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Lecce vs Fiorentina Result & Analysis

Date: 20/04/2026
Time: 18:45
Final 1-1
Lecce
Lecce
Vs
21%
29%
50%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lecce win✗ Miss
20.9%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.42
Edge
-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.2%
Avg Implied 28.6% · @ 3.28
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina win✗ Miss
49.9%
Avg Implied 44.0% · @ 2.13
Edge
+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LecceLecce

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L21W20W02L13L21W12L01L03L02LA·TOR01/02H·UDI08/02A·CAG16/02H·INT21/02A·COM28/02H·CRE08/03A·NAP14/03A·AS 22/03H·ATA06/04A·BOL12/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.430.731.330.671.53
vs Stronger (15)0.331.730.001.830.561.67
vs Similar (15)1.071.131.221.000.831.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FiorentinaFiorentina

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L00D21W41W21W11D10W03L10W21WA·UDI02/03H·PAR08/03H·RAK12/03A·CRE16/03A·RAK19/03H·INT22/03A·HEL04/04A·CRY09/04H·LAZ13/04H·CRY16/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.271.311.061.291.50
vs Stronger (3)1.001.331.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (21)1.331.431.451.181.201.70
vs Weaker (6)1.330.671.000.671.670.67
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Lecce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%021%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.3%
Under 1.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.6%
@ 2.10-4.0%
Under 2.5
59.4%
@ 1.69+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.2%
Under 3.5
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.2%
No
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.6%
0-1
13.2%
0-0
11.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
5.1%
Lecce goals ↓
Fiorentina goals →
01234
011%13%11%5.1%1.8%
17.3%14%9.0%4.3%1.6%
23.6%5.3%3.8%1.9%0.7%
31.0%1.5%1.1%0.5%0.2%
40.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lecce goals (down), columns = Fiorentina goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter
2.29
Napoli
2.00
AS Roma
1.92
Como
1.87
AC Milan
1.84
Juventus
1.82
Atalanta
1.55
Bologna
1.47
Lazio
1.42
Udinese
1.32
Sassuolo
1.29
Torino
1.18
Parma
1.18
Cagliari
1.13
Fiorentina
1.11
Genoa
1.08
Lecce
1.00
Cremonese
0.89
Hellas Verona
0.55
Pisa
0.47
Lecce is 0.11 points worse than Fiorentina in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
Como
1.71
Juventus
1.61
AS Roma
1.55
Napoli
1.53
AC Milan
1.39
Atalanta
1.34
Bologna
1.29
Sassuolo
1.21
Udinese
1.18
Torino
1.16
Genoa
1.08
Fiorentina
1.08
Lazio
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Cremonese
0.84
Lecce
0.74
Parma
0.74
Pisa
0.68
Hellas Verona
0.66
Lecce is 0.34 goals worse than Fiorentina in terms of goals scored per game (0.74 vs 1.08).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Como
0.76
AS Roma
0.82
Juventus
0.89
Inter
0.92
AC Milan
0.92
Napoli
0.95
Atalanta
0.95
Lazio
1.05
Bologna
1.21
Parma
1.21
Udinese
1.26
Fiorentina
1.32
Lecce
1.32
Sassuolo
1.32
Genoa
1.34
Cagliari
1.39
Cremonese
1.50
Hellas Verona
1.61
Torino
1.66
Pisa
1.87
Lecce and Fiorentina are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Como
62%
Inter
60%
Napoli
59%
Juventus
58%
AS Roma
56%
Atalanta
55%
Bologna
55%
AC Milan
52%
Fiorentina
51%
Lazio
50%
Genoa
49%
Cremonese
46%
Sassuolo
46%
Udinese
46%
Cagliari
46%
Torino
44%
Parma
44%
Lecce
42%
Pisa
40%
Hellas Verona
40%
Lecce is 9.4 percentage points worse than Fiorentina in terms of average possession (42% vs 51%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LecceLecce

For 4.1 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

1406825210774415210287831471214861210711A·BOLH·ATAA·AS A·NAPH·CREA·COMH·INTA·CAGH·UDIA·TOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.6 · Total 2.9

🟨 Cards

6022221151121222212241613343A·BOLH·ATAA·AS A·NAPH·CREA·COMH·INTH·UDIA·TORH·LAZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 15.9 · Total 28.8

⚠️ Fouls

460191510181714711192712151081416921121434283118462718303026A·BOLH·ATAA·AS A·NAPH·CREA·COMH·INTA·CAGH·UDIA·TOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FiorentinaFiorentina

For 4.4 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.3

🚩 Corners

1106156131935526483712571141087101187H·CRYH·LAZA·CRYA·HELH·INTA·RAKA·CREH·RAKH·PARA·UDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

805332212433321332418536651625H·CRYH·LAZA·CRYA·HELH·INTA·RAKA·CREH·RAKH·PARA·UDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 13.8 · Total 25.9

⚠️ Fouls

33014141010111671516121110161712141214121628202722282133262628H·CRYH·LAZA·CRYA·HELH·INTA·RAKA·CREH·RAKH·PARA·UDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LecceLecce

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.610.73.53.93.225.626.724.6
vs Stronger (25)10.18.611.53.13.32.822.823.622.2
vs Similar (25)10.210.59.84.04.43.528.429.527.2
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line60%48%72%46%48%44%72%76%68%
% under line40%52%28%54%52%56%28%24%32%
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FiorentinaFiorentina

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.09.88.25.05.64.428.729.428.0
vs Stronger (5)10.410.310.53.64.03.029.228.330.5
vs Similar (35)8.69.97.35.56.14.828.128.827.4
vs Weaker (10)9.99.210.64.04.83.230.632.029.2
% over line46%52%40%76%84%68%88%88%88%
% under line54%48%60%24%16%32%12%12%12%
This opponent (Lecce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Lecce
10.1
Juventus
9.8
Atalanta
9.8
Udinese
9.7
Bologna
9.4
AC Milan
9.3
Inter
9.3
Cremonese
9.1
Fiorentina
9.0
Cagliari
9.0
Lazio
9.0
Genoa
9.0
Sassuolo
8.9
AS Roma
8.7
Hellas Verona
8.7
Parma
8.6
Napoli
8.6
Torino
8.5
Pisa
8.3
Como
7.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lazio
5.4
Fiorentina
5.1
Como
4.9
Genoa
4.4
Bologna
4.3
Sassuolo
4.3
AS Roma
4.1
Pisa
4.1
Cremonese
4.1
Hellas Verona
4.1
Parma
4.0
Udinese
3.8
Cagliari
3.8
Juventus
3.8
Lecce
3.7
AC Milan
3.7
Inter
3.6
Atalanta
3.5
Torino
3.4
Napoli
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Cremonese
29.3
Bologna
29.0
Fiorentina
28.7
AS Roma
28.0
Genoa
27.8
Cagliari
27.8
Como
26.9
Hellas Verona
25.8
Lecce
25.6
Sassuolo
25.6
Pisa
25.6
Udinese
25.3
Lazio
24.9
Torino
24.4
Parma
24.4
Inter
24.2
Napoli
23.9
Juventus
22.9
AC Milan
21.7
Atalanta
21.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
34.5%
Under 9.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.5%
Under 3.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
86.4%
Under 21.5
13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LecceLecce

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D00D00D13L20W10W00D01L01LA·TOR01/02H·UDI08/02A·CAG16/02H·INT21/02A·COM28/02H·CRE08/03A·NAP14/03A·AS 22/03H·ATA06/04A·BOL12/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.500.530.400.330.60
vs Stronger (15)0.270.530.000.500.440.56
vs Similar (15)0.600.470.890.330.170.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FiorentinaFiorentina

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D20W00D01L00D02L10W11DA·UDI02/03H·PAR08/03H·RAK12/03A·CRE16/03A·RAK19/03H·INT22/03A·HEL04/04A·CRY09/04H·LAZ13/04H·CRY16/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.530.440.560.430.50
vs Stronger (3)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (21)0.480.570.550.550.400.60
vs Weaker (6)0.500.170.330.330.670.00
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Lecce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lecce over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LecceLecce

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W20W02L00D01L02L01L02L01LA·TOR01/02H·UDI08/02A·CAG16/02H·INT21/02A·COM28/02H·CRE08/03A·NAP14/03A·AS 22/03H·ATA06/04A·BOL12/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.930.200.930.330.93
vs Stronger (15)0.071.200.001.330.111.11
vs Similar (15)0.470.670.330.670.670.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FiorentinaFiorentina

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D21W21W21W10W10W01L00D10WA·UDI02/03H·PAR08/03H·RAK12/03A·CRE16/03A·RAK19/03H·INT22/03A·HEL04/04A·CRY09/04H·LAZ13/04H·CRY16/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.730.880.500.861.00
vs Stronger (3)1.000.331.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (21)0.860.860.910.640.801.10
vs Weaker (6)0.830.500.670.331.000.67
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Lecce) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lecce over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls93.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls86.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners85.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.579.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards78.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners76.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards76.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls75.5%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Lecce
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lameck Banda15%
Medon Berisha14%
Walid Cheddira12%
Nikola Štulić12%
Omri Gandelman11%
Lassana Coulibaly9%
N'Dri Konan7%
Mohamed Kaba6%
Tiago Gabriel5%
Riccardo Sottil5%
Jamil Siebert5%
Francesco Camarda4%
Ylber Ramadani3%
Santiago Pierotti3%
Corrie Ndaba0%
Gaby Jean0%
Þórir Jóhann Helgason0%
Antonino Gallo0%
Tete Morente0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Alex Sala0%
Balthazar Pierret0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Christ-Owen Kouassi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ylber Ramadani26%
Kialonda Gaspar24%
Youssef Maleh22%
Danilo Veiga21%
Tiago Gabriel18%
Lameck Banda15%
Gaby Jean14%
Jamil Siebert14%
Walid Cheddira12%
Mohamed Kaba12%
Lassana Coulibaly11%
N'Dri Konan11%
Santiago Pierotti10%
Antonino Gallo8%
Oumar Ngom7%
Tete Morente6%
Wladimiro Falcone5%
Riccardo Sottil5%
Francesco Camarda4%
Nikola Štulić3%
Corrie Ndaba0%
Þórir Jóhann Helgason0%
Omri Gandelman0%
Alex Sala0%
Balthazar Pierret0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Medon Berisha0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Christ-Owen Kouassi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Medon Berisha14%
Lameck Banda12%
Alex Sala11%
Antonino Gallo10%
Riccardo Sottil10%
Walid Cheddira6%
Omri Gandelman5%
Santiago Pierotti5%
Francesco Camarda4%
Lassana Coulibaly3%
Danilo Veiga3%
N'Dri Konan0%
Ylber Ramadani0%
Corrie Ndaba0%
Gaby Jean0%
Þórir Jóhann Helgason0%
Tete Morente0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Balthazar Pierret0%
Mohamed Kaba0%
Jamil Siebert0%
Nikola Štulić0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Christ-Owen Kouassi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Medon Berisha14%
Walid Cheddira12%
Tete Morente6%
Omri Gandelman5%
Lameck Banda3%
Nikola Štulić3%
Santiago Pierotti3%
Lassana Coulibaly0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Ylber Ramadani0%
Corrie Ndaba0%
Gaby Jean0%
Þórir Jóhann Helgason0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Antonino Gallo0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Alex Sala0%
Balthazar Pierret0%
Mohamed Kaba0%
Jamil Siebert0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Francesco Camarda0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Christ-Owen Kouassi0%
Fiorentina
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Moise Kean24%
Albert Guðmundsson22%
Roberto Piccoli19%
Rolando Mandragora17%
Cher Ndour15%
Edin Džeko11%
Robin Gosens11%
Manor Solomon11%
Nicolò Fagioli7%
Luca Ranieri7%
Marco Brescianini6%
Simon Sohm5%
Jack Harrison5%
Dodô4%
Fabiano Parisi3%
Pietro Comuzzo2%
Marin Pongračić2%
Daniele Rugani0%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia0%
David De Gea0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Christian Kouamé0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Pablo Marí0%
Mattia Viti0%
Amir Richardson0%
Giovanni Fabbian0%
Jacopo Fazzini0%
Niccolò Fortini0%
Riccardo Braschi0%
Eddy Kouadio0%
Luís Balbo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marin Pongračić35%
Daniele Rugani33%
Luca Lezzerini33%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia25%
Pablo Marí25%
Luca Ranieri22%
Fabiano Parisi22%
Dodô21%
Rolando Mandragora19%
Nicolò Fagioli16%
Moise Kean15%
Cher Ndour15%
Pietro Comuzzo15%
Albert Guðmundsson13%
Mattia Viti12%
Eddy Kouadio12%
Marco Brescianini11%
Simon Sohm10%
Jacopo Fazzini9%
Giovanni Fabbian9%
Robin Gosens8%
Roberto Piccoli7%
Edin Džeko6%
Manor Solomon5%
Jack Harrison5%
David De Gea4%
Niccolò Fortini4%
Oliver Christensen0%
Christian Kouamé0%
Amir Richardson0%
Riccardo Braschi0%
Luís Balbo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Albert Guðmundsson15%
Jack Harrison14%
Eddy Kouadio12%
Manor Solomon11%
Rolando Mandragora9%
Dodô6%
Cher Ndour6%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia6%
Marco Brescianini6%
Robin Gosens6%
Simon Sohm5%
Roberto Piccoli5%
Giovanni Fabbian5%
Nicolò Fagioli4%
Niccolò Fortini4%
Fabiano Parisi3%
Jacopo Fazzini3%
Moise Kean3%
Edin Džeko0%
Daniele Rugani0%
David De Gea0%
Marin Pongračić0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Christian Kouamé0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Luca Ranieri0%
Pablo Marí0%
Mattia Viti0%
Amir Richardson0%
Pietro Comuzzo0%
Riccardo Braschi0%
Luís Balbo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Moise Kean48%
Roberto Piccoli16%
Albert Guðmundsson13%
Edin Džeko11%
Giovanni Fabbian9%
Rolando Mandragora6%
Robin Gosens6%
Manor Solomon5%
Fabiano Parisi3%
Nicolò Fagioli2%
Dodô2%
Cher Ndour2%
Daniele Rugani0%
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia0%
David De Gea0%
Simon Sohm0%
Marin Pongračić0%
Marco Brescianini0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Jack Harrison0%
Christian Kouamé0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Luca Ranieri0%
Pablo Marí0%
Mattia Viti0%
Amir Richardson0%
Jacopo Fazzini0%
Pietro Comuzzo0%
Niccolò Fortini0%
Riccardo Braschi0%
Eddy Kouadio0%
Luís Balbo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
LEC (31)
€72m
PIS (36)
€71m
HV (34)
€57m
CRE (30)
€49m
Lecce's squad is €258m less valuable than Fiorentina's (€72m vs €330m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
PAR (8)
€35m
PIS (13)
€24m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
CRE (7)
€12m
Lecce's attack is €105m less valuable than Fiorentina's (€20m vs €125m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
CAG (9)
€31m
PIS (9)
€26m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
HV (9)
€14m
Lecce's midfield is €92m less valuable than Fiorentina's (€16m vs €107m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
Lecce's defence is €61m less valuable than Fiorentina's (€37m vs €98m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
LEC wins
2
Draws
4
FIO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lecce vs Fiorentina · H/A from LEC
DateH/AGameScore
02/11/25AFiorentina Vs LEC0-1
28/02/25AFiorentina Vs LEC1-0
20/10/24HLEC Vs Fiorentina0-6
02/02/24HLEC Vs Fiorentina3-2
27/08/23AFiorentina Vs LEC2-2
19/03/23AFiorentina Vs LEC1-0
17/10/22HLEC Vs Fiorentina1-1
15/07/20HLEC Vs Fiorentina1-3

LecceLecce

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/26ABologna Vs LEC2-0
06/04/26HLEC Vs Atalanta0-3
22/03/26AAS Roma Vs LEC1-0
14/03/26ANapoli Vs LEC2-1
08/03/26HLEC Vs Cremonese2-1
28/02/26AComo Vs LEC3-1
21/02/26HLEC Vs Inter0-2
16/02/26ACagliari Vs LEC0-2
08/02/26HLEC Vs Udinese2-1
01/02/26ATorino Vs LEC1-0

FiorentinaFiorentina

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/04/26HFIO Vs Crystal Palace2-1
13/04/26HFIO Vs Lazio1-0
09/04/26ACrystal Palace Vs FIO3-0
04/04/26AHellas Verona Vs FIO0-1
22/03/26HFIO Vs Inter1-1
19/03/26ARaków Częstochowa Vs FIO1-2
16/03/26ACremonese Vs FIO1-4
12/03/26HFIO Vs Raków Częstochowa2-1
08/03/26HFIO Vs Parma0-0
02/03/26AUdinese Vs FIO3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lecce
Lecce
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL0.82
HomeDWLWL0.84
AwayWLLLL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%20%20%
AVG goals2.102.042.16
Over 1.5 %60%60%60%
Over 2.5 %38%44%32%
Over 3.5 %16%12%20%
Scored0.680.600.76
Conceded1.421.441.40
BTTS38%32%44%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners10.149.5610.72
Cards3.673.883.43
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWW1.42
HomeDWDWW1.56
AwayLWWWL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%44%36%
AVG goals2.722.722.72
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %66%60%72%
Over 3.5 %22%24%20%
Scored1.381.441.32
Conceded1.341.281.40
BTTS60%68%52%
Clean Sheet22%20%24%
Corners9.029.808.24
Cards5.085.834.36

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1InterInter3887
71%
2.3
8935+54
3.3
84%
55%
37%
9.2
55%
3.5
38%
24.2
58%
694
2202322422.30.9
60%
2NapoliNapoli3876
61%
2.0
5836+22
2.5
68%
53%
26%
8.2
26%
3.5
42%
23.4
61%
459
2061011521.50.9
59%
3AS RomaAS Roma3873
61%
1.9
5931+28
2.4
66%
37%
18%
8.6
34%
4.1
66%
27.8
89%
471
1381182151.60.8
56%
4ComoComo3871
53%
1.9
6529+36
2.5
71%
45%
24%
7.7
24%
4.6
68%
25.9
79%
488
261831441.70.8
62%
5AC MilanAC Milan3870
53%
1.8
5335+18
2.3
66%
45%
18%
8.6
42%
3.8
58%
21.9
58%
585
2231532091.40.9
52%
6JuventusJuventus3869
50%
1.8
6134+27
2.5
74%
39%
24%
9.2
37%
3.7
59%
22.3
61%
569
2401401891.60.9
58%
7AtalantaAtalanta3859
39%
1.6
5136+15
2.3
74%
37%
18%
9.8
50%
3.4
47%
22.1
53%
438
1581281531.30.9
55%
8BolognaBologna3856
42%
1.5
4946+3
2.5
71%
45%
26%
8.7
34%
4.1
51%
27.8
89%
218
10434791.31.2
55%
9LazioLazio3854
37%
1.4
4140+1
2.1
66%
32%
16%
7.9
29%
4.9
76%
25.1
68%
240
6086931.11.1
50%
10UdineseUdinese3850
37%
1.3
4548-3
2.4
68%
45%
21%
9.3
39%
3.7
53%
25.1
79%
157
4639721.21.3
46%
11SassuoloSassuolo3849
37%
1.3
4650-4
2.5
74%
55%
21%
8.7
50%
4.5
65%
24.9
68%
194
9053521.21.3
46%
12ParmaParma3845
29%
1.2
2846-18
1.9
58%
29%
16%
8.8
37%
3.9
61%
24.3
79%
142
3560460.71.2
44%
13TorinoTorino3845
32%
1.2
4463-19
2.8
74%
63%
29%
8.5
42%
3.5
44%
24.5
68%
144
4346541.21.7
44%
14CagliariCagliari3843
29%
1.1
4053-13
2.4
76%
50%
18%
8.9
37%
4.1
58%
28.6
89%
134
5131521.11.4
46%
15FiorentinaFiorentina3842
24%
1.1
4150-9
2.4
71%
50%
24%
9.0
47%
4.8
78%
28.1
92%
330
125107981.11.3
51%
16GenoaGenoa3841
26%
1.1
4151-10
2.4
76%
53%
16%
8.6
37%
4.5
76%
27.4
87%
182
5444841.11.3
49%
17LecceLecce3838
26%
1.0
2850-22
2.1
61%
37%
13%
9.6
58%
3.8
50%
26.7
74%
72
2016370.71.3
42%
18CremoneseCremonese3834
21%
0.9
3257-25
2.3
68%
45%
24%
9.5
47%
3.8
46%
26.4
84%
49
1215220.81.5
46%
19Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3821
8%
0.6
2561-36
2.3
68%
50%
21%
9.0
42%
4.1
54%
25.3
74%
57
1314300.71.6
40%
20PisaPisa3818
5%
0.5
2671-45
2.6
66%
53%
32%
8.4
37%
3.8
53%
24.7
79%
71
2426220.71.9
40%
Italy: Serie A 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches