PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Inter vs AC Milan Result & Analysis

Date: 16/09/2023
Time: 16:00
Final 5-1
Inter
Inter
Vs
55%
26%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Inter win✓ Hit
55.0%
Avg Implied 44.6% · @ 2.15
Edge
+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.52
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AC Milan win✗ Miss
18.7%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.41
Edge
-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

InterInter

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W42W10W13L32W10W01L20W20W40WA·AC 10/05H·SAS13/05H·AC 16/05A·NAP21/05H·ATA27/05A·TOR03/06A·MAN10/06H·MON19/08A·CAG28/08H·FIO03/09
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.670.731.800.871.530.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.330.831.501.001.170.67
vs Weaker (18)1.890.672.000.781.780.56
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W02L02L01L51W10W31W20W41W21WH·LAZ06/05H·INT10/05A·SPE13/05A·INT16/05H·SAM20/05A·JUV28/05H·HEL04/06A·BOL21/08H·TOR26/08A·AS 01/09
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.031.790.861.061.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.070.871.200.401.001.10
vs Weaker (15)1.731.202.111.111.171.33
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.4%
Under 1.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.2%
@ 1.89-2.4%
Under 2.5
51.8%
@ 1.94+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.5%
Under 3.5
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.7%
No
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.5%
3-0
6.1%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
Inter goals ↓
AC Milan goals →
01234
08.5%5.6%3.0%0.9%0.2%
111%13%5.1%1.5%0.3%
211%9.7%4.4%1.3%0.3%
36.1%5.5%2.5%0.7%0.2%
42.6%2.3%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Inter goals (down), columns = AC Milan goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter
2.47
AC Milan
1.97
Juventus
1.87
Atalanta
1.82
Bologna
1.79
AS Roma
1.66
Lazio
1.61
Fiorentina
1.58
Napoli
1.39
Torino
1.39
Genoa
1.29
Monza
1.18
Lecce
1.00
Hellas Verona
1.00
Udinese
0.97
Cagliari
0.95
Empoli
0.95
Frosinone
0.92
Sassuolo
0.79
Salernitana
0.45
Inter is 0.50 points better than AC Milan in terms of average points per game (2.47 vs 1.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
AC Milan
2.00
Atalanta
1.89
AS Roma
1.71
Fiorentina
1.61
Napoli
1.45
Bologna
1.42
Juventus
1.42
Lazio
1.29
Genoa
1.18
Frosinone
1.16
Sassuolo
1.13
Cagliari
1.11
Monza
1.03
Hellas Verona
1.00
Udinese
0.97
Torino
0.95
Salernitana
0.84
Lecce
0.84
Empoli
0.76
Inter is 0.34 goals better than AC Milan in terms of goals scored per game (2.34 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Inter
0.58
Juventus
0.82
Bologna
0.84
Torino
0.95
Lazio
1.03
Atalanta
1.11
Genoa
1.18
Fiorentina
1.21
AS Roma
1.21
Napoli
1.26
AC Milan
1.29
Monza
1.34
Hellas Verona
1.34
Udinese
1.39
Lecce
1.42
Empoli
1.42
Cagliari
1.79
Frosinone
1.82
Sassuolo
1.97
Salernitana
2.13
Inter is 0.71 goals better than AC Milan in terms of goals conceded per game (0.58 vs 1.29).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Napoli
61%
Bologna
58%
Fiorentina
58%
Inter
57%
AC Milan
57%
AS Roma
55%
Monza
54%
Lazio
53%
Torino
52%
Atalanta
51%
Frosinone
50%
Juventus
48%
Lecce
45%
Hellas Verona
44%
Salernitana
44%
Genoa
44%
Empoli
44%
Sassuolo
44%
Cagliari
42%
Udinese
39%
Inter is 0.2 percentage points better than AC Milan in terms of average possession (57% vs 57%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

InterInter

For 4.7 · Against 3.1 · Total 7.8

🚩 Corners

110117483425332466436621111685101096H·FIOA·CAGH·MONA·MANH·AC A·AC H·BENA·BENA·FC H·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

6011111132241232133142225633365H·FIOA·CAGH·MONA·MANH·AC A·AC H·BENA·BENA·FC H·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 12.7 · Total 26.1

⚠️ Fouls

370131210981317111522161413109111811151425192128373023202929H·FIOA·CAGH·MONA·MANH·AC A·AC H·BENA·BENA·FC H·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AC MilanAC Milan

For 2.8 · Against 6.1 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

1705321633523116310638839851713611A·AS H·TORA·BOLA·INTH·INTA·NAPH·NAPA·TOTH·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.4

🟨 Cards

1005223224221223715227546341064A·AS H·TORA·BOLA·INTH·INTA·NAPH·NAPA·TOTH·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 14.3 · Total 28.2

⚠️ Fouls

37015141316410221514161214161312181713292914373026293030A·AS H·TORA·BOLA·INTH·INTA·NAPH·NAPA·TOTH·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

InterInter

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.59.51.31.21.424.423.825.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (21)9.59.69.32.42.32.526.325.427.0
vs Weaker (29)9.69.310.00.50.40.620.221.019.0
% over line44%50%38%16%12%20%56%50%62%
% under line56%50%62%84%88%80%44%50%38%
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)7.96.98.91.51.51.626.526.026.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (26)8.27.58.92.62.42.827.225.528.7
vs Weaker (24)6.03.09.00.40.50.321.529.014.0
% over line20%29%12%22%17%27%73%71%75%
% under line80%71%88%78%83%73%27%29%25%
This opponent (Inter) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Salernitana
10.6
Empoli
10.6
Sassuolo
10.4
Frosinone
10.3
Monza
10.3
Udinese
10.2
Inter
10.1
Juventus
9.5
Napoli
9.5
Lecce
9.5
Atalanta
9.4
Hellas Verona
9.4
AS Roma
9.4
Bologna
9.3
Torino
9.1
Genoa
9.1
AC Milan
8.9
Cagliari
8.9
Fiorentina
8.6
Lazio
8.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
AS Roma
6.2
Frosinone
5.6
Lazio
5.4
Salernitana
5.2
Lecce
5.1
Fiorentina
5.1
Torino
5.1
Udinese
5.1
Monza
5.0
Hellas Verona
4.9
Atalanta
4.8
Juventus
4.7
AC Milan
4.7
Genoa
4.6
Bologna
4.6
Napoli
4.6
Sassuolo
4.5
Cagliari
4.4
Empoli
4.4
Inter
4.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Frosinone
30.6
Monza
30.3
Lecce
30.3
Torino
29.4
Hellas Verona
28.2
Udinese
28.0
Salernitana
27.9
Genoa
27.8
Cagliari
27.2
Fiorentina
26.6
Empoli
26.6
Juventus
26.4
AS Roma
26.4
AC Milan
26.2
Atalanta
26.0
Bologna
25.7
Sassuolo
25.6
Napoli
25.3
Lazio
24.0
Inter
24.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.2%
Under 9.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.5%
Under 3.5
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
80.9%
Under 21.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

InterInter

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W00D00D21W10W00D10W20W10WA·AC 10/05H·SAS13/05H·AC 16/05A·NAP21/05H·ATA27/05A·TOR03/06A·MAN10/06H·MON19/08A·CAG28/08H·FIO03/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.200.600.330.730.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.580.250.670.500.500.00
vs Weaker (18)0.720.170.560.220.890.11
Clean sheet %80% (+53pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W02L00D00D31W10W10W20W31W10WH·LAZ06/05H·INT10/05A·SPE13/05A·INT16/05H·SAM20/05A·JUV28/05H·HEL04/06A·BOL21/08H·TOR26/08A·AS 01/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.501.070.500.620.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.670.331.000.400.500.30
vs Weaker (15)1.000.671.110.560.830.83
Clean sheet %70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Inter over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

InterInter

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D32W10W13L11D00D01L10W00D30WA·AC 10/05H·SAS13/05H·AC 16/05A·NAP21/05H·ATA27/05A·TOR03/06A·MAN10/06H·MON19/08A·CAG28/08H·FIO03/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.531.200.530.800.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.750.580.830.500.670.67
vs Weaker (18)1.170.501.440.560.890.44
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L01L20W00D21W00D10W11DH·LAZ06/05H·INT10/05A·SPE13/05A·INT16/05H·SAM20/05A·JUV28/05H·HEL04/06A·BOL21/08H·TOR26/08A·AS 01/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.530.710.360.440.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.400.530.200.000.500.80
vs Weaker (15)0.730.531.000.560.330.50
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Inter over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls90.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls80.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards80.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards73.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Inter
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lautaro Martínez46%
Marcus Thuram33%
Hakan Çalhanoğlu32%
Marko Arnautović19%
Davide Frattesi18%
Federico Dimarco16%
Alexis Sánchez13%
Denzel Dumfries11%
Yann Bisseck11%
Tajon Buchanan10%
Francesco Acerbi9%
Matteo Darmian5%
Nicolò Barella4%
Kristjan Asllani3%
Stefan de Vrij3%
Alessandro Bastoni3%
Henrikh Mkhitaryan2%
Juan Cuadrado0%
Benjamin Pavard0%
Yann Sommer0%
Carlos Augusto0%
Davy Klaassen0%
Emil Audero0%
Stefano Sensi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Benjamin Pavard21%
Hakan Çalhanoğlu18%
Nicolò Barella18%
Lautaro Martínez17%
Juan Cuadrado17%
Alessandro Bastoni14%
Henrikh Mkhitaryan14%
Yann Bisseck11%
Kristjan Asllani10%
Denzel Dumfries8%
Davide Frattesi8%
Marcus Thuram7%
Davy Klaassen6%
Francesco Acerbi6%
Matteo Darmian5%
Carlos Augusto5%
Yann Sommer2%
Stefan de Vrij0%
Alexis Sánchez0%
Marko Arnautović0%
Emil Audero0%
Stefano Sensi0%
Federico Dimarco0%
Tajon Buchanan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Stefano Sensi25%
Henrikh Mkhitaryan19%
Juan Cuadrado17%
Marcus Thuram16%
Federico Dimarco16%
Alexis Sánchez16%
Denzel Dumfries14%
Davide Frattesi13%
Marko Arnautović10%
Nicolò Barella9%
Alessandro Bastoni9%
Hakan Çalhanoğlu8%
Lautaro Martínez7%
Benjamin Pavard7%
Kristjan Asllani7%
Francesco Acerbi6%
Carlos Augusto5%
Matteo Darmian2%
Stefan de Vrij0%
Yann Sommer0%
Yann Bisseck0%
Davy Klaassen0%
Emil Audero0%
Tajon Buchanan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lautaro Martínez46%
Marcus Thuram23%
Yann Bisseck11%
Marko Arnautović10%
Federico Dimarco8%
Hakan Çalhanoğlu8%
Davide Frattesi8%
Henrikh Mkhitaryan5%
Alexis Sánchez3%
Denzel Dumfries3%
Carlos Augusto2%
Nicolò Barella2%
Stefan de Vrij0%
Juan Cuadrado0%
Matteo Darmian0%
Francesco Acerbi0%
Benjamin Pavard0%
Yann Sommer0%
Davy Klaassen0%
Emil Audero0%
Stefano Sensi0%
Alessandro Bastoni0%
Tajon Buchanan0%
Kristjan Asllani0%
AC Milan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chaka Traorè33%
Olivier Giroud33%
Christian Pulišić29%
Rafael Leão29%
Luka Jović25%
Jan-Carlo Simić25%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek21%
Noah Okafor17%
Matteo Gabbia12%
Fikayo Tomori11%
Theo Hernández11%
Samuel Chukwueze9%
Tijjani Reijnders8%
Ismaël Bennacer8%
Yacine Adli3%
Alessandro Florenzi3%
Davide Calabria3%
Simon Kjær0%
Mike Maignan0%
Rade Krunić0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Tommaso Pobega0%
Yunus Musah0%
Pierre Kalulu0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Luka Romero0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Kevin Zeroli0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rade Krunić36%
Álex Jiménez33%
Fikayo Tomori31%
Matteo Gabbia29%
Theo Hernández27%
Luka Romero25%
Yunus Musah23%
Alessandro Florenzi21%
Malick Thiaw20%
Filippo Terracciano20%
Tijjani Reijnders19%
Davide Calabria18%
Yacine Adli16%
Rafael Leão16%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek15%
Luka Jović14%
Pierre Kalulu9%
Ismaël Bennacer8%
Mike Maignan7%
Christian Pulišić6%
Olivier Giroud4%
Simon Kjær4%
Samuel Chukwueze3%
Noah Okafor3%
Marco Sportiello0%
Tommaso Pobega0%
Chaka Traorè0%
Jan-Carlo Simić0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Kevin Zeroli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafael Leão24%
Olivier Giroud20%
Christian Pulišić19%
Theo Hernández18%
Alessandro Florenzi15%
Davide Calabria10%
Samuel Chukwueze9%
Noah Okafor8%
Ismaël Bennacer8%
Tijjani Reijnders6%
Yunus Musah5%
Simon Kjær4%
Matteo Gabbia4%
Luka Jović4%
Malick Thiaw3%
Yacine Adli3%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek3%
Mike Maignan2%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Rade Krunić0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Tommaso Pobega0%
Pierre Kalulu0%
Luka Romero0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Chaka Traorè0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Jan-Carlo Simić0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Kevin Zeroli0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Olivier Giroud35%
Rafael Leão20%
Alessandro Florenzi13%
Theo Hernández11%
Christian Pulišić8%
Noah Okafor6%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek5%
Luka Jović4%
Tijjani Reijnders2%
Yacine Adli0%
Davide Calabria0%
Samuel Chukwueze0%
Simon Kjær0%
Ismaël Bennacer0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Rade Krunić0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Tommaso Pobega0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Yunus Musah0%
Pierre Kalulu0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Luka Romero0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Chaka Traorè0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Jan-Carlo Simić0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Kevin Zeroli0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
CAG (31)
€134m
FRO (33)
€84m
LEC (31)
€72m
MON (29)
€70m
HV (34)
€57m
EMP (27)
€20m
Inter's squad is €109m more valuable than AC Milan's (€694m vs €585m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
FRO (8)
€34m
MON (11)
€26m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
EMP (9)
€11m
Inter's attack is €4m less valuable than AC Milan's (€220m vs €223m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
CAG (9)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
HV (9)
€14m
EMP (9)
€6m
Inter's midfield is €79m more valuable than AC Milan's (€232m vs €153m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
FRO (14)
€24m
MON (11)
€20m
EMP (9)
€4m
Inter's defence is €33m more valuable than AC Milan's (€242m vs €209m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
INT wins
1
Draws
3
AM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Inter vs AC Milan · H/A from INT
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/23HINT Vs AC Milan1-0
10/05/23AAC Milan Vs INT0-2
05/02/23HINT Vs AC Milan1-0
03/09/22AAC Milan Vs INT3-2
05/02/22HINT Vs AC Milan1-2
07/11/21AAC Milan Vs INT1-1
21/02/21AAC Milan Vs INT0-3
17/10/20HINT Vs AC Milan1-2

InterInter

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/23HINT Vs Fiorentina4-0
28/08/23ACagliari Vs INT0-2
19/08/23HINT Vs Monza2-0
10/06/23AManchester City Vs INT1-0
03/06/23ATorino Vs INT0-1
27/05/23HINT Vs Atalanta3-2
21/05/23ANapoli Vs INT3-1
16/05/23HINT Vs AC Milan1-0
13/05/23HINT Vs Sassuolo4-2
10/05/23AAC Milan Vs INT0-2

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/23AAS Roma Vs AM1-2
26/08/23HAM Vs Torino4-1
21/08/23ABologna Vs AM0-2
04/06/23HAM Vs Hellas Verona3-1
28/05/23AJuventus Vs AM0-1
20/05/23HAM Vs Sampdoria5-1
16/05/23AInter Vs AM1-0
13/05/23ASpezia Vs AM2-0
10/05/23HAM Vs Inter0-2
06/05/23HAM Vs Lazio2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Inter
Inter
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.92
HomeWWWWW2.20
AwayWLWLW1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%72%48%
AVG goals2.742.602.88
Over 1.5 %68%56%80%
Over 2.5 %44%40%48%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.781.881.68
Conceded0.960.721.20
BTTS36%28%44%
Clean Sheet46%52%40%
Corners9.509.509.50
Cards4.003.624.38
AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.80
HomeWLWWW2.17
AwayLLWWW1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%67%38%
AVG goals2.663.002.35
Over 1.5 %78%83%73%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %30%38%23%
Scored1.602.001.23
Conceded1.061.001.12
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet34%38%31%
Corners7.936.868.88
Cards5.135.145.12

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1InterInter3894
76%
2.5
8922+67
2.9
84%
55%
34%
9.8
47%
3.4
41%
22.1
58%
694
2202322422.30.6
57%
2AC MilanAC Milan3875
58%
2.0
7649+27
3.3
74%
66%
50%
9.0
39%
4.9
66%
22.6
50%
585
2231532092.01.3
57%
3JuventusJuventus3871
50%
1.9
5431+23
2.2
63%
39%
18%
9.6
53%
4.3
59%
23.1
63%
569
2401401891.40.8
48%
4AtalantaAtalanta3869
55%
1.8
7242+30
3.0
89%
66%
29%
9.4
42%
4.0
56%
23.2
63%
438
1581281531.91.1
51%
5BolognaBologna3868
47%
1.8
5432+22
2.3
74%
42%
16%
8.7
34%
5.5
82%
25.3
74%
218
10434791.40.8
58%
6AS RomaAS Roma3863
47%
1.7
6546+19
2.9
79%
61%
34%
8.8
42%
5.2
71%
24.0
66%
471
1381182151.71.2
55%
7LazioLazio3861
47%
1.6
4939+10
2.3
68%
39%
21%
9.8
39%
5.4
79%
24.5
71%
240
6086931.31.0
53%
8FiorentinaFiorentina3860
45%
1.6
6146+15
2.8
74%
53%
34%
8.3
32%
4.3
63%
24.7
76%
330
125107981.61.2
58%
9NapoliNapoli3853
34%
1.4
5548+7
2.7
79%
55%
32%
9.8
58%
4.7
69%
22.6
66%
459
2061011521.41.3
61%
10TorinoTorino3853
34%
1.4
3636+0
1.9
63%
32%
11%
8.4
42%
4.3
68%
23.8
66%
144
4346540.90.9
52%
11GenoaGenoa3849
32%
1.3
4545+0
2.4
68%
42%
18%
9.1
45%
4.7
68%
23.7
74%
182
5444841.21.2
44%
12MonzaMonza3845
29%
1.2
3951-12
2.4
66%
39%
21%
9.5
50%
4.6
62%
23.4
53%
70
2624201.01.3
54%
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3838
24%
1.0
3851-13
2.3
63%
50%
24%
9.4
45%
4.7
76%
26.8
76%
57
1314301.01.3
44%
14LecceLecce3838
21%
1.0
3254-22
2.3
74%
37%
18%
9.5
47%
5.1
70%
26.6
87%
72
2016370.81.4
45%
15UdineseUdinese3837
16%
1.0
3753-16
2.4
79%
37%
21%
10.7
68%
5.0
70%
24.8
79%
157
4639721.01.4
39%
16EmpoliEmpoli3836
24%
0.9
2954-25
2.2
63%
32%
13%
10.8
68%
4.3
71%
27.7
89%
20
11640.81.4
44%
17CagliariCagliari3836
21%
0.9
4268-26
2.9
84%
58%
32%
10.3
53%
4.5
58%
23.8
66%
134
5131521.11.8
42%
18FrosinoneFrosinone3835
21%
0.9
4469-25
3.0
79%
61%
37%
10.3
66%
4.2
70%
22.9
63%
84
3427241.21.8
50%
19SassuoloSassuolo3830
18%
0.8
4375-32
3.1
79%
55%
32%
10.7
66%
4.1
65%
21.3
39%
194
9053521.12.0
44%
20SalernitanaSalernitana3817
5%
0.4
3281-49
3.0
87%
66%
32%
10.9
68%
4.6
63%
24.9
84%
0
0000.82.1
44%
Italy: Serie A 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches