This opponent (Vorskla Poltava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vorskla Poltava
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.57
1.12
2.12
0.79
0.93
vs Stronger (19)
0.79
1.95
0.80
2.50
0.78
1.33
vs Similar (11)
1.27
0.91
1.67
1.50
0.80
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Livyi Bereh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.8%
Under 1.5
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.8%
Under 2.5
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.1%
Under 3.5
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.6%
No
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0
13.7%
0-0
12.3%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.6%
Livyi Bereh goals ↓
Vorskla Poltava goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
8.1%
4.0%
1.1%
0.2%
1
14%
14%
5.4%
1.5%
0.3%
2
10%
8.6%
3.6%
1.0%
0.2%
3
4.6%
3.9%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.6%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Livyi Bereh goals (down), columns = Vorskla Poltava goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dynamo Kyiv
2.33
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
2.33
Oleksandria
2.23
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.07
Polessya
1.60
Kryvbas KR
1.57
Karpaty
1.53
Kudrivka
1.50
Zorya Luhansk
1.33
Ruh Lviv
1.27
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Veres Rivne
1.20
Obolon'-Brovar
1.07
LNZ Cherkasy
1.03
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.00
Vorskla Poltava
0.94
Livyi Bereh
0.88
Inhulets
0.80
Chornomorets
0.77
Minai
0.50
Livyi Bereh is 0.06 points worse than Vorskla Poltava in terms of average points per game (0.88 vs 0.94).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.00
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.30
Dynamo Kyiv
2.03
Oleksandria
1.53
Minai
1.50
Karpaty
1.40
Polessya
1.27
Zorya Luhansk
1.13
Kryvbas KR
1.13
Veres Rivne
1.10
Kudrivka
1.00
Ruh Lviv
1.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.00
Kolos Kovalivka
0.90
LNZ Cherkasy
0.83
Vorskla Poltava
0.81
Inhulets
0.70
Chornomorets
0.67
Livyi Bereh
0.65
Obolon'-Brovar
0.63
Livyi Bereh is 0.17 goals worse than Vorskla Poltava in terms of goals scored per game (0.65 vs 0.81).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.33
Dynamo Kyiv
0.63
Oleksandria
0.73
Kolos Kovalivka
0.83
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.87
Kryvbas KR
0.87
Ruh Lviv
0.90
Polessya
0.93
Kudrivka
1.00
Karpaty
1.20
LNZ Cherkasy
1.23
Livyi Bereh
1.24
Vorskla Poltava
1.25
Zorya Luhansk
1.30
Obolon'-Brovar
1.43
Veres Rivne
1.47
Chornomorets
1.50
Inhulets
1.57
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.00
Minai
3.00
Livyi Bereh is 0.01 goals better than Vorskla Poltava in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.25).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Minai
66%
Shakhtar Donetsk
63%
Dynamo Kyiv
60%
LNZ Cherkasy
56%
Karpaty
54%
Oleksandria
51%
Kryvbas KR
51%
Polessya
51%
Vorskla Poltava
51%
Zorya Luhansk
49%
Inhulets
49%
Chornomorets
47%
Kolos Kovalivka
46%
Veres Rivne
45%
Ruh Lviv
44%
Obolon'-Brovar
43%
Livyi Bereh
38%
Livyi Bereh is 12.9 percentage points worse than Vorskla Poltava in terms of average possession (38% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Livyi Bereh
For 4.2 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 3.2 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 13.2 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Vorskla Poltava
For 3.6 · Against 5.3 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 13.4 · Total 24.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Livyi Bereh
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (33)
9.0
7.5
10.5
0.6
0.8
0.4
26.0
25.0
27.0
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
9.0
7.5
10.5
1.0
1.3
0.7
26.0
25.0
27.0
vs Weaker (12)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
25%
0%
50%
9%
12%
6%
75%
100%
50%
% under line
75%
100%
50%
91%
88%
94%
25%
0%
50%
This opponent (Vorskla Poltava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vorskla Poltava
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.2
9.9
4.7
4.8
4.6
26.6
28.2
25.1
vs Stronger (29)
9.8
10.2
9.1
4.1
4.5
3.6
26.7
29.0
23.7
vs Similar (21)
10.5
10.3
10.6
5.4
5.2
5.6
26.6
26.7
26.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
53%
48%
59%
72%
76%
68%
83%
90%
76%
% under line
47%
52%
41%
28%
24%
32%
17%
10%
24%
This opponent (Livyi Bereh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Polessya
10.3
Veres Rivne
10.1
Zorya Luhansk
10.0
LNZ Cherkasy
9.9
Kolos Kovalivka
9.9
Vorskla Poltava
9.8
Ruh Lviv
9.6
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
9.5
Dynamo Kyiv
9.4
Obolon'-Brovar
9.4
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.3
Inhulets
9.3
Oleksandria
9.2
Minai
9.2
Kryvbas KR
9.1
Livyi Bereh
9.0
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
9.0
Chornomorets
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Polessya
5.6
Obolon'-Brovar
5.6
Vorskla Poltava
5.3
Ruh Lviv
5.3
Dynamo Kyiv
4.9
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.8
Veres Rivne
4.8
Livyi Bereh
4.8
LNZ Cherkasy
4.7
Inhulets
4.7
Kolos Kovalivka
4.6
Chornomorets
4.6
Oleksandria
4.6
Minai
4.4
Zorya Luhansk
4.4
Shakhtar Donetsk
4.3
Kryvbas KR
4.1
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Obolon'-Brovar
26.8
Vorskla Poltava
26.6
Livyi Bereh
26.0
Inhulets
25.7
Minai
24.6
LNZ Cherkasy
24.2
Kryvbas KR
23.7
Ruh Lviv
23.5
Kolos Kovalivka
23.4
Dynamo Kyiv
23.4
Oleksandria
23.1
Veres Rivne
22.4
Chornomorets
22.4
Shakhtar Donetsk
22.3
Polessya
22.3
Zorya Luhansk
21.9
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
21.8
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
42.3%
Under 9.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.3%
Under 3.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
69.8%
Under 21.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Livyi Bereh
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.33
1.36
0.29
0.44
0.38
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (18)
0.78
0.33
1.22
0.33
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (10)
1.10
0.10
2.00
0.25
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Vorskla Poltava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vorskla Poltava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.73
0.50
0.88
0.50
0.57
vs Stronger (19)
0.42
1.00
0.30
1.20
0.56
0.78
vs Similar (11)
0.64
0.27
0.83
0.33
0.40
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Livyi Bereh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Livyi Bereh over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livyi Bereh over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livyi Bereh over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vorskla Poltava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vorskla Poltava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vorskla Poltava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Livyi Bereh
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.37
0.86
0.29
0.94
0.44
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (18)
0.94
0.50
1.00
0.22
0.89
0.78
vs Weaker (10)
0.80
0.10
0.75
0.25
0.83
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Vorskla Poltava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vorskla Poltava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.83
0.62
1.25
0.29
0.36
vs Stronger (19)
0.37
0.95
0.50
1.30
0.22
0.56
vs Similar (11)
0.64
0.64
0.83
1.17
0.40
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Livyi Bereh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Livyi Bereh over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livyi Bereh over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livyi Bereh over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vorskla Poltava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vorskla Poltava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vorskla Poltava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Livyi Bereh
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sidnney Silva Santos33%
Oleg Synytsia13%
Dmytro Shastal11%
Dmytro Semenov9%
Mykola Kohut9%
Andriy Yakimiv8%
Danyil Sukhoruchko7%
Yevhen Banada0%
Vladyslav Shapoval0%
Serhii Kosovskyi0%
Vladislav Voytsekhovskiy0%
Ivan Kogut0%
Oleg Sokolov0%
Ernest Astakhov0%
Ruslan Dedukh0%
Klim Prykhodko0%
Maksym Mekhaniv0%
Andriy Riznyk0%
Bohdan Kobzar0%
Valerii Samar0%
Andriy Spivakov0%
Taras Galas0%
Diego Henrique0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ruslan Dedukh40%
Andriy Spivakov40%
Ernest Astakhov33%
Valerii Samar29%
Klim Prykhodko25%
Yevhen Banada23%
Andriy Riznyk20%
Ivan Kogut17%
Oleg Sokolov17%
Andriy Yakimiv15%
Diego Henrique14%
Maksym Mekhaniv12%
Dmytro Shastal11%
Dmytro Semenov9%
Vladyslav Shapoval8%
Oleg Synytsia7%
Danyil Sukhoruchko0%
Serhii Kosovskyi0%
Vladislav Voytsekhovskiy0%
Sidnney Silva Santos0%
Mykola Kohut0%
Bohdan Kobzar0%
Taras Galas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Serhii Kosovskyi14%
Diego Henrique14%
Danyil Sukhoruchko13%
Dmytro Shastal11%
Mykola Kohut9%
Oleg Synytsia7%
Dmytro Semenov0%
Yevhen Banada0%
Andriy Yakimiv0%
Vladyslav Shapoval0%
Vladislav Voytsekhovskiy0%
Sidnney Silva Santos0%
Ivan Kogut0%
Oleg Sokolov0%
Ernest Astakhov0%
Ruslan Dedukh0%
Klim Prykhodko0%
Maksym Mekhaniv0%
Andriy Riznyk0%
Bohdan Kobzar0%
Valerii Samar0%
Andriy Spivakov0%
Taras Galas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dmytro Shastal33%
Sidnney Silva Santos11%
Danyil Sukhoruchko7%
Oleg Synytsia7%
Dmytro Semenov0%
Yevhen Banada0%
Andriy Yakimiv0%
Vladyslav Shapoval0%
Serhii Kosovskyi0%
Vladislav Voytsekhovskiy0%
Ivan Kogut0%
Mykola Kohut0%
Oleg Sokolov0%
Ernest Astakhov0%
Ruslan Dedukh0%
Klim Prykhodko0%
Maksym Mekhaniv0%
Andriy Riznyk0%
Bohdan Kobzar0%
Valerii Samar0%
Andriy Spivakov0%
Taras Galas0%
Diego Henrique0%
Vorskla Poltava
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Navin Malysh38%
Denys Ndukve20%
Mykola Kovtaliuk17%
Oleksandr Sklyar14%
Serhii Miakushko11%
Artem Cheliadin8%
Ibrahim Kane7%
Igor Perduta0%
Andriy Batsula0%
Samson Iyede0%
Vladyslav Kulach0%
Pavlo Isenko0%
Oleksandr Chornomorets0%
Luka Guček0%
Viktor Korniienko0%
Yevhen Pavliuk0%
Milot Avdyli0%
Anton Salabay0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Ivan Nesterenko0%
Ilya Krupskyi0%
Vladyslav Ostrovskyi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oleksandr Sklyar43%
Mykola Kovtaliuk33%
Vladyslav Kulach33%
Artem Cheliadin33%
Milot Avdyli29%
Vladyslav Ostrovskyi29%
Yevhen Pavliuk25%
Navin Malysh25%
Oleksandr Chornomorets20%
Pavlo Isenko14%
Luka Guček14%
Anton Salabay14%
Igor Perduta7%
Ilya Krupskyi7%
Denys Ndukve7%
Ibrahim Kane0%
Andriy Batsula0%
Samson Iyede0%
Serhii Miakushko0%
Viktor Korniienko0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Ivan Nesterenko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Igor Perduta14%
Ilya Krupskyi14%
Serhii Miakushko11%
Artem Cheliadin8%
Pavlo Isenko7%
Denys Ndukve7%
Ibrahim Kane0%
Oleksandr Sklyar0%
Andriy Batsula0%
Samson Iyede0%
Mykola Kovtaliuk0%
Vladyslav Kulach0%
Oleksandr Chornomorets0%
Luka Guček0%
Viktor Korniienko0%
Yevhen Pavliuk0%
Milot Avdyli0%
Anton Salabay0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Ivan Nesterenko0%
Navin Malysh0%
Vladyslav Ostrovskyi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Milot Avdyli14%
Anton Salabay14%
Oleksandr Sklyar7%
Denys Ndukve7%
Ibrahim Kane0%
Igor Perduta0%
Andriy Batsula0%
Samson Iyede0%
Mykola Kovtaliuk0%
Vladyslav Kulach0%
Serhii Miakushko0%
Pavlo Isenko0%
Oleksandr Chornomorets0%
Luka Guček0%
Viktor Korniienko0%
Artem Cheliadin0%
Yevhen Pavliuk0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Ivan Nesterenko0%
Ilya Krupskyi0%
Navin Malysh0%
Vladyslav Ostrovskyi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Ukraine: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →
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Dynamo Kyiv
Oleksandria
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
Kryvbas KR
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
Ruh Lviv
Kolos Kovalivka
Veres Rivne
Obolon'-Brovar
LNZ Cherkasy
Inhulets
Chornomorets
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Kudrivka
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Minai