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Moreirense vs Estrela Result & Analysis

Date: 02/05/2026
Time: 14:30
Final 3-2
Moreirense
Moreirense
Vs
46%
30%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Estrela
Estrela
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table18 Who played

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Moreirense win✓ Hit
46.2%
Avg Implied 37.9% · @ 2.43
Edge
+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied 29.2% · @ 3.15
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Estrela win✗ Miss
23.7%
Avg Implied 32.9% · @ 2.80
Edge
-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MoreirenseMoreirense

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W03L11D11D03L01L01L11D10W14LA·RIO16/02H·SPO21/02A·CAS01/03H·NAC07/03A·FC 15/03H·ARO21/03H·SC 04/04A·FAM10/04H·EST20/04A·BEN25/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.501.071.291.001.69
vs Stronger (8)0.382.750.252.500.503.00
vs Similar (22)1.271.051.400.801.171.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L02L00D22D12L40W02L01L01L12LA·GUI14/02H·TON20/02A·AVS28/02H·GIL08/03A·RIO15/03H·CAS20/03A·NAC04/04H·SPO11/04A·ARO19/04H·FC 26/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.731.401.530.871.93
vs Stronger (9)1.002.561.002.001.003.00
vs Similar (21)1.191.381.551.360.801.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Moreirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%021%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.8%
Under 1.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.9%
@ 2.17-3.0%
Under 2.5
60.1%
@ 1.63+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
19.7%
Under 3.5
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.9%
No
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
11.5%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.4%
Moreirense goals ↓
Estrela goals →
01234
011%8.0%4.3%1.3%0.3%
113%14%5.8%1.8%0.4%
29.6%8.7%4.0%1.2%0.3%
34.4%4.0%1.8%0.6%0.1%
41.5%1.4%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Moreirense goals (down), columns = Estrela goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Porto
2.59
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
SC Braga
1.74
Famalicao
1.65
GIL Vicente
1.47
Moreirense
1.26
Guimaraes
1.24
Arouca
1.24
Alverca
1.15
Estoril
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Rio Ave
1.06
Nacional
1.00
Casa Pia
0.94
Estrela
0.88
Tondela
0.82
AVS
0.62
Torreense
0.50
Moreirense is 0.38 points better than Estrela in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 0.88).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.62
Benfica
2.18
FC Porto
1.94
SC Braga
1.88
Estoril
1.59
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.38
Famalicao
1.24
Guimaraes
1.15
Estrela
1.12
Moreirense
1.09
Nacional
1.09
Alverca
1.03
Rio Ave
1.03
Santa Clara
0.94
Casa Pia
0.92
AVS
0.79
Tondela
0.79
Torreense
0.00
Moreirense is 0.03 goals worse than Estrela in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.53
Sporting CP
0.71
Benfica
0.74
Famalicao
0.85
Torreense
1.00
SC Braga
1.06
GIL Vicente
1.12
Santa Clara
1.21
Nacional
1.32
Moreirense
1.44
Guimaraes
1.50
Alverca
1.53
Casa Pia
1.58
Tondela
1.62
Estrela
1.65
Estoril
1.68
Rio Ave
1.68
Arouca
1.88
AVS
1.97
Moreirense is 0.21 goals better than Estrela in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.65).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
SC Braga
63%
Sporting CP
62%
Torreense
60%
Benfica
58%
FC Porto
55%
Estoril
53%
Guimaraes
51%
Famalicao
51%
Arouca
50%
GIL Vicente
50%
Moreirense
50%
Santa Clara
48%
Rio Ave
47%
Estrela
47%
Nacional
46%
Alverca
45%
Tondela
44%
Casa Pia
41%
AVS
39%
Moreirense is 2.7 percentage points better than Estrela in terms of average possession (50% vs 47%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MoreirenseMoreirense

For 2.8 · Against 6.6 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

13029511349371447711817116131310511898A·BENH·ESTA·FAMH·SC H·AROA·FC H·NACA·CASH·SPOA·RIO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

11022265312114232113142113326524A·BENH·ESTA·FAMH·SC H·AROA·FC H·NACA·CASH·SPOA·RIO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 14.6 · Total 28.5

⚠️ Fouls

41014131412151591411121514131312221214241727263023232926342641A·BENH·ESTA·FAMH·SC H·AROA·FC H·NACA·CASH·SPOA·RIO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

EstrelaEstrela

For 3.9 · Against 6.6 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

17063441365614108975329671711714816811H·FC A·AROH·SPOA·NACH·CASA·RIOH·GILA·AVSH·TONA·GUI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.3

🟨 Cards

70331531343224121334236647563475H·FC A·AROH·SPOA·NACH·CASA·RIOH·GILA·AVSH·TONA·GUI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 16.0 · Total 29.3

⚠️ Fouls

3801515111514168141820121616179171217181330263022382833262931H·FC A·AROH·SPOA·NACH·CASA·RIOH·GILA·AVSH·TONA·GUI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MoreirenseMoreirense

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.28.77.84.84.94.729.629.130.0
vs Stronger (12)9.39.89.03.22.83.627.828.027.6
vs Similar (37)7.98.47.35.15.15.230.229.431.1
vs Weaker (1)9.09.0-11.011.0-30.030.0-
% over line33%33%33%64%62%65%96%92%100%
% under line67%67%67%36%38%35%4%8%0%
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstrelaEstrela

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.08.99.15.35.45.230.730.930.5
vs Stronger (16)9.09.68.35.15.34.930.229.930.6
vs Similar (34)9.08.59.45.45.45.430.931.430.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line35%28%42%76%72%80%96%92%100%
% under line65%72%58%24%28%20%4%8%0%
This opponent (Moreirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Famalicao
10.5
Nacional
10.5
Benfica
10.1
Rio Ave
10.0
Sporting CP
10.0
Torreense
9.8
Casa Pia
9.7
Tondela
9.6
AVS
9.2
Arouca
9.2
GIL Vicente
9.1
Estrela
9.1
Guimaraes
9.0
Alverca
9.0
Santa Clara
8.7
Estoril
8.7
FC Porto
8.6
Moreirense
8.3
SC Braga
8.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.2
Casa Pia
5.8
Arouca
5.6
FC Porto
5.6
Famalicao
5.5
Nacional
5.5
Benfica
5.4
Guimaraes
5.4
Estrela
5.4
Torreense
5.4
Sporting CP
5.3
AVS
5.3
Rio Ave
5.1
Moreirense
5.0
GIL Vicente
5.0
Tondela
4.9
Alverca
4.9
SC Braga
4.6
Estoril
4.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
32.2
Santa Clara
30.7
Estrela
30.6
Guimaraes
29.7
Moreirense
29.6
Casa Pia
28.6
GIL Vicente
28.0
Rio Ave
27.8
Estoril
27.6
Nacional
27.2
Sporting CP
26.9
Arouca
26.8
AVS
26.7
FC Porto
26.4
Benfica
26.1
SC Braga
24.0
Tondela
23.7
Alverca
20.6
Torreense
17.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.8%
Under 9.5
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
72.3%
Under 3.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
90.7%
Under 21.5
9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MoreirenseMoreirense

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D01L10W02L00D01L10W10W12LA·RIO16/02H·SPO21/02A·CAS01/03H·NAC07/03A·FC 15/03H·ARO21/03H·SC 04/04A·FAM10/04H·EST20/04A·BEN25/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.500.290.430.500.56
vs Stronger (8)0.251.000.250.750.251.25
vs Similar (22)0.450.320.300.300.580.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstrelaEstrela

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L00D01L01L30W01L00D00D02LA·GUI14/02H·TON20/02A·AVS28/02H·GIL08/03A·RIO15/03H·CAS20/03A·NAC04/04H·SPO11/04A·ARO19/04H·FC 26/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.770.730.670.400.87
vs Stronger (9)0.441.220.251.000.601.40
vs Similar (21)0.620.570.910.550.300.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Moreirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Moreirense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MoreirenseMoreirense

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W03L10W01L01L01L00D01L00D02LA·RIO16/02H·SPO21/02A·CAS01/03H·NAC07/03A·FC 15/03H·ARO21/03H·SC 04/04A·FAM10/04H·EST20/04A·BEN25/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.000.790.860.501.12
vs Stronger (8)0.121.750.001.750.251.75
vs Similar (22)0.820.731.100.500.580.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstrelaEstrela

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L00D21W11D10W01L01L01L10WA·GUI14/02H·TON20/02A·AVS28/02H·GIL08/03A·RIO15/03H·CAS20/03A·NAC04/04H·SPO11/04A·ARO19/04H·FC 26/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.970.670.870.471.07
vs Stronger (9)0.561.330.751.000.401.60
vs Similar (21)0.570.810.640.820.500.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Moreirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Moreirense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls95.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls90.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards86.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls82.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.580.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners75.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards72.3%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Moreirense
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Guilherme Schettine47%
Diogo Travassos17%
Alan15%
Luís Semedo14%
Maracás14%
Rodrigo Alonso12%
Vasco Sousa11%
Marcelo8%
Bernardo Martins7%
Afonso Assis6%
Yan Maranhão5%
Dinis Pinto4%
Kiko4%
Mateja Stjepanović3%
André Ferreira0%
Caio Secco0%
Lawrence Ofori0%
Kiko Bondoso0%
Cedric Teguia0%
Nile John0%
Joel Jorquera0%
Fabiano Souza0%
Álvaro Martínez0%
Michel Augusto0%
Jimi Gower0%
Gilberto Batista0%
Landerson0%
Leandro Santos0%
Kevyn Monteiro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fabiano Souza43%
Dinis Pinto35%
Maracás34%
Marcelo33%
Caio Secco27%
Michel Augusto25%
Yan Maranhão24%
Rodrigo Alonso23%
Vasco Sousa22%
Afonso Assis22%
Nile John21%
Alan21%
Mateja Stjepanović19%
Kiko15%
Gilberto Batista14%
Leandro Santos11%
Cedric Teguia10%
André Ferreira9%
Diogo Travassos7%
Landerson7%
Álvaro Martínez7%
Guilherme Schettine0%
Lawrence Ofori0%
Bernardo Martins0%
Kiko Bondoso0%
Joel Jorquera0%
Jimi Gower0%
Luís Semedo0%
Kevyn Monteiro0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lawrence Ofori25%
Dinis Pinto22%
Alan15%
Kiko Bondoso13%
Rodrigo Alonso12%
Diogo Travassos10%
Bernardo Martins7%
Nile John7%
Landerson7%
Guilherme Schettine7%
Afonso Assis6%
Yan Maranhão5%
André Ferreira5%
Maracás0%
Caio Secco0%
Marcelo0%
Cedric Teguia0%
Joel Jorquera0%
Fabiano Souza0%
Álvaro Martínez0%
Michel Augusto0%
Jimi Gower0%
Vasco Sousa0%
Gilberto Batista0%
Luís Semedo0%
Kiko0%
Mateja Stjepanović0%
Leandro Santos0%
Kevyn Monteiro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Guilherme Schettine20%
Bernardo Martins14%
Vasco Sousa11%
Diogo Travassos10%
Nile John7%
Yan Maranhão5%
Luís Semedo5%
Alan3%
Maracás0%
André Ferreira0%
Caio Secco0%
Lawrence Ofori0%
Marcelo0%
Kiko Bondoso0%
Dinis Pinto0%
Cedric Teguia0%
Joel Jorquera0%
Fabiano Souza0%
Álvaro Martínez0%
Michel Augusto0%
Jimi Gower0%
Gilberto Batista0%
Rodrigo Alonso0%
Kiko0%
Mateja Stjepanović0%
Landerson0%
Leandro Santos0%
Afonso Assis0%
Kevyn Monteiro0%
Estrela
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kikas29%
Jovane Cabral22%
Sidny Lopes Cabral20%
Abraham Marcus16%
Stefan Leković11%
Rodrigo Pinho10%
Paulo Moreira10%
Sydney van Hooijdonk10%
Ianis Stoica9%
Eddy Doué7%
Renan Ribeiro0%
Billal Brahimi0%
Jefferson Encada0%
Kevin Höög Jansson0%
Bruno Langa0%
Atanas Chernev0%
Luan Patrick0%
Alan Godoy0%
Bernardo Schappo0%
Yahya Kalley0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Jorge Meireles0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Max Scholze0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho0%
Otavio0%
Alisson Souza de Jesus0%
Alex Sola0%
João Moisés Gastão0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yahya Kalley33%
Eddy Doué29%
Oumar Ngom27%
Jefferson Encada27%
Atanas Chernev27%
João Moisés Gastão25%
Paulo Moreira24%
Kevin Höög Jansson23%
Bernardo Schappo23%
Otavio23%
Stefan Leković22%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho22%
Sydney van Hooijdonk20%
Sidny Lopes Cabral20%
Alisson Souza de Jesus20%
Jovane Cabral19%
Max Scholze18%
Guilherme Montóia18%
Rodrigo Pinho17%
Renan Ribeiro15%
Alex Sola12%
Ianis Stoica12%
Luan Patrick10%
Abraham Marcus6%
Jorge Meireles5%
Billal Brahimi0%
Kikas0%
Bruno Langa0%
Alan Godoy0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sidny Lopes Cabral13%
Abraham Marcus13%
João Moisés Gastão12%
Sydney van Hooijdonk10%
Oumar Ngom9%
Jorge Meireles9%
Jefferson Encada8%
Paulo Moreira7%
Kikas6%
Otavio5%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho4%
Jovane Cabral4%
Rodrigo Pinho3%
Ianis Stoica3%
Renan Ribeiro0%
Billal Brahimi0%
Kevin Höög Jansson0%
Bruno Langa0%
Atanas Chernev0%
Luan Patrick0%
Alan Godoy0%
Bernardo Schappo0%
Yahya Kalley0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Stefan Leković0%
Max Scholze0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Alisson Souza de Jesus0%
Alex Sola0%
Eddy Doué0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sidny Lopes Cabral20%
Jovane Cabral19%
Kikas18%
Rodrigo Pinho10%
Abraham Marcus6%
Ianis Stoica6%
Jorge Meireles5%
Bernardo Schappo4%
Renan Ribeiro0%
Billal Brahimi0%
Sydney van Hooijdonk0%
Jefferson Encada0%
Kevin Höög Jansson0%
Bruno Langa0%
Atanas Chernev0%
Paulo Moreira0%
Luan Patrick0%
Alan Godoy0%
Yahya Kalley0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Stefan Leković0%
Max Scholze0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho0%
Otavio0%
Alisson Souza de Jesus0%
Alex Sola0%
João Moisés Gastão0%
Eddy Doué0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
TON (20)
€10m
AVS (20)
€7m
Moreirense's squad is €2m more valuable than Estrela's (€22m vs €20m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
MOR (5)
€5m
AVS (8)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
Moreirense's attack is €1m less valuable than Estrela's (€5m vs €6m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
TOR (5)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
Moreirense's midfield is €6m more valuable than Estrela's (€8m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
AVS (10)
€3m
Moreirense's defence is €2m less valuable than Estrela's (€9m vs €11m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
2
MOR wins
4
Draws
1
EST wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Moreirense vs Estrela · H/A from MOR
DateH/AGameScore
20/12/25AEstrela Vs MOR0-0
02/03/25HMOR Vs Estrela1-1
28/09/24AEstrela Vs MOR2-1
07/04/24HMOR Vs Estrela2-2
11/11/23AEstrela Vs MOR0-1
06/05/23AEstrela Vs MOR2-4
31/12/22HMOR Vs Estrela0-0

MoreirenseMoreirense

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26ABenfica Vs MOR4-1
20/04/26HMOR Vs Estoril1-0
10/04/26AFamalicao Vs MOR1-1
04/04/26HMOR Vs SC Braga0-1
21/03/26HMOR Vs Arouca0-1
15/03/26AFC Porto Vs MOR3-0
07/03/26HMOR Vs Nacional1-1
01/03/26ACasa Pia Vs MOR1-1
21/02/26HMOR Vs Sporting CP0-3
16/02/26ARio Ave Vs MOR1-2

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/26HEST Vs FC Porto1-2
19/04/26AArouca Vs EST1-0
11/04/26HEST Vs Sporting CP0-1
04/04/26ANacional Vs EST2-0
20/03/26HEST Vs Casa Pia4-0
15/03/26ARio Ave Vs EST2-1
08/03/26HEST Vs GIL Vicente2-2
28/02/26AAVS Vs EST0-0
20/02/26HEST Vs Tondela0-2
14/02/26AGuimaraes Vs EST2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Moreirense
Moreirense
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWL1.14
HomeLDLLW1.42
AwayWDLDL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%38%23%
AVG goals2.522.462.58
Over 1.5 %72%71%73%
Over 2.5 %48%50%46%
Over 3.5 %24%25%23%
Scored1.081.171.00
Conceded1.441.291.58
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners8.258.717.79
Cards5.004.885.12
Estrela
Estrela
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL0.82
HomeLDWLL0.88
AwayLDLLL0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%20%16%
AVG goals2.482.642.32
Over 1.5 %66%68%64%
Over 2.5 %42%48%36%
Over 3.5 %30%32%28%
Scored0.901.120.68
Conceded1.581.521.64
BTTS38%40%36%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners8.988.889.08
Cards5.435.405.46

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC PortoFC Porto3488
82%
2.6
6618+48
2.5
71%
56%
24%
8.6
35%
5.5
82%
26.4
71%
467
2141051481.90.5
55%
2Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8924+65
3.3
91%
71%
35%
9.9
53%
5.2
62%
25.9
79%
414
146911762.60.7
62%
3BenficaBenfica3480
68%
2.4
7425+49
2.9
88%
71%
32%
10.0
56%
5.3
73%
26.8
74%
357
172771082.20.7
58%
4SC BragaSC Braga3459
47%
1.7
6436+28
2.9
76%
68%
38%
8.4
32%
5.0
79%
23.5
62%
165
4156681.91.1
63%
5FamalicaoFamalicao3456
44%
1.6
4229+13
2.1
53%
38%
24%
10.4
56%
5.1
68%
32.1
94%
57
1620221.20.9
51%
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3450
38%
1.5
4738+9
2.5
76%
53%
26%
9.5
50%
5.1
67%
28.2
85%
29
118111.41.1
50%
7MoreirenseMoreirense3443
35%
1.3
3749-12
2.5
74%
50%
21%
8.4
35%
4.9
68%
29.2
94%
22
5891.11.4
50%
8GuimaraesGuimaraes3442
35%
1.2
3951-12
2.6
76%
44%
24%
8.4
38%
5.2
74%
29.6
88%
46
2211121.11.5
51%
9AroucaArouca3442
35%
1.2
4764-17
3.3
79%
68%
50%
9.0
44%
5.7
79%
25.9
79%
28
11881.41.9
50%
10EstorilEstoril3439
29%
1.1
5457-3
3.3
76%
62%
53%
9.3
41%
4.9
88%
25.8
82%
42
248101.61.7
53%
11AlvercaAlverca3439
29%
1.1
3552-17
2.6
76%
50%
24%
8.9
44%
4.9
64%
26.4
71%
39
156181.01.5
45%
12Santa ClaraSanta Clara3436
26%
1.1
3241-9
2.1
56%
35%
15%
9.0
50%
6.1
85%
29.5
94%
27
96120.91.2
48%
13Rio AveRio Ave3436
24%
1.1
3557-22
2.7
82%
59%
29%
10.8
68%
5.2
62%
27.4
79%
37
88211.01.7
47%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3745-8
2.4
74%
41%
18%
10.8
68%
5.7
74%
27.2
88%
20
6591.11.3
46%
15Casa PiaCasa Pia3634
19%
0.9
3357-24
2.5
75%
42%
28%
10.0
50%
5.6
83%
29.8
92%
27
96120.91.6
41%
16EstrelaEstrela3430
18%
0.9
3856-18
2.8
74%
53%
38%
9.1
35%
5.6
82%
29.7
97%
20
63111.11.6
47%
17TondelaTondela3428
18%
0.8
2755-28
2.4
68%
50%
29%
9.8
50%
5.4
71%
26.8
82%
10
2160.81.6
44%
18AVSAVS3421
9%
0.6
2767-40
2.8
79%
59%
38%
9.5
47%
5.0
67%
24.7
71%
7
3230.82.0
39%
19TorreenseTorreense21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
11.5
50%
6.5
100%
25.5
100%
19
72100.01.0
60%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Moreirense
90'Maracás⚽8.6
90'Diogo Travassos6.6
90'Caio Secco5.9
90'Rodrigo Alonso1A7.3
90'Gilberto Batista6.7
90'Kiko Bondoso1A6.6
76'Fabiano Souza6.0
68'Landerson7.3
68'Alan⚽6.7
45'Afonso Assis6.6
45'Mateja Stjepanović6.5
45'Nile John6.6
45'Yan Maranhão5.7
22'Luís Semedo⚽7.3
22'Kiko7.2
14'Leandro Santos6.6
Estrela
90'Luan Patrick6.0
90'Otavio6.5
90'Max Scholze6.7
90'Ianis Stoica⚽7.0
90'Renan Ribeiro6.3
90'Paulo Moreira6.7
81'Abraham Marcus6.2
81'Alex Sola6.9
70'Jovane Cabral⚽7.5
70'Bruno Langa6.7
64'Rodrigo Pinho6.7
26'Sydney van Hooijdonk6.3
20'Jefferson Encada6.3
20'Kevin Höög Jansson6.3
9'Tom Moustier6.5
9'Jorge Meireles6.2
Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches