This opponent (PAU) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PAU
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.30
1.29
1.00
1.31
1.56
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
1.24
1.40
1.27
1.27
1.21
1.50
vs Weaker (2)
3.00
0.50
3.00
0.00
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Martigues) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.9%
Under 1.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.1%
@ 1.92-3.1%
Under 2.5
53.9%
@ 1.86+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.6%
Under 3.5
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.0%
No
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
0-1
10.8%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
9.0%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.3%
2-2 ✓
4.7%
Martigues goals ↓
PAU goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.3%
11%
9.0%
4.5%
1.7%
1
7.0%
14%
9.2%
4.6%
1.7%
2
4.3%
6.3%
4.7%
2.3%
0.9%
3
1.5%
2.2%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Martigues goals (down), columns = PAU goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lorient
2.14
Paris FC
2.08
Metz
1.86
Dunkerque
1.66
Annecy
1.58
Boulogne
1.50
Laval
1.50
Guingamp
1.49
Bastia
1.44
Estac Troyes
1.33
PAU
1.33
Grenoble
1.31
Amiens
1.28
Ajaccio
1.25
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.11
Clermont Foot
1.00
Martigues
0.89
Caen
0.67
Martigues is 0.44 points worse than PAU in terms of average points per game (0.89 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lorient
2.00
Metz
1.81
Paris FC
1.72
Guingamp
1.65
Rodez
1.58
Boulogne
1.50
Dunkerque
1.34
Laval
1.33
PAU
1.28
Grenoble
1.22
Bastia
1.22
Annecy
1.22
Amiens
1.14
Estac Troyes
1.14
Red Star
1.09
RED Star FC 93
1.09
Clermont Foot
0.95
Caen
0.94
Ajaccio
0.89
Martigues
0.81
Martigues is 0.47 goals worse than PAU in terms of goals scored per game (0.81 vs 1.28).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lorient
0.92
Paris FC
0.97
Estac Troyes
1.00
Metz
1.00
Bastia
1.03
Laval
1.08
Dunkerque
1.11
Annecy
1.19
Ajaccio
1.22
Grenoble
1.31
Clermont Foot
1.34
Guingamp
1.43
Amiens
1.44
Red Star
1.50
RED Star FC 93
1.50
PAU
1.53
Rodez
1.58
Martigues
1.61
Caen
1.69
Boulogne
2.00
Martigues is 0.08 goals worse than PAU in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.53).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Paris FC
61%
Metz
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Lorient
56%
Guingamp
55%
Caen
54%
RED Star FC 93
52%
Bastia
52%
Clermont Foot
51%
Boulogne
50%
PAU
49%
Ajaccio
46%
Grenoble
45%
Estac Troyes
45%
Amiens
44%
Martigues
44%
Laval
44%
Annecy
43%
Rodez
43%
Martigues is 5.0 percentage points worse than PAU in terms of average possession (44% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Martigues
For 3.6 · Against 4.3 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 13.6 · Total 27.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
PAU
For 5.4 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 13.1 · Total 26.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Martigues
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (31)
9.9
11.0
8.8
3.6
4.0
3.3
25.4
25.1
25.7
vs Stronger (24)
9.9
10.0
9.7
3.7
4.1
3.3
25.3
25.7
24.8
vs Similar (6)
10.0
17.0
5.3
3.8
3.5
4.0
26.2
22.0
29.0
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
64%
36%
58%
64%
53%
79%
64%
93%
% under line
50%
36%
64%
42%
36%
47%
21%
36%
7%
This opponent (PAU) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PAU
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.7
9.7
4.1
3.3
4.7
25.7
25.8
25.5
vs Stronger (5)
9.6
8.7
11.0
3.2
3.0
3.5
21.8
23.3
19.5
vs Similar (41)
9.7
9.8
9.5
4.3
3.4
5.0
25.9
25.8
26.1
vs Weaker (4)
10.3
10.3
-
2.5
3.3
0.0
28.3
28.3
-
% over line
50%
42%
58%
54%
42%
65%
71%
79%
62%
% under line
50%
58%
42%
46%
58%
35%
29%
21%
38%
This opponent (Martigues) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rodez
10.6
RED Star FC 93
10.3
Grenoble
10.1
Red Star
10.1
Clermont Foot
9.9
Martigues
9.9
PAU
9.8
Caen
9.7
Laval
9.6
Lorient
9.5
Amiens
9.5
Metz
9.3
Annecy
9.2
Guingamp
9.2
Bastia
9.1
Paris FC
9.0
Estac Troyes
8.7
Dunkerque
8.6
Ajaccio
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bastia
5.3
PAU
4.3
Clermont Foot
4.2
Lorient
4.2
Estac Troyes
4.2
Martigues
4.1
Dunkerque
4.1
Laval
4.1
Amiens
4.0
Caen
4.0
Paris FC
3.9
Ajaccio
3.9
Annecy
3.9
Metz
3.9
Rodez
3.7
Guingamp
3.7
Red Star
3.5
Grenoble
3.4
RED Star FC 93
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Caen
28.4
Ajaccio
27.9
Bastia
27.9
Amiens
27.5
Laval
27.4
Guingamp
27.2
Annecy
26.9
Red Star
26.5
Estac Troyes
26.4
Dunkerque
25.8
PAU
25.8
Paris FC
25.5
Martigues
25.4
Metz
25.3
Lorient
25.1
RED Star FC 93
24.8
Clermont Foot
24.7
Grenoble
24.2
Rodez
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.6%
Under 9.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
72.4%
Under 3.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
81.3%
Under 21.5
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Martigues
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.57
0.38
0.38
0.41
0.71
vs Stronger (23)
0.43
0.65
0.45
0.36
0.42
0.92
vs Similar (6)
0.17
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.25
0.25
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (PAU) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PAU
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.50
0.50
0.56
0.75
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.44
0.68
0.45
0.64
0.43
0.71
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Martigues) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Martigues over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Martigues
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.97
0.15
1.15
0.71
0.82
vs Stronger (23)
0.30
1.09
0.18
1.09
0.42
1.08
vs Similar (6)
0.50
0.67
0.00
1.50
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (PAU) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PAU
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.67
0.79
0.50
0.75
0.81
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
0.80
0.72
0.82
0.64
0.79
0.79
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Martigues) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Martigues over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAU over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Martigues
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oualid Orinel23%
Karim Tlilli22%
Oucasse Mendy17%
Abdoul Diawara17%
Romain Montiel12%
Steve Solvet11%
Milan Robin10%
Ayoub Amraoui7%
Alain Ipiele6%
Yanis Hadjem4%
Mahamé Siby3%
Simon Falette0%
Yan Marillat0%
Francois Kembolo Luyeye0%
Bevic Moussiti Oko0%
Steve Shamal0%
Jeremy Aymes0%
Nathanaël Saintini0%
Samir Belloumou0%
Leandro Morante0%
Akim Djaha0%
Yannick Etilé0%
Ilyes Zouaoui0%
Mohamed Bamba0%
Vignon Ouotro0%
Luan Gautier0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Francois Kembolo Luyeye31%
Luan Gautier29%
Yan Marillat27%
Steve Solvet22%
Leandro Morante19%
Nathanaël Saintini18%
Akim Djaha18%
Yanis Hadjem17%
Simon Falette12%
Samir Belloumou12%
Oucasse Mendy10%
Jeremy Aymes8%
Oualid Orinel8%
Yannick Etilé8%
Ilyes Zouaoui7%
Milan Robin6%
Alain Ipiele6%
Romain Montiel6%
Karim Tlilli4%
Bevic Moussiti Oko4%
Ayoub Amraoui3%
Mahamé Siby0%
Steve Shamal0%
Abdoul Diawara0%
Mohamed Bamba0%
Vignon Ouotro0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ayoub Amraoui13%
Alain Ipiele9%
Yanis Hadjem8%
Oualid Orinel8%
Nathanaël Saintini7%
Romain Montiel6%
Mohamed Bamba6%
Karim Tlilli4%
Samir Belloumou4%
Steve Solvet4%
Mahamé Siby3%
Oucasse Mendy3%
Milan Robin3%
Simon Falette3%
Yan Marillat0%
Francois Kembolo Luyeye0%
Bevic Moussiti Oko0%
Steve Shamal0%
Jeremy Aymes0%
Abdoul Diawara0%
Leandro Morante0%
Akim Djaha0%
Yannick Etilé0%
Ilyes Zouaoui0%
Vignon Ouotro0%
Luan Gautier0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Romain Montiel12%
Oucasse Mendy10%
Karim Tlilli9%
Oualid Orinel8%
Ilyes Zouaoui7%
Yanis Hadjem4%
Steve Solvet4%
Simon Falette0%
Mahamé Siby0%
Yan Marillat0%
Francois Kembolo Luyeye0%
Bevic Moussiti Oko0%
Steve Shamal0%
Jeremy Aymes0%
Nathanaël Saintini0%
Abdoul Diawara0%
Samir Belloumou0%
Leandro Morante0%
Akim Djaha0%
Milan Robin0%
Yannick Etilé0%
Alain Ipiele0%
Ayoub Amraoui0%
Mohamed Bamba0%
Vignon Ouotro0%
Luan Gautier0%
PAU
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pathé Mboup26%
Khalid Boutaïb25%
Antoine Mille16%
Mehdi Chahiri14%
Kandet Diawara14%
Antonin Bobichon13%
Mamady Bangré11%
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou11%
Oumar Ngom8%
Tairyk Arconte7%
Thérence Koudou7%
Steeve Beusnard4%
Jean Ruiz4%
Johann Obiang0%
Ousmane Kanté0%
Joseph Lopy0%
Mehdi Jeannin0%
Kenji Van Boto0%
Bingourou Kamara0%
Xavier Kouassi0%
Jordy Gaspar0%
Daylam Meddah0%
Kylian Gasnier0%
Iyad Mohamed0%
Yonis Njoh0%
Tom Gomes0%
Joseph Kalulu Kyatengwa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ousmane Kanté33%
Pathé Mboup29%
Jean Ruiz29%
Iyad Mohamed26%
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou26%
Antoine Mille25%
Jordy Gaspar19%
Bingourou Kamara18%
Thérence Koudou17%
Daylam Meddah14%
Steeve Beusnard12%
Khalid Boutaïb11%
Tairyk Arconte11%
Joseph Kalulu Kyatengwa9%
Oumar Ngom8%
Kandet Diawara7%
Antonin Bobichon7%
Xavier Kouassi5%
Johann Obiang0%
Joseph Lopy0%
Mehdi Jeannin0%
Kenji Van Boto0%
Mehdi Chahiri0%
Kylian Gasnier0%
Mamady Bangré0%
Yonis Njoh0%
Tom Gomes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Antonin Bobichon27%
Thérence Koudou17%
Antoine Mille12%
Pathé Mboup10%
Jean Ruiz7%
Steeve Beusnard4%
Khalid Boutaïb4%
Tairyk Arconte4%
Johann Obiang0%
Ousmane Kanté0%
Joseph Lopy0%
Mehdi Jeannin0%
Kenji Van Boto0%
Bingourou Kamara0%
Mehdi Chahiri0%
Xavier Kouassi0%
Jordy Gaspar0%
Daylam Meddah0%
Kandet Diawara0%
Kylian Gasnier0%
Iyad Mohamed0%
Mamady Bangré0%
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Yonis Njoh0%
Tom Gomes0%
Joseph Kalulu Kyatengwa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pathé Mboup35%
Khalid Boutaïb25%
Antoine Mille22%
Antonin Bobichon13%
Oumar Ngom12%
Mamady Bangré11%
Johann Obiang0%
Ousmane Kanté0%
Joseph Lopy0%
Mehdi Jeannin0%
Kenji Van Boto0%
Jean Ruiz0%
Steeve Beusnard0%
Bingourou Kamara0%
Mehdi Chahiri0%
Xavier Kouassi0%
Jordy Gaspar0%
Daylam Meddah0%
Kandet Diawara0%
Kylian Gasnier0%
Iyad Mohamed0%
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou0%
Tairyk Arconte0%
Thérence Koudou0%
Yonis Njoh0%
Tom Gomes0%
Joseph Kalulu Kyatengwa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Lorient
Paris FC
Metz
Dunkerque
Annecy
Guingamp
Laval
Bastia
Estac Troyes
Grenoble
Amiens
Ajaccio
Rodez
RED Star FC 93
Clermont Foot
Caen
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