GKS Katowice hosts Radomiak Radom in a Poland Ekstraklasa match. Radomiak Radom's recent form has been impacted by two consecutive defeats, including a 1-3 loss to Gornik Zabrze. In contrast, GKS Katowice comes off a 0-2 defeat to Hapoel Tel Aviv, but their home form is relatively strong, averaging 2.09 goals scored and 1.18 conceded against similar opponents.
The model predicts a home win, with a 57% probability, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability of an away win. The expected total goals is 3.1, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 10.9% probability.
GKS Katowice's home scoring and conceding are impressive, with 2.09 goals scored and 1.18 conceded against similar opponents. Radomiak Radom's away form is less impressive, with 1.22 goals scored and 1.56 conceded.
The model's selection is the Over 1.5, with an 82.8% probability and an 8% edge. The Over 21.5 fouls is also a selection, with a 74.8% probability. The home win percentage is 57%, the draw percentage is 23%, and the away win percentage is 20%.
The win extends GKS Katowice's recent run, but it's the away team, Radomiak Radom, who suffered their second consecutive defeat. The final score was 3-1, confirming the home win result. The model correctly predicted the home win, which had a pre-match probability of 57%. The model's selection was the home win, and it proved to be the correct call. The model also suggested two other selections: Over 1.5 goals, which hit with an 82.8% probability, and Over 21.5 fouls, which also came in at 74.8% probability.
GKS Katowice| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.77 | 1.10 | 1.93 | 0.93 | 1.60 | 1.27 |
| vs Stronger (8) | 1.62 | 1.75 | 1.50 | 1.25 | 1.75 | 2.25 |
| vs Similar (22) | 1.82 | 0.86 | 2.09 | 0.82 | 1.55 | 0.91 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (+3pp vs league) | |||||
Radomiak Radom| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.43 | 1.57 | 1.67 | 1.07 | 1.20 | 2.07 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 1.44 | 2.33 | 2.00 | 1.33 | 1.17 | 2.83 |
| vs Similar (21) | 1.43 | 1.24 | 1.58 | 1.00 | 1.22 | 1.56 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 20% (-7pp vs league) | |||||
| Radomiak Radom goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 11% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 8.8% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
GKS Katowice
Radomiak Radom
GKS Katowice| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.0 | 11.0 | 8.9 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 23.3 | 23.9 | 22.8 |
| vs Stronger (12) | 10.6 | 11.3 | 9.5 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 24.1 | 24.5 | 23.5 |
| vs Similar (37) | 9.9 | 11.2 | 8.8 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 23.3 | 24.1 | 22.6 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 7.0 | 7.0 | - | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | 17.0 | 17.0 | - |
| % over line | 57% | 73% | 41% | 44% | 46% | 42% | 59% | 64% | 55% |
| % under line | 43% | 27% | 59% | 56% | 54% | 58% | 41% | 36% | 45% |
Radomiak Radom| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.1 | 9.5 | 10.8 | 4.6 | 4.2 | 5.0 | 27.7 | 28.5 | 26.9 |
| vs Stronger (17) | 10.4 | 9.6 | 11.2 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 27.2 | 27.7 | 26.8 |
| vs Similar (33) | 10.0 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 4.9 | 4.6 | 5.3 | 28.0 | 29.0 | 27.0 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 55% | 44% | 67% | 62% | 54% | 71% | 88% | 88% | 88% |
| % under line | 45% | 56% | 33% | 38% | 46% | 29% | 12% | 12% | 12% |
GKS Katowice| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.87 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.53 | 0.73 | 0.47 |
| vs Stronger (8) | 0.75 | 0.62 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.50 |
| vs Similar (22) | 0.91 | 0.45 | 1.09 | 0.45 | 0.73 | 0.45 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+37pp vs league) | |||||
Radomiak Radom| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.57 | 0.77 | 0.80 | 0.53 | 0.33 | 1.00 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 0.44 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| vs Similar (21) | 0.62 | 0.52 | 0.67 | 0.42 | 0.56 | 0.67 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+27pp vs league) | |||||
GKS Katowice| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.90 | 0.60 | 0.93 | 0.40 | 0.87 | 0.80 |
| vs Stronger (8) | 0.88 | 1.12 | 0.75 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| vs Similar (22) | 0.91 | 0.41 | 1.00 | 0.36 | 0.82 | 0.45 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+30pp vs league) | |||||
Radomiak Radom| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.87 | 0.80 | 0.87 | 0.53 | 0.87 | 1.07 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1.17 | 1.33 |
| vs Similar (21) | 0.81 | 0.71 | 0.92 | 0.58 | 0.67 | 0.89 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+17pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 fouls | 87.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 2.5 cards | 83.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 82.8% | 1.24 | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | +7.9% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 76.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 8.5 corners | 71.4% | 1.37 | 1.41 | 1.41 | 1.37 | 1.33 | 1.33 | +4.5% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 29/08/25 | H | 3-2 | |
| 06/12/24 | A | 1-1 | |
| 20/07/24 | H | 1-2 |
GKS Katowice| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 26/07/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 23/05/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 17/05/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 10/05/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 03/05/26 | H | 5-1 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 17/04/26 | H | 3-2 | |
| 12/04/26 | A | 3-3 | |
| 09/04/26 | A | 3-3 |
Radomiak Radom| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 23/05/26 | A | 6-2 | |
| 16/05/26 | H | 1-3 | |
| 11/05/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 04/05/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 06/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 20/03/26 | A | 3-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Legia Warszawa | 5 | 11 | 60% | 2.2 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 2.8 | 80% | 40% | 40% | 7.8 | 20% | 2.5 | 0% | 26.4 | 60% | 40 | 12 | 7 | 21 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 52% |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 3 | 9 | 100% | 3.0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 3.3 | 100% | 100% | 33% | 9.3 | 33% | 6.3 | 67% | 27.7 | 100% | 29 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 52% |
| 3 | Cracovia Krakow | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 2.0 | 60% | 40% | 20% | 13.2 | 100% | 2.6 | 40% | 23.0 | 60% | 33 | 15 | 3 | 15 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 50% |
| 4 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 7 | 67% | 2.3 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 2.0 | 67% | 67% | 0% | 11.7 | 67% | 3.3 | 33% | 25.0 | 67% | 53 | 21 | 8 | 23 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 58% |
| 5 | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 2.8 | 75% | 50% | 50% | 8.0 | 25% | 3.2 | 25% | 24.2 | 50% | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 52% |
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 2.2 | 75% | 50% | 25% | 11.8 | 75% | 3.0 | 33% | 25.8 | 75% | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 40% |
| 7 | Wisla Krakow | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 4.0 | 100% | 100% | 40% | 11.2 | 60% | 4.4 | 60% | 25.4 | 80% | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - |
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 3.2 | 75% | 75% | 50% | 9.5 | 75% | 5.0 | 75% | 25.0 | 100% | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 46% |
| 9 | Widzew Łódź | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 3.0 | 80% | 60% | 40% | 10.8 | 60% | 5.4 | 80% | 27.6 | 100% | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 49% |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 6 | 67% | 2.0 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 2.0 | 67% | 33% | 0% | 8.7 | 33% | 3.7 | 33% | 26.0 | 67% | 62 | 43 | 2 | 17 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 58% |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 2.0 | 75% | 25% | 0% | 10.5 | 25% | 3.5 | 25% | 31.8 | 100% | 16 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 46% |
| 12 | Slask Wroclaw | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3.0 | 80% | 80% | 20% | 8.8 | 40% | 4.2 | 60% | 23.2 | 80% | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.6 | - |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 2.8 | 80% | 60% | 40% | 6.2 | 0% | 4.8 | 60% | 23.2 | 60% | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 51% |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4.2 | 100% | 60% | 40% | 11.6 | 40% | 2.2 | 0% | 23.0 | 40% | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 56% |
| 15 | Wisla Plock | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 2.8 | 75% | 75% | 25% | 11.5 | 75% | 3.5 | 50% | 25.8 | 100% | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 43% |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 3.2 | 80% | 80% | 60% | 8.0 | 40% | 6.6 | 60% | 29.2 | 100% | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 51% |
| 17 | Wieczysta Kraków | 4 | 3 | 25% | 0.8 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4.5 | 100% | 100% | 50% | 11.0 | 50% | 3.8 | 25% | 26.5 | 50% | 12 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | - |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3.0 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 9.3 | 33% | 2.7 | 33% | 25.0 | 100% | 48 | 18 | 18 | 12 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 54% |