This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paks
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.60
2.13
2.00
1.87
1.20
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.75
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (24)
2.12
1.71
2.25
2.33
2.00
1.08
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
0.00
3.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.3%
Under 1.5
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.6%
Under 2.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.6%
Under 3.5
71.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.9%
No
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.5%
0-0
7.9%
2-1 ✓
7.7%
1-0
7.2%
0-2
7.0%
2-2
5.5%
Kisvarda FC goals ↓
Paks goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.9%
8.5%
7.0%
3.4%
1.2%
1
7.2%
13%
8.8%
4.2%
1.5%
2
5.3%
7.7%
5.5%
2.7%
1.0%
3
2.2%
3.2%
2.3%
1.1%
0.4%
4
0.7%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kisvarda FC goals (down), columns = Paks goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Gyori ETO FC
2.09
Ferencvarosi TC
2.06
Paks
1.61
Debreceni VSC
1.61
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.45
Puskas Academy
1.39
Ujpest
1.21
Kisvarda FC
1.21
Nyiregyhaza
1.21
MTK Budapest
1.15
Diosgyori VTK
0.85
Kazincbarcikai
0.67
Kisvarda FC is 0.39 points worse than Paks in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.61).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.03
Gyori ETO FC
1.97
Paks
1.91
MTK Budapest
1.67
Debreceni VSC
1.55
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.48
Ujpest
1.45
Nyiregyhaza
1.42
Puskas Academy
1.30
Diosgyori VTK
1.18
Kisvarda FC
1.09
Kazincbarcikai
0.94
Kisvarda FC is 0.82 goals worse than Paks in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.91).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gyori ETO FC
0.91
Ferencvarosi TC
0.94
Debreceni VSC
1.24
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.30
Puskas Academy
1.30
Paks
1.39
Kisvarda FC
1.48
Ujpest
1.73
Nyiregyhaza
1.73
MTK Budapest
1.88
Diosgyori VTK
1.97
Kazincbarcikai
2.12
Kisvarda FC is 0.09 goals worse than Paks in terms of goals conceded per game (1.48 vs 1.39).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
57%
Gyori ETO FC
55%
Ujpest
53%
Zalaegerszegi TE
51%
Debreceni VSC
50%
MTK Budapest
49%
Kisvarda FC
49%
Paks
47%
Diosgyori VTK
46%
Puskas Academy
44%
Kisvarda FC is 1.7 percentage points better than Paks in terms of average possession (49% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Kisvarda FC
For 3.7 · Against 5.2 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 10.9 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Paks
For 5.8 · Against 3.2 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 4.3 · Total 6.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.2 · Against 15.9 · Total 32.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kisvarda FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.9
9.1
1.4
1.2
1.7
23.4
21.1
25.3
vs Stronger (4)
9.7
9.0
10.0
2.8
1.5
4.0
27.3
28.0
27.0
vs Similar (44)
10.0
11.1
8.9
1.4
1.2
1.5
22.5
20.1
24.9
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
65%
75%
56%
18%
12%
23%
53%
38%
67%
% under line
35%
25%
44%
82%
88%
77%
47%
62%
33%
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paks
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
11.6
9.9
3.3
4.0
2.8
29.8
30.4
29.3
vs Stronger (7)
11.2
11.7
10.7
5.0
5.7
4.5
30.0
30.7
29.3
vs Similar (40)
10.6
11.6
9.7
3.3
3.9
2.8
29.8
30.3
29.2
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
60%
67%
53%
48%
52%
44%
90%
87%
93%
% under line
40%
33%
47%
52%
48%
56%
10%
13%
7%
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Paks
10.5
Diosgyori VTK
10.2
Kisvarda FC
10.1
Ferencvarosi TC
10.0
Debreceni VSC
9.9
Ujpest
9.7
Puskas Academy
9.5
MTK Budapest
9.4
Zalaegerszegi TE
9.1
Gyori ETO FC
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Debreceni VSC
5.2
Gyori ETO FC
5.1
Zalaegerszegi TE
5.0
Puskas Academy
5.0
Paks
5.0
Ujpest
4.8
Ferencvarosi TC
4.6
Diosgyori VTK
4.5
MTK Budapest
4.4
Kisvarda FC
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Paks
28.2
Puskas Academy
28.1
Debreceni VSC
27.9
Ferencvarosi TC
27.4
Diosgyori VTK
26.3
Gyori ETO FC
25.9
Ujpest
25.6
Zalaegerszegi TE
25.2
MTK Budapest
24.4
Kisvarda FC
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.1%
Under 9.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.6%
Under 3.5
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
81.5%
Under 21.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kisvarda FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.77
0.71
0.79
0.50
0.75
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
0.56
0.64
0.55
0.73
0.57
0.57
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paks
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.67
0.67
0.80
0.87
0.53
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.71
0.75
1.00
0.92
0.42
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kisvarda FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kisvarda FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kisvarda FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kisvarda FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.90
0.86
0.71
0.50
1.06
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.25
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.96
0.82
0.64
0.57
1.21
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paks
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.93
1.47
1.20
1.00
0.67
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.29
1.00
1.50
1.33
1.08
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kisvarda FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kisvarda FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kisvarda FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kisvarda FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tonislav Yordanov25%
Bence Bíró16%
Levente Szőr13%
Branimir Cipetić13%
Krisztián Nagy11%
Hianga'a M'Bock10%
Martin Chlumecký8%
Aleksandar Jovičić6%
Jasmin Mešanović6%
Marko Matanović5%
Gábor Molnár5%
Rilwan Abdulrazaq Popoola5%
Bogdan Melnyk4%
Soma Novothny4%
Sinan Medgyes0%
Bálint Oláh0%
Nikola Radmanovac0%
Bernardo Matić0%
Dominik Soltész0%
Kevin Körmendi0%
Tibor Lippai0%
Szilárd Szabó0%
Filip Pintér0%
Ilya Popovich0%
Teslim Abdulateef Balogun0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Teslim Abdulateef Balogun33%
Branimir Cipetić30%
Bernardo Matić29%
Rilwan Abdulrazaq Popoola27%
Krisztián Nagy26%
Martin Chlumecký21%
Hianga'a M'Bock20%
Aleksandar Jovičić19%
Jasmin Mešanović18%
Bálint Oláh15%
Marko Matanović14%
Gábor Molnár14%
Levente Szőr13%
Filip Pintér13%
Kevin Körmendi12%
Tibor Lippai12%
Bence Bíró12%
Szilárd Szabó11%
Nikola Radmanovac9%
Soma Novothny8%
Ilya Popovich8%
Bogdan Melnyk4%
Tonislav Yordanov0%
Sinan Medgyes0%
Dominik Soltész0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jasmin Mešanović29%
Bogdan Melnyk13%
Levente Szőr7%
Tonislav Yordanov6%
Aleksandar Jovičić6%
Gábor Molnár5%
Branimir Cipetić4%
Soma Novothny4%
Bence Bíró4%
Krisztián Nagy0%
Sinan Medgyes0%
Bálint Oláh0%
Nikola Radmanovac0%
Martin Chlumecký0%
Bernardo Matić0%
Hianga'a M'Bock0%
Marko Matanović0%
Dominik Soltész0%
Kevin Körmendi0%
Tibor Lippai0%
Szilárd Szabó0%
Filip Pintér0%
Ilya Popovich0%
Rilwan Abdulrazaq Popoola0%
Teslim Abdulateef Balogun0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Szilárd Szabó11%
Tonislav Yordanov6%
Gábor Molnár5%
Bence Bíró4%
Jasmin Mešanović0%
Aleksandar Jovičić0%
Krisztián Nagy0%
Sinan Medgyes0%
Bálint Oláh0%
Bogdan Melnyk0%
Soma Novothny0%
Nikola Radmanovac0%
Martin Chlumecký0%
Bernardo Matić0%
Branimir Cipetić0%
Hianga'a M'Bock0%
Marko Matanović0%
Dominik Soltész0%
Levente Szőr0%
Kevin Körmendi0%
Tibor Lippai0%
Filip Pintér0%
Ilya Popovich0%
Rilwan Abdulrazaq Popoola0%
Teslim Abdulateef Balogun0%
Paks
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dániel Böde33%
János Hahn28%
János Galambos25%
Gergő Gyurkits19%
Milán Pető18%
József Windecker17%
Barna Tóth16%
Ákos Szendrei14%
Erik Silye12%
János Szabó12%
Kevin Horváth12%
Martin Ádám9%
Balázs Balogh8%
Attila Osváth6%
Bence Lenzsér6%
Márió Zeke5%
Bálint Vécsei5%
Kristóf Papp5%
Ádám Kovácsik0%
Kristóf Hinora0%
Zsombor Bévárdi0%
Gabor Vas0%
Ákos Kinyik0%
Zsolt Haraszti0%
Áron Alaxai0%
Milán Szekszárdi0%
Márk Gyetván0%
Csaba Máté0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ákos Kinyik46%
Milán Szekszárdi45%
Zsombor Bévárdi33%
Áron Alaxai33%
Kristóf Papp32%
Bence Lenzsér29%
Attila Osváth25%
Gergő Gyurkits19%
Martin Ádám18%
Dániel Böde17%
Kevin Horváth16%
Barna Tóth16%
Balázs Balogh15%
Zsolt Haraszti14%
János Szabó12%
János Hahn12%
Bálint Vécsei10%
Milán Pető9%
Kristóf Hinora8%
Ákos Szendrei7%
Márió Zeke5%
Ádám Kovácsik4%
Gabor Vas0%
Erik Silye0%
József Windecker0%
Márk Gyetván0%
János Galambos0%
Csaba Máté0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Barna Tóth16%
Balázs Balogh15%
Zsolt Haraszti14%
Ákos Szendrei14%
Erik Silye12%
Zsombor Bévárdi11%
Dániel Böde11%
Márió Zeke11%
Gergő Gyurkits10%
Kristóf Papp9%
Milán Pető9%
József Windecker9%
Ákos Kinyik8%
János Szabó6%
Kevin Horváth4%
Ádám Kovácsik0%
Martin Ádám0%
Kristóf Hinora0%
Gabor Vas0%
Attila Osváth0%
Bence Lenzsér0%
János Hahn0%
Bálint Vécsei0%
Áron Alaxai0%
Milán Szekszárdi0%
Márk Gyetván0%
János Galambos0%
Csaba Máté0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Barna Tóth42%
Gergő Gyurkits14%
Zsombor Bévárdi11%
János Hahn8%
Kevin Horváth8%
Ákos Szendrei7%
Attila Osváth6%
János Szabó6%
Bálint Vécsei5%
Kristóf Papp5%
Ádám Kovácsik0%
Martin Ádám0%
Kristóf Hinora0%
Gabor Vas0%
Dániel Böde0%
Ákos Kinyik0%
Erik Silye0%
Balázs Balogh0%
Bence Lenzsér0%
Zsolt Haraszti0%
József Windecker0%
Márió Zeke0%
Áron Alaxai0%
Milán Szekszárdi0%
Márk Gyetván0%
Milán Pető0%
János Galambos0%
Csaba Máté0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
DV (18)
€3m
KAZ (19)
€2m
Kisvarda FC's squad is €2m less valuable than Paks's (€6m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
DV (5)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
Kisvarda FC and Paks have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
DV (4)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
Kisvarda FC and Paks have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
DV (9)
€1m
KAZ (8)
€1m
Kisvarda FC's defence is €1m less valuable than Paks's (€2m vs €4m).
Hungary: NB I 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Gyori ETO FC
Ferencvarosi TC
Debreceni VSC
Zalaegerszegi TE
Puskas Academy
Ujpest
Nyiregyhaza
MTK Budapest
Diosgyori VTK
Kazincbarcikai