Guimaraes are expected to dominate Arouca in this match, with a 51% chance of a home win and a 26% chance of a draw. Arouca's 23% chance of an away win is the least likely outcome. The expected total number of goals is 2.8, indicating a relatively low-scoring match. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, occurring 12.4% of the time.
Guimaraes have been struggling at home, scoring an average of 2 goals per game against weaker opponents, while conceding just 0.38 goals. Arouca, on the other hand, have been poor away from home, scoring 0.5 goals per game against stronger opponents, while conceding 2.5 goals.
The model suggests selecting Over 21.5 fouls (86.1%), Over 1.5 goals (78.2% with a 5% edge), and Over 3.5 cards (75.9%). Guimaraes have a 51% chance of winning, a 26% chance of drawing, and a 23% chance of losing.
Results analysis
In a stunning turn of events, Arouca secured a 0-1 away win, ending Guimaraes' 5-game losing streak. The win extends their run to 4 games, having previously beaten Guimaraes 1-0. Guimaraes, the pre-match favourite with a 54% chance of winning, failed to come through, as the model's selection of a home win was incorrect. The model's selection had a 54% probability of winning. The model's selection of Over 3.5 cards proved correct, with a 75.9% probability of success. The model's selection of Over 21.5 fouls and Over 1.5 goals both missed, with 86.1% and 81.6% probabilities respectively.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Guimaraes win✗ Miss
54.1%
Avg Implied 48.9% · @ 1.92
Edge
+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.98
Dafabet
1.97
Superbet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
Betano
1.93
Draw✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied 27.0% · @ 3.47
Edge
-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.65
1xBet
3.62
Dafabet
3.55
Betano
3.50
Unibet
3.50
Arouca win✓ Hit
21.5%
Avg Implied 24.1% · @ 3.90
Edge
-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.01
Betano
4.00
Pinnacle
4.00
Dafabet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Guimaraes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.37
1.56
1.00
0.86
1.79
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
3.17
0.33
2.67
1.00
3.67
vs Similar (10)
0.90
0.80
1.17
0.67
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (14)
1.71
1.00
2.43
0.57
1.00
1.43
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Arouca) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arouca
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.77
1.50
1.71
1.25
1.81
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
2.88
1.00
2.80
0.33
3.00
vs Similar (22)
1.59
1.36
1.78
1.11
1.46
1.54
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.6%
@ 1.28+8.5%
Under 1.5
18.4%
@ 3.48-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
888Sport
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
Under
Betfair
3.70
Pinnacle
3.67
Superbet
3.60
BetVictor
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.5%
@ 1.91+8.9%
Under 2.5
41.5%
@ 1.87-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.96
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.95
Betano
1.95
10Bet
1.93
Under
SBO
1.93
1xBet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.92
Betano
1.88
Superbet
1.88
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.1%
@ 3.24+7.2%
Under 3.5
63.9%
@ 1.31-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.33
Betfair
3.30
10Bet
3.30
888Sport
3.30
BetVictor
3.30
Under
Pinnacle
1.34
Superbet
1.34
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.8%
@ 1.75+5.8%
No
41.2%
@ 1.97-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.77
William Hil
1.75
10Bet
1.75
No
Betfair
2.05
BetVictor
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%@ 6.24+4.3%
2-1
9.8%@ 7.95+4.2%
2-0
8.7%@ 8.77+3.6%
1-0
8.1%@ 6.86+1.6%
3-1
6.2%@ 13.99+3.1%
1-2
5.9%@ 11.93+2.2%
0-0
5.8%@ 9.53+1.2%
2-2
5.6%@ 13.27+2.2%
Guimaraes goals ↓
Arouca goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
4.4%
3.1%
1.2%
0.3%
1
8.1%
11%
5.9%
2.2%
0.6%
2
8.7%
9.8%
5.6%
2.1%
0.6%
3
5.5%
6.2%
3.5%
1.3%
0.4%
4
2.6%
3.0%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Guimaraes goals (down), columns = Arouca goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Porto
2.59
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
SC Braga
1.74
Famalicao
1.65
GIL Vicente
1.47
Moreirense
1.26
Arouca
1.24
Guimaraes
1.24
Estoril
1.15
Alverca
1.15
Maritimo
1.12
Academico Viseu
1.10
Rio Ave
1.06
Santa Clara
1.06
Nacional
1.00
Casa Pia
0.94
Estrela
0.88
Guimaraes and Arouca are level in average points per game (both 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.62
Benfica
2.18
FC Porto
1.94
SC Braga
1.88
Estoril
1.59
Arouca
1.38
GIL Vicente
1.38
Famalicao
1.24
Guimaraes
1.15
Estrela
1.12
Moreirense
1.09
Nacional
1.09
Maritimo
1.08
Academico Viseu
1.06
Rio Ave
1.03
Alverca
1.03
Santa Clara
0.94
Casa Pia
0.92
Guimaraes is 0.24 goals worse than Arouca in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.38).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.53
Sporting CP
0.71
Benfica
0.74
Famalicao
0.85
SC Braga
1.06
GIL Vicente
1.12
Santa Clara
1.21
Nacional
1.32
Moreirense
1.44
Guimaraes
1.50
Alverca
1.53
Maritimo
1.55
Academico Viseu
1.58
Casa Pia
1.58
Estrela
1.65
Estoril
1.68
Rio Ave
1.68
Arouca
1.88
Guimaraes is 0.38 goals better than Arouca in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.88).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
SC Braga
63%
Sporting CP
62%
Benfica
58%
FC Porto
55%
Estoril
53%
Guimaraes
51%
Famalicao
51%
Arouca
50%
GIL Vicente
50%
Moreirense
50%
Santa Clara
48%
Rio Ave
47%
Estrela
47%
Nacional
46%
Alverca
45%
Casa Pia
41%
Guimaraes is 1.2 percentage points better than Arouca in terms of average possession (51% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Guimaraes
For 4.7 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 15.1 · Total 28.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Arouca
For 3.7 · Against 5.9 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 11.3 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Guimaraes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
9.5
7.9
5.0
5.5
4.5
29.1
28.9
29.3
vs Stronger (10)
8.2
8.2
8.2
5.4
7.0
3.8
27.8
28.6
27.0
vs Similar (18)
9.6
10.7
8.4
5.4
5.7
5.2
29.5
27.9
31.1
vs Weaker (22)
8.3
9.2
7.2
4.5
4.8
4.3
29.3
29.8
28.7
% over line
40%
56%
22%
70%
65%
75%
92%
92%
91%
% under line
60%
44%
78%
30%
35%
25%
8%
8%
9%
This opponent (Arouca) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arouca
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.6
8.7
5.3
6.2
4.4
26.5
27.8
25.0
vs Stronger (14)
10.0
10.0
10.0
5.8
7.5
4.5
23.7
25.2
22.6
vs Similar (35)
8.7
9.3
7.9
5.2
6.0
4.4
27.5
28.5
26.3
vs Weaker (1)
13.0
13.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
32.0
32.0
-
% over line
42%
48%
35%
74%
84%
64%
79%
88%
70%
% under line
58%
52%
65%
26%
16%
36%
21%
12%
30%
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Famalicao
10.7
Nacional
10.3
Rio Ave
10.2
Sporting CP
10.2
Benfica
10.1
Academico Viseu
10.1
Casa Pia
9.7
Arouca
9.1
GIL Vicente
9.1
Estrela
9.0
Alverca
9.0
Estoril
8.9
Santa Clara
8.9
Guimaraes
8.9
FC Porto
8.7
Maritimo
8.3
SC Braga
8.2
Moreirense
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.1
Maritimo
5.9
Casa Pia
5.8
Academico Viseu
5.8
Arouca
5.6
Estrela
5.6
Nacional
5.5
FC Porto
5.4
Famalicao
5.4
Benfica
5.3
Guimaraes
5.3
Sporting CP
5.2
Moreirense
5.0
Rio Ave
5.0
SC Braga
4.9
Alverca
4.8
GIL Vicente
4.8
Estoril
4.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
32.3
Santa Clara
30.4
Estrela
30.4
Moreirense
29.4
Casa Pia
29.4
Guimaraes
29.1
GIL Vicente
28.0
Rio Ave
27.6
Nacional
27.4
Estoril
27.0
Arouca
26.7
Sporting CP
26.3
FC Porto
26.3
Benfica
25.7
SC Braga
23.9
Academico Viseu
23.0
Alverca
22.6
Maritimo
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
44.2%
@ 1.94-3.5%
Under 9.5
55.8%
@ 1.77+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.97
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.93
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.81
Betano
1.80
Unibet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.7%
Under 3.5
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
85.2%
Under 21.5
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Guimaraes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.60
0.44
0.38
0.50
0.86
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.33
0.00
0.67
0.33
2.00
vs Similar (10)
0.20
0.50
0.17
0.33
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (14)
0.79
0.36
0.86
0.29
0.71
0.43
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Arouca) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arouca
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.90
0.57
0.93
0.50
0.88
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
1.38
0.40
1.40
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.73
0.67
0.67
0.62
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Guimaraes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Guimaraes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.77
1.12
0.62
0.36
0.93
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.83
0.33
2.00
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.30
1.00
0.33
0.25
0.25
vs Weaker (14)
0.93
0.64
1.57
0.29
0.29
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Arouca) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arouca
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.87
0.93
0.79
0.75
0.94
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.50
0.60
1.40
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (22)
0.95
0.64
1.11
0.44
0.85
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Guimaraes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
81.6%
1.28
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
888Sport
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
+8.5%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
78.1%
1.27
Superbet
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Guimaraes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Samu25%
Alioune Ndoye25%
Gustavo Silva25%
Oliwier Zych0%
Óscar Rivas0%
João Mendes0%
Beni Mukendi0%
Telmo Arcanjo0%
Lohann Doucet0%
Gonçalo Nogueira0%
Thiago Balieiro0%
Tony Strata0%
Miguel Nogueira0%
Oumar Camara0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Óscar Rivas50%
Gustavo Silva50%
Miguel Nogueira50%
Gonçalo Nogueira25%
Thiago Balieiro25%
Tony Strata25%
Oumar Camara25%
Samu0%
Oliwier Zych0%
João Mendes0%
Beni Mukendi0%
Telmo Arcanjo0%
Alioune Ndoye0%
Lohann Doucet0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Miguel Nogueira50%
Tony Strata25%
Samu0%
Oliwier Zych0%
Óscar Rivas0%
João Mendes0%
Beni Mukendi0%
Telmo Arcanjo0%
Alioune Ndoye0%
Lohann Doucet0%
Gonçalo Nogueira0%
Thiago Balieiro0%
Gustavo Silva0%
Oumar Camara0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alioune Ndoye75%
Gustavo Silva50%
Samu25%
Tony Strata25%
Oliwier Zych0%
Óscar Rivas0%
João Mendes0%
Beni Mukendi0%
Telmo Arcanjo0%
Lohann Doucet0%
Gonçalo Nogueira0%
Thiago Balieiro0%
Miguel Nogueira0%
Oumar Camara0%
Arouca
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ivan Barbero75%
Jose Fontán25%
Dylan Nandín25%
Espen Van Ee25%
Javi Sánchez0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Naïs Djouahra0%
Ignacio de Arruabarrena0%
Tiago Esgaio0%
Pablo Gozálbez0%
Brian Mansilla0%
Alfonso Trezza0%
Taichi Fukui0%
Pedro Santos0%
Hyun-ju Lee0%
Mateo Flores0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Javi Sánchez50%
Dylan Nandín50%
Hyun-ju Lee33%
Ivan Barbero25%
Orest Lebedenko25%
Ignacio de Arruabarrena25%
Naïs Djouahra0%
Tiago Esgaio0%
Pablo Gozálbez0%
Brian Mansilla0%
Jose Fontán0%
Alfonso Trezza0%
Taichi Fukui0%
Pedro Santos0%
Mateo Flores0%
Espen Van Ee0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Naïs Djouahra50%
Hyun-ju Lee33%
Pablo Gozálbez25%
Alfonso Trezza25%
Javi Sánchez0%
Ivan Barbero0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Ignacio de Arruabarrena0%
Tiago Esgaio0%
Brian Mansilla0%
Jose Fontán0%
Dylan Nandín0%
Taichi Fukui0%
Pedro Santos0%
Mateo Flores0%
Espen Van Ee0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ivan Barbero25%
Naïs Djouahra25%
Taichi Fukui25%
Javi Sánchez0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Ignacio de Arruabarrena0%
Tiago Esgaio0%
Pablo Gozálbez0%
Brian Mansilla0%
Jose Fontán0%
Alfonso Trezza0%
Dylan Nandín0%
Pedro Santos0%
Hyun-ju Lee0%
Mateo Flores0%
Espen Van Ee0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
Guimaraes's squad is €18m more valuable than Arouca's (€46m vs €28m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
AV (11)
€8m
MAR (10)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
MOR (5)
€5m
Guimaraes's attack is €11m more valuable than Arouca's (€22m vs €11m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
MAR (6)
€3m
EST (5)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
Guimaraes's midfield is €3m more valuable than Arouca's (€11m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
Guimaraes's defence is €4m more valuable than Arouca's (€12m vs €8m).
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →
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FC Porto
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
Benfica
GIL Vicente
Maritimo
Estrela
SC Braga
Nacional
Moreirense
Rio Ave
Famalicao
Academico Viseu
Alverca
Estoril
Casa Pia