FC Basel 1893 are favoured to win, with a 49% chance of triumph, a 25% draw probability and a 26% chance for FC Sion. The model expects 3.1 goals on average, but the most likely total is two, with a 22% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 11.4% chance. Basel’s home form shows they average 1.43 goals scored and conceded against similar opponents, while Sion’s away record is 1.73 scored and 1.18 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.5%) with a 2% edge, Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.0%) with a 6% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.7%) with a 4% edge, Under 6.5 (95.9%) with a 3% edge, Away under 3.5 goals (95.7%) with a 7% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.3%) with a 6% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.2%) with a 6% edge, and Over 19.5 fouls (91.3%). Basel have just returned from a 3-3 draw with BSC Young Boys, while Sion are coming off three consecutive defeats, losing 1-2 to FC Lugano.
Results analysis
The upset came early as FC Sion overturned a 1-2 defeat to claim the win, ending Basel’s run of mixed results. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was assigned a 49% probability, but the model was wrong. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 98.5%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.9%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.0%, Under 6.5 hit at 95.9%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 95.6%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.5%, and Over 19.5 fouls hit at 91.1%. The final score was 1-2 in favour of the visitors.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
FC Basel 1893 win✗ Miss
48.5%
Avg Implied 34.6% · @ 2.69
Edge
+13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.88
Pinnacle
2.87
Dafabet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.80
1xBet
2.77
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.66
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.88
10Bet
3.80
Dafabet
3.80
BetVictor
3.70
Betano
3.70
FC Sion win✓ Hit
26.5%
Avg Implied 39.9% · @ 2.33
Edge
-13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.57
Unibet
2.38
SBO
2.37
Pinnacle
2.34
Dafabet
2.34
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
FC Basel 1893
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.77
1.38
1.38
1.43
2.21
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.50
1.00
2.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
1.42
1.85
1.43
1.43
1.42
2.33
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Sion
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.8
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
1.33
2.00
0.94
1.93
1.79
vs Stronger (5)
2.60
3.40
2.50
2.50
2.67
4.00
vs Similar (22)
1.82
0.91
1.91
0.64
1.73
1.18
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Basel 1893) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.0%
@ 1.13+0.6%
Under 1.5
17.0%
@ 5.28-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.16
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Under
Pinnacle
5.57
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Unibet
5.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.6%
@ 1.48-2.6%
Under 2.5
39.4%
@ 2.53+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.54
Superbet
1.51
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Under
BetVictor
2.60
Pinnacle
2.60
Betfair
2.60
Unibet
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.2%
@ 2.19-4.5%
Under 3.5
61.8%
@ 1.64+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.34
Marathonbet
2.23
Superbet
2.22
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Under
1xBet
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Betano
1.65
BetVictor
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.2%
@ 1.40-3.6%
No
37.8%
@ 2.70+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.41
No
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.80
Bet365
2.75
William Hil
2.75
1xBet
2.73
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%@ 7.32+5.3%
2-1
9.5%@ 9.56+4.8%
2-0
7.3%@ 16.11+4.5%
1-0
6.9%@ 12.55+3.3%
1-2 ✓
6.8%@ 8.85+1.7%
2-2
6.2%@ 10.01+1.7%
3-1
5.8%@ 16.91+3.1%
0-0
5.4%@ 16.30+2.6%
FC Basel 1893 goals ↓
FC Sion goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.4%
4.7%
3.7%
1.6%
0.5%
1
6.9%
11%
6.8%
3.0%
1.0%
2
7.3%
9.5%
6.2%
2.7%
0.9%
3
4.4%
5.8%
3.8%
1.6%
0.5%
4
2.0%
2.6%
1.7%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Basel 1893 goals (down), columns = FC Sion goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Lugano
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.33
FC Sion
1.80
FC Basel 1893
1.67
FC Thun
1.40
FC ST. Gallen
1.40
FC Luzern
1.33
FC Zurich
1.00
Lausanne
1.00
Grasshoppers
0.80
Servette FC
0.80
FC Vaduz
0.50
FC Basel 1893 is 0.13 points worse than FC Sion in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
BSC Young Boys
3.83
FC Lugano
2.80
FC Sion
2.20
FC Vaduz
2.17
FC ST. Gallen
2.00
FC Basel 1893
1.83
FC Thun
1.80
FC Zurich
1.50
Grasshoppers
1.40
FC Luzern
1.17
Lausanne
1.00
Servette FC
0.80
FC Basel 1893 is 0.37 goals worse than FC Sion in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 2.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Lugano
0.60
Lausanne
1.17
Servette FC
1.20
FC Basel 1893
1.50
FC Luzern
1.67
FC Sion
1.80
BSC Young Boys
1.83
FC ST. Gallen
2.20
Grasshoppers
2.40
FC Zurich
2.67
FC Vaduz
2.67
FC Thun
2.80
FC Basel 1893 is 0.30 goals better than FC Sion in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.80).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sion
57%
FC ST. Gallen
56%
FC Lugano
55%
FC Vaduz
53%
Servette FC
53%
Lausanne
51%
FC Basel 1893
49%
BSC Young Boys
49%
FC Thun
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC Zurich
44%
FC Luzern
44%
FC Basel 1893 is 7.3 percentage points worse than FC Sion in terms of average possession (49% vs 57%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
FC Basel 1893
For 5.1 · Against 5.9 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 14.7 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Sion
For 5.2 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.8 · Against 13.3 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Basel 1893
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
9.8
10.6
4.7
5.0
4.5
26.4
26.9
26.0
vs Stronger (3)
7.3
6.0
8.0
4.0
6.0
3.0
23.7
26.0
22.5
vs Similar (42)
10.3
9.8
10.8
4.6
4.9
4.4
26.6
27.6
25.6
vs Weaker (5)
11.2
12.0
10.7
6.2
5.5
6.7
26.4
20.0
30.7
% over line
56%
50%
62%
74%
79%
69%
84%
92%
77%
% under line
44%
50%
38%
26%
21%
31%
16%
8%
23%
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Sion
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.5
9.3
4.5
4.7
4.3
26.5
27.1
25.8
vs Stronger (7)
9.6
9.0
10.0
3.4
4.0
3.0
23.4
25.7
21.8
vs Similar (38)
9.2
9.4
8.9
4.7
4.6
4.8
27.3
27.8
26.8
vs Weaker (5)
11.0
10.7
11.5
4.8
6.3
2.5
24.6
23.7
26.0
% over line
50%
52%
48%
68%
70%
65%
80%
78%
83%
% under line
50%
48%
52%
32%
30%
35%
20%
22%
17%
This opponent (FC Basel 1893) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC ST. Gallen
10.8
FC Zurich
10.7
Lausanne
10.6
FC Luzern
10.5
Servette FC
10.3
FC Basel 1893
10.2
FC Thun
10.2
Grasshoppers
10.0
FC Vaduz
9.9
FC Sion
9.4
BSC Young Boys
9.4
FC Lugano
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
5.8
Grasshoppers
5.2
Lausanne
5.1
FC Vaduz
5.0
FC Thun
4.9
FC Zurich
4.9
FC Basel 1893
4.8
FC Luzern
4.7
FC Lugano
4.7
Servette FC
4.6
FC Sion
4.5
BSC Young Boys
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC ST. Gallen
30.1
FC Thun
28.0
FC Zurich
27.5
FC Sion
26.5
FC Basel 1893
26.4
FC Lugano
25.4
Grasshoppers
25.0
Lausanne
24.7
FC Vaduz
24.4
FC Luzern
24.0
Servette FC
23.8
BSC Young Boys
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.9%
@ 1.76-0.6%
Under 9.5
48.1%
@ 1.96+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.90
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Unibet
1.75
Under
Pinnacle
2.12
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
Betano
1.93
Unibet
1.93
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
69.9%
Under 3.5
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
82.2%
Under 21.5
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
FC Basel 1893 or Draw✗ Miss
73.5%
Avg Implied 60.3% · @ 1.55
Edge
+13.3%
49%
25%
26%
covers FC Basel 1893 + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
FC Basel 1893 or FC Sion✓ Hit
75.0%
Avg Implied 74.5% · @ 1.25
Edge
+0.5%
49%
25%
26%
covers FC Basel 1893 + FC Sion
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Draw or FC Sion✓ Hit
51.5%
Avg Implied 65.2% · @ 1.43
Edge
-13.8%
49%
25%
26%
covers Draw + FC Sion
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.50
Betano
1.47
SBO
1.46
William Hil
1.44
10Bet
1.44
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
FC Basel 1893 over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.9%
@ 1.19+5.6%
Under
16.1%
@ 4.29-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Under
Pinnacle
4.54
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.45
BetVictor
4.33
Bet365
4.33
FC Basel 1893 over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
54.4%
@ 1.98+7.2%
Under
45.6%
@ 1.77-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.09
Marathonbet
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
2.00
1xBet
1.99
Under
Superbet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.79
1xBet
1.79
BetVictor
1.78
Betano
1.78
FC Basel 1893 over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
27.6%
@ 4.05+4.6%
Under
72.4%
@ 1.21-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.37
Marathonbet
4.33
1xBet
4.15
BetVictor
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Under
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Unibet
1.20
FC Basel 1893 over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.3%
@ 9.27+1.2%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.04-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
9.70
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
9.20
Superbet
8.40
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
FC Sion over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.0%
@ 1.16-7.3%
Under
27.0%
@ 4.70+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Unibet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Under
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
1xBet
4.60
FC Sion over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
37.6%
@ 1.81-14.0%
Under
62.4%
@ 1.93+14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Unibet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Under
Betfair
2.00
Pinnacle
2.00
1xBet
1.97
BetVictor
1.95
Betano
1.95
FC Sion over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.5%
@ 3.53-11.8%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.26+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.90
Pinnacle
3.60
Marathonbet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.29
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
FC Sion over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.4%
@ 7.85-7.5%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.05+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Superbet
8.70
Marathonbet
7.70
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.40
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to FC Basel 1893, so a minus line means FC Basel 1893 give that many goals of a start and FC Sion receive them. At -1, FC Basel 1893 must win by two or more to land; a one-goal FC Basel 1893 win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (FC Basel 1893)Actual: FC Sion
FC Basel 1893 -2
12.5%
@ 9.75+3.3%
Draw -2
15.1%
@ 6.90+2.2%
FC Sion +2
72.5%
@ 1.14-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
9.50
Superbet
8.50
Marathonbet
6.75
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Unibet
6.75
Superbet
6.60
Marathonbet
5.15
Away
Superbet
1.18
Unibet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
Handicap -1 (FC Basel 1893)Actual: FC Sion
FC Basel 1893 -1
27.5%
@ 4.93+9.4%
Draw -1
21.0%
@ 4.55+1.4%
FC Sion +1
51.5%
@ 1.44-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.15
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.60
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Away
Superbet
1.51
10Bet
1.44
Unibet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.40
Handicap +1 (FC Basel 1893)Actual: Draw
FC Basel 1893 +1
73.5%
@ 1.54+15.7%
Draw +1
14.8%
@ 4.30-6.0%
FC Sion -1
11.7%
@ 4.16-9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Unibet
1.54
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Superbet
4.50
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
Unibet
4.00
Away
Superbet
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Handicap +2 (FC Basel 1893)Actual: FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893 +2
88.3%
@ 1.18+12.5%
Draw +2
7.7%
@ 6.58-5.9%
FC Sion -2
4.0%
@ 8.48-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Superbet
6.60
Marathonbet
6.55
10Bet
6.25
Away
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
9.00
Superbet
8.60
Unibet
8.00
10Bet
8.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
FC Basel 1893
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.83
0.56
0.50
0.50
1.21
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.81
0.57
0.50
0.50
1.17
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Sion
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
0.75
0.50
0.79
0.93
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
1.20
1.50
0.00
1.33
2.00
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.55
0.73
0.45
0.64
0.64
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
1.00
0.33
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Basel 1893) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.9%
@ 1.23-0.3%
Under 0.5
25.1%
@ 3.73+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.00
William Hil
4.00
10Bet
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
40.2%
@ 2.12-3.8%
Under 1.5
59.8%
@ 1.67+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.22
Pinnacle
2.19
Marathonbet
2.18
Superbet
2.17
1xBet
2.13
Under
10Bet
1.70
William Hil
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
BetVictor
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.1%
@ 4.61-6.0%
Under 2.5
85.9%
@ 1.16+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.80
BetVictor
4.75
Marathonbet
4.70
Superbet
4.70
Betano
4.55
Under
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Basel 1893 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
52.9%
@ 1.83+2.1%
Under
47.1%
@ 1.89-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.90
Marathonbet
1.85
Unibet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Under
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Unibet
1.87
FC Basel 1893 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.0%
@ 5.06-1.2%
Under
83.0%
@ 1.13+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.60
Betano
5.10
1xBet
5.00
Superbet
4.85
10Bet
4.75
Under
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
FC Basel 1893 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 13.00-3.9%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.02+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
11.00
Under
10Bet
1.02
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
FC Sion over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
47.1%
@ 1.75-6.1%
Under
52.9%
@ 1.99+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.82
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.74
10Bet
1.73
Unibet
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.12
1xBet
2.04
10Bet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
Unibet
1.95
FC Sion over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.5%
@ 4.66-6.4%
Under
86.5%
@ 1.16+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Betano
4.60
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Under
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
FC Sion over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 12.42-5.5%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.02+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
10Bet
12.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
FC Basel 1893
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.93
0.81
0.88
0.93
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.88
1.04
0.86
0.93
0.92
1.17
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Sion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Sion
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.63
1.25
0.44
1.14
0.86
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
2.20
1.00
2.50
1.33
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.14
0.36
1.18
0.18
1.09
0.55
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.00
1.67
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Basel 1893) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.9%
@ 1.13-3.3%
Under 0.5
21.1%
@ 5.22+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.30
1xBet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.15
Superbet
5.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
48.7%
@ 1.69-6.4%
Under 1.5
51.3%
@ 2.07+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.69
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.10
William Hil
2.10
Unibet
2.07
Superbet
2.05
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
22.0%
@ 3.12-7.9%
Under 2.5
78.0%
@ 1.33+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.15
William Hil
3.10
1xBet
3.04
Under
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Basel 1893 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
56.7%
@ 1.57-2.2%
Under
43.3%
@ 2.26+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.60
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Under
Betano
2.30
Superbet
2.27
1xBet
2.26
10Bet
2.20
FC Basel 1893 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.4%
@ 3.79-4.0%
Under
79.6%
@ 1.22+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.05
10Bet
3.95
1xBet
3.70
Superbet
3.65
Betano
3.60
Under
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
FC Basel 1893 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.5%
@ 9.68-5.1%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.03+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
10Bet
10.00
Superbet
9.70
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
FC Sion over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
52.9%
@ 1.51-8.4%
Under
47.1%
@ 2.40+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.57
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.50
1xBet
1.48
Under
Betano
2.47
1xBet
2.46
10Bet
2.40
Superbet
2.25
FC Sion over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
18.2%
@ 3.40-8.9%
Under
81.8%
@ 1.27+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.70
10Bet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.40
Betano
3.25
1xBet
3.20
Under
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.23
FC Sion over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.0%
@ 8.72-6.6%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.04+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
1xBet
8.90
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.7%
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.0%
1.04
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.9%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.6%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.5%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.2%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Pinnacle
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
88.7%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-1.2%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
88.3%
1.18
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
+12.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.5%
1.16
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.9%
1.16
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
85.5%
1.26
Pinnacle
1.29
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
+11.8%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
83.9%
1.19
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.18
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.0%
1.13
Pinnacle
1.16
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.0%
1.13
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
81.8%
1.27
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.23
+8.9%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.6%
1.22
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
79.3%
1.25
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.9%
1.13
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.11
-3.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.0%
1.33
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
75.0%
1.25
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.9%
1.23
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
73.5%
1.55
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
+13.3%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
73.5%
1.54
10Bet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Unibet
1.54
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.53
+15.7%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
73.0%
1.16
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Unibet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
-7.3%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
72.5%
1.14
Superbet
1.18
Unibet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
-5.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
72.4%
1.21
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Unibet
1.20
-4.6%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.7%
1.35
1xBet
1.38
Unibet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.34
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.33
+3.8%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC Basel 1893
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ž. Celar67%
Asane Sow50%
K. Olaigbe33%
X. Shaqiri17%
A. Victory17%
B. Omeragić0%
Leo Leroy0%
M. Salvi0%
N. Vouilloz0%
P. Otele0%
Flavius Daniliuc0%
K. Tsunemoto0%
Metinho0%
Moussa Cissé0%
Ludwig Thorell0%
Jonas Harder0%
G. Koloto0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
A. Victory50%
Metinho40%
Leo Leroy33%
Ludwig Thorell33%
B. Omeragić25%
Moussa Cissé17%
X. Shaqiri0%
Ž. Celar0%
M. Salvi0%
N. Vouilloz0%
P. Otele0%
Flavius Daniliuc0%
K. Olaigbe0%
K. Tsunemoto0%
Jonas Harder0%
G. Koloto0%
Asane Sow0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Leo Leroy33%
Asane Sow25%
Metinho20%
Ž. Celar17%
Flavius Daniliuc17%
K. Olaigbe17%
A. Victory17%
X. Shaqiri0%
B. Omeragić0%
M. Salvi0%
N. Vouilloz0%
P. Otele0%
K. Tsunemoto0%
Moussa Cissé0%
Ludwig Thorell0%
Jonas Harder0%
G. Koloto0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Asane Sow50%
Ž. Celar17%
X. Shaqiri0%
B. Omeragić0%
Leo Leroy0%
M. Salvi0%
N. Vouilloz0%
P. Otele0%
Flavius Daniliuc0%
K. Olaigbe0%
K. Tsunemoto0%
Metinho0%
Moussa Cissé0%
Ludwig Thorell0%
Jonas Harder0%
A. Victory0%
G. Koloto0%
FC Sion
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Winsley Boteli Mokango80%
Ylyas Chouaref25%
F. Surdez22%
Baltazar Costa20%
D. Rrudhani20%
Théo Berdayes20%
J. Kronig10%
R. Nivokazi10%
Josias Lukembila10%
A. Racioppi0%
Marquinhos Cipriano0%
B. Kololli0%
Numa Lavanchy0%
Nias Hefti0%
Ali Kabacalman0%
N. Sow0%
Liam Scott Chipperfield0%
F. Sylla0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
N. Sow30%
Numa Lavanchy20%
Baltazar Costa20%
Ali Kabacalman20%
Nias Hefti17%
J. Kronig10%
R. Nivokazi10%
D. Rrudhani10%
A. Racioppi0%
Marquinhos Cipriano0%
B. Kololli0%
Ylyas Chouaref0%
Josias Lukembila0%
F. Surdez0%
Théo Berdayes0%
Liam Scott Chipperfield0%
Winsley Boteli Mokango0%
F. Sylla0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
F. Surdez33%
Ylyas Chouaref25%
Baltazar Costa20%
Josias Lukembila20%
Winsley Boteli Mokango20%
Marquinhos Cipriano14%
F. Sylla12%
Ali Kabacalman10%
R. Nivokazi10%
D. Rrudhani10%
A. Racioppi0%
J. Kronig0%
B. Kololli0%
Numa Lavanchy0%
Nias Hefti0%
N. Sow0%
Théo Berdayes0%
Liam Scott Chipperfield0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Winsley Boteli Mokango70%
R. Nivokazi20%
D. Rrudhani20%
Ylyas Chouaref12%
F. Surdez11%
Baltazar Costa10%
Théo Berdayes10%
A. Racioppi0%
Marquinhos Cipriano0%
J. Kronig0%
B. Kololli0%
Numa Lavanchy0%
Nias Hefti0%
Ali Kabacalman0%
N. Sow0%
Josias Lukembila0%
Liam Scott Chipperfield0%
F. Sylla0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
LAU (23)
€27m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
FT (25)
€17m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FV (26)
€6m
FC Basel 1893's squad is €19m more valuable than FC Sion's (€49m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
LAU (8)
€9m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FT (7)
€4m
FV (9)
€2m
FC Basel 1893's attack is €2m more valuable than FC Sion's (€16m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
LAU (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FV (8)
€2m
FC Basel 1893's midfield is €11m more valuable than FC Sion's (€16m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
LAU (10)
€13m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
FV (9)
€2m
FC Basel 1893's defence is €7m more valuable than FC Sion's (€16m vs €9m).
Switzerland: Super League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →
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FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys
FC Luzern
FC ST. Gallen
FC Thun
Lausanne
FC Zurich
Servette FC
Grasshoppers
FC Vaduz