Fiorentina are tipped to edge AS Roma, the model’s pick, with a 45% chance of a home win, 29% for a draw and 26% for a Roma victory. The expected total of 2.5 goals points to a modestly open affair, and the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, carrying a 13.6% probability. Fiorentina, at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while Roma, on the road, average 1.14 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls (87.8%), Over 2.5 cards (81.0%), Over 21.5 fouls (77.1%), Under 11.5 corners (76.0%), Under 3.5 (74.8% miss), Over 1.5 (73.4%) and Under 5.5 cards (72.7% miss). Fiorentina’s recent form shows a 2-game losing streak, while Roma come off five straight wins, a contrast that may tilt the balance toward the hosts.
Results analysis
The win extends Fiorentina’s recent slump, turning a 2-straight-defeat run into a decisive 5-1 triumph over AS Roma. The model’s pre-match favourite, Home win at 45%, proved correct, matching the actual result. The model’s selection of Over 19.5 fouls, with an 87.8% probability, hit, as did Over 2.5 cards at 81.0%, Over 21.5 fouls at 77.1%, Under 11.5 corners at 76.0%, and Over 1.5 at 73.4%. The Under 3.5 pick, though at 74.8%, missed, and the Under 5.5 cards at 72.7% also missed. Fiorentina’s 5-1 scoreline confirms the model’s predictions and the team’s dominant home form.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Fiorentina win✓ Hit
45.4%
Avg Implied 37.0% · @ 2.58
Edge
+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied 29.2% · @ 3.27
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AS Roma win✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied 33.8% · @ 2.83
Edge
-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Fiorentina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.23
1.87
1.27
1.87
1.20
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
1.71
1.24
1.90
1.20
1.43
1.29
vs Weaker (11)
2.27
1.18
1.75
1.25
2.57
1.14
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AS Roma
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.00
1.47
0.93
1.13
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.21
1.07
1.29
0.86
1.14
1.29
vs Weaker (16)
1.38
0.94
1.62
1.00
1.12
0.88
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.4%
Under 1.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.7%
@ 2.04-0.1%
Under 2.5
53.3%
@ 1.80+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.2%
Under 3.5
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.8%
No
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
9.1%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
Fiorentina goals ↓
AS Roma goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.1%
7.1%
4.5%
1.6%
0.4%
1
10%
14%
6.6%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.6%
9.1%
4.9%
1.7%
0.5%
3
4.2%
4.5%
2.4%
0.9%
0.2%
4
1.6%
1.7%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fiorentina goals (down), columns = AS Roma goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Napoli
2.16
Inter
2.13
Atalanta
1.95
Juventus
1.84
AS Roma
1.82
Fiorentina
1.71
Lazio
1.71
AC Milan
1.66
Bologna
1.63
Como
1.29
Udinese
1.16
Torino
1.16
Genoa
1.13
Hellas Verona
0.97
Cagliari
0.95
Parma
0.95
Lecce
0.89
Empoli
0.82
Venezia
0.76
Monza
0.47
Fiorentina is 0.11 points worse than AS Roma in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 1.82).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Inter
2.08
Atalanta
2.05
Lazio
1.61
AC Milan
1.61
Fiorentina
1.58
Napoli
1.55
Juventus
1.53
Bologna
1.50
AS Roma
1.47
Como
1.29
Parma
1.16
Udinese
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Torino
1.03
Genoa
0.97
Hellas Verona
0.89
Empoli
0.87
Venezia
0.84
Monza
0.74
Lecce
0.71
Fiorentina is 0.11 goals better than AS Roma in terms of goals scored per game (1.58 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Napoli
0.71
Inter
0.92
Juventus
0.92
AS Roma
0.92
Atalanta
0.97
Fiorentina
1.08
AC Milan
1.13
Torino
1.18
Bologna
1.24
Genoa
1.29
Lazio
1.29
Como
1.37
Udinese
1.47
Venezia
1.47
Cagliari
1.47
Lecce
1.53
Parma
1.53
Empoli
1.55
Hellas Verona
1.74
Monza
1.82
Fiorentina is 0.16 goals worse than AS Roma in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 0.92).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Inter
59%
Bologna
59%
Juventus
58%
Atalanta
55%
Lazio
55%
Como
55%
Napoli
55%
AC Milan
54%
AS Roma
54%
Fiorentina
51%
Monza
49%
Torino
47%
Udinese
47%
Genoa
46%
Venezia
45%
Cagliari
45%
Parma
44%
Lecce
44%
Empoli
41%
Hellas Verona
38%
Fiorentina is 2.8 percentage points worse than AS Roma in terms of average possession (51% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Fiorentina
For 4.8 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 15.7 · Total 27.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AS Roma
For 4.7 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.8 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Fiorentina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
10.0
7.8
5.0
4.4
5.7
26.0
26.8
25.1
vs Stronger (4)
10.8
10.7
11.0
3.8
4.0
3.0
26.2
27.0
24.0
vs Similar (29)
9.6
10.4
8.6
5.4
5.1
5.9
25.9
27.1
24.6
vs Weaker (17)
7.4
9.0
6.2
4.6
3.0
5.8
25.9
26.1
25.8
% over line
36%
48%
24%
70%
64%
76%
82%
84%
80%
% under line
64%
52%
76%
30%
36%
24%
18%
16%
20%
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AS Roma
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.9
8.5
5.0
5.2
4.8
24.1
24.0
24.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
8.9
9.5
8.3
5.6
6.5
4.8
23.5
24.5
22.6
vs Weaker (26)
8.5
8.3
8.6
4.4
4.1
4.8
24.6
23.6
25.6
% over line
42%
48%
36%
72%
64%
80%
66%
64%
68%
% under line
58%
52%
64%
28%
36%
20%
34%
36%
32%
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Empoli
11.1
Cagliari
10.7
Udinese
10.5
Parma
10.4
Napoli
10.2
Venezia
10.0
AC Milan
9.9
Lecce
9.9
Juventus
9.7
Hellas Verona
9.6
Lazio
9.6
Monza
9.4
Inter
9.3
Bologna
9.2
Como
8.9
Genoa
8.9
Fiorentina
8.9
Torino
8.8
AS Roma
8.7
Atalanta
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lazio
5.5
Bologna
5.2
Parma
5.2
Fiorentina
5.0
AS Roma
5.0
Lecce
4.9
AC Milan
4.8
Udinese
4.8
Hellas Verona
4.7
Como
4.7
Monza
4.6
Venezia
4.6
Genoa
4.6
Torino
4.5
Cagliari
4.5
Napoli
4.4
Juventus
4.4
Empoli
4.1
Atalanta
3.7
Inter
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Como
27.9
Empoli
27.3
Lecce
26.2
Bologna
26.1
Fiorentina
26.0
Hellas Verona
25.9
Parma
25.2
Udinese
24.9
Venezia
24.7
Monza
24.5
Genoa
24.3
Lazio
24.3
Cagliari
24.2
AS Roma
24.1
Atalanta
24.0
Torino
23.6
Napoli
23.1
Juventus
23.0
Inter
22.5
AC Milan
21.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.9%
Under 9.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.3%
Under 3.5
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
77.1%
Under 21.5
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Fiorentina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
0.67
0.60
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.76
0.71
0.70
0.50
0.86
1.00
vs Weaker (11)
0.55
0.64
0.25
0.75
0.71
0.57
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AS Roma
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.47
0.67
0.47
0.40
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.64
0.43
1.00
0.29
0.29
0.57
vs Weaker (16)
0.44
0.50
0.38
0.62
0.50
0.38
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fiorentina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Fiorentina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.53
1.20
0.67
1.13
0.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (17)
0.94
0.53
1.20
0.70
0.57
0.29
vs Weaker (11)
1.73
0.55
1.50
0.50
1.86
0.57
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AS Roma
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.53
0.80
0.47
0.73
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.64
0.29
0.57
0.86
0.71
vs Weaker (16)
0.94
0.44
1.25
0.38
0.62
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fiorentina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Fiorentina
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Moise Kean48%
Lucas Martínez Quarta25%
Rolando Mandragora21%
Albert Guðmundsson21%
Robin Gosens17%
Riccardo Sottil16%
Yacine Adli14%
Jonathan Ikoné13%
Lucas Beltrán13%
Nicolò Fagioli10%
Cristiano Biraghi8%
Edoardo Bove7%
Luca Ranieri6%
Danilo Cataldi6%
Amir Richardson5%
Fabiano Parisi5%
Christian Kouamé4%
Andrea Colpani3%
Pietro Comuzzo2%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
Nicolò Zaniolo0%
David De Gea0%
Marin Pongračić0%
Pietro Terracciano0%
Dodô0%
Pablo Marí0%
Michael Folorunsho0%
Cher Ndour0%
Michael Kayode0%
Matias Moreno0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Michael Folorunsho42%
Nicolò Zaniolo31%
Dodô26%
Marin Pongračić25%
Lucas Martínez Quarta25%
Matias Moreno25%
Rolando Mandragora21%
Luca Ranieri21%
Moise Kean20%
Edoardo Bove20%
Amir Richardson18%
Robin Gosens17%
Pietro Comuzzo16%
Cristiano Biraghi15%
Pablo Marí15%
Fabiano Parisi15%
Christian Kouamé15%
Lucas Beltrán13%
Cher Ndour11%
Yacine Adli9%
Riccardo Sottil8%
Danilo Cataldi6%
Albert Guðmundsson6%
Nicolò Fagioli5%
Andrea Colpani3%
David De Gea2%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
Jonathan Ikoné0%
Pietro Terracciano0%
Michael Kayode0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yacine Adli20%
Edoardo Bove20%
Robin Gosens20%
Christian Kouamé19%
Rolando Mandragora14%
Dodô11%
Lucas Beltrán9%
Luca Ranieri8%
Michael Kayode8%
Riccardo Sottil8%
Cristiano Biraghi8%
Moise Kean7%
Albert Guðmundsson6%
Michael Folorunsho5%
Fabiano Parisi5%
Nicolò Fagioli5%
Jonathan Ikoné4%
Marin Pongračić4%
Andrea Colpani3%
Amir Richardson3%
David De Gea2%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
Nicolò Zaniolo0%
Danilo Cataldi0%
Lucas Martínez Quarta0%
Pietro Terracciano0%
Pablo Marí0%
Cher Ndour0%
Pietro Comuzzo0%
Matias Moreno0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Moise Kean57%
Christian Kouamé15%
Riccardo Sottil12%
Rolando Mandragora12%
Michael Folorunsho11%
Jonathan Ikoné9%
Andrea Colpani6%
Lucas Martínez Quarta6%
Robin Gosens5%
Albert Guðmundsson3%
Pietro Comuzzo2%
Lucas Beltrán2%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
Nicolò Zaniolo0%
Nicolò Fagioli0%
David De Gea0%
Marin Pongračić0%
Yacine Adli0%
Danilo Cataldi0%
Pietro Terracciano0%
Cristiano Biraghi0%
Luca Ranieri0%
Dodô0%
Pablo Marí0%
Fabiano Parisi0%
Edoardo Bove0%
Cher Ndour0%
Amir Richardson0%
Michael Kayode0%
Matias Moreno0%
AS Roma
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Artem Dovbyk36%
Alexis Saelemaekers23%
Eldor Shomurodov19%
Paulo Dybala17%
Matías Soulé13%
Leandro Paredes12%
Saud Abdulhamid12%
Bryan Cristante11%
Lorenzo Pellegrini9%
Angeliño8%
Mario Hermoso8%
Niccolò Pisilli7%
Gianluca Mancini7%
Mats Hummels5%
Stephan El Shaarawy5%
Tommaso Baldanzi5%
Manu Koné4%
Zeki Çelik2%
Evan Ndicka2%
Mile Svilar0%
Victor Nelsson0%
Enzo Le Fée0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Anass Salah-Eddine0%
Devyne Rensch0%
Lucas Gourna-Douath0%
Nicola Zalewski0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lucas Gourna-Douath33%
Leandro Paredes25%
Bryan Cristante24%
Alexis Saelemaekers23%
Manu Koné20%
Niccolò Pisilli20%
Gianluca Mancini17%
Zeki Çelik16%
Mats Hummels15%
Lorenzo Pellegrini15%
Paulo Dybala11%
Matías Soulé10%
Enzo Le Fée10%
Tommaso Baldanzi10%
Eldor Shomurodov8%
Mario Hermoso8%
Devyne Rensch6%
Stephan El Shaarawy5%
Angeliño4%
Mile Svilar4%
Evan Ndicka4%
Artem Dovbyk2%
Victor Nelsson0%
Saud Abdulhamid0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Anass Salah-Eddine0%
Nicola Zalewski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anass Salah-Eddine33%
Alexis Saelemaekers16%
Eldor Shomurodov14%
Matías Soulé13%
Saud Abdulhamid12%
Paulo Dybala11%
Angeliño10%
Stephan El Shaarawy7%
Zeki Çelik7%
Artem Dovbyk7%
Manu Koné7%
Leandro Paredes6%
Lorenzo Pellegrini6%
Nicola Zalewski6%
Devyne Rensch6%
Bryan Cristante5%
Tommaso Baldanzi2%
Niccolò Pisilli2%
Gianluca Mancini2%
Evan Ndicka2%
Mats Hummels0%
Mile Svilar0%
Mario Hermoso0%
Victor Nelsson0%
Enzo Le Fée0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Lucas Gourna-Douath0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Paulo Dybala25%
Artem Dovbyk20%
Lorenzo Pellegrini18%
Matías Soulé15%
Eldor Shomurodov11%
Stephan El Shaarawy7%
Mats Hummels5%
Niccolò Pisilli5%
Evan Ndicka4%
Alexis Saelemaekers3%
Leandro Paredes3%
Bryan Cristante3%
Manu Koné2%
Gianluca Mancini2%
Angeliño2%
Mile Svilar0%
Mario Hermoso0%
Victor Nelsson0%
Enzo Le Fée0%
Zeki Çelik0%
Saud Abdulhamid0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Anass Salah-Eddine0%
Devyne Rensch0%
Lucas Gourna-Douath0%
Nicola Zalewski0%
Tommaso Baldanzi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
VEN (36)
€117m
LEC (31)
€72m
MON (29)
€70m
HV (34)
€57m
EMP (27)
€20m
Fiorentina's squad is €141m less valuable than AS Roma's (€330m vs €471m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
VEN (9)
€39m
PAR (8)
€35m
MON (11)
€26m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
EMP (9)
€11m
Fiorentina's attack is €13m less valuable than AS Roma's (€125m vs €138m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
VEN (11)
€31m
CAG (9)
€31m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
HV (9)
€14m
EMP (9)
€6m
Fiorentina's midfield is €11m less valuable than AS Roma's (€107m vs €118m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
CAG (11)
€52m
VEN (16)
€47m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
MON (11)
€20m
EMP (9)
€4m
Fiorentina's defence is €117m less valuable than AS Roma's (€98m vs €215m).
Italy: Serie A 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Napoli
Inter
Atalanta
Juventus
Lazio
AC Milan
Bologna
Como
Torino
Udinese
Genoa
Hellas Verona
Parma
Cagliari
Lecce
Empoli
Venezia
Monza