This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CP
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.07
1.17
2.27
1.20
1.87
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.11
1.67
1.50
2.25
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (21)
2.48
0.95
2.55
0.82
2.40
1.10
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (GIL Vicente) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.4%
Under 1.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.6%
Under 2.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.3%
Under 3.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.5%
No
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.7%
0-1 ✓
9.6%
0-0
7.0%
1-3
5.9%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
GIL Vicente goals ↓
Sporting CP goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
9.6%
9.7%
5.8%
2.6%
1
5.0%
12%
9.9%
5.9%
2.7%
2
3.1%
5.6%
5.0%
3.0%
1.4%
3
1.1%
1.9%
1.7%
1.0%
0.5%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = GIL Vicente goals (down), columns = Sporting CP goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Benfica
2.71
Sporting CP
2.43
Rebordosa
2.40
Santa Clara
2.33
Alverca
2.33
Anadia
2.33
GIL Vicente
2.25
SC Braga
2.25
Amarante
2.25
Oliveira Hospital
2.25
São João Ver
2.17
Tirsense
2.14
Guimaraes
2.00
Moreirense
2.00
Chaves
2.00
Farense
2.00
Casa Pia
2.00
Penafiel
2.00
Torreense
2.00
União de Leiria
2.00
Leixoes
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
2.00
SC Covilha
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
União Santarém
2.00
Moncarapachense
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Varzim
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Moura
2.00
Operário
2.00
Lusitânia
1.75
Vila Real
1.75
Cinfães
1.75
Brito
1.75
O Elvas
1.60
Arouca
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Academica
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
Famalicao
1.50
AVS
1.50
FC Porto
1.50
Mafra
1.50
Vilaverdense
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Pevidem
1.50
Amora
1.50
Pombal
1.50
Os Limianos
1.50
Paredes
1.50
Pêro Pinheiro
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Guarda
1.50
Gondomar
1.50
Alcains
1.50
Lagoa
1.50
Sintrense
1.50
Sandinenses
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Machico
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
FC Serpa
1.50
Louletano
1.50
Sertanense
1.50
Régua
1.50
CF Benfica
1.50
Vieira
1.50
Estrela Vendas Novas
1.50
Arronches e Benfica
1.50
Aliança de Gandra
1.50
Atlético Arcos
1.50
Rio Ave
1.33
Sanjoanense
1.33
Caldas
1.33
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Estoril
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Leça
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Marinhense
1.00
Beira-Mar
1.00
Fátima
1.00
Joane
1.00
Estrela
0.50
União de Coimbra
0.50
Tondela
0.00
Boavista
0.00
Nacional
0.00
Maritimo
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Vizela
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Oliveirense
0.00
Trofense
0.00
União Lamas
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Fafe
0.00
Viana Alentejo
0.00
Dumiense
0.00
Olímpico do Montijo
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Tocha
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Coimbrões
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Monção
0.00
Castrense
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Bragança
0.00
Comércio Indústria
0.00
O Grandolense
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Maia Lidador
0.00
São Roque (Açores)
0.00
Macedo Cavaleiros
0.00
Juventude Gaula
0.00
Ginásio Figueirense
0.00
Estarreja
0.00
Valpaços
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Resende (Portugal)
0.00
Lagos
0.00
Cardielense
0.00
Praia Milfontes
0.00
Vinhais
0.00
Vila Cortez
0.00
Pedrógão São Pedro
0.00
Oliveira de Frades
0.00
Vieirense
0.00
Velense
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Ferreiras
0.00
Fabril Barreiro
0.00
FC Barreirense
0.00
Portel
0.00
Salgueiros
0.00
Abrantes e Benfica
0.00
Pedras Salgadas
0.00
Gavionenses
0.00
Madalena
0.00
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
0.00
GIL Vicente is 0.18 points worse than Sporting CP in terms of average points per game (2.25 vs 2.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Estarreja
4.00
Benfica
3.29
Arouca
3.00
Vizela
3.00
Casa Pia
3.00
Penafiel
3.00
Amarante
3.00
SC Covilha
3.00
Comércio Indústria
3.00
Valpaços
3.00
Alverca
2.67
Anadia
2.67
Vilaverdense
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Guarda
2.50
Alcains
2.50
FC Serpa
2.50
CF Benfica
2.50
Farense
2.33
Sanjoanense
2.33
Moncarapachense
2.33
Cinfães
2.25
Sporting CP
2.14
Guimaraes
2.00
Portimonense
2.00
AVS
2.00
FC Porto
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Dumiense
2.00
Coimbrões
2.00
Paredes
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
Oliveira Hospital
2.00
São João Ver
2.00
Rebordosa
2.00
Leça
2.00
Castrense
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Louletano
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Sertanense
2.00
Vila Cortez
2.00
FC Barreirense
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.67
União Santarém
1.67
Varzim
1.67
Moura
1.67
Rio Ave
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
SC Braga
1.50
Torreense
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Pombal
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Machico
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
Régua
1.50
Estrela Vendas Novas
1.50
Arronches e Benfica
1.50
Moreirense
1.33
Chaves
1.33
União de Leiria
1.33
GIL Vicente
1.25
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
O Elvas
1.20
Tirsense
1.14
Tondela
1.00
Nacional
1.00
Maritimo
1.00
Academica
1.00
Santa Clara
1.00
Famalicao
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
Oliveirense
1.00
Mafra
1.00
União Lamas
1.00
Fafe
1.00
Viana Alentejo
1.00
Pevidem
1.00
Olímpico do Montijo
1.00
Tocha
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Maria da Fonte
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Sintrense
1.00
Sandinenses
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Monção
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Bragança
1.00
Maia Lidador
1.00
São Roque (Açores)
1.00
União de Coimbra
1.00
Cardielense
1.00
Vinhais
1.00
Pedrógão São Pedro
1.00
Vieirense
1.00
Velense
1.00
Vieira
1.00
Fabril Barreiro
1.00
Operário
1.00
Aliança de Gandra
1.00
Atlético Arcos
1.00
Salgueiros
1.00
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
1.00
Vila Real
0.75
Brito
0.75
Caldas
0.67
Estrela
0.50
Amora
0.50
Pêro Pinheiro
0.50
Gondomar
0.50
Estoril
0.00
Boavista
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Trofense
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Fátima
0.00
O Grandolense
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Macedo Cavaleiros
0.00
Juventude Gaula
0.00
Ginásio Figueirense
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Resende (Portugal)
0.00
Lagos
0.00
Praia Milfontes
0.00
Joane
0.00
Oliveira de Frades
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Ferreiras
0.00
Portel
0.00
Abrantes e Benfica
0.00
Pedras Salgadas
0.00
Gavionenses
0.00
Madalena
0.00
GIL Vicente is 0.89 goals worse than Sporting CP in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 2.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Estoril
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Fátima
0.00
Joane
0.00
Operário
0.00
GIL Vicente
0.25
Benfica
0.29
Santa Clara
0.33
Academica
0.50
Famalicao
0.50
Atlético CP
0.50
Gondomar
0.50
Vila Real
0.50
Brito
0.50
FC Serpa
0.50
Alpendorada
0.50
Arronches e Benfica
0.50
Sporting CP
0.57
Varzim
0.67
Caldas
0.67
SC Braga
0.75
São João Ver
0.83
Guimaraes
1.00
Moreirense
1.00
Arouca
1.00
Boavista
1.00
Feirense
1.00
Chaves
1.00
Casa Pia
1.00
FC Porto
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Torreense
1.00
União de Leiria
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.00
Mafra
1.00
União Santarém
1.00
Anadia
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Rebordosa
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Ferreira Zêzere
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Machico
1.00
Louletano
1.00
UD da Serra
1.00
Vieira
1.00
Moura
1.00
Estrela Vendas Novas
1.00
Aliança de Gandra
1.00
Portel
1.00
O Elvas
1.20
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Oliveira Hospital
1.25
Alverca
1.33
Sanjoanense
1.33
Moncarapachense
1.33
Tirsense
1.43
Rio Ave
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
AVS
1.50
Penafiel
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Pevidem
1.50
Pêro Pinheiro
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Alcains
1.50
Sandinenses
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
Régua
1.50
Atlético Arcos
1.50
SC Covilha
1.67
Cinfães
1.75
Tondela
2.00
Nacional
2.00
Maritimo
2.00
Farense
2.00
Amarante
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Oliveirense
2.00
União Lamas
2.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
2.00
Viana Alentejo
2.00
Vianense
2.00
Olímpico do Montijo
2.00
Camacha
2.00
Peniche
2.00
Eléctrico
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Sintrense
2.00
Leça
2.00
Monção
2.00
Sacavenense
2.00
Bragança
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Sertanense
2.00
Académico do Fundão
2.00
Maia Lidador
2.00
São Roque (Açores)
2.00
União de Coimbra
2.00
Cardielense
2.00
Vinhais
2.00
Velense
2.00
Fabril Barreiro
2.00
Salgueiros
2.00
Abrantes e Benfica
2.00
Pedras Salgadas
2.00
Madalena
2.00
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
2.00
Vilaverdense
2.50
Amora
2.50
Pombal
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Guarda
2.50
Lajense
2.67
Trofense
3.00
Dumiense
3.00
Coimbrões
3.00
Paredes
3.00
O Grandolense
3.00
Macedo Cavaleiros
3.00
Juventude Gaula
3.00
Resende (Portugal)
3.00
Lagos
3.00
Pedrógão São Pedro
3.00
Oliveira de Frades
3.00
Rabo Peixe
3.00
Ferreiras
3.00
FC Barreirense
3.00
Gavionenses
3.00
CF Benfica
3.50
Vizela
4.00
Estrela
4.00
Fafe
4.00
Tocha
4.00
Castrense
4.00
Comércio Indústria
4.00
Vila Cortez
4.00
Vieirense
4.00
Ginásio Figueirense
5.00
Estarreja
5.00
Valpaços
5.00
Praia Milfontes
5.00
GIL Vicente is 0.32 goals better than Sporting CP in terms of goals conceded per game (0.25 vs 0.57).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sporting CP
59%
Rio Ave
42%
Benfica
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
GIL Vicente
For 4.2 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 15.8 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sporting CP
For 6.0 · Against 4.2 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 16.7 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
GIL Vicente
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.5
8.9
4.1
4.8
3.4
26.4
26.4
26.3
vs Stronger (11)
9.4
9.2
9.5
4.1
5.6
2.8
24.2
26.8
22.0
vs Similar (33)
9.1
9.5
8.8
4.2
4.7
3.8
26.8
26.5
27.1
vs Weaker (6)
9.2
9.7
8.5
3.2
4.3
2.0
28.6
25.7
33.0
% over line
43%
48%
38%
58%
71%
46%
77%
83%
71%
% under line
57%
52%
62%
42%
29%
54%
23%
17%
29%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CP
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
11.0
8.4
4.4
4.6
4.2
24.9
25.0
24.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
9.5
12.3
6.7
4.9
5.3
4.6
24.4
24.3
24.4
vs Weaker (36)
9.7
10.4
9.1
4.2
4.3
4.0
25.2
25.4
24.9
% over line
53%
65%
42%
56%
64%
48%
70%
70%
71%
% under line
47%
35%
58%
44%
36%
52%
30%
30%
29%
This opponent (GIL Vicente) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Farense
11.5
Tondela
11.3
Nacional
11.2
Guimaraes
11.0
Oliveirense
10.8
Vilaverdense
10.8
Torreense
10.8
Portimonense
10.7
Feirense
10.7
SC Covilha
10.6
Trofense
10.6
Benfica
10.4
SC Braga
10.4
Vizela
10.3
União de Leiria
10.2
FC Porto
10.2
Rio Ave
10.1
AVS
10.0
Estrela
10.0
Arouca
10.0
Famalicao
9.9
Penafiel
9.9
Chaves
9.9
Leixoes
9.8
Mafra
9.7
Academico Viseu
9.7
Pacos Ferreira
9.7
Estoril
9.5
Sporting CP
9.5
Maritimo
9.5
Casa Pia
9.4
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
GIL Vicente
9.2
Boavista
9.2
Moreirense
9.0
Felgueiras 1932
8.5
Santa Clara
8.2
Alverca
7.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Trofense
7.1
Santa Clara
6.4
Felgueiras 1932
6.2
FC Porto
6.0
Guimaraes
5.7
Boavista
5.6
Maritimo
5.6
Oliveirense
5.6
Chaves
5.6
Famalicao
5.6
AVS
5.5
SC Covilha
5.4
Arouca
5.4
Torreense
5.3
Leixoes
5.2
Penafiel
5.2
Rio Ave
5.2
Estoril
5.1
Portimonense
5.1
Pacos Ferreira
5.1
SC Braga
5.1
Tondela
5.0
Nacional
5.0
União de Leiria
5.0
Farense
5.0
Vizela
4.9
Vilaverdense
4.8
Benfica
4.7
Sporting CP
4.6
Moreirense
4.6
Estrela
4.6
GIL Vicente
4.6
Lusitânia Lourosa
4.5
Casa Pia
4.5
Feirense
4.5
Academico Viseu
4.3
CF Os Belenenses
4.1
Mafra
4.1
Alverca
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Trofense
32.3
Famalicao
30.0
Santa Clara
29.1
Moreirense
28.7
Vilaverdense
28.5
SC Covilha
28.2
Estrela
28.1
Rio Ave
28.0
Nacional
28.0
Estoril
27.7
Guimaraes
27.3
Boavista
27.3
FC Porto
27.2
AVS
26.8
Farense
26.8
GIL Vicente
26.5
Casa Pia
26.3
Arouca
26.3
Leixoes
26.1
SC Braga
25.2
Sporting CP
25.1
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
Vizela
24.0
Pacos Ferreira
24.0
Tondela
23.1
Feirense
22.7
Chaves
22.6
Oliveirense
22.3
Benfica
22.0
Maritimo
21.6
Torreense
21.2
Mafra
21.1
Portimonense
20.9
Penafiel
20.9
União de Leiria
20.8
Academico Viseu
20.5
Alverca
7.9
Felgueiras 1932
7.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.0%
Under 9.5
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
62.8%
Under 3.5
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
64.0%
Under 21.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
GIL Vicente or Draw✗ Miss
45.4%
Avg Implied -
20%
25%
55%
covers GIL Vicente + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente or Sporting CP✓ Hit
74.7%
Avg Implied -
20%
25%
55%
covers GIL Vicente + Sporting CP
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Sporting CP✓ Hit
79.8%
Avg Implied -
20%
25%
55%
covers Draw + Sporting CP
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
GIL Vicente over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
64.0%
Under
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
27.2%
Under
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.4%
Under
91.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.5%
Under
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
53.8%
Under
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
27.0%
Under
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.9%
Under
89.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to GIL Vicente, so a minus line means GIL Vicente give that many goals of a start and Sporting CP receive them. At -1, GIL Vicente must win by two or more to land; a one-goal GIL Vicente win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (GIL Vicente)Actual: Sporting CP
GIL Vicente -2
2.1%
Draw -2
5.5%
Sporting CP +2
92.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (GIL Vicente)Actual: Sporting CP
GIL Vicente -1
7.6%
Draw -1
12.6%
Sporting CP +1
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (GIL Vicente)Actual: Draw
GIL Vicente +1
45.4%
Draw +1
23.0%
Sporting CP -1
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (GIL Vicente)Actual: GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente +2
68.4%
Draw +2
17.1%
Sporting CP -2
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
GIL Vicente
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.47
0.79
0.29
0.25
0.62
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.43
1.00
0.40
0.18
0.45
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CP
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.63
1.13
0.73
0.87
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.78
0.50
1.00
0.40
0.60
vs Weaker (21)
1.24
0.57
1.36
0.64
1.10
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (GIL Vicente) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
GIL Vicente over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
GIL Vicente
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.83
0.71
0.71
0.50
0.94
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.17
0.67
0.33
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.76
0.70
0.70
0.55
0.82
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CP
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.53
1.13
0.47
1.00
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.67
0.89
1.00
1.25
0.40
0.60
vs Weaker (21)
1.24
0.38
1.18
0.18
1.30
0.60
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (GIL Vicente) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
GIL Vicente over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
GIL Vicente
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Félix Correia24%
Pablo Felipe15%
Santi García14%
Kanya Fujimoto10%
Jorge Aguirre9%
Sergio Bermejo9%
Mohamed Bamba8%
Cauê7%
Mory Gbane6%
Josué Sá5%
Tidjany Touré4%
Rúben Fernandes3%
Jordi Mboula0%
Jesús Castillo0%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga0%
João Teixeira0%
Sandro Cruz0%
Maxime Dominguez0%
Andrew0%
Zé Carlos0%
Jonathan Mutombo0%
Diego Collado0%
Facundo Cáseres0%
Carlos Eduardo0%
Kazu0%
Marvin Elimbi0%
Joao Marques0%
Depú0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Santi García39%
Sandro Cruz38%
Joao Marques25%
Mohamed Bamba25%
Cauê20%
Jonathan Mutombo19%
Kazu18%
Mory Gbane17%
Marvin Elimbi17%
Josué Sá16%
Zé Carlos16%
Facundo Cáseres15%
Rúben Fernandes14%
Carlos Eduardo12%
Tidjany Touré12%
Pablo Felipe10%
Sergio Bermejo9%
Félix Correia9%
Jordi Mboula8%
Jesús Castillo6%
Jorge Aguirre6%
Andrew6%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga5%
Kanya Fujimoto3%
João Teixeira0%
Maxime Dominguez0%
Diego Collado0%
Depú0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kanya Fujimoto16%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga10%
Félix Correia9%
Jordi Mboula8%
Joao Marques8%
Tidjany Touré8%
Santi García7%
Jorge Aguirre6%
Rúben Fernandes3%
Jesús Castillo0%
João Teixeira0%
Sandro Cruz0%
Maxime Dominguez0%
Josué Sá0%
Andrew0%
Sergio Bermejo0%
Zé Carlos0%
Mory Gbane0%
Jonathan Mutombo0%
Diego Collado0%
Cauê0%
Facundo Cáseres0%
Carlos Eduardo0%
Kazu0%
Marvin Elimbi0%
Pablo Felipe0%
Depú0%
Mohamed Bamba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kanya Fujimoto16%
Félix Correia9%
Mohamed Bamba8%
Tidjany Touré8%
Jorge Aguirre6%
Pablo Felipe5%
Jordi Mboula4%
Santi García4%
Jesús Castillo0%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga0%
Rúben Fernandes0%
João Teixeira0%
Sandro Cruz0%
Maxime Dominguez0%
Josué Sá0%
Andrew0%
Sergio Bermejo0%
Zé Carlos0%
Mory Gbane0%
Jonathan Mutombo0%
Diego Collado0%
Cauê0%
Facundo Cáseres0%
Carlos Eduardo0%
Kazu0%
Marvin Elimbi0%
Joao Marques0%
Depú0%
Sporting CP
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Viktor Gyökeres67%
Pedro Gonçalves21%
Geny Catamo16%
Daniel Bragança15%
Francisco Trincão14%
Gonçalo Inácio13%
Marcus Edwards12%
Conrad Harder11%
Nuno Santos11%
Iván Fresneda11%
Maximiliano Araújo9%
Morten Hjulmand7%
João Simões6%
Hidemasa Morita6%
Ousmane Diomande5%
Zeno Debast4%
Geovany Quenda4%
Eduardo Quaresma3%
Jeremiah St. Juste0%
Ricardo Esgaio0%
Matheus Reis0%
Rui Silva0%
Franco Israel0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Biel0%
Afonso Moreira0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Eduardo Felicíssimo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexandre Brito50%
Morten Hjulmand35%
Maximiliano Araújo24%
Pedro Gonçalves21%
Jeremiah St. Juste19%
Ousmane Diomande16%
Daniel Bragança15%
Gonçalo Inácio15%
Eduardo Felicíssimo14%
Zeno Debast13%
Viktor Gyökeres12%
João Simões12%
Matheus Reis11%
Hidemasa Morita9%
Rui Silva9%
Geovany Quenda8%
Iván Fresneda7%
Eduardo Quaresma7%
Geny Catamo7%
Franco Israel5%
Conrad Harder5%
Francisco Trincão4%
Marcus Edwards0%
Ricardo Esgaio0%
Nuno Santos0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Biel0%
Afonso Moreira0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pedro Gonçalves26%
Francisco Trincão24%
Daniel Bragança23%
Viktor Gyökeres21%
Conrad Harder11%
Geovany Quenda10%
Hidemasa Morita9%
Maximiliano Araújo9%
Zeno Debast7%
João Simões6%
Gonçalo Inácio5%
Morten Hjulmand5%
Matheus Reis5%
Geny Catamo4%
Jeremiah St. Juste0%
Marcus Edwards0%
Ricardo Esgaio0%
Nuno Santos0%
Rui Silva0%
Franco Israel0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Eduardo Quaresma0%
Biel0%
Iván Fresneda0%
Afonso Moreira0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
Ousmane Diomande0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Eduardo Felicíssimo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Viktor Gyökeres60%
Francisco Trincão28%
Pedro Gonçalves21%
Conrad Harder14%
Ousmane Diomande11%
Geny Catamo11%
Geovany Quenda4%
Daniel Bragança4%
Hidemasa Morita3%
Morten Hjulmand2%
Maximiliano Araújo2%
Jeremiah St. Juste0%
Marcus Edwards0%
Ricardo Esgaio0%
Matheus Reis0%
Nuno Santos0%
Rui Silva0%
Franco Israel0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Eduardo Quaresma0%
Gonçalo Inácio0%
Zeno Debast0%
Biel0%
Iván Fresneda0%
Afonso Moreira0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
João Simões0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Eduardo Felicíssimo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
VIZ (29)
€12m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
LL (19)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
ACA (11)
€2m
PF (13)
€2m
OLI (7)
€1m
AMA (6)
€1m
GIL Vicente's squad is €384m less valuable than Sporting CP's (€29m vs €414m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
AV (11)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
MAR (10)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
ACA (6)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
LL (6)
€1m
PF (3)
€1m
AMA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
GIL Vicente's attack is €136m less valuable than Sporting CP's (€11m vs €146m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
MAR (6)
€3m
EST (5)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
TOR (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
LL (2)
€1m
AMA (3)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
PEN (2)
€0m
ACA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
GIL Vicente's midfield is €84m less valuable than Sporting CP's (€8m vs €91m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (11)
€3m
AVS (10)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
OLI (5)
€1m
ACA (4)
€1m
PF (8)
€1m
AMA (2)
€0m
GIL Vicente's defence is €165m less valuable than Sporting CP's (€11m vs €176m).
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →
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Benfica
FC Porto
SC Braga
Santa Clara
Guimaraes
Famalicao
Estoril
Casa Pia
Moreirense
Arouca
Rio Ave
Nacional
AVS
Estrela
Farense
Boavista
Vizela