GKS Katowice is favored to win this match, and the overall shape of the contest suggests a closely contested encounter. The home side's recent form is a storyline worth noting, as they're coming off a win and have a decent record at home, scoring an average of 2.25 goals and conceding just 0.83 per match against opponents of similar strength.
The model predicts a 48% chance of a home win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 25% chance of an away win. The expected total number of goals is 2.7, with the single most likely score being 1-1, occurring with a probability of 12.9%. GKS Katowice has a strong home form, while Wisla Plock struggles when away, scoring an average of 0.92 goals and conceding 1.33.
The model's selection is the Home win, with a suggested pick of Under 3.5, which has a 70.4% probability. Another suggested pick is Over 1.5, with a 77.1% probability, indicating a slight edge for the home side. The home win percentage is 48%, the draw percentage is 27%, and the away win percentage is 25%.
Results analysis
The win extends GKS Katowice’s recent run, with a 5-0 triumph over Wisla Plock confirming the model’s prediction of a home victory. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was assigned a 47 % probability and proved correct. The model’s selections performed strongly: Under 7.5 hit at 99.1 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.9 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.9 %, Under 6.5 at 97.3 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.0 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 93.8 %, Under 5.5 at 93.0 %, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 92.9 %. All picks settled as hit, reflecting the dominant home form and the away side’s defensive struggles.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
GKS Katowice win✓ Hit
46.8%
Avg Implied 48.0% · @ 1.94
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.00
Dafabet
2.00
SBO
1.99
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Draw✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.60
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.80
10Bet
3.80
Pinnacle
3.74
Dafabet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.62
Wisla Plock win✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.55
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.80
Unibet
3.75
Pinnacle
3.68
888Sport
3.60
Dafabet
3.60
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
GKS Katowice
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.13
2.20
1.00
1.13
1.27
vs Stronger (7)
1.86
1.86
2.00
1.33
1.75
2.25
vs Similar (23)
1.61
0.91
2.25
0.92
0.91
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Wisla Plock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wisla Plock
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.27
0.69
1.08
1.18
1.41
vs Stronger (6)
1.50
1.17
1.00
0.50
1.75
1.50
vs Similar (24)
0.83
1.29
0.64
1.18
1.00
1.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (GKS Katowice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.6%
@ 1.20+0.8%
Under 1.5
21.4%
@ 4.21-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
888Sport
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.56
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.9%
@ 1.66-2.7%
Under 2.5
46.1%
@ 2.16+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Under
Betfair
2.30
Pinnacle
2.25
10Bet
2.20
Betano
2.18
Marathonbet
2.16
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.6%
@ 2.60-4.1%
Under 3.5
68.4%
@ 1.45+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.75
Pinnacle
2.67
10Bet
2.65
888Sport
2.63
Betfair
2.63
Under
Pinnacle
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Betfair
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.3%
@ 1.58-1.6%
No
42.7%
@ 2.26+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.64
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.60
888Sport
1.57
Superbet
1.57
No
Betfair
2.38
William Hil
2.30
BetVictor
2.30
888Sport
2.30
Betano
2.30
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%@ 6.84+6.1%
2-1
9.5%@ 7.93+3.8%
1-0
8.5%@ 8.60+3.3%
2-0
7.9%@ 10.01+3.5%
0-0
7.0%@ 12.47+3.4%
1-2
6.8%@ 11.03+2.8%
0-1
5.8%@ 11.83+2.1%
2-2
5.6%@ 11.50+1.7%
GKS Katowice goals ↓
Wisla Plock goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
5.8%
4.2%
1.6%
0.5%
1
8.5%
13%
6.8%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.9%
9.5%
5.6%
2.2%
0.7%
3
4.4%
5.2%
3.1%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.8%
2.1%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = GKS Katowice goals (down), columns = Wisla Plock goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lech Poznan
2.60
Gornik Zabrze
2.40
Legia Warszawa
2.00
GKS Katowice
1.80
Jagiellonia
1.80
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Pogon Szczecin
1.60
Zaglebie Lubin
1.60
Korona Kielce
1.60
Cracovia Krakow
1.33
Piast Gliwice
1.17
Radomiak Radom
1.17
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Slask Wroclaw
1.00
Motor Lublin
0.83
Wisla Plock
0.80
Wieczysta Kraków
0.60
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
GKS Katowice is 1.00 points better than Wisla Plock in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 0.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
GKS Katowice
2.40
Gornik Zabrze
2.20
Wisla Krakow
2.00
Lech Poznan
2.00
Legia Warszawa
2.00
Jagiellonia
1.80
Piast Gliwice
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wieczysta Kraków
1.60
Pogon Szczecin
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.33
Raków Częstochowa
1.20
Korona Kielce
1.20
Radomiak Radom
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Zaglebie Lubin
1.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.00
Wisla Plock
0.60
GKS Katowice is 1.80 goals better than Wisla Plock in terms of goals scored per game (2.40 vs 0.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Legia Warszawa
0.67
Pogon Szczecin
0.80
Zaglebie Lubin
0.80
Korona Kielce
0.80
Lech Poznan
0.80
Cracovia Krakow
1.17
GKS Katowice
1.20
Gornik Zabrze
1.40
Jagiellonia
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Motor Lublin
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wisla Plock
2.00
Piast Gliwice
2.17
Radomiak Radom
2.17
Wieczysta Kraków
2.40
Raków Częstochowa
2.60
GKS Katowice is 0.80 goals better than Wisla Plock in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Jagiellonia
58%
Piast Gliwice
56%
Wieczysta Kraków
54%
Lech Poznan
54%
Gornik Zabrze
53%
Raków Częstochowa
53%
Wisla Plock
52%
Legia Warszawa
52%
Wisla Krakow
52%
Radomiak Radom
50%
GKS Katowice
48%
Cracovia Krakow
48%
Korona Kielce
48%
Slask Wroclaw
47%
Zaglebie Lubin
47%
Widzew Łódź
46%
Motor Lublin
46%
Pogon Szczecin
41%
GKS Katowice is 4.2 percentage points worse than Wisla Plock in terms of average possession (48% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
GKS Katowice
For 4.3 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 12.7 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wisla Plock
For 6.4 · Against 5.7 · Total 12.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.4 · Total 22.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
GKS Katowice
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
11.1
8.3
3.4
3.5
3.3
24.1
24.9
23.4
vs Stronger (12)
10.6
11.3
9.5
3.1
3.3
2.8
24.1
24.5
23.5
vs Similar (38)
9.4
11.0
8.1
3.5
3.6
3.5
24.1
25.0
23.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
55%
77%
32%
48%
50%
46%
64%
68%
59%
% under line
45%
23%
68%
52%
50%
54%
36%
32%
41%
This opponent (Wisla Plock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wisla Plock
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.8
8.7
2.7
2.6
2.8
21.5
21.6
21.5
vs Stronger (10)
10.2
12.2
8.6
2.9
2.0
3.8
21.3
18.8
23.4
vs Similar (37)
9.6
10.4
8.7
2.9
3.0
2.7
21.6
22.4
20.9
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
43%
61%
26%
34%
38%
29%
49%
50%
47%
% under line
57%
39%
74%
66%
62%
71%
51%
50%
53%
This opponent (GKS Katowice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wisla Krakow
12.5
Wieczysta Kraków
11.0
Pogon Szczecin
10.6
Zaglebie Lubin
10.4
Gornik Zabrze
10.2
Slask Wroclaw
10.2
Korona Kielce
10.1
Motor Lublin
10.1
Lech Poznan
10.0
Radomiak Radom
9.9
Cracovia Krakow
9.9
Piast Gliwice
9.9
GKS Katowice
9.8
Wisla Plock
9.7
Jagiellonia
9.6
Legia Warszawa
9.2
Widzew Łódź
9.1
Raków Częstochowa
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Widzew Łódź
5.3
Radomiak Radom
5.0
Motor Lublin
4.9
Raków Częstochowa
4.8
Slask Wroclaw
4.7
Jagiellonia
4.6
Zaglebie Lubin
4.4
Cracovia Krakow
4.4
Legia Warszawa
4.3
Wisla Plock
4.1
Gornik Zabrze
4.1
Korona Kielce
4.0
Pogon Szczecin
3.9
Lech Poznan
3.9
GKS Katowice
3.8
Wisla Krakow
3.8
Wieczysta Kraków
3.8
Piast Gliwice
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radomiak Radom
27.8
Jagiellonia
26.8
Widzew Łódź
26.5
Wieczysta Kraków
26.5
Legia Warszawa
25.9
Korona Kielce
25.6
Motor Lublin
25.3
Cracovia Krakow
25.2
Wisla Krakow
25.0
Raków Częstochowa
24.9
Slask Wroclaw
24.8
Zaglebie Lubin
24.6
Piast Gliwice
24.5
GKS Katowice
23.7
Lech Poznan
23.7
Pogon Szczecin
23.7
Gornik Zabrze
22.9
Wisla Plock
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.7%
@ 1.62-2.5%
Under 9.5
45.3%
@ 2.16+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.68
Superbet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Under
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.25
Marathonbet
2.20
1xBet
2.15
Superbet
2.10
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
55.8%
@ 1.71+1.9%
Under 3.5
44.2%
@ 2.00-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.71
Under
Superbet
2.00
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
66.3%
Under 21.5
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
GKS Katowice or Draw✓ Hit
75.2%
Avg Implied 74.0% · @ 1.26
Edge
+1.3%
47%
27%
26%
covers GKS Katowice + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.31
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
GKS Katowice or Wisla Plock✓ Hit
73.8%
Avg Implied 74.6% · @ 1.25
Edge
-0.8%
47%
27%
26%
covers GKS Katowice + Wisla Plock
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Draw or Wisla Plock✗ Miss
51.0%
Avg Implied 51.5% · @ 1.82
Edge
-0.5%
47%
27%
26%
covers Draw + Wisla Plock
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.91
Betano
1.85
Betfair
1.83
SBO
1.83
Bet365
1.83
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
GKS Katowice over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.8%
@ 1.15+1.0%
Under
18.2%
@ 4.82-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
888Sport
1.15
Under
10Bet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
888Sport
5.00
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
GKS Katowice over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
50.7%
@ 1.78-1.4%
Under
49.3%
@ 1.94+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
2.01
Betfair
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.95
Betano
1.95
GKS Katowice over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
24.3%
@ 3.41-2.9%
Under
75.7%
@ 1.27+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.61
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Unibet
3.45
Superbet
3.45
Under
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
GKS Katowice over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
9.3%
@ 7.48-3.1%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.07+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
888Sport
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
7.30
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
888Sport
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Wisla Plock over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
68.5%
@ 1.33-1.2%
Under
31.5%
@ 3.07+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.38
1xBet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Betano
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
3.25
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Betano
3.10
Wisla Plock over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.1%
@ 2.63-3.3%
Under
67.9%
@ 1.44+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.80
Pinnacle
2.74
10Bet
2.70
888Sport
2.63
Betfair
2.63
Under
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.46
BetVictor
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Wisla Plock over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.1%
@ 6.14-4.0%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.10+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
6.50
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.05
1xBet
6.00
Under
Betfair
1.11
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
888Sport
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Wisla Plock over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 15.94-3.0%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.02+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
19.00
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
888Sport
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to GKS Katowice, so a minus line means GKS Katowice give that many goals of a start and Wisla Plock receive them. At -1, GKS Katowice must win by two or more to land; a one-goal GKS Katowice win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (GKS Katowice)Actual: GKS Katowice
GKS Katowice -2
11.8%
@ 6.57-1.8%
Draw -2
15.3%
@ 5.35-1.4%
Wisla Plock +2
73.0%
@ 1.28+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Superbet
6.50
Unibet
6.40
Marathonbet
6.25
Draw
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.50
Superbet
5.35
10Bet
5.25
Away
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Handicap -1 (GKS Katowice)Actual: GKS Katowice
GKS Katowice -1
27.0%
@ 3.25-0.4%
Draw -1
22.0%
@ 3.73-1.9%
Wisla Plock +1
51.0%
@ 1.83+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Betfair
3.30
Marathonbet
3.20
Unibet
3.15
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.65
Away
10Bet
1.91
Unibet
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Superbet
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Handicap +1 (GKS Katowice)Actual: GKS Katowice
GKS Katowice +1
75.2%
@ 1.26+4.5%
Draw +1
14.6%
@ 5.27-2.4%
Wisla Plock -1
10.2%
@ 7.21-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Draw
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Superbet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.20
Unibet
5.20
Away
Bet365
7.50
Unibet
7.50
10Bet
7.50
Marathonbet
6.85
Superbet
6.70
Handicap +2 (GKS Katowice)Actual: GKS Katowice
GKS Katowice +2
89.8%
@ 1.06+4.0%
Draw +2
7.1%
@ 10.00-2.0%
Wisla Plock -2
3.2%
@ 18.00-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Draw
Bet365
11.00
10Bet
9.00
Away
Bet365
19.00
10Bet
17.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
GKS Katowice
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.53
1.00
0.60
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
0.57
1.00
0.67
0.75
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.74
0.52
1.00
0.58
0.45
0.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Wisla Plock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wisla Plock
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.47
0.54
0.23
0.47
0.65
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.75
0.75
vs Similar (24)
0.46
0.46
0.55
0.27
0.38
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (GKS Katowice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.6%
@ 1.30+1.0%
Under 0.5
27.4%
@ 3.27-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
36.1%
@ 2.39-2.6%
Under 1.5
63.9%
@ 1.52+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.50
Unibet
2.45
Betano
2.42
William Hil
2.40
Betfair
2.40
Under
10Bet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.9%
@ 5.41-2.2%
Under 2.5
85.1%
@ 1.11+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
William Hil
5.80
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
1xBet
5.30
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
GKS Katowice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
59.9%
@ 1.71+5.5%
Under
40.1%
@ 2.04-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
Marathonbet
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Unibet
1.70
Under
1xBet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.02
Superbet
2.00
GKS Katowice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
21.5%
@ 4.48+0.8%
Under
78.5%
@ 1.17-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.70
1xBet
4.50
Superbet
4.45
Betano
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Under
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
GKS Katowice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 11.38-2.1%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.02+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Wisla Plock over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
36.7%
@ 2.21-5.3%
Under
63.3%
@ 1.60+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.29
Unibet
2.25
10Bet
2.20
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.62
1xBet
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.62
Wisla Plock over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.1%
@ 6.98-6.2%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.07+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.40
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
7.00
Superbet
6.90
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
Wisla Plock over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 18.25-4.2%
Under
98.9%
@ 1.01+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
24.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
GKS Katowice
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.60
1.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
1.29
1.00
0.67
1.00
1.75
vs Similar (23)
0.87
0.39
1.25
0.33
0.45
0.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Wisla Plock) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wisla Plock
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.80
0.15
0.85
0.71
0.76
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.67
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.75
vs Similar (24)
0.38
0.83
0.09
0.91
0.62
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (GKS Katowice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.0%
@ 1.18+1.1%
Under 0.5
20.0%
@ 4.40-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Under
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Betano
4.40
1xBet
4.40
Superbet
4.35
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
48.1%
@ 1.87-1.6%
Under 1.5
51.9%
@ 1.84+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.93
Betano
1.88
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Under
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Superbet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
21.5%
@ 3.64-3.9%
Under 2.5
78.5%
@ 1.24+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
Betano
3.60
Marathonbet
3.52
Under
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
GKS Katowice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
67.0%
@ 1.51+5.5%
Under
33.0%
@ 2.41-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.52
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.49
Under
1xBet
2.45
Betano
2.42
Superbet
2.37
GKS Katowice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
28.5%
@ 3.36+0.9%
Under
71.5%
@ 1.28-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.45
Betano
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.30
Under
Betano
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
GKS Katowice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
7.9%
@ 8.47-3.0%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.04+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.90
Superbet
8.80
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Wisla Plock over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
43.7%
@ 1.83-6.8%
Under
56.3%
@ 1.87+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Betano
1.83
Superbet
1.83
Under
Betano
1.91
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Wisla Plock over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.9%
@ 5.15-7.1%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.13+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.30
Superbet
5.10
Betano
4.90
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Wisla Plock over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 13.38-5.0%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.02+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.3%
1.01
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
888Sport
1.01
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
93.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.0%
1.05
Betano
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.9%
1.07
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
92.1%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+3.0%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
90.7%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
888Sport
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
+3.1%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
89.8%
1.06
Bet365
1.07
10Bet
1.05
-
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.1%
1.13
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
88.9%
1.10
Betfair
1.11
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
888Sport
1.10
Superbet
1.10
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.1%
1.11
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
83.9%
1.17
Betfair
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
+3.8%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
81.8%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
888Sport
1.15
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.0%
1.18
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.15
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.6%
1.20
Unibet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
888Sport
1.20
Superbet
1.20
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
78.5%
1.17
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
-0.8%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.5%
1.24
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
+3.9%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
75.7%
1.27
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
+2.9%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
75.5%
1.28
Superbet
1.28
-
-
-
-
+4.7%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
75.2%
1.26
Betano
1.31
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
75.2%
1.26
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.23
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.8%
1.25
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
73.0%
1.28
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
+3.2%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.6%
1.30
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
71.5%
1.28
Betano
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
-
-0.9%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
GKS Katowice
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ilia Shkurin60%
Bartosz Nowak20%
Arkadiusz Jędrych20%
Eman Marković20%
Pau Resta20%
Szymon Bartlewicz20%
Erik Jirka0%
Lukas Klemenz0%
Mateusz Wdowiak0%
Alan Czerwiński0%
Marcin Wasielewski0%
Bartosz Wolski0%
Borja Galán0%
Gabriel Kobylak0%
Kacper Łukasiak0%
Mateusz Kowalczyk0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lukas Klemenz60%
Marcin Wasielewski50%
Alan Czerwiński25%
Kacper Łukasiak25%
Arkadiusz Jędrych20%
Borja Galán20%
Pau Resta20%
Erik Jirka0%
Ilia Shkurin0%
Mateusz Wdowiak0%
Bartosz Nowak0%
Bartosz Wolski0%
Eman Marković0%
Gabriel Kobylak0%
Mateusz Kowalczyk0%
Szymon Bartlewicz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bartosz Nowak60%
Alan Czerwiński25%
Ilia Shkurin20%
Borja Galán20%
Erik Jirka0%
Lukas Klemenz0%
Mateusz Wdowiak0%
Marcin Wasielewski0%
Arkadiusz Jędrych0%
Bartosz Wolski0%
Eman Marković0%
Pau Resta0%
Gabriel Kobylak0%
Kacper Łukasiak0%
Mateusz Kowalczyk0%
Szymon Bartlewicz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ilia Shkurin80%
Eman Marković40%
Pau Resta20%
Erik Jirka0%
Lukas Klemenz0%
Mateusz Wdowiak0%
Alan Czerwiński0%
Marcin Wasielewski0%
Bartosz Nowak0%
Arkadiusz Jędrych0%
Bartosz Wolski0%
Borja Galán0%
Gabriel Kobylak0%
Kacper Łukasiak0%
Mateusz Kowalczyk0%
Szymon Bartlewicz0%
Wisla Plock
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marcin Flis33%
Žan Rogelj20%
Said Hamulić20%
Marcin Kamiński0%
Jurica Pršir0%
Patryk Kun0%
Łukasz Sekulski0%
Rafał Leszczyński0%
Fabian Hiszpański0%
Dani Pacheco0%
Adam Radwański0%
Marcus Haglind Sangre0%
Jime0%
Olaf Kobacki0%
Krystian Pomorski0%
Dion Gallapeni0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jurica Pršir67%
Dion Gallapeni50%
Marcin Flis33%
Dani Pacheco33%
Olaf Kobacki25%
Marcus Haglind Sangre20%
Marcin Kamiński0%
Patryk Kun0%
Łukasz Sekulski0%
Rafał Leszczyński0%
Fabian Hiszpański0%
Adam Radwański0%
Žan Rogelj0%
Jime0%
Krystian Pomorski0%
Said Hamulić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dani Pacheco33%
Marcin Kamiński0%
Jurica Pršir0%
Patryk Kun0%
Łukasz Sekulski0%
Marcin Flis0%
Rafał Leszczyński0%
Fabian Hiszpański0%
Adam Radwański0%
Žan Rogelj0%
Marcus Haglind Sangre0%
Jime0%
Olaf Kobacki0%
Krystian Pomorski0%
Said Hamulić0%
Dion Gallapeni0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Said Hamulić60%
Marcin Flis33%
Marcin Kamiński0%
Jurica Pršir0%
Patryk Kun0%
Łukasz Sekulski0%
Rafał Leszczyński0%
Fabian Hiszpański0%
Dani Pacheco0%
Adam Radwański0%
Žan Rogelj0%
Marcus Haglind Sangre0%
Jime0%
Olaf Kobacki0%
Krystian Pomorski0%
Dion Gallapeni0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (25)
€58m
WŁ (29)
€43m
RC (27)
€33m
JAG (26)
€30m
GZ (27)
€29m
CK (26)
€21m
LW (25)
€20m
PS (27)
€20m
ZL (28)
€19m
ML (20)
€19m
KK (23)
€16m
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
WK (22)
€12m
RR (25)
€11m
PG (22)
€9m
SW (22)
€7m
GKS Katowice and Wisla Plock have a similar squad value (both €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WŁ (13)
€21m
LP (10)
€21m
GZ (13)
€17m
JAG (11)
€12m
CK (12)
€11m
ZL (11)
€10m
LW (12)
€10m
ML (10)
€10m
RC (9)
€9m
PS (13)
€8m
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
RR (9)
€4m
PG (11)
€4m
WP (7)
€4m
KK (7)
€3m
GK (7)
€3m
SW (5)
€2m
GKS Katowice and Wisla Plock have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (12)
€14m
LP (3)
€9m
KK (8)
€7m
WŁ (5)
€7m
GZ (4)
€6m
GK (10)
€6m
LW (7)
€4m
ZL (4)
€4m
JAG (5)
€3m
SW (9)
€3m
PS (5)
€3m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
CK (4)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
WK (3)
€1m
RR (4)
€1m
PG (1)
€0m
GKS Katowice's midfield is €3m more valuable than Wisla Plock's (€6m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (12)
€28m
JAG (10)
€15m
WŁ (11)
€15m
RC (6)
€9m
PS (9)
€9m
CK (10)
€8m
ML (8)
€6m
GZ (10)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
LW (6)
€6m
RR (12)
€6m
KK (8)
€5m
WK (12)
€5m
ZL (13)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
PG (10)
€4m
SW (8)
€2m
GKS Katowice's defence is €2m less valuable than Wisla Plock's (€4m vs €6m).
Poland: Ekstraklasa 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: Ekstraklasa stats & trends →
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Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
Gornik Zabrze
Wisla Krakow
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
Piast Gliwice
Radomiak Radom
Widzew Łódź
Slask Wroclaw
Motor Lublin
Wieczysta Kraków
Raków Częstochowa