This opponent (Korona Kielce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Korona Kielce
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.13
1.29
1.07
1.06
1.19
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
2.17
1.00
2.33
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.21
0.88
1.36
0.73
1.08
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Jagiellonia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.0%
Under 1.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.5%
Under 2.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.2%
Under 3.5
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.4%
No
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
1-0 ✓
9.6%
0-0
6.8%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
Jagiellonia goals ↓
Korona Kielce goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.8%
4.6%
2.9%
1.0%
0.2%
1
9.6%
12%
5.3%
1.8%
0.4%
2
9.9%
9.9%
5.0%
1.7%
0.4%
3
6.2%
6.2%
3.1%
1.0%
0.3%
4
2.9%
2.9%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Jagiellonia goals (down), columns = Korona Kielce goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lech Poznan
2.50
Gornik Zabrze
2.25
Jagiellonia
2.25
Legia Warszawa
2.00
GKS Katowice
1.80
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Pogon Szczecin
1.60
Zaglebie Lubin
1.60
Korona Kielce
1.60
Cracovia Krakow
1.33
Piast Gliwice
1.17
Radomiak Radom
1.17
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Slask Wroclaw
1.00
Motor Lublin
0.83
Wisla Plock
0.80
Wieczysta Kraków
0.60
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
Jagiellonia is 0.65 points better than Korona Kielce in terms of average points per game (2.25 vs 1.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
GKS Katowice
2.40
Gornik Zabrze
2.25
Wisla Krakow
2.00
Jagiellonia
2.00
Lech Poznan
2.00
Legia Warszawa
2.00
Piast Gliwice
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wieczysta Kraków
1.60
Pogon Szczecin
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.33
Raków Częstochowa
1.25
Korona Kielce
1.20
Radomiak Radom
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Zaglebie Lubin
1.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.00
Wisla Plock
0.60
Jagiellonia is 0.80 goals better than Korona Kielce in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Legia Warszawa
0.67
Lech Poznan
0.75
Pogon Szczecin
0.80
Zaglebie Lubin
0.80
Korona Kielce
0.80
Cracovia Krakow
1.17
GKS Katowice
1.20
Jagiellonia
1.25
Gornik Zabrze
1.50
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Motor Lublin
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wisla Plock
2.00
Piast Gliwice
2.17
Radomiak Radom
2.17
Wieczysta Kraków
2.40
Raków Częstochowa
2.75
Jagiellonia is 0.45 goals worse than Korona Kielce in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 0.80).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Jagiellonia
58%
Piast Gliwice
56%
Wieczysta Kraków
54%
Lech Poznan
54%
Gornik Zabrze
53%
Raków Częstochowa
53%
Wisla Plock
52%
Legia Warszawa
52%
Wisla Krakow
52%
Radomiak Radom
50%
GKS Katowice
48%
Cracovia Krakow
48%
Korona Kielce
48%
Slask Wroclaw
47%
Zaglebie Lubin
47%
Widzew Łódź
46%
Motor Lublin
46%
Pogon Szczecin
41%
Jagiellonia is 10.1 percentage points better than Korona Kielce in terms of average possession (58% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Jagiellonia
For 5.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 13.1 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Korona Kielce
For 4.2 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 11.8 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Jagiellonia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.6
9.8
4.1
3.8
4.3
26.7
27.0
26.3
vs Stronger (1)
13.0
-
13.0
6.0
-
6.0
24.0
-
24.0
vs Similar (16)
9.3
9.2
9.4
4.5
4.1
5.0
27.6
30.0
24.6
vs Weaker (33)
9.8
9.8
9.8
3.8
3.7
4.0
26.2
25.0
27.3
% over line
50%
45%
55%
54%
50%
58%
70%
68%
73%
% under line
50%
55%
45%
46%
50%
42%
30%
32%
27%
This opponent (Korona Kielce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Korona Kielce
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.0
10.2
3.6
3.7
3.5
25.0
25.7
24.3
vs Stronger (11)
9.8
10.2
9.4
2.8
3.2
2.4
22.8
23.0
22.6
vs Similar (39)
10.2
9.9
10.4
3.8
3.8
3.7
25.7
26.7
24.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
48%
52%
46%
43%
48%
72%
74%
70%
% under line
50%
52%
48%
54%
57%
52%
28%
26%
30%
This opponent (Jagiellonia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Pogon Szczecin
10.7
Zaglebie Lubin
10.6
Motor Lublin
10.3
Gornik Zabrze
10.2
GKS Katowice
10.2
Korona Kielce
10.1
Radomiak Radom
10.1
Lech Poznan
10.0
Jagiellonia
9.9
Slask Wroclaw
9.9
Piast Gliwice
9.8
Cracovia Krakow
9.7
Wisla Plock
9.7
Legia Warszawa
9.5
Widzew Łódź
9.1
Raków Częstochowa
8.2
Wieczysta Kraków
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Wieczysta Kraków
10.0
Widzew Łódź
5.1
Motor Lublin
5.1
Raków Częstochowa
5.0
Radomiak Radom
4.9
Slask Wroclaw
4.8
Jagiellonia
4.7
Cracovia Krakow
4.6
Zaglebie Lubin
4.4
Legia Warszawa
4.3
Wisla Plock
4.2
Korona Kielce
4.1
Pogon Szczecin
3.9
Gornik Zabrze
3.9
Piast Gliwice
3.8
Lech Poznan
3.8
GKS Katowice
3.7
Wisla Krakow
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Wieczysta Kraków
38.0
Radomiak Radom
27.7
Jagiellonia
26.5
Widzew Łódź
26.0
Legia Warszawa
25.8
Motor Lublin
25.6
Cracovia Krakow
25.3
Korona Kielce
25.1
Piast Gliwice
25.0
Raków Częstochowa
24.9
Slask Wroclaw
24.9
Zaglebie Lubin
24.4
Pogon Szczecin
23.7
Lech Poznan
23.4
GKS Katowice
23.1
Gornik Zabrze
22.5
Wisla Plock
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
49.2%
Under 9.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
61.6%
Under 3.5
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
80.8%
Under 21.5
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Jagiellonia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
0.71
0.57
0.75
0.50
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (11)
0.82
0.45
0.62
0.50
1.33
0.33
vs Weaker (18)
0.72
0.61
0.83
0.67
0.67
0.58
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Korona Kielce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Korona Kielce
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.43
0.71
0.50
0.50
0.38
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.00
0.67
1.67
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.29
0.73
0.18
0.54
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Jagiellonia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Jagiellonia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jagiellonia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jagiellonia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Korona Kielce over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Korona Kielce over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Korona Kielce over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Jagiellonia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.70
0.64
0.86
0.69
0.56
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (11)
0.64
0.82
0.50
1.12
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (18)
0.72
0.67
0.83
0.50
0.67
0.75
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Korona Kielce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Korona Kielce
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.57
0.57
0.56
0.81
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.17
0.33
0.67
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (24)
0.58
0.58
0.64
0.55
0.54
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Jagiellonia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Jagiellonia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jagiellonia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jagiellonia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Korona Kielce over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Korona Kielce over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Korona Kielce over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Jagiellonia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nik Prelec75%
Youssuf Sylla33%
Jesús Imaz25%
Sergio Lozano25%
Guilherme Montóia25%
Yuki Kobayashi0%
Taras Romanczuk0%
Kamil Jóźwiak0%
Kajetan Szmyt0%
Rodrigo Conceição0%
Norbert Wojtuszek0%
Apostolos Konstantopoulos0%
Bernardo Vital0%
Sławomir Abramowicz0%
Jeremy Agbonifo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Guilherme Montóia50%
Kamil Jóźwiak33%
Apostolos Konstantopoulos33%
Bernardo Vital33%
Jeremy Agbonifo33%
Nik Prelec25%
Yuki Kobayashi0%
Taras Romanczuk0%
Jesús Imaz0%
Kajetan Szmyt0%
Rodrigo Conceição0%
Norbert Wojtuszek0%
Sergio Lozano0%
Youssuf Sylla0%
Sławomir Abramowicz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kajetan Szmyt25%
Sergio Lozano25%
Nik Prelec25%
Yuki Kobayashi0%
Taras Romanczuk0%
Jesús Imaz0%
Kamil Jóźwiak0%
Rodrigo Conceição0%
Norbert Wojtuszek0%
Apostolos Konstantopoulos0%
Bernardo Vital0%
Youssuf Sylla0%
Sławomir Abramowicz0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Jeremy Agbonifo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jesús Imaz50%
Kajetan Szmyt25%
Sergio Lozano25%
Yuki Kobayashi0%
Taras Romanczuk0%
Kamil Jóźwiak0%
Rodrigo Conceição0%
Norbert Wojtuszek0%
Nik Prelec0%
Apostolos Konstantopoulos0%
Bernardo Vital0%
Youssuf Sylla0%
Sławomir Abramowicz0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Jeremy Agbonifo0%
Korona Kielce
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mariusz Stępiński75%
Morgan Fassbender25%
Constantinos Sotiriou0%
Wiktor Długosz0%
Slobodan Rubežić0%
Nono0%
Patrik Hellebrand0%
Martin Remacle0%
Ariel Mosór0%
Marcel Pięczek0%
Xavier Dziekoński0%
Kamil Jakubczyk0%
Daniel Bąk0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kamil Jakubczyk50%
Slobodan Rubežić33%
Wiktor Długosz25%
Patrik Hellebrand25%
Morgan Fassbender25%
Constantinos Sotiriou0%
Mariusz Stępiński0%
Nono0%
Martin Remacle0%
Ariel Mosór0%
Marcel Pięczek0%
Xavier Dziekoński0%
Daniel Bąk0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Wiktor Długosz50%
Martin Remacle25%
Constantinos Sotiriou0%
Mariusz Stępiński0%
Slobodan Rubežić0%
Nono0%
Patrik Hellebrand0%
Ariel Mosór0%
Marcel Pięczek0%
Morgan Fassbender0%
Xavier Dziekoński0%
Kamil Jakubczyk0%
Daniel Bąk0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mariusz Stępiński50%
Wiktor Długosz25%
Morgan Fassbender25%
Constantinos Sotiriou0%
Slobodan Rubežić0%
Nono0%
Patrik Hellebrand0%
Martin Remacle0%
Ariel Mosór0%
Marcel Pięczek0%
Xavier Dziekoński0%
Kamil Jakubczyk0%
Daniel Bąk0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (25)
€58m
WŁ (29)
€43m
RC (27)
€33m
JAG (26)
€30m
GZ (27)
€29m
CK (26)
€21m
LW (25)
€20m
PS (27)
€20m
ZL (28)
€19m
ML (20)
€19m
KK (23)
€16m
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
WK (22)
€12m
RR (25)
€11m
PG (22)
€9m
SW (22)
€7m
Jagiellonia's squad is €14m more valuable than Korona Kielce's (€30m vs €16m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WŁ (13)
€21m
LP (10)
€21m
GZ (13)
€17m
JAG (11)
€12m
CK (12)
€11m
ZL (11)
€10m
LW (12)
€10m
ML (10)
€10m
RC (9)
€9m
PS (13)
€8m
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
RR (9)
€4m
PG (11)
€4m
WP (7)
€4m
KK (7)
€3m
GK (7)
€3m
SW (5)
€2m
Jagiellonia's attack is €8m more valuable than Korona Kielce's (€12m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (12)
€14m
LP (3)
€9m
KK (8)
€7m
WŁ (5)
€7m
GZ (4)
€6m
GK (10)
€6m
LW (7)
€4m
ZL (4)
€4m
JAG (5)
€3m
SW (9)
€3m
PS (5)
€3m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
CK (4)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
WK (3)
€1m
RR (4)
€1m
PG (1)
€0m
Jagiellonia's midfield is €4m less valuable than Korona Kielce's (€3m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (12)
€28m
JAG (10)
€15m
WŁ (11)
€15m
RC (6)
€9m
PS (9)
€9m
CK (10)
€8m
ML (8)
€6m
GZ (10)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
LW (6)
€6m
RR (12)
€6m
KK (8)
€5m
WK (12)
€5m
ZL (13)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
PG (10)
€4m
SW (8)
€2m
Jagiellonia's defence is €10m more valuable than Korona Kielce's (€15m vs €5m).
Poland: Ekstraklasa 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: Ekstraklasa stats & trends →