Galatasaray’s recent 4-0 win over Erzurumspor FK signals a sharp return to form, while Göztepe’s 0-1 defeat to Gençlerbirliği S.K. leaves them rattled. The model therefore rates a home win as the clear favourite, giving Galatasaray a 71% chance of triumph, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 11% chance of an away win. The expected total goals is 3.4, with the most likely total of three goals at 22%. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 10.4% probability. In the match-specific context, Galatasaray averages 2.64 goals scored and 1.0 conceded at home against weaker opposition, whereas Göztepe averages only 0.75 goals scored and 2.25 conceded away against stronger teams. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.4%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.6%), Under 7.5 (97.9%), Home +2 handicap (96.3% with a 2% edge), Under 6.5 (94.6% with no edge), Away under 2.5 goals (93.7% with a 1% edge), and Home under 2.5 HT goals (93.4% with a 4% edge).
Results analysis
Galatasaray’s 3-2 victory over Göztepe extended their two-game winning streak, confirming the model’s prediction that the home side would prevail. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was assigned a 71% probability and the outcome matched the forecast. Every model selection performed as expected: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.4%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.6%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.6%, Under 7.5 at 97.9%, Home +2 handicap at 96.3%, Under 6.5 at 94.6%, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 94.0%, and Home under 2.5 HT goals at 93.7%. Each hit, showcasing the model’s accurate coverage of the match’s key elements.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Galatasaray win✓ Hit
71.2%
Avg Implied 72.5% · @ 1.30
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.44
SBO
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
Draw✗ Miss
18.0%
Avg Implied 17.3% · @ 5.44
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
6.10
1xBet
6.08
Dafabet
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
Bet365
5.75
Göztepe win✗ Miss
10.8%
Avg Implied 10.2% · @ 9.23
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
11.20
BetVictor
10.50
Marathonbet
10.25
Betano
10.25
Pinnacle
10.20
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Galatasaray
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
1.23
2.60
0.93
1.47
1.53
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (7)
1.57
1.43
2.50
0.75
0.33
2.33
vs Weaker (22)
2.27
1.14
2.64
1.00
1.91
1.27
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Göztepe) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Göztepe
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.17
1.33
0.93
1.00
1.40
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
2.33
1.00
2.50
0.75
2.25
vs Similar (23)
1.30
0.91
1.50
0.75
1.09
1.09
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.6%
@ 1.15+4.1%
Under 1.5
14.4%
@ 5.07-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Pinnacle
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.14
Under
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
5.50
Pinnacle
5.42
BetVictor
5.40
Betano
5.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.2%
@ 1.52+3.3%
Under 2.5
34.8%
@ 2.46-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.56
Betano
1.55
Unibet
1.50
Under
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.55
BetVictor
2.55
Pinnacle
2.53
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.2%
@ 2.31+2.4%
Under 3.5
56.8%
@ 1.60-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.60
Superbet
2.47
Pinnacle
2.39
Betano
2.32
1xBet
2.32
Under
1xBet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Betfair
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.7%
@ 1.86+4.8%
No
45.3%
@ 1.85-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Betfair
1.87
No
10Bet
1.95
William Hil
1.91
Betfair
1.90
Unibet
1.86
Bet365
1.83
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.6%@ 6.63+3.8%
2-1
9.4%@ 8.04+3.8%
3-0
8.7%@ 8.13+3.2%
1-1
8.4%@ 9.73+3.8%
1-0
7.8%@ 7.63+1.9%
3-1
7.8%@ 9.86+3.2%
4-0
5.4%@ 12.78+1.9%
4-1
4.8%@ 15.27+1.8%
Galatasaray goals ↓
Göztepe goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.2%
2.3%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
1
7.8%
8.4%
3.4%
1.0%
0.2%
2
11%
9.4%
4.2%
1.2%
0.3%
3
8.7%
7.8%
3.5%
1.0%
0.2%
4
5.4%
4.8%
2.1%
0.6%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Galatasaray goals (down), columns = Göztepe goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Galatasaray
2.26
Fenerbahçe
2.18
Trabzonspor
2.03
Beşiktaş
1.76
Başakşehir
1.68
Göztepe
1.62
Samsunspor
1.50
Rizespor
1.21
Konyaspor
1.18
Gaziantep FK
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.09
Alanyaspor
1.09
Amed
1.05
Kasımpaşa
1.03
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.00
Eyüpspor
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.96
Çorum FK
0.95
Galatasaray is 0.65 points better than Göztepe in terms of average points per game (2.26 vs 1.62).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fenerbahçe
2.26
Galatasaray
2.26
Trabzonspor
1.79
Beşiktaş
1.74
Başakşehir
1.71
Samsunspor
1.35
Rizespor
1.35
Gaziantep FK
1.26
Konyaspor
1.26
Göztepe
1.24
Alanyaspor
1.21
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.06
Amed
1.03
Eyüpspor
0.97
Kasımpaşa
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
0.94
Çorum FK
0.93
Kocaelispor
0.76
Galatasaray is 1.03 goals better than Göztepe in terms of goals scored per game (2.26 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Galatasaray
0.88
Göztepe
0.94
Başakşehir
1.03
Fenerbahçe
1.09
Kocaelispor
1.12
Trabzonspor
1.15
Beşiktaş
1.18
Alanyaspor
1.21
Samsunspor
1.32
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.38
Eyüpspor
1.41
Kasımpaşa
1.44
Konyaspor
1.47
Rizespor
1.53
Gaziantep FK
1.71
Amed
1.71
Erzurumspor FK
1.88
Çorum FK
1.89
Galatasaray is 0.06 goals better than Göztepe in terms of goals conceded per game (0.88 vs 0.94).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Galatasaray
62%
Fenerbahçe
59%
Beşiktaş
56%
Trabzonspor
55%
Başakşehir
54%
Samsunspor
54%
Konyaspor
52%
Rizespor
50%
Gaziantep FK
50%
Kocaelispor
50%
Alanyaspor
48%
Eyüpspor
48%
Kasımpaşa
44%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
43%
Göztepe
38%
Galatasaray is 23.7 percentage points better than Göztepe in terms of average possession (62% vs 38%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Galatasaray
For 5.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.9 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Göztepe
For 4.7 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.1 · Against 10.6 · Total 28.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Galatasaray
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.6
8.2
4.1
4.6
3.6
23.8
23.3
24.3
vs Stronger (1)
8.0
-
8.0
1.0
-
1.0
18.0
-
18.0
vs Similar (13)
10.1
10.4
9.7
6.5
7.4
5.5
26.7
25.9
27.7
vs Weaker (36)
8.5
9.3
7.7
3.3
3.5
3.1
22.8
22.3
23.4
% over line
48%
67%
27%
50%
58%
42%
72%
67%
77%
% under line
52%
33%
73%
50%
42%
58%
28%
33%
23%
This opponent (Göztepe) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Göztepe
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.8
9.0
4.9
5.1
4.7
26.8
26.6
27.0
vs Stronger (13)
9.8
9.7
10.0
5.4
6.0
4.9
26.5
26.0
26.9
vs Similar (33)
9.2
9.8
8.7
4.7
4.9
4.6
26.9
27.4
26.5
vs Weaker (4)
9.8
11.0
8.5
4.8
4.0
5.5
27.0
22.5
31.5
% over line
47%
50%
44%
64%
67%
62%
90%
92%
88%
% under line
53%
50%
56%
36%
33%
38%
10%
8%
12%
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fenerbahçe
11.1
Beşiktaş
10.3
Samsunspor
9.8
Başakşehir
9.7
Konyaspor
9.7
Trabzonspor
9.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
9.6
Gaziantep FK
9.5
Göztepe
9.4
Rizespor
9.3
Çorum FK
9.2
Amed
9.0
Eyüpspor
9.0
Galatasaray
8.9
Kasımpaşa
8.8
Erzurumspor FK
8.5
Kocaelispor
8.2
Alanyaspor
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gaziantep FK
5.7
Fenerbahçe
5.6
Konyaspor
5.1
Göztepe
5.1
Çorum FK
5.0
Kasımpaşa
5.0
Başakşehir
5.0
Beşiktaş
5.0
Eyüpspor
5.0
Alanyaspor
4.9
Amed
4.9
Kocaelispor
4.8
Erzurumspor FK
4.7
Trabzonspor
4.7
Samsunspor
4.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.5
Galatasaray
4.5
Rizespor
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Gaziantep FK
29.0
Kasımpaşa
27.8
Kocaelispor
27.3
Alanyaspor
27.0
Başakşehir
26.9
Göztepe
26.7
Trabzonspor
26.4
Eyüpspor
26.4
Rizespor
26.1
Samsunspor
25.8
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
25.5
Beşiktaş
25.4
Fenerbahçe
25.1
Konyaspor
24.9
Galatasaray
23.8
Erzurumspor FK
23.5
Çorum FK
23.0
Amed
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.5%
@ 1.85-4.5%
Under 9.5
54.5%
@ 1.86+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
10Bet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.90
1xBet
1.86
Superbet
1.85
Under
Unibet
1.93
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Superbet
1.85
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.0%
@ 1.46+10.7%
Under 3.5
26.0%
@ 2.50-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.41
Under
Betano
2.50
Superbet
2.50
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
82.1%
Under 21.5
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Galatasaray or Draw✓ Hit
88.8%
Avg Implied 88.9% · @ 1.06
Edge
-0.1%
71%
18%
11%
covers Galatasaray + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.11
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
William Hil
1.06
BetVictor
1.06
Galatasaray or Göztepe✓ Hit
81.7%
Avg Implied 83.5% · @ 1.13
Edge
-1.8%
71%
18%
11%
covers Galatasaray + Göztepe
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.15
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Draw or Göztepe✗ Miss
29.5%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.41
Edge
+1.9%
71%
18%
11%
covers Draw + Göztepe
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.86
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.75
Betano
3.70
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Galatasaray over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
91.3%
@ 1.06+2.4%
Under
8.7%
@ 8.50-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Under
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
7.60
Betano
7.40
Galatasaray over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
70.1%
@ 1.35+0.9%
Under
29.9%
@ 3.03-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.40
Unibet
1.35
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
3.29
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Marathonbet
3.10
Galatasaray over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
44.1%
@ 2.09-0.5%
Under
55.9%
@ 1.69+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.45
Superbet
2.22
Pinnacle
2.14
Unibet
2.10
Betano
2.05
Under
Marathonbet
1.76
BetVictor
1.75
Pinnacle
1.75
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Galatasaray over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
23.0%
@ 3.75-1.9%
Under
77.0%
@ 1.24+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
Superbet
4.10
Pinnacle
4.02
Unibet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Under
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Göztepe over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
59.5%
@ 1.74+6.0%
Under
40.5%
@ 2.00-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathonbet
1.78
Betano
1.78
Under
10Bet
2.25
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.08
Superbet
2.02
Unibet
2.02
Göztepe over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
22.9%
@ 4.61+2.6%
Under
77.1%
@ 1.17-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.10
BetVictor
4.80
Superbet
4.60
Betano
4.55
Under
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.20
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Göztepe over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.3%
@ 13.45-0.7%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.02+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
14.00
1xBet
12.00
Marathonbet
12.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Göztepe over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 50.50-98.6%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
51.00
Superbet
50.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Galatasaray, so a minus line means Galatasaray give that many goals of a start and Göztepe receive them. At -1, Galatasaray must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Galatasaray win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Galatasaray)Actual: Göztepe
Galatasaray -2
28.2%
@ 3.05-1.2%
Draw -2
20.7%
@ 3.99-1.8%
Göztepe +2
51.1%
@ 1.86+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.85
Superbet
3.20
Unibet
3.05
Betfair
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Draw
10Bet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.05
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Away
Marathonbet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
1.91
Unibet
1.85
Superbet
1.80
Handicap -1 (Galatasaray)Actual: Draw
Galatasaray -1
48.9%
@ 1.84-0.0%
Draw -1
21.5%
@ 3.76-2.5%
Göztepe +1
29.5%
@ 3.33+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.15
Superbet
1.88
Unibet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.76
Betfair
1.73
Draw
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.74
Superbet
3.70
10Bet
3.55
Away
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Unibet
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Handicap +1 (Galatasaray)Actual: Galatasaray
Galatasaray +1
88.8%
@ 1.07+2.0%
Draw +1
7.5%
@ 10.67-1.3%
Göztepe -1
3.7%
@ 20.67-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
12.00
10Bet
7.00
Away
Bet365
26.00
Betfair
23.00
10Bet
13.00
Handicap +2 (Galatasaray)Actual: Galatasaray
Galatasaray +2
96.3%
@ 1.01+1.3%
Draw +2
2.8%
@ 26.00-0.9%
Göztepe -2
0.9%
@ 71.00-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.01
Betfair
1.01
Draw
Betfair
26.00
Bet365
26.00
Away
Betfair
91.00
Bet365
51.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Galatasaray
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.43
0.93
0.33
0.87
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.71
1.00
0.75
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (22)
1.00
0.27
0.91
0.18
1.09
0.36
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Göztepe) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Göztepe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.50
0.73
0.33
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.75
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.39
0.92
0.25
0.36
0.55
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.8%
@ 1.25+3.4%
Under 0.5
22.2%
@ 3.62-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Under
Betfair
4.00
BetVictor
3.90
William Hil
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.60
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
40.8%
@ 2.21-1.4%
Under 1.5
59.2%
@ 1.61+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.40
Pinnacle
2.32
Betano
2.30
Superbet
2.25
1xBet
2.23
Under
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.65
Betfair
1.65
BetVictor
1.62
Betano
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.2%
@ 4.86-0.9%
Under 2.5
81.8%
@ 1.15+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.50
BetVictor
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Betano
4.85
Betfair
4.80
Under
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Galatasaray over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
68.2%
@ 1.44+3.4%
Under
31.8%
@ 2.65-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.53
Superbet
1.45
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.43
Unibet
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.87
1xBet
2.80
Unibet
2.65
Betano
2.62
Superbet
2.57
Galatasaray over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
25.2%
@ 3.06-5.1%
Under
74.8%
@ 1.33+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.50
Superbet
3.10
Betano
3.00
Marathonbet
2.93
1xBet
2.75
Under
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
Superbet
1.32
10Bet
1.25
Galatasaray over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.3%
@ 7.13-6.7%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.06+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
7.50
1xBet
7.10
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Göztepe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
33.3%
@ 3.10+3.3%
Under
66.7%
@ 1.33-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.38
Marathonbet
3.20
Betano
3.15
Superbet
3.05
1xBet
3.00
Under
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Unibet
1.33
Göztepe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.0%
@ 11.50-2.2%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.02+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Göztepe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.6%
@ 60.00-99.4%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
60.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Galatasaray
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.80
1.67
0.60
0.60
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (7)
0.86
0.71
1.50
0.00
0.00
1.67
vs Weaker (22)
1.27
0.86
1.73
0.82
0.82
0.91
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Göztepe) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Göztepe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.67
0.60
0.60
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.33
1.00
1.50
0.00
1.25
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.52
0.58
0.50
0.73
0.55
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Galatasaray) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
82.5%
@ 1.14+1.2%
Under 0.5
17.5%
@ 4.98-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.10
1xBet
5.05
Marathonbet
5.05
10Bet
4.80
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
56.5%
@ 1.74+3.0%
Under 1.5
43.5%
@ 2.00-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.80
10Bet
1.77
William Hil
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.73
Under
Betano
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07
1xBet
2.07
Bet365
2.00
William Hil
1.95
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
25.0%
@ 3.23-3.7%
Under 2.5
75.0%
@ 1.30+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.45
William Hil
3.40
10Bet
3.35
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.10
Under
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
10Bet
1.28
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Galatasaray over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
73.3%
@ 1.28+0.4%
Under
26.7%
@ 3.43-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.25
Under
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.55
Superbet
3.15
Galatasaray over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
35.5%
@ 2.31-4.6%
Under
64.5%
@ 1.55+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.55
Superbet
2.47
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.18
Marathonbet
2.16
Under
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.60
Superbet
1.48
10Bet
1.45
Galatasaray over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.3%
@ 5.11-6.8%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.13+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.75
Superbet
5.50
1xBet
4.70
Betano
4.50
Under
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Göztepe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
38.5%
@ 2.56+2.3%
Under
61.5%
@ 1.45-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.61
Betano
2.57
1xBet
2.55
Superbet
2.52
Under
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.42
Göztepe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.3%
@ 9.15-0.9%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.03+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.90
Marathonbet
9.90
Superbet
8.80
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Göztepe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 37.00-98.6%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
37.00
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.9%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
96.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betfair
1.01
-
-
-
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
94.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.02
Superbet
1.02
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
93.7%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
-
-
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
93.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
91.3%
1.06
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.7%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
88.8%
1.06
10Bet
1.11
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
William Hil
1.06
BetVictor
1.06
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
88.8%
1.07
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
-
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
88.7%
1.13
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
-
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
87.7%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.08
BetVictor
1.06
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.6%
1.15
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Pinnacle
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.14
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.5%
1.14
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
81.8%
1.15
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.14
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
81.7%
1.13
SBO
1.15
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
-1.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
77.8%
1.25
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.25
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
77.1%
1.17
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.20
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
-2.6%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
77.0%
1.31
Unibet
1.37
Superbet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.28
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.27
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
77.0%
1.24
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
75.4%
1.23
Betano
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
1xBet
1.22
-0.9%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
75.0%
1.30
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
10Bet
1.28
+3.7%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
74.8%
1.33
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
Superbet
1.32
10Bet
1.25
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
74.0%
1.46
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.41
-
-
-
+10.7%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 2H goals
73.3%
1.28
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.25
-
-
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Home win
71.2%
1.30
10Bet
1.44
SBO
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals
70.1%
1.35
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.40
Unibet
1.35
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
+0.9%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Galatasaray
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Victor Osimhen100%
Davinson Sánchez33%
Yunus Akgün33%
Roland Sallai33%
Gabriel Sara33%
Leroy Sané0%
Lucas Torreira0%
Mario Lemina0%
Eren Elmalı0%
Abdülkerim Bardakcı0%
Barış Alper Yılmaz0%
Ismail Jakobs0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yunus Akgün33%
Eren Elmalı33%
Barış Alper Yılmaz33%
Davinson Sánchez0%
Leroy Sané0%
Lucas Torreira0%
Victor Osimhen0%
Mario Lemina0%
Roland Sallai0%
Abdülkerim Bardakcı0%
Gabriel Sara0%
Ismail Jakobs0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Victor Osimhen67%
Gabriel Sara67%
Lucas Torreira33%
Davinson Sánchez0%
Yunus Akgün0%
Leroy Sané0%
Mario Lemina0%
Roland Sallai0%
Eren Elmalı0%
Abdülkerim Bardakcı0%
Barış Alper Yılmaz0%
Ismail Jakobs0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yunus Akgün67%
Victor Osimhen67%
Gabriel Sara67%
Leroy Sané33%
Roland Sallai33%
Davinson Sánchez0%
Lucas Torreira0%
Mario Lemina0%
Eren Elmalı0%
Abdülkerim Bardakcı0%
Barış Alper Yılmaz0%
Ismail Jakobs0%
Göztepe
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Efkan Bekiroğlu33%
Juan Santos da Silva33%
Sinclair Armstrong33%
Alex Matos33%
Novatus Miroshi33%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Rhaldney0%
Ogün Bayrak0%
André Henrique0%
Taha Altıkardeş0%
Arda Kurtulan0%
Janderson0%
Ege Yildirim0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alex Matos67%
Juan Santos da Silva33%
Sinclair Armstrong33%
André Henrique33%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Efkan Bekiroğlu0%
Rhaldney0%
Ogün Bayrak0%
Taha Altıkardeş0%
Novatus Miroshi0%
Arda Kurtulan0%
Janderson0%
Ege Yildirim0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
André Henrique33%
Janderson33%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Efkan Bekiroğlu0%
Rhaldney0%
Ogün Bayrak0%
Juan Santos da Silva0%
Sinclair Armstrong0%
Alex Matos0%
Taha Altıkardeş0%
Novatus Miroshi0%
Arda Kurtulan0%
Ege Yildirim0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
André Henrique33%
Novatus Miroshi33%
Janderson33%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Efkan Bekiroğlu0%
Rhaldney0%
Ogün Bayrak0%
Juan Santos da Silva0%
Sinclair Armstrong0%
Alex Matos0%
Taha Altıkardeş0%
Arda Kurtulan0%
Ege Yildirim0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
SAM (30)
€50m
ÇF (28)
€47m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
GF (28)
€28m
AME (22)
€27m
EF (26)
€26m
KOC (26)
€24m
GS (19)
€15m
EYÜ (24)
€14m
Galatasaray's squad is €284m more valuable than Göztepe's (€345m vs €61m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
SAM (12)
€20m
AME (7)
€15m
KAS (13)
€14m
GF (14)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
ÇF (9)
€12m
EF (9)
€10m
ALA (11)
€9m
KOC (8)
€9m
EYÜ (10)
€5m
GS (4)
€4m
Galatasaray's attack is €143m more valuable than Göztepe's (€173m vs €30m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
ÇF (7)
€14m
SAM (6)
€12m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
KOC (8)
€9m
GF (5)
€8m
EF (4)
€7m
RIZ (4)
€7m
GS (6)
€5m
KAS (7)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
AME (4)
€3m
EYÜ (4)
€2m
Galatasaray's midfield is €53m more valuable than Göztepe's (€72m vs €19m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
ÇF (12)
€21m
SAM (12)
€18m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
AME (11)
€9m
EF (13)
€8m
KOC (10)
€7m
EYÜ (10)
€7m
GF (9)
€6m
GS (9)
€5m
Galatasaray's defence is €87m more valuable than Göztepe's (€100m vs €12m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
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Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Beşiktaş
Fenerbahçe
Amed
Kocaelispor
Rizespor
Kasımpaşa
Başakşehir
Samsunspor
Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor
Gaziantep FK
Eyüpspor
Çorum FK
Erzurumspor FK
Konyaspor