Fenerbahçe are the clear favourites to win this match, with a 73% probability of a home victory. The model's selection is a home win, and their dominance at home is evident, with an average of 2.25 goals scored and just 1.33 conceded per match against weaker opponents. Konyaspor, on the other hand, have struggled away from home, scoring an average of just 0.83 goals and conceding 2.67 against stronger opponents.
The expected total goals is 3.6, with the most likely total goals being 3. The most likely score is 2-0 to Fenerbahçe, with a probability of 9.6%. The home side's home scoring and conceding stats are impressive, while Konyaspor's away form is concerning.
The model also suggests selecting Over 1.5 goals, with a 88% probability, and Over 21.5 fouls, with a 87.8% probability. In terms of match result probabilities, Fenerbahçe have a 73% chance of winning, a 17% chance of drawing, and an 11% chance of losing. The suggested picks include Home win (72.6%), Over 1.5 goals (88%), Over 21.5 fouls (87.8%), and Over 3.5 cards (81.1%).
Results analysis
Fenerbahçe’s recent win over Konyaspor extended their good run, and the Pythia model’s favourite, a home win, proved correct as the match finished 4-2. The model had assigned a 73 % probability to this outcome. The selections were largely accurate: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.3 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.6 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 97.9 %, Under 7.5 hit at 96.4 %, Home +2 handicap hit at 96.0 %, Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 93.2 %, and Home over 0.5 goals hit at 93.2 %. Only the Over 19.5 fouls selection missed, despite a 94.3 % probability. The model’s predictions largely came through.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Fenerbahçe win✓ Hit
73.1%
Avg Implied 72.4% · @ 1.29
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Dafabet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Draw✗ Miss
16.6%
Avg Implied 17.5% · @ 5.34
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
5.87
Dafabet
5.60
Pinnacle
5.53
10Bet
5.50
Superbet
5.50
Konyaspor win✗ Miss
10.4%
Avg Implied 10.1% · @ 9.27
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
10.40
Pinnacle
9.87
Betano
9.75
BetVictor
9.50
Unibet
9.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Fenerbahçe
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.13
1.93
1.29
1.75
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.67
1.50
0.50
1.25
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (24)
2.12
1.04
2.50
1.30
1.86
0.86
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Konyaspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Konyaspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.17
1.29
0.64
1.38
1.62
vs Stronger (10)
0.80
1.70
1.00
1.00
0.67
2.17
vs Similar (20)
1.60
0.90
1.40
0.50
1.80
1.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Fenerbahçe) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.5%
@ 1.15+7.4%
Under 1.5
11.5%
@ 4.93-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Under
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.25
888Sport
5.00
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
70.4%
@ 1.54+9.2%
Under 2.5
29.6%
@ 2.42-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.62
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
Superbet
1.57
BetVictor
1.54
Under
Betfair
2.55
10Bet
2.55
888Sport
2.50
Pinnacle
2.43
1xBet
2.42
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
49.3%
@ 2.34+9.2%
Under 3.5
50.7%
@ 1.57-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.50
Superbet
2.42
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.40
Under
10Bet
1.62
888Sport
1.60
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.1%
@ 1.89+9.0%
No
41.9%
@ 1.82-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Marathonbet
1.90
BetVictor
1.90
No
Betfair
1.90
888Sport
1.85
10Bet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Betano
1.82
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
9.5%@ 6.52+2.6%
2-1
9.1%@ 7.89+3.4%
3-0
8.4%@ 7.92+2.8%
3-1
8.1%@ 9.90+3.6%
1-1
7.5%@ 9.73+2.8%
1-0
6.4%@ 7.55+0.4%
4-0
5.6%@ 12.39+2.0%
4-1
5.4%@ 15.17+2.5%
Fenerbahçe goals ↓
Konyaspor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.3%
1.9%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
1
6.4%
7.5%
3.3%
1.0%
0.2%
2
9.5%
9.1%
4.4%
1.4%
0.3%
3
8.4%
8.1%
3.9%
1.2%
0.3%
4
5.6%
5.4%
2.6%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fenerbahçe goals (down), columns = Konyaspor goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Galatasaray
2.26
Fenerbahçe
2.18
Trabzonspor
2.03
Beşiktaş
1.76
Başakşehir
1.68
Göztepe
1.62
Samsunspor
1.50
Rizespor
1.21
Konyaspor
1.18
Gaziantep FK
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.09
Alanyaspor
1.09
Amed
1.05
Kasımpaşa
1.03
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.00
Eyüpspor
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.96
Çorum FK
0.95
Fenerbahçe is 1.00 points better than Konyaspor in terms of average points per game (2.18 vs 1.18).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fenerbahçe
2.26
Galatasaray
2.26
Trabzonspor
1.79
Beşiktaş
1.74
Başakşehir
1.71
Samsunspor
1.35
Rizespor
1.35
Gaziantep FK
1.26
Konyaspor
1.26
Göztepe
1.24
Alanyaspor
1.21
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.06
Amed
1.03
Eyüpspor
0.97
Kasımpaşa
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.94
Çorum FK
0.93
Kocaelispor
0.76
Fenerbahçe is 1.00 goals better than Konyaspor in terms of goals scored per game (2.26 vs 1.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Galatasaray
0.88
Göztepe
0.94
Başakşehir
1.03
Fenerbahçe
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.12
Trabzonspor
1.15
Beşiktaş
1.18
Alanyaspor
1.21
Samsunspor
1.32
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.38
Eyüpspor
1.41
Kasımpaşa
1.44
Konyaspor
1.47
Rizespor
1.53
Gaziantep FK
1.71
Amed
1.71
Erzurumspor FK
1.88
Çorum FK
1.89
Fenerbahçe is 0.38 goals better than Konyaspor in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Galatasaray
62%
Fenerbahçe
59%
Beşiktaş
56%
Trabzonspor
55%
Başakşehir
54%
Samsunspor
54%
Konyaspor
52%
Rizespor
50%
Gaziantep FK
50%
Kocaelispor
50%
Alanyaspor
48%
Eyüpspor
48%
Kasımpaşa
44%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
43%
Göztepe
38%
Fenerbahçe is 7.4 percentage points better than Konyaspor in terms of average possession (59% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Fenerbahçe
For 6.4 · Against 3.7 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 12.8 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Konyaspor
For 3.3 · Against 6.6 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 9.8 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Fenerbahçe
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
10.4
12.1
5.2
5.8
4.5
25.1
26.5
23.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
9.8
10.3
9.0
6.1
6.0
6.2
25.9
28.3
22.2
vs Weaker (39)
11.7
10.4
12.7
4.9
5.8
4.2
24.9
25.9
24.1
% over line
72%
64%
79%
70%
75%
65%
74%
82%
67%
% under line
28%
36%
21%
30%
25%
35%
26%
18%
33%
This opponent (Konyaspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Konyaspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.5
10.3
4.4
4.4
4.3
25.2
23.6
27.0
vs Stronger (15)
11.3
12.1
10.4
4.3
4.7
3.9
25.2
23.1
27.3
vs Similar (33)
9.1
8.2
10.2
4.5
4.5
4.5
25.4
24.1
26.8
vs Weaker (2)
11.0
11.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
19.0
19.0
-
% over line
53%
43%
65%
64%
65%
62%
79%
74%
85%
% under line
47%
57%
35%
36%
35%
38%
21%
26%
15%
This opponent (Fenerbahçe) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fenerbahçe
10.9
Beşiktaş
10.2
Samsunspor
9.9
Başakşehir
9.7
Konyaspor
9.7
Gaziantep FK
9.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
9.5
Trabzonspor
9.5
Rizespor
9.4
Çorum FK
9.2
Göztepe
9.2
Eyüpspor
9.1
Kasımpaşa
9.0
Amed
9.0
Galatasaray
8.9
Erzurumspor FK
8.4
Kocaelispor
8.2
Alanyaspor
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gaziantep FK
5.9
Fenerbahçe
5.7
Konyaspor
5.2
Çorum FK
5.2
Göztepe
5.1
Kasımpaşa
5.0
Alanyaspor
5.0
Beşiktaş
5.0
Amed
5.0
Eyüpspor
5.0
Başakşehir
4.9
Kocaelispor
4.8
Erzurumspor FK
4.7
Samsunspor
4.7
Trabzonspor
4.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.6
Rizespor
4.5
Galatasaray
4.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Gaziantep FK
29.0
Kasımpaşa
27.8
Kocaelispor
27.2
Alanyaspor
27.1
Başakşehir
26.8
Göztepe
26.6
Trabzonspor
26.3
Rizespor
26.1
Eyüpspor
26.0
Samsunspor
25.9
Fenerbahçe
25.4
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
25.3
Beşiktaş
25.3
Konyaspor
25.0
Galatasaray
23.8
Erzurumspor FK
23.6
Çorum FK
22.8
Amed
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
50.9%
@ 1.59-6.9%
Under 9.5
49.1%
@ 2.19+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.65
Unibet
1.62
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
Marathonbet
1.55
Under
Betano
2.27
Pinnacle
2.26
Marathonbet
2.20
1xBet
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
79.7%
@ 1.32+11.7%
Under 3.5
20.3%
@ 2.80-11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.32
Under
Superbet
2.80
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
87.7%
@ 1.32+19.4%
Under 21.5
12.3%
@ 2.85-19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.32
Under
1xBet
2.85
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Fenerbahçe or Draw✓ Hit
88.7%
Avg Implied 89.3% · @ 1.06
Edge
-0.6%
73%
17%
10%
covers Fenerbahçe + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Fenerbahçe or Konyaspor✓ Hit
83.1%
Avg Implied 83.3% · @ 1.13
Edge
-0.2%
73%
17%
10%
covers Fenerbahçe + Konyaspor
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
888Sport
1.14
Draw or Konyaspor✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.44
Edge
+0.8%
73%
17%
10%
covers Draw + Konyaspor
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.68
888Sport
3.60
Betano
3.55
Betfair
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Fenerbahçe over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
93.2%
@ 1.05+4.0%
Under
6.8%
@ 8.70-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Under
Bet365
10.00
888Sport
10.00
1xBet
8.50
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
8.00
Fenerbahçe over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
74.9%
@ 1.34+5.7%
Under
25.1%
@ 3.02-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
Superbet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Under
Bet365
3.25
888Sport
3.20
10Bet
3.10
Pinnacle
3.04
BetVictor
3.00
Fenerbahçe over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
50.3%
@ 2.12+6.3%
Under
49.7%
@ 1.67-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.28
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.16
BetVictor
2.15
Under
10Bet
1.73
888Sport
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Fenerbahçe over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
28.3%
@ 3.84+4.1%
Under
71.7%
@ 1.23-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.38
BetVictor
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Superbet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.84
Under
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.24
Konyaspor over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
64.2%
@ 1.76+11.2%
Under
35.8%
@ 1.98-11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.77
Under
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.01
Superbet
2.00
888Sport
2.00
Konyaspor over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
27.4%
@ 4.76+7.8%
Under
72.6%
@ 1.16-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.10
1xBet
5.10
BetVictor
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.18
Betfair
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Konyaspor over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.5%
@ 14.30+1.8%
Under
91.5%
@ 1.03-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
888Sport
17.00
Superbet
15.00
Betfair
10.50
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Konyaspor over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 50.50-97.9%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
51.00
Superbet
50.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Fenerbahçe, so a minus line means Fenerbahçe give that many goals of a start and Konyaspor receive them. At -1, Fenerbahçe must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Fenerbahçe win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Fenerbahçe)Actual: Draw
Fenerbahçe -2
31.4%
@ 3.00+1.4%
Draw -2
20.3%
@ 3.92-2.6%
Konyaspor +2
48.4%
@ 1.90+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.10
Superbet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.92
10Bet
2.88
Draw
Marathonbet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
10Bet
3.85
Away
10Bet
1.95
Unibet
1.94
Bet365
1.91
Marathonbet
1.90
Superbet
1.88
Handicap -1 (Fenerbahçe)Actual: Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe -1
51.6%
@ 1.79+1.6%
Draw -1
20.2%
@ 3.77-3.6%
Konyaspor +1
28.2%
@ 3.42+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.80
10Bet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.74
Unibet
3.65
Away
Bet365
3.50
Unibet
3.45
10Bet
3.45
Betfair
3.40
Marathonbet
3.38
Handicap +1 (Fenerbahçe)Actual: Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe +1
88.7%
@ 1.05+1.2%
Draw +1
7.3%
@ 10.83-1.2%
Konyaspor -1
4.0%
@ 22.67-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
11.00
10Bet
8.50
Away
Bet365
26.00
Betfair
23.00
10Bet
19.00
Handicap +2 (Fenerbahçe)Actual: Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe +2
96.0%
@ 1.01+0.1%
Draw +2
3.0%
@ 31.00-0.2%
Konyaspor -2
1.1%
@ 91.00+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.01
Draw
Betfair
31.00
Away
Betfair
91.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Fenerbahçe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.70
0.64
0.79
0.69
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.17
0.83
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (24)
0.79
0.67
0.90
0.70
0.71
0.64
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Konyaspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Konyaspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.43
0.64
0.21
0.44
0.62
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.70
0.50
0.25
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.30
0.70
0.20
0.50
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Fenerbahçe) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.7%
@ 1.25+4.3%
Under 0.5
21.3%
@ 3.62-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.70
William Hil
3.70
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
43.5%
@ 2.22+1.5%
Under 1.5
56.5%
@ 1.61-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
Pinnacle
2.37
1xBet
2.31
Marathonbet
2.31
Superbet
2.20
Under
10Bet
1.70
Unibet
1.63
Superbet
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
17.5%
@ 4.99-1.2%
Under 2.5
82.5%
@ 1.15+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.40
Betfair
5.20
1xBet
5.10
Betano
5.10
Marathonbet
5.10
Under
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fenerbahçe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
67.1%
@ 1.41+1.1%
Under
32.9%
@ 2.74-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.44
Superbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Unibet
1.37
Under
10Bet
2.95
Pinnacle
2.82
Unibet
2.80
Superbet
2.67
1xBet
2.65
Fenerbahçe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
28.5%
@ 2.97-2.7%
Under
71.5%
@ 1.35+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.15
Marathonbet
3.14
Superbet
2.95
Pinnacle
2.94
1xBet
2.90
Under
10Bet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Betano
1.33
Fenerbahçe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
7.8%
@ 7.17-5.1%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.06+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.80
Betano
7.20
Superbet
7.20
10Bet
6.50
Under
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Konyaspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
36.0%
@ 3.13+6.2%
Under
64.0%
@ 1.32-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.46
Marathonbet
3.20
Betano
3.15
Superbet
3.05
Unibet
3.05
Under
10Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Konyaspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.8%
@ 11.50-1.4%
Under
93.2%
@ 1.02+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Konyaspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.7%
@ 60.00-99.3%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
60.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Fenerbahçe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.43
1.29
0.50
1.06
0.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.50
0.67
0.50
0.25
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (24)
1.33
0.38
1.60
0.60
1.14
0.21
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Konyaspor) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Konyaspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.73
0.64
0.43
0.94
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.00
0.50
0.75
0.33
1.17
vs Similar (20)
1.00
0.60
0.70
0.30
1.30
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Fenerbahçe) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
85.8%
Under 0.5
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
58.6%
Under 1.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
30.6%
Under 2.5
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fenerbahçe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
74.6%
Under
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fenerbahçe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
36.2%
Under
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fenerbahçe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.5%
Under
85.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Konyaspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
41.4%
Under
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Konyaspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.8%
Under
90.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Konyaspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
96.4%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
96.0%
1.01
Betfair
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
93.2%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Betfair
1.05
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
92.2%
1.06
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
-
+5.1%
✗ Miss
Under 6.5
91.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-2.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.5%
1.03
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-1.8%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
88.7%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.06
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
88.7%
1.05
Bet365
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
-
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
88.5%
1.15
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
87.7%
1.32
1xBet
1.32
-
-
-
-
+19.4%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
83.1%
1.13
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
888Sport
1.14
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
82.8%
1.07
10Bet
1.09
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
888Sport
1.08
-4.7%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
82.5%
1.15
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
+1.2%
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
79.7%
1.32
Superbet
1.32
-
-
-
-
+11.7%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
78.7%
1.25
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals
74.9%
1.34
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
Superbet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 2H goals
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
73.1%
1.29
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Dafabet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
72.6%
1.16
Betano
1.18
Betfair
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
-7.8%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
72.6%
1.46
Superbet
1.48
Unibet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.45
1xBet
1.45
+9.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
71.7%
1.23
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.24
-4.1%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
71.5%
1.35
10Bet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Betano
1.33
+2.7%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5
70.4%
1.54
1xBet
1.62
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
Superbet
1.57
BetVictor
1.54
+9.2%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Fenerbahçe
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Talisca67%
Vedat Muriqi50%
Mason Greenwood38%
Marco Asensio17%
Archie Brown17%
Oğuz Aydın14%
Nélson Semedo0%
Milan Škriniar0%
Ederson0%
Fred0%
Romelu Lukaku0%
Mattéo Guendouzi0%
Mert Müldür0%
N'Golo Kanté0%
Nathan Aké0%
Mert Günok0%
İrfan Can Kahveci0%
Levent Mercan0%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu0%
İsmail Yüksek0%
Dorgeles Nene0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fred33%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu33%
Nélson Semedo25%
Milan Škriniar25%
Romelu Lukaku25%
Mattéo Guendouzi25%
Dorgeles Nene25%
Archie Brown17%
N'Golo Kanté14%
Mason Greenwood12%
Ederson0%
Marco Asensio0%
Mert Müldür0%
Talisca0%
Nathan Aké0%
Mert Günok0%
İrfan Can Kahveci0%
Vedat Muriqi0%
Levent Mercan0%
Oğuz Aydın0%
İsmail Yüksek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Levent Mercan33%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu33%
Mason Greenwood25%
İrfan Can Kahveci20%
Marco Asensio17%
Vedat Muriqi17%
Oğuz Aydın14%
Nélson Semedo0%
Milan Škriniar0%
Ederson0%
Fred0%
Romelu Lukaku0%
Mattéo Guendouzi0%
Mert Müldür0%
N'Golo Kanté0%
Talisca0%
Nathan Aké0%
Mert Günok0%
Archie Brown0%
İsmail Yüksek0%
Dorgeles Nene0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Talisca67%
Vedat Muriqi33%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu33%
Mason Greenwood25%
İsmail Yüksek17%
Oğuz Aydın14%
Nélson Semedo0%
Milan Škriniar0%
Ederson0%
Marco Asensio0%
Fred0%
Romelu Lukaku0%
Mattéo Guendouzi0%
Mert Müldür0%
N'Golo Kanté0%
Nathan Aké0%
Mert Günok0%
İrfan Can Kahveci0%
Levent Mercan0%
Archie Brown0%
Dorgeles Nene0%
Konyaspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ebrima Colley33%
Diogo Gonçalves0%
Enis Bardhi0%
Yhoan Andzouana0%
Marko Jevtović0%
Chidozie Awaziem0%
Uğurcan Yazğılı0%
Deniz Türüç0%
Adil Demirbağ0%
Jackson Muleka0%
Melih İbrahimoğlu0%
Deniz Ertaş0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enis Bardhi33%
Chidozie Awaziem33%
Deniz Türüç33%
Adil Demirbağ33%
Diogo Gonçalves0%
Yhoan Andzouana0%
Marko Jevtović0%
Uğurcan Yazğılı0%
Ebrima Colley0%
Jackson Muleka0%
Melih İbrahimoğlu0%
Deniz Ertaş0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yhoan Andzouana33%
Diogo Gonçalves0%
Enis Bardhi0%
Marko Jevtović0%
Chidozie Awaziem0%
Uğurcan Yazğılı0%
Deniz Türüç0%
Adil Demirbağ0%
Ebrima Colley0%
Jackson Muleka0%
Melih İbrahimoğlu0%
Deniz Ertaş0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Melih İbrahimoğlu33%
Diogo Gonçalves0%
Enis Bardhi0%
Yhoan Andzouana0%
Marko Jevtović0%
Chidozie Awaziem0%
Uğurcan Yazğılı0%
Deniz Türüç0%
Adil Demirbağ0%
Ebrima Colley0%
Jackson Muleka0%
Deniz Ertaş0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
SAM (30)
€50m
ÇF (28)
€47m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
GF (28)
€28m
AME (22)
€27m
EF (26)
€26m
KOC (26)
€24m
GS (19)
€15m
EYÜ (24)
€14m
Fenerbahçe's squad is €299m more valuable than Konyaspor's (€332m vs €33m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
SAM (12)
€20m
AME (7)
€15m
KAS (13)
€14m
GF (14)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
ÇF (9)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KOC (8)
€9m
EYÜ (10)
€5m
GS (4)
€4m
Fenerbahçe's attack is €149m more valuable than Konyaspor's (€162m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
ÇF (7)
€14m
SAM (6)
€12m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
KOC (8)
€9m
GF (5)
€8m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
GS (6)
€5m
KAS (7)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
AME (4)
€3m
EYÜ (4)
€2m
Fenerbahçe's midfield is €58m more valuable than Konyaspor's (€62m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
ÇF (12)
€21m
SAM (12)
€18m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
AME (11)
€9m
EF (13)
€8m
KOC (10)
€7m
EYÜ (10)
€7m
GF (9)
€6m
GS (9)
€5m
Fenerbahçe's defence is €92m more valuable than Konyaspor's (€108m vs €16m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Galatasaray
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Beşiktaş
Amed
Kocaelispor
Rizespor
Kasımpaşa
Başakşehir
Samsunspor
Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor
Gaziantep FK
Eyüpspor
Göztepe
Çorum FK
Erzurumspor FK