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Fiorentina vs Inter Result & Analysis

Date: 22/03/2026
Time: 19:45
Final 1-1
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Vs
16%
26%
58%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Inter
Inter
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fiorentina win✗ Miss
16.1%
Avg Implied 18.6% · @ 5.03
Edge
-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.2%
Avg Implied 23.2% · @ 4.03
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Inter win✗ Miss
57.8%
Avg Implied 58.2% · @ 1.61
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FiorentinaFiorentina

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D21W30W10W03L03L00D21W41W21WH·TOR07/02A·COM14/02A·JAG19/02H·PIS23/02H·JAG26/02A·UDI02/03H·PAR08/03H·RAK12/03A·CRE16/03A·RAK19/03
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.431.271.201.331.67
vs Stronger (3)0.672.001.001.000.502.50
vs Similar (20)1.401.501.501.401.301.60
vs Weaker (7)1.291.000.750.752.001.33
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

InterInter

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W20W50W32W13L20W12L20W01L11DA·BOR28/01A·CRE01/02A·SAS08/02H·JUV14/02A·BOD18/02A·LEC21/02H·BOD24/02H·GEN28/02A·AC 08/03H·ATA14/03
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.970.902.071.071.870.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.331.331.171.671.501.00
vs Weaker (18)2.390.612.670.672.110.56
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.7%
Under 1.5
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.8%
@ 1.74-9.1%
Under 2.5
55.2%
@ 2.03+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.5%
Under 3.5
76.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.3%
No
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
13.2%
1-1 ✓
12.3%
0-2
12.0%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
Fiorentina goals ↓
Inter goals →
01234
09.6%13%12%6.8%2.8%
15.5%12%9.4%5.3%2.2%
22.6%4.4%3.7%2.1%0.9%
30.7%1.1%1.0%0.5%0.2%
40.1%0.2%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fiorentina goals (down), columns = Inter goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter
2.29
Napoli
2.00
AS Roma
1.92
Como
1.87
AC Milan
1.84
Juventus
1.82
Atalanta
1.55
Bologna
1.47
Lazio
1.42
Udinese
1.32
Sassuolo
1.29
Torino
1.18
Parma
1.18
Cagliari
1.13
Fiorentina
1.11
Genoa
1.08
Lecce
1.00
Cremonese
0.89
Hellas Verona
0.55
Pisa
0.47
Fiorentina is 1.18 points worse than Inter in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 2.29).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
Como
1.71
Juventus
1.61
AS Roma
1.55
Napoli
1.53
AC Milan
1.39
Atalanta
1.34
Bologna
1.29
Sassuolo
1.21
Udinese
1.18
Torino
1.16
Genoa
1.08
Fiorentina
1.08
Lazio
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Cremonese
0.84
Lecce
0.74
Parma
0.74
Pisa
0.68
Hellas Verona
0.66
Fiorentina is 1.26 goals worse than Inter in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 2.34).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Como
0.76
AS Roma
0.82
Juventus
0.89
Inter
0.92
AC Milan
0.92
Napoli
0.95
Atalanta
0.95
Lazio
1.05
Bologna
1.21
Parma
1.21
Udinese
1.26
Fiorentina
1.32
Lecce
1.32
Sassuolo
1.32
Genoa
1.34
Cagliari
1.39
Cremonese
1.50
Hellas Verona
1.61
Torino
1.66
Pisa
1.87
Fiorentina is 0.39 goals worse than Inter in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 0.92).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Como
62%
Inter
60%
Napoli
59%
Juventus
58%
AS Roma
56%
Atalanta
55%
Bologna
55%
AC Milan
52%
Fiorentina
51%
Lazio
50%
Genoa
49%
Cremonese
46%
Sassuolo
46%
Udinese
46%
Cagliari
46%
Torino
44%
Parma
44%
Lecce
42%
Pisa
40%
Hellas Verona
40%
Fiorentina is 8.8 percentage points worse than Inter in terms of average possession (51% vs 60%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FiorentinaFiorentina

For 5.3 · Against 3.2 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

130526483712563434324947101187977613A·RAKA·CREH·RAKH·PARA·UDIH·JAGH·PISA·JAGA·COMH·TOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.3

🟨 Cards

10032133241373331252551625106477A·RAKA·CREH·RAKH·PARA·UDIH·JAGH·PISA·JAGA·COMH·TOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 16.8 · Total 29.2

⚠️ Fouls

4201110161712141214121620228191519121462321332626284227342629A·RAKA·CREH·RAKH·PARA·UDIH·JAGH·PISA·JAGA·COMH·TOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

InterInter

For 6.6 · Against 2.4 · Total 9.0

🚩 Corners

1702361102161102334165613557121712651178H·ATAA·AC H·GENH·BODA·LECA·BODH·JUVA·SASA·CREA·BOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

702222211211143123214431327333H·ATAA·AC H·GENH·BODA·LECA·BODH·JUVA·SASA·CREA·BOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 9.6 · Total 21.0

⚠️ Fouls

3301151281381198106121571061419141216202120181822163326H·ATAA·AC H·GENH·BODA·LECA·BODH·JUVA·SASA·CREA·BOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FiorentinaFiorentina

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.88.44.95.44.429.130.028.2
vs Stronger (4)11.011.510.53.03.03.029.528.530.5
vs Similar (35)8.710.07.85.46.15.028.329.527.4
vs Weaker (11)9.69.010.83.84.62.531.431.631.0
% over line46%54%38%76%79%73%88%92%85%
% under line54%46%62%24%21%27%12%8%15%
This opponent (Inter) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

InterInter

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.98.93.43.53.324.123.624.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (21)8.68.09.23.74.13.424.022.825.1
vs Weaker (29)10.011.18.63.13.13.224.124.124.2
% over line52%62%42%42%50%33%56%62%50%
% under line48%38%58%58%50%67%44%38%50%
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Lecce
10.1
Atalanta
9.8
Bologna
9.7
Udinese
9.6
AC Milan
9.6
Juventus
9.6
Inter
9.4
Cremonese
9.2
Lazio
9.1
Fiorentina
9.1
Genoa
9.1
Hellas Verona
8.9
Torino
8.9
Cagliari
8.9
Parma
8.8
Sassuolo
8.8
AS Roma
8.8
Napoli
8.7
Pisa
8.4
Como
7.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lazio
5.4
Como
5.0
Fiorentina
5.0
Bologna
4.5
Hellas Verona
4.3
Genoa
4.3
Sassuolo
4.3
Pisa
4.3
AS Roma
4.2
Cremonese
4.2
Parma
4.1
Udinese
4.0
Cagliari
4.0
AC Milan
3.9
Juventus
3.8
Lecce
3.7
Torino
3.6
Inter
3.4
Napoli
3.4
Atalanta
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Cremonese
29.5
Bologna
29.3
Fiorentina
29.1
Cagliari
27.8
Genoa
27.7
AS Roma
27.6
Como
27.3
Sassuolo
26.0
Pisa
25.9
Hellas Verona
25.7
Udinese
25.6
Lecce
25.5
Lazio
25.3
Parma
24.7
Torino
24.3
Napoli
24.2
Inter
24.1
Juventus
23.3
AC Milan
21.9
Atalanta
21.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
38.9%
Under 9.5
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.0%
Under 3.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
85.0%
Under 21.5
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FiorentinaFiorentina

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W00D10W02L01L00D00D20W00DH·TOR07/02A·COM14/02A·JAG19/02H·PIS23/02H·JAG26/02A·UDI02/03H·PAR08/03H·RAK12/03A·CRE16/03A·RAK19/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.500.330.600.530.40
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.001.000.000.50
vs Similar (20)0.450.500.400.600.500.40
vs Weaker (7)0.570.430.250.501.000.33
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

InterInter

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W20W11D11D00D00D10W01L10WA·BOR28/01A·CRE01/02A·SAS08/02H·JUV14/02A·BOD18/02A·LEC21/02H·BOD24/02H·GEN28/02A·AC 08/03H·ATA14/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.370.800.400.800.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.500.580.670.670.330.50
vs Weaker (18)1.000.220.890.221.110.22
Clean sheet %70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fiorentina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FiorentinaFiorentina

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W11D30W00D01L02L00D21W21W21WH·TOR07/02A·COM14/02A·JAG19/02H·PIS23/02H·JAG26/02A·UDI02/03H·PAR08/03H·RAK12/03A·CRE16/03A·RAK19/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.930.930.600.801.27
vs Stronger (3)0.671.331.000.000.502.00
vs Similar (20)0.951.001.100.800.801.20
vs Weaker (7)0.710.570.500.251.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

InterInter

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D30W21W02L20W12L10W00D01LA·BOR28/01A·CRE01/02A·SAS08/02H·JUV14/02A·BOD18/02A·LEC21/02H·BOD24/02H·GEN28/02A·AC 08/03H·ATA14/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.531.270.671.070.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.830.750.501.001.170.50
vs Weaker (18)1.390.391.780.441.000.33
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fiorentina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls92.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls85.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners82.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards77.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards77.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.576.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls73.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners72.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.7%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Fiorentina
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Moise Kean24%
Albert Guðmundsson22%
Roberto Piccoli19%
Rolando Mandragora17%
Cher Ndour15%
Edin Džeko11%
Robin Gosens11%
Manor Solomon11%
Nicolò Fagioli7%
Luca Ranieri7%
Marco Brescianini6%
Simon Sohm5%
Jack Harrison5%
Dodô4%
Fabiano Parisi3%
Pietro Comuzzo2%
Marin Pongračić2%
Daniele Rugani0%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia0%
David De Gea0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Christian Kouamé0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Pablo Marí0%
Mattia Viti0%
Amir Richardson0%
Giovanni Fabbian0%
Jacopo Fazzini0%
Niccolò Fortini0%
Riccardo Braschi0%
Eddy Kouadio0%
Luís Balbo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marin Pongračić35%
Daniele Rugani33%
Luca Lezzerini33%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia25%
Pablo Marí25%
Luca Ranieri22%
Fabiano Parisi22%
Dodô21%
Rolando Mandragora19%
Nicolò Fagioli16%
Moise Kean15%
Cher Ndour15%
Pietro Comuzzo15%
Albert Guðmundsson13%
Mattia Viti12%
Eddy Kouadio12%
Marco Brescianini11%
Simon Sohm10%
Jacopo Fazzini9%
Giovanni Fabbian9%
Robin Gosens8%
Roberto Piccoli7%
Edin Džeko6%
Manor Solomon5%
Jack Harrison5%
David De Gea4%
Niccolò Fortini4%
Oliver Christensen0%
Christian Kouamé0%
Amir Richardson0%
Riccardo Braschi0%
Luís Balbo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Albert Guðmundsson15%
Jack Harrison14%
Eddy Kouadio12%
Manor Solomon11%
Rolando Mandragora9%
Dodô6%
Cher Ndour6%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia6%
Marco Brescianini6%
Robin Gosens6%
Simon Sohm5%
Roberto Piccoli5%
Giovanni Fabbian5%
Nicolò Fagioli4%
Niccolò Fortini4%
Fabiano Parisi3%
Jacopo Fazzini3%
Moise Kean3%
Edin Džeko0%
Daniele Rugani0%
David De Gea0%
Marin Pongračić0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Christian Kouamé0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Luca Ranieri0%
Pablo Marí0%
Mattia Viti0%
Amir Richardson0%
Pietro Comuzzo0%
Riccardo Braschi0%
Luís Balbo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Moise Kean48%
Roberto Piccoli16%
Albert Guðmundsson13%
Edin Džeko11%
Giovanni Fabbian9%
Rolando Mandragora6%
Robin Gosens6%
Manor Solomon5%
Fabiano Parisi3%
Nicolò Fagioli2%
Dodô2%
Cher Ndour2%
Daniele Rugani0%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia0%
David De Gea0%
Simon Sohm0%
Marin Pongračić0%
Marco Brescianini0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Jack Harrison0%
Christian Kouamé0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Luca Ranieri0%
Pablo Marí0%
Mattia Viti0%
Amir Richardson0%
Jacopo Fazzini0%
Pietro Comuzzo0%
Niccolò Fortini0%
Riccardo Braschi0%
Eddy Kouadio0%
Luís Balbo0%
Inter
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lautaro Martínez48%
Marcus Thuram30%
Hakan Çalhanoğlu30%
Francesco Pio Esposito21%
Federico Dimarco17%
Ange-Yoan Bonny15%
Piotr Zieliński15%
Denzel Dumfries14%
Andy Diouf14%
Henrikh Mkhitaryan11%
Yann Bisseck9%
Petar Sučić8%
Nicolò Barella7%
Alessandro Bastoni5%
Manuel Akanji4%
Carlos Augusto4%
Luís Henrique2%
Stefan de Vrij0%
Matteo Darmian0%
Francesco Acerbi0%
Yann Sommer0%
Davide Frattesi0%
Josep Martínez0%
Matteo Cocchi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hakan Çalhanoğlu23%
Alessandro Bastoni23%
Nicolò Barella20%
Francesco Acerbi19%
Henrikh Mkhitaryan18%
Lautaro Martínez15%
Carlos Augusto13%
Stefan de Vrij12%
Petar Sučić12%
Yann Bisseck11%
Manuel Akanji11%
Federico Dimarco11%
Denzel Dumfries7%
Marcus Thuram7%
Piotr Zieliński6%
Francesco Pio Esposito6%
Andy Diouf4%
Luís Henrique2%
Ange-Yoan Bonny2%
Matteo Darmian0%
Yann Sommer0%
Davide Frattesi0%
Josep Martínez0%
Matteo Cocchi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Federico Dimarco26%
Hakan Çalhanoğlu20%
Nicolò Barella18%
Marcus Thuram16%
Lautaro Martínez15%
Alessandro Bastoni13%
Ange-Yoan Bonny11%
Francesco Pio Esposito10%
Piotr Zieliński8%
Denzel Dumfries7%
Petar Sučić6%
Yann Bisseck6%
Henrikh Mkhitaryan5%
Luís Henrique5%
Francesco Acerbi4%
Davide Frattesi3%
Carlos Augusto2%
Manuel Akanji0%
Stefan de Vrij0%
Matteo Darmian0%
Yann Sommer0%
Josep Martínez0%
Andy Diouf0%
Matteo Cocchi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lautaro Martínez42%
Marcus Thuram35%
Federico Dimarco20%
Hakan Çalhanoğlu17%
Francesco Pio Esposito17%
Henrikh Mkhitaryan11%
Denzel Dumfries7%
Carlos Augusto7%
Davide Frattesi6%
Andy Diouf4%
Piotr Zieliński2%
Petar Sučić2%
Manuel Akanji0%
Stefan de Vrij0%
Matteo Darmian0%
Francesco Acerbi0%
Yann Sommer0%
Luís Henrique0%
Yann Bisseck0%
Nicolò Barella0%
Alessandro Bastoni0%
Josep Martínez0%
Ange-Yoan Bonny0%
Matteo Cocchi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
LEC (31)
€72m
PIS (36)
€71m
HV (34)
€57m
CRE (30)
€49m
Fiorentina's squad is €364m less valuable than Inter's (€330m vs €694m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
PAR (8)
€35m
PIS (13)
€24m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
CRE (7)
€12m
Fiorentina's attack is €95m less valuable than Inter's (€125m vs €220m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
CAG (9)
€31m
PIS (9)
€26m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
HV (9)
€14m
Fiorentina's midfield is €125m less valuable than Inter's (€107m vs €232m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
Fiorentina's defence is €144m less valuable than Inter's (€98m vs €242m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
FIO wins
1
Draws
5
INT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Fiorentina vs Inter · H/A from FIO
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/25AInter Vs FIO3-0
10/02/25AInter Vs FIO2-1
06/02/25HFIO Vs Inter3-0
28/01/24HFIO Vs Inter0-1
03/09/23AInter Vs FIO4-0
01/04/23AInter Vs FIO0-1
22/10/22HFIO Vs Inter3-4
19/03/22AInter Vs FIO1-1

FiorentinaFiorentina

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/03/26ARaków Częstochowa Vs FIO1-2
16/03/26ACremonese Vs FIO1-4
12/03/26HFIO Vs Raków Częstochowa2-1
08/03/26HFIO Vs Parma0-0
02/03/26AUdinese Vs FIO3-0
26/02/26HFIO Vs Jagiellonia0-3
23/02/26HFIO Vs Pisa1-0
19/02/26AJagiellonia Vs FIO0-3
14/02/26AComo Vs FIO1-2
07/02/26HFIO Vs Torino2-2

InterInter

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/03/26HINT Vs Atalanta1-1
08/03/26AAC Milan Vs INT1-0
28/02/26HINT Vs Genoa2-0
24/02/26HINT Vs Bodo/Glimt1-2
21/02/26ALecce Vs INT0-2
18/02/26ABodo/Glimt Vs INT3-1
14/02/26HINT Vs Juventus3-2
08/02/26ASassuolo Vs INT0-5
01/02/26ACremonese Vs INT0-2
28/01/26ABorussia Dortmund Vs INT0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWW1.36
HomeDWLDW1.50
AwayWWLWW1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%42%35%
AVG goals2.802.882.73
Over 1.5 %80%79%81%
Over 2.5 %70%67%73%
Over 3.5 %24%29%19%
Scored1.421.501.35
Conceded1.381.381.38
BTTS64%71%58%
Clean Sheet18%17%19%
Corners9.109.838.42
Cards4.985.614.42
Inter
Inter
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLD1.98
HomeWWLWD1.92
AwayWWLWL2.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%58%67%
AVG goals3.063.312.79
Over 1.5 %80%81%79%
Over 2.5 %56%69%42%
Over 3.5 %38%46%29%
Scored2.002.191.79
Conceded1.061.121.00
BTTS44%58%29%
Clean Sheet44%31%58%
Corners9.409.888.88
Cards3.453.603.29

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1InterInter3887
71%
2.3
8935+54
3.3
84%
55%
37%
9.2
55%
3.5
38%
24.2
58%
694
2202322422.30.9
60%
2NapoliNapoli3876
61%
2.0
5836+22
2.5
68%
53%
26%
8.2
26%
3.5
42%
23.4
61%
459
2061011521.50.9
59%
3AS RomaAS Roma3873
61%
1.9
5931+28
2.4
66%
37%
18%
8.6
34%
4.1
66%
27.8
89%
471
1381182151.60.8
56%
4ComoComo3871
53%
1.9
6529+36
2.5
71%
45%
24%
7.7
24%
4.6
68%
25.9
79%
488
261831441.70.8
62%
5AC MilanAC Milan3870
53%
1.8
5335+18
2.3
66%
45%
18%
8.6
42%
3.8
58%
21.9
58%
585
2231532091.40.9
52%
6JuventusJuventus3869
50%
1.8
6134+27
2.5
74%
39%
24%
9.2
37%
3.7
59%
22.3
61%
569
2401401891.60.9
58%
7AtalantaAtalanta3859
39%
1.6
5136+15
2.3
74%
37%
18%
9.8
50%
3.4
47%
22.1
53%
438
1581281531.30.9
55%
8BolognaBologna3856
42%
1.5
4946+3
2.5
71%
45%
26%
8.7
34%
4.1
51%
27.8
89%
218
10434791.31.2
55%
9LazioLazio3854
37%
1.4
4140+1
2.1
66%
32%
16%
7.9
29%
4.9
76%
25.1
68%
240
6086931.11.1
50%
10UdineseUdinese3850
37%
1.3
4548-3
2.4
68%
45%
21%
9.3
39%
3.7
53%
25.1
79%
157
4639721.21.3
46%
11SassuoloSassuolo3849
37%
1.3
4650-4
2.5
74%
55%
21%
8.7
50%
4.5
65%
24.9
68%
194
9053521.21.3
46%
12ParmaParma3845
29%
1.2
2846-18
1.9
58%
29%
16%
8.8
37%
3.9
61%
24.3
79%
142
3560460.71.2
44%
13TorinoTorino3845
32%
1.2
4463-19
2.8
74%
63%
29%
8.5
42%
3.5
44%
24.5
68%
144
4346541.21.7
44%
14CagliariCagliari3843
29%
1.1
4053-13
2.4
76%
50%
18%
8.9
37%
4.1
58%
28.6
89%
134
5131521.11.4
46%
15FiorentinaFiorentina3842
24%
1.1
4150-9
2.4
71%
50%
24%
9.0
47%
4.8
78%
28.1
92%
330
125107981.11.3
51%
16GenoaGenoa3841
26%
1.1
4151-10
2.4
76%
53%
16%
8.6
37%
4.5
76%
27.4
87%
182
5444841.11.3
49%
17LecceLecce3838
26%
1.0
2850-22
2.1
61%
37%
13%
9.6
58%
3.8
50%
26.7
74%
72
2016370.71.3
42%
18CremoneseCremonese3834
21%
0.9
3257-25
2.3
68%
45%
24%
9.5
47%
3.8
46%
26.4
84%
49
1215220.81.5
46%
19Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3821
8%
0.6
2561-36
2.3
68%
50%
21%
9.0
42%
4.1
54%
25.3
74%
57
1314300.71.6
40%
20PisaPisa3818
5%
0.5
2671-45
2.6
66%
53%
32%
8.4
37%
3.8
53%
24.7
79%
71
2426220.71.9
40%
Italy: Serie A 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches