedić10%
Richard Ríos10%
Vangelis Pavlidis8%
Tomás Araújo6%
António Silva5%
Samuel Dahl4%
Franjo Ivanović3%
Rafa Silva0%
Florentino Luís0%
Nicolás Otamendi0%
Anatoliy Trubin0%
Bruma0%
Alexander Bah0%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu0%
Enzo Barrenechea0%
Henrique Araújo0%
Samuel Soares0%
Manu Silva0%
João Veloso0%
João Rêgo0%
Rodrigo Rego0%
Daniel Banjaqui0%
José Neto0%
Anísio Cabral0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vangelis Pavlidis37%
Daniel Banjaqui33%
Dodi Lukebakio23%
Rafa Silva22%
Richard Ríos20%
Gianluca Prestianni13%
Franjo Ivanović13%
Sidny Lopes Cabral9%
Georgiy Sudakov9%
Nicolás Otamendi7%
Andreas Schjelderup5%
António Silva3%
Enzo Barrenechea2%
Fredrik Aursnes2%
Leandro Barreiro2%
Florentino Luís0%
Anatoliy Trubin0%
Bruma0%
Amar Dedić0%
Alexander Bah0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu0%
Tomás Araújo0%
Henrique Araújo0%
Samuel Soares0%
Manu Silva0%
João Veloso0%
João Rêgo0%
Rodrigo Rego0%
José Neto0%
Anísio Cabral0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
TON (20)
€10m
AVS (20)
€7m
Estrela's squad is €337m less valuable than Benfica's (€20m vs €357m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
MOR (5)
€5m
AVS (8)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
Estrela's attack is €166m less valuable than Benfica's (€6m vs €172m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
TOR (5)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
Estrela's midfield is €74m less valuable than Benfica's (€3m vs €77m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
AVS (10)
€3m
Estrela's defence is €97m less valuable than Benfica's (€11m vs €108m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
0
EST wins
0
Draws
5
BEN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Estrela vs Benfica · H/A from EST
DateH/AGameScore
02/02/25HEST Vs Benfica2-3
23/11/24ABenfica Vs EST7-0
24/08/24ABenfica Vs EST1-0
29/01/24HEST Vs Benfica1-4
19/08/23ABenfica Vs EST2-0

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/08/25AEstoril Vs EST1-1
17/05/25AEstoril Vs EST4-0
11/05/25HEST Vs AVS0-1
05/05/25ARio Ave Vs EST2-0
26/04/25HEST Vs FC Porto2-0
19/04/25AArouca Vs EST1-0
13/04/25HEST Vs Farense0-1
06/04/25ANacional Vs EST0-1
29/03/25HEST Vs Sporting CP0-3
16/03/25AGuimaraes Vs EST2-0

BenficaBenfica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/08/25HBEN Vs Nice2-0
06/08/25ANice Vs BEN0-2
25/05/25HBEN Vs Sporting CP1-1
17/05/25ASC Braga Vs BEN1-1
10/05/25HBEN Vs Sporting CP1-1
03/05/25AEstoril Vs BEN1-2
27/04/25HBEN Vs AVS6-0
23/04/25HBEN Vs Tirsense4-0
19/04/25AGuimaraes Vs BEN0-3
13/04/25HBEN Vs Arouca2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Estrela
Estrela
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLD0.86
HomeDLLWL1.17
AwayWLLLD0.59
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%30%7%
AVG goals2.342.572.15
Over 1.5 %66%70%63%
Over 2.5 %38%52%26%
Over 3.5 %22%26%19%
Scored0.741.130.41
Conceded1.601.431.74
BTTS38%48%30%
Clean Sheet20%22%19%
Corners10.069.7810.32
Cards4.834.655.00
Benfica
Benfica
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWW2.24
HomeWWDDW2.12
AwayWWWDW2.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%64%76%
AVG goals3.363.802.92
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %64%72%56%
Over 3.5 %44%56%32%
Scored2.462.842.08
Conceded0.900.960.84
BTTS46%44%48%
Clean Sheet48%52%44%
Corners9.9310.459.41
Cards4.574.414.73

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC PortoFC Porto3488
82%
2.6
6618+48
2.5
71%
56%
24%
8.6
35%
5.5
82%
26.4
71%
467
2141051481.90.5
55%
2Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8924+65
3.3
91%
71%
35%
9.9
53%
5.2
62%
25.9
79%
414
146911762.60.7
62%
3BenficaBenfica3480
68%
2.4
7425+49
2.9
88%
71%
32%
10.0
56%
5.3
73%
26.8
74%
357
172771082.20.7
58%
4SC BragaSC Braga3459
47%
1.7
6436+28
2.9
76%
68%
38%
8.4
32%
5.0
79%
23.5
62%
165
4156681.91.1
63%
5FamalicaoFamalicao3456
44%
1.6
4229+13
2.1
53%
38%
24%
10.4
56%
5.1
68%
32.1
94%
57
1620221.20.9
51%
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3450
38%
1.5
4738+9
2.5
76%
53%
26%
9.5
50%
5.1
67%
28.2
85%
29
118111.41.1
50%
7MoreirenseMoreirense3443
35%
1.3
3749-12
2.5
74%
50%
21%
8.4
35%
4.9
68%
29.2
94%
22
5891.11.4
50%
8GuimaraesGuimaraes3442
35%
1.2
3951-12
2.6
76%
44%
24%
8.4
38%
5.2
74%
29.6
88%
46
2211121.11.5
51%
9AroucaArouca3442
35%
1.2
4764-17
3.3
79%
68%
50%
9.0
44%
5.7
79%
25.9
79%
28
11881.41.9
50%
10EstorilEstoril3439
29%
1.1
5457-3
3.3
76%
62%
53%
9.3
41%
4.9
88%
25.8
82%
42
248101.61.7
53%
11AlvercaAlverca3439
29%
1.1
3552-17
2.6
76%
50%
24%
8.9
44%
4.9
64%
26.4
71%
39
156181.01.5
45%
12Santa ClaraSanta Clara3436
26%
1.1
3241-9
2.1
56%
35%
15%
9.0
50%
6.1
85%
29.5
94%
27
96120.91.2
48%
13Rio AveRio Ave3436
24%
1.1
3557-22
2.7
82%
59%
29%
10.8
68%
5.2
62%
27.4
79%
37
88211.01.7
47%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3745-8
2.4
74%
41%
18%
10.8
68%
5.7
74%
27.2
88%
20
6591.11.3
46%
15Casa PiaCasa Pia3634
19%
0.9
3357-24
2.5
75%
42%
28%
10.0
50%
5.6
83%
29.8
92%
27
96120.91.6
41%
16EstrelaEstrela3430
18%
0.9
3856-18
2.8
74%
53%
38%
9.1
35%
5.6
82%
29.7
97%
20
63111.11.6
47%
17TondelaTondela3428
18%
0.8
2755-28
2.4
68%
50%
29%
9.8
50%
5.4
71%
26.8
82%
10
2160.81.6
44%
18AVSAVS3421
9%
0.6
2767-40
2.8
79%
59%
38%
9.5
47%
5.0
67%
24.7
71%
7
3230.82.0
39%
19TorreenseTorreense21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
11.5
50%
6.5
100%
25.5
100%
19
72100.01.0
60%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches