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Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: 23/09/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Istra 1961
Istra 1961
Vs
40%
33%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
HNK Gorica
HNK Gorica
Croatia: HNL
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Defensive solidity will shape the match, with Istra 1961 averaging 0.6 goals conceded at home and HNK Gorica conceding 1.0 on the road. The model favours a home win, with a 40% chance, a draw at 33%, and an away win at 27%. The expected total is 2.1 goals, centring on a 2-goal total with a 28% probability. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.6% chance. Istra’s home form shows 1.3 goals scored and 0.6 conceded against similar opposition, while Gorica’s away form yields 1.43 scored and 1.0 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 3.5 goals at 84.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 84.0%, Over 19.5 fouls at 83.0%, Over 2.5 cards at 79.1%, Under 10.5 corners at 75.2%, Under 5.5 cards at 75.1%, and Over 21.5 fouls at 70.1%. The model’s selections reflect a tight, low-scoring encounter.

Results analysis

The upset came early as HNK Gorica edged Istra 1961 1-0, overturning the pre-match favourite. The model had tipped a home win with a 40% probability, but that call proved wrong. The final score of 0-1 confirmed an away victory. The model’s other selections all hit: Under 3.5 goals at 84.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 84.0%, Over 19.5 fouls at 83.0%, Over 2.5 cards at 79.1%, Under 10.5 corners at 75.2%, Under 5.5 cards at 75.1% and Over 21.5 fouls at 70.1%. Istra were coming off a draw in their last five, while Gorica had also drawn before this match, yet the away side’s form and the match’s low-scoring nature delivered the surprise.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Istra 1961 win✗ Miss
40.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica win✓ Hit
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Istra 1961Istra 1961

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-613L11D11D03L06L44D22D00D10W01LA·NK 21/05H·NK 27/05A·NK 23/07H·DIN29/07A·HNK06/08H·NK 13/08A·NK 19/08H·RUD27/08A·HNK02/09A·NK 17/09
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.301.130.730.871.87
vs Stronger (10)0.901.600.801.001.002.20
vs Similar (20)1.051.151.300.600.801.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Gorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HNK GoricaHNK Gorica

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L52W14L11D10W00D01L22D20W21WA·IST13/05H·NK 20/05A·DIN28/05H·NK 23/07H·NK 29/07A·DIN05/08A·NK 20/08H·NK 25/08A·RUD02/09H·HNK17/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.201.471.000.871.40
vs Stronger (13)0.691.231.200.400.381.75
vs Similar (17)1.531.181.601.301.431.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Istra 1961) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%024%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
62.5%
Under 1.5
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.1%
Under 2.5
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.5%
Under 3.5
84.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.3%
No
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
14.0%
1-0
13.3%
0-1 ✓
10.2%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.2%
Istra 1961 goals ↓
HNK Gorica goals →
01234
014%10%5.2%1.6%0.4%
113%15%6.0%1.8%0.4%
28.5%7.7%3.5%1.1%0.2%
33.3%3.0%1.4%0.4%0.1%
41.0%0.9%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Istra 1961 goals (down), columns = HNK Gorica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dinamo Zagreb
2.28
HNK Rijeka
2.06
HNK Hajduk Split
1.89
NK Osijek
1.58
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.42
NK Varazdin
1.17
HNK Gorica
1.14
Istra 1961
1.14
NK Slaven Belupo
0.92
Rudes
0.25
Istra 1961 and HNK Gorica are level in average points per game (both 1.14).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
HNK Rijeka
1.92
Dinamo Zagreb
1.86
NK Osijek
1.72
HNK Hajduk Split
1.50
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.44
NK Slaven Belupo
1.19
NK Varazdin
1.08
Istra 1961
1.00
HNK Gorica
0.97
Rudes
0.61
Istra 1961 is 0.03 goals better than HNK Gorica in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
HNK Hajduk Split
0.72
Dinamo Zagreb
0.83
HNK Rijeka
0.83
NK Osijek
1.19
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.25
NK Varazdin
1.31
HNK Gorica
1.39
Istra 1961
1.50
NK Slaven Belupo
1.92
Rudes
2.36
Istra 1961 is 0.11 goals worse than HNK Gorica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.39).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Dinamo Zagreb
61%
HNK Hajduk Split
54%
NK Osijek
53%
HNK Rijeka
53%
NK Varazdin
49%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
49%
Istra 1961
48%
Rudes
45%
NK Slaven Belupo
45%
HNK Gorica
43%
Istra 1961 is 5.3 percentage points better than HNK Gorica in terms of average possession (48% vs 43%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Istra 1961Istra 1961

For 3.5 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.4

🚩 Corners

130346663272152439267631012596612813A·NK A·HNKH·RUDA·NK H·NK A·HNKH·DINA·NK H·NK A·NK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

80324223532431125355658641285A·NK A·HNKH·RUDA·NK H·NK A·HNKH·DINA·NK H·NK A·NK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 13.2 · Total 25.5

⚠️ Fouls

3202111141418861314189111011131191592032282619322021242429A·NK A·HNKH·RUDA·NK H·NK A·HNKH·DINA·NK H·NK A·NK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

HNK GoricaHNK Gorica

For 3.6 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.1

🚩 Corners

120465312105155734845310831061077128H·HNKA·RUDA·NK A·DINH·NK H·NK A·DINH·NK A·ISTH·NK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.1

🟨 Cards

50211323211221122143425241334H·HNKA·RUDA·NK A·DINH·NK H·NK A·DINH·NK A·ISTH·NK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 10.1 · Total 21.0

⚠️ Fouls

2501411118989101112141064169131161825191719232410252424H·HNKA·RUDA·NK A·DINH·NK H·NK A·DINH·NK A·ISTH·NK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Istra 1961Istra 1961

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (44)8.07.88.25.04.95.125.626.724.7
vs Stronger (15)7.76.98.54.94.35.425.527.323.9
vs Similar (29)8.18.28.15.15.15.025.726.425.1
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line30%24%35%75%81%70%86%90%83%
% under line70%76%65%25%19%30%14%10%17%
This opponent (HNK Gorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HNK GoricaHNK Gorica

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (43)8.58.88.25.04.65.524.223.424.9
vs Stronger (19)8.18.37.85.25.35.123.924.423.5
vs Similar (24)8.99.28.64.94.15.824.322.726.2
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line36%43%29%63%55%71%76%81%71%
% under line64%57%71%37%45%29%24%19%29%
This opponent (Istra 1961) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Rudes
10.4
NK Varazdin
9.5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
9.3
HNK Rijeka
9.0
NK Osijek
8.8
HNK Hajduk Split
8.7
HNK Gorica
8.5
NK Slaven Belupo
8.3
Istra 1961
8.0
Dinamo Zagreb
7.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
HNK Rijeka
5.2
HNK Gorica
5.1
Istra 1961
5.0
NK Osijek
4.8
HNK Hajduk Split
4.7
NK Slaven Belupo
4.5
NK Varazdin
4.4
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
4.4
Dinamo Zagreb
3.5
Rudes
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Istra 1961
25.6
NK Varazdin
25.3
HNK Rijeka
25.3
NK Osijek
24.9
HNK Gorica
24.2
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
24.1
HNK Hajduk Split
23.9
NK Slaven Belupo
23.6
Rudes
22.4
Dinamo Zagreb
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
36.1%
Under 9.5
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.7%
Under 3.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
70.1%
Under 21.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Istra 1961Istra 1961

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D10W01L03L11D12L00D00D00DA·NK 21/05H·NK 27/05A·NK 23/07H·DIN29/07A·HNK06/08H·NK 13/08A·NK 19/08H·RUD27/08A·HNK02/09A·NK 17/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.530.330.200.470.87
vs Stronger (10)0.400.800.200.400.601.20
vs Similar (20)0.400.400.400.100.400.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Gorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HNK GoricaHNK Gorica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W12L10W00D00D01L10W20W00DA·IST13/05H·NK 20/05A·DIN28/05H·NK 23/07H·NK 29/07A·DIN05/08A·NK 20/08H·NK 25/08A·RUD02/09H·HNK17/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.400.400.330.530.47
vs Stronger (13)0.150.380.000.000.250.62
vs Similar (17)0.710.410.600.500.860.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Istra 1961) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Istra 1961 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Istra 1961Istra 1961

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D01L02L03L33D10W00D10W01LA·NK 21/05H·NK 27/05A·NK 23/07H·DIN29/07A·HNK06/08H·NK 13/08A·NK 19/08H·RUD27/08A·HNK02/09A·NK 17/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.770.800.530.401.00
vs Stronger (10)0.500.800.600.600.401.00
vs Similar (20)0.650.750.900.500.401.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Gorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HNK GoricaHNK Gorica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D31W02L01L10W00D00D12L00D21WA·IST13/05H·NK 20/05A·DIN28/05H·NK 23/07H·NK 29/07A·DIN05/08A·NK 20/08H·NK 25/08A·RUD02/09H·HNK17/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.801.070.670.330.93
vs Stronger (13)0.540.851.200.400.121.12
vs Similar (17)0.820.761.000.800.570.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Istra 1961) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Istra 1961 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.584.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners84.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls83.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards79.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners75.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards75.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls70.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Istra 1961
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ante Erceg29%
Hamza Jaganjac20%
Matej Vuk18%
Salim Figo Lawal17%
Elias Filet15%
Emmanuel Ekong14%
Mateo Lisica12%
Frano Mlinar11%
Sebastián Nebyla10%
Mario Čuić7%
Darwin Matheus6%
Antonio Maurić5%
Moris Valinčić4%
Dario Marešić3%
Ante Majstorović3%
Luka Hujber0%
Lovro Majkić0%
Terrence Douglas0%
Mladen Devetak0%
Eric Björkander0%
Zoran Josipović0%
Slavko Blagojević0%
Advan Kadušić0%
Ville Koski0%
Ivan Ćalušić0%
Oleksandr Petrusenko0%
Iurie Iovu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ante Erceg48%
Slavko Blagojević33%
Dario Marešić32%
Advan Kadušić32%
Oleksandr Petrusenko28%
Zoran Josipović25%
Luka Hujber22%
Sebastián Nebyla20%
Hamza Jaganjac20%
Iurie Iovu18%
Ivan Ćalušić18%
Moris Valinčić17%
Mladen Devetak17%
Terrence Douglas15%
Mario Čuić13%
Ante Majstorović12%
Matej Vuk11%
Frano Mlinar11%
Emmanuel Ekong10%
Salim Figo Lawal8%
Darwin Matheus6%
Lovro Majkić6%
Elias Filet5%
Antonio Maurić5%
Eric Björkander0%
Ville Koski0%
Mateo Lisica0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Darwin Matheus12%
Ante Erceg10%
Emmanuel Ekong10%
Moris Valinčić9%
Ville Koski8%
Slavko Blagojević7%
Matej Vuk7%
Oleksandr Petrusenko7%
Mladen Devetak7%
Frano Mlinar5%
Elias Filet5%
Antonio Maurić5%
Luka Hujber4%
Advan Kadušić4%
Mateo Lisica4%
Ante Majstorović3%
Dario Marešić0%
Lovro Majkić0%
Mario Čuić0%
Terrence Douglas0%
Eric Björkander0%
Zoran Josipović0%
Ivan Ćalušić0%
Sebastián Nebyla0%
Iurie Iovu0%
Hamza Jaganjac0%
Salim Figo Lawal0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ante Erceg24%
Elias Filet15%
Matej Vuk14%
Zoran Josipović12%
Emmanuel Ekong10%
Salim Figo Lawal8%
Mario Čuić7%
Darwin Matheus6%
Moris Valinčić4%
Slavko Blagojević4%
Dario Marešić0%
Luka Hujber0%
Ante Majstorović0%
Frano Mlinar0%
Lovro Majkić0%
Terrence Douglas0%
Mladen Devetak0%
Eric Björkander0%
Advan Kadušić0%
Ville Koski0%
Ivan Ćalušić0%
Sebastián Nebyla0%
Oleksandr Petrusenko0%
Mateo Lisica0%
Iurie Iovu0%
Hamza Jaganjac0%
Antonio Maurić0%
HNK Gorica
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tim Matavž21%
Nikola Vujnović15%
Gabrijel Rukavina13%
Ante Matej Jurić13%
Josip Mitrović13%
Valentino Majstorović12%
Sven Blummel11%
Jurica Pršir9%
Marko Soldo9%
Dino Štiglec6%
Momčilo Raspopović0%
Krešimir Krizmanić0%
Martin Šroler0%
Ivan Banić0%
Mateo Leš0%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Mario Maloča0%
Božidar Radošević0%
Filip Mrzljak0%
Merveil Ndockyt0%
Lenny Ilečić0%
Andrej Lazarov0%
Luka Kapulica0%
Mario Matković0%
Sekou Matar Sagna0%
Arona Fall0%
Luka Vrzić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mario Matković38%
Andrej Lazarov33%
Ante Matej Jurić30%
Merveil Ndockyt25%
Jurica Pršir24%
Marko Soldo21%
Filip Mrzljak17%
Momčilo Raspopović17%
Alexander Munksgaard15%
Mateo Leš13%
Sven Blummel11%
Josip Mitrović10%
Ivan Banić6%
Mario Maloča6%
Dino Štiglec6%
Valentino Majstorović6%
Luka Kapulica4%
Nikola Vujnović4%
Krešimir Krizmanić0%
Martin Šroler0%
Božidar Radošević0%
Tim Matavž0%
Lenny Ilečić0%
Gabrijel Rukavina0%
Sekou Matar Sagna0%
Arona Fall0%
Luka Vrzić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dino Štiglec18%
Ante Matej Jurić13%
Krešimir Krizmanić11%
Josip Mitrović10%
Jurica Pršir9%
Tim Matavž8%
Merveil Ndockyt8%
Lenny Ilečić7%
Momčilo Raspopović6%
Luka Kapulica4%
Filip Mrzljak3%
Marko Soldo3%
Martin Šroler0%
Ivan Banić0%
Mateo Leš0%
Valentino Majstorović0%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Mario Maloča0%
Božidar Radošević0%
Sven Blummel0%
Nikola Vujnović0%
Andrej Lazarov0%
Gabrijel Rukavina0%
Mario Matković0%
Sekou Matar Sagna0%
Arona Fall0%
Luka Vrzić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikola Vujnović19%
Josip Mitrović13%
Merveil Ndockyt8%
Ante Matej Jurić7%
Jurica Pršir6%
Momčilo Raspopović6%
Tim Matavž4%
Dino Štiglec3%
Krešimir Krizmanić0%
Martin Šroler0%
Ivan Banić0%
Mateo Leš0%
Valentino Majstorović0%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Mario Maloča0%
Božidar Radošević0%
Sven Blummel0%
Filip Mrzljak0%
Lenny Ilečić0%
Andrej Lazarov0%
Gabrijel Rukavina0%
Marko Soldo0%
Luka Kapulica0%
Mario Matković0%
Sekou Matar Sagna0%
Arona Fall0%
Luka Vrzić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
RUD (27)
€5m
Istra 1961's squad is €3m more valuable than HNK Gorica's (€11m vs €9m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
RUD (13)
€3m
Istra 1961 and HNK Gorica have a similar attack value (both €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
Istra 1961 and HNK Gorica have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
RUD (10)
€1m
Istra 1961's defence is €2m more valuable than HNK Gorica's (€5m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
I1 wins
0
Draws
1
HG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica · H/A from I1
DateH/AGameScore
13/05/23HI1 Vs HNK Gorica1-0
10/03/23AHNK Gorica Vs I15-4
04/11/22HI1 Vs HNK Gorica1-0
26/08/22AHNK Gorica Vs I10-2

Istra 1961Istra 1961

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/09/23ANK Varazdin Vs I11-0
02/09/23AHNK Hajduk Split Vs I10-1
27/08/23HI1 Vs Rudes0-0
19/08/23ANK Slaven Belupo Vs I12-2
13/08/23HI1 Vs NK Osijek4-4
06/08/23AHNK Rijeka Vs I16-0
29/07/23HI1 Vs Dinamo Zagreb0-3
23/07/23ANK Lokomotiva Zagreb Vs I11-1
27/05/23HI1 Vs NK Slaven Belupo1-1
21/05/23ANK Lokomotiva Zagreb Vs I13-1

HNK GoricaHNK Gorica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/09/23HHG Vs HNK Hajduk Split2-1
02/09/23ARudes Vs HG0-2
25/08/23HHG Vs NK Slaven Belupo2-2
20/08/23ANK Osijek Vs HG1-0
05/08/23ADinamo Zagreb Vs HG0-0
29/07/23HHG Vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1-0
23/07/23HHG Vs NK Varazdin1-1
28/05/23ADinamo Zagreb Vs HG4-1
20/05/23HHG Vs NK Varazdin5-2
13/05/23AIstra 1961 Vs HG1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Istra 1961
Istra 1961
Croatia: HNL
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWL1.20
HomeWDLDD1.52
AwayDLDWL0.91
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%38%17%
AVG goals2.251.862.61
Over 1.5 %59%52%65%
Over 2.5 %36%33%39%
Over 3.5 %20%5%35%
Scored1.001.001.00
Conceded1.250.861.61
BTTS34%29%39%
Clean Sheet43%57%30%
Corners8.007.768.22
Cards5.004.865.13
HNK Gorica
HNK Gorica
Croatia: HNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWW1.02
HomeWDWDW1.45
AwayLLDLW0.57
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %23%36%10%
AVG goals2.302.232.38
Over 1.5 %65%55%76%
Over 2.5 %37%27%48%
Over 3.5 %19%18%19%
Scored1.021.140.90
Conceded1.281.091.48
BTTS47%36%57%
Clean Sheet28%36%19%
Corners8.528.818.24
Cards5.144.815.48

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb3682
69%
2.3
6730+37
2.7
69%
56%
22%
9.1
47%
4.7
74%
25.2
72%
66
332301.90.8
61%
2HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka3674
64%
2.1
6930+39
2.8
78%
58%
28%
8.5
36%
4.9
81%
26.8
89%
34
21581.90.8
53%
3HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split3668
58%
1.9
5426+28
2.2
61%
39%
11%
9.3
50%
4.3
57%
26.0
78%
34
158111.50.7
54%
4NK OsijekNK Osijek3657
44%
1.6
6243+19
2.9
78%
53%
28%
9.2
42%
4.5
64%
26.9
81%
15
9141.71.2
53%
5NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb3651
33%
1.4
5245+7
2.7
75%
53%
31%
10.7
72%
4.6
58%
27.3
92%
10
3341.41.2
49%
6NK VarazdinNK Varazdin3642
28%
1.2
3947-8
2.4
69%
36%
28%
9.4
46%
4.3
69%
27.1
89%
11
6151.11.3
49%
7HNK GoricaHNK Gorica3641
31%
1.1
3550-15
2.4
72%
50%
14%
8.7
40%
3.9
50%
24.0
63%
9
4231.01.4
43%
8Istra 1961Istra 19613641
28%
1.1
3654-18
2.5
72%
44%
25%
8.6
39%
4.9
80%
29.9
86%
11
4251.01.5
48%
9NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo3633
25%
0.9
4369-26
3.1
69%
61%
47%
9.1
46%
4.6
65%
25.9
69%
8
3231.21.9
45%
10RudesRudes369
3%
0.2
2285-63
3.0
78%
61%
33%
9.8
54%
3.8
41%
25.3
86%
5
3110.62.4
45%
Croatia: HNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches