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Nacional vs AVS Result & Analysis

Date: 19/01/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 3-1
Nacional
Nacional
Vs
43%
31%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AVS
AVS
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional win✓ Hit
43.1%
Avg Implied 45.3% · @ 2.07
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.6%
Avg Implied 29.0% · @ 3.23
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AVS win✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied 25.6% · @ 3.66
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NacionalNacional

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W02L00D12L10W02L22D12L20WA·CAS25/10H·SAN04/11A·EST10/11H·BOA30/11A·GIL07/12H·MOR14/12H·BEN19/12A·GUI23/12A·RIO29/12H·FC 12/01
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.131.541.081.001.18
vs Stronger (8)1.501.751.672.001.001.00
vs Similar (22)1.140.911.430.291.001.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (AVS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AVSAVS

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L23L00D23L01L11D11D00D11D11DH·FC 28/10H·FAM03/11A·EST09/11A·LUS23/11H·SC 01/12A·CAS08/12H·BEN15/12A·BOA21/12H·EST28/12A·MOR04/01
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.330.931.501.191.19
vs Stronger (8)0.621.880.672.000.501.50
vs Similar (22)1.231.141.121.121.291.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.7%
Under 1.5
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.8%
@ 2.25-2.1%
Under 2.5
60.2%
@ 1.62+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
19.6%
Under 3.5
80.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.6%
No
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.1%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.8%
Nacional goals ↓
AVS goals →
01234
012%8.6%4.8%1.6%0.4%
112%14%6.3%2.0%0.5%
28.8%8.5%4.1%1.3%0.3%
33.8%3.7%1.8%0.6%0.1%
41.3%1.2%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nacional goals (down), columns = AVS goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
FC Porto
2.09
SC Braga
1.94
Santa Clara
1.68
Guimaraes
1.59
Famalicao
1.38
Estoril
1.35
Casa Pia
1.32
Moreirense
1.18
Rio Ave
1.12
Arouca
1.12
GIL Vicente
1.00
Nacional
1.00
AVS
0.86
Estrela
0.85
Farense
0.79
Boavista
0.71
Vizela
0.50
Nacional is 0.14 points better than AVS in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.86).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.59
Benfica
2.47
FC Porto
1.91
SC Braga
1.62
Estoril
1.41
Guimaraes
1.38
Famalicao
1.29
Moreirense
1.24
Casa Pia
1.15
Rio Ave
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Arouca
1.03
Vizela
1.00
GIL Vicente
1.00
Nacional
0.94
AVS
0.83
Farense
0.74
Estrela
0.71
Boavista
0.71
Nacional is 0.11 goals better than AVS in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 0.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sporting CP
0.79
Benfica
0.82
FC Porto
0.88
SC Braga
0.88
Santa Clara
0.94
Guimaraes
1.09
Famalicao
1.15
Casa Pia
1.29
Farense
1.35
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.44
Moreirense
1.47
Estrela
1.47
Nacional
1.47
Estoril
1.56
Rio Ave
1.62
AVS
1.72
Boavista
1.74
Vizela
2.50
Nacional is 0.25 goals better than AVS in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.72).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Vizela
71%
FC Porto
62%
Sporting CP
60%
Benfica
58%
SC Braga
57%
Guimaraes
57%
Arouca
53%
GIL Vicente
51%
Famalicao
50%
Estoril
49%
Rio Ave
48%
Moreirense
47%
Nacional
47%
Casa Pia
47%
Estrela
45%
Santa Clara
44%
AVS
43%
Farense
41%
Boavista
40%
Nacional is 4.5 percentage points better than AVS in terms of average possession (47% vs 43%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NacionalNacional

For 4.6 · Against 7.7 · Total 12.3

🚩 Corners

1701106111741110276474102677111781512131114814H·FC A·RIOA·GUIH·BENH·MORA·GILH·BOAA·ESTH·SANA·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

11036111243431211473391263732116H·FC A·RIOA·GUIH·BENH·MORA·GILH·BOAA·ESTH·SANA·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 13.0 · Total 25.9

⚠️ Fouls

3008111410111512914161713141512101514121719242621303029222929H·FC A·RIOA·GUIH·BENH·MORA·GILH·BOAA·ESTH·SANA·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AVSAVS

For 4.1 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

1609376153362961042375121363911164512A·MORH·ESTA·BOAH·BENA·CASH·SC A·ESTH·FAMH·FC A·ARO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

805322212244124121238434452535A·MORH·ESTA·BOAH·BENA·CASH·SC A·ESTH·FAMH·FC A·ARO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 11.9 · Total 25.1

⚠️ Fouls

31018131312149813141312161413181181113831252321272827291921A·MORH·ESTA·BOAH·BENA·CASH·SC A·ESTH·FAMH·FC A·ARO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NacionalNacional

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.410.512.34.85.04.627.426.128.7
vs Stronger (10)10.911.210.54.74.35.225.022.028.0
vs Similar (38)11.610.412.74.95.24.728.227.328.9
vs Weaker (2)9.09.0-2.04.00.024.024.0-
% over line64%55%73%68%75%62%78%75%81%
% under line36%45%27%32%25%38%22%25%19%
This opponent (AVS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AVSAVS

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.69.611.65.05.24.826.527.425.7
vs Stronger (10)8.77.711.04.85.14.024.827.718.0
vs Similar (38)11.110.511.65.15.25.027.127.227.1
vs Weaker (2)12.0-12.04.0-4.026.0-26.0
% over line53%41%67%72%79%65%79%82%76%
% under line47%59%33%28%21%35%21%18%24%
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Farense
11.8
Nacional
11.5
Guimaraes
11.1
Estrela
10.7
Benfica
10.6
AVS
10.6
SC Braga
10.2
Estoril
10.1
Rio Ave
10.1
FC Porto
10.0
Casa Pia
10.0
Famalicao
9.9
Arouca
9.9
Vizela
9.9
Boavista
9.4
GIL Vicente
9.2
Sporting CP
9.1
Moreirense
9.0
Santa Clara
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.4
Famalicao
5.8
FC Porto
5.8
Boavista
5.8
Guimaraes
5.8
Arouca
5.5
AVS
5.3
SC Braga
5.2
Rio Ave
5.2
Estoril
5.2
Nacional
5.1
Vizela
5.0
Farense
5.0
Moreirense
4.9
Benfica
4.8
Estrela
4.8
GIL Vicente
4.7
Sporting CP
4.6
Casa Pia
4.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
30.4
Rio Ave
28.8
Moreirense
28.7
Santa Clara
28.6
FC Porto
27.8
Boavista
27.7
Nacional
27.3
Estoril
27.2
Estrela
27.0
Farense
26.8
GIL Vicente
26.7
Guimaraes
26.7
AVS
26.5
Casa Pia
26.4
Arouca
26.2
Vizela
25.8
SC Braga
24.7
Sporting CP
24.7
Benfica
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.3%
Under 9.5
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
75.9%
Under 3.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
81.1%
Under 21.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NacionalNacional

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W00D00D01L00D00D11D11D20WA·CAS25/10H·SAN04/11A·EST10/11H·BOA30/11A·GIL07/12H·MOR14/12H·BEN19/12A·GUI23/12A·RIO29/12H·FC 12/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.431.150.310.470.53
vs Stronger (8)1.000.381.170.330.500.50
vs Similar (22)0.680.451.140.290.470.53
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (AVS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AVSAVS

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L22D00D12L00D01L01L00D01L11DH·FC 28/10H·FAM03/11A·EST09/11A·LUS23/11H·SC 01/12A·CAS08/12H·BEN15/12A·BOA21/12H·EST28/12A·MOR04/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.900.211.000.500.81
vs Stronger (8)0.251.250.331.330.001.00
vs Similar (22)0.410.770.120.750.570.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nacional over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AVS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AVS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AVS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NacionalNacional

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L00D11D10W02L11D01L00DA·CAS25/10H·SAN04/11A·EST10/11H·BOA30/11A·GIL07/12H·MOR14/12H·BEN19/12A·GUI23/12A·RIO29/12H·FC 12/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.700.380.770.530.65
vs Stronger (8)0.501.380.501.670.500.50
vs Similar (22)0.450.450.290.000.530.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (AVS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AVSAVS

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L01L00D11D01L10W10W00D10W00DH·FC 28/10H·FAM03/11A·EST09/11A·LUS23/11H·SC 01/12A·CAS08/12H·BEN15/12A·BOA21/12H·EST28/12A·MOR04/01
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.430.710.500.690.38
vs Stronger (8)0.380.620.330.670.500.50
vs Similar (22)0.820.361.000.380.710.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nacional over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AVS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AVS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AVS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls90.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards89.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls81.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.580.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards75.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners72.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Nacional
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Miguel Baeza20%
Joel Tagueu14%
Dudu13%
Daniel Penha13%
Bruno Costa11%
Isaac11%
Nigel Thomas10%
André Sousa8%
Fuki Yamada8%
Rúben Macedo7%
José Gomes7%
João Aurélio7%
Paulinho Bóia7%
Ulisses7%
Léo Santos6%
Ze Vitor6%
Chiheb Labidi6%
Djibril Soumaré4%
Dyego Sousa0%
Tiago Reis0%
Arvin Appiah0%
Lucas França0%
Gabriel Santos0%
Adrián Butzke0%
Luís Esteves0%
Gustavo García0%
Matheus Dias0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Djibril Soumaré35%
Ze Vitor34%
Nigel Thomas30%
Matheus Dias26%
André Sousa23%
Léo Santos19%
Adrián Butzke18%
Lucas França18%
Luís Esteves18%
Chiheb Labidi17%
Ulisses17%
Gustavo García15%
Paulinho Bóia13%
Tiago Reis12%
Arvin Appiah12%
Isaac11%
José Gomes10%
Fuki Yamada8%
Joel Tagueu7%
João Aurélio7%
Daniel Penha6%
Bruno Costa0%
Dyego Sousa0%
Rúben Macedo0%
Gabriel Santos0%
Dudu0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fuki Yamada15%
Paulinho Bóia13%
Luís Esteves12%
Adrián Butzke9%
Gustavo García9%
Dudu9%
João Aurélio7%
Bruno Costa6%
Djibril Soumaré4%
Matheus Dias4%
Rúben Macedo4%
Isaac4%
José Gomes3%
Daniel Penha3%
Dyego Sousa0%
Léo Santos0%
Tiago Reis0%
Arvin Appiah0%
Nigel Thomas0%
Joel Tagueu0%
Lucas França0%
André Sousa0%
Chiheb Labidi0%
Gabriel Santos0%
Ulisses0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Ze Vitor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tiago Reis25%
Luís Esteves24%
Adrián Butzke18%
Paulinho Bóia13%
Daniel Penha13%
Dudu9%
Rúben Macedo7%
Djibril Soumaré4%
Isaac4%
José Gomes3%
Ulisses3%
Ze Vitor3%
Bruno Costa0%
Dyego Sousa0%
Léo Santos0%
Arvin Appiah0%
Nigel Thomas0%
João Aurélio0%
Joel Tagueu0%
Lucas França0%
André Sousa0%
Chiheb Labidi0%
Gabriel Santos0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Fuki Yamada0%
Gustavo García0%
Matheus Dias0%
AVS
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gerson Rodrigues20%
Nenê20%
Gustavo Assunção16%
Babatunde Akinsola12%
Zé Luís12%
John Mercado9%
Vasco Lopes8%
Jaume Grau6%
Gustavo Mendonca6%
Rodrigo Ribeiro5%
Rafael Rodrigues4%
Baptiste Roux4%
Kiki Afonso4%
Cristian Castro3%
Guillermo Ochoa0%
Jorge Teixeira0%
Simão0%
Yair Mena0%
Eric Veiga0%
Lucas Piazón0%
Jonatan Lucca0%
Lucas Fernandes0%
Tomás Tavares0%
Fernando Fonseca0%
Luís Silva0%
Aderllan Santos0%
Giorgi Aburjania0%
Tiago Galletto0%
Samuel Granada0%
Léo Alaba0%
Ignacio Rodríguez0%
Issiaka Kamate0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tiago Galletto67%
Gustavo Assunção52%
Jaume Grau42%
Yair Mena40%
Luís Silva38%
Fernando Fonseca32%
Nenê25%
Samuel Granada25%
Léo Alaba25%
Ignacio Rodríguez25%
Vasco Lopes23%
Rafael Rodrigues22%
Jorge Teixeira20%
Guillermo Ochoa17%
Baptiste Roux17%
Gustavo Mendonca17%
Zé Luís15%
Simão15%
Kiki Afonso15%
Cristian Castro15%
Jonatan Lucca12%
Lucas Fernandes12%
Eric Veiga11%
Lucas Piazón9%
John Mercado9%
Tomás Tavares8%
Aderllan Santos8%
Babatunde Akinsola3%
Gerson Rodrigues0%
Giorgi Aburjania0%
Rodrigo Ribeiro0%
Issiaka Kamate0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Samuel Granada25%
Lucas Piazón9%
Tomás Tavares8%
Kiki Afonso8%
Vasco Lopes8%
Jaume Grau6%
John Mercado6%
Nenê5%
Rafael Rodrigues4%
Baptiste Roux4%
Zé Luís4%
Fernando Fonseca4%
Babatunde Akinsola3%
Cristian Castro3%
Gustavo Assunção0%
Guillermo Ochoa0%
Jorge Teixeira0%
Simão0%
Yair Mena0%
Eric Veiga0%
Gerson Rodrigues0%
Jonatan Lucca0%
Lucas Fernandes0%
Luís Silva0%
Aderllan Santos0%
Giorgi Aburjania0%
Tiago Galletto0%
Léo Alaba0%
Ignacio Rodríguez0%
Rodrigo Ribeiro0%
Gustavo Mendonca0%
Issiaka Kamate0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Samuel Granada25%
Nenê20%
Rodrigo Ribeiro14%
Zé Luís12%
Vasco Lopes12%
John Mercado11%
Babatunde Akinsola3%
Gustavo Assunção0%
Jaume Grau0%
Guillermo Ochoa0%
Jorge Teixeira0%
Simão0%
Yair Mena0%
Eric Veiga0%
Lucas Piazón0%
Gerson Rodrigues0%
Kiki Afonso0%
Jonatan Lucca0%
Lucas Fernandes0%
Tomás Tavares0%
Fernando Fonseca0%
Luís Silva0%
Aderllan Santos0%
Giorgi Aburjania0%
Rafael Rodrigues0%
Baptiste Roux0%
Cristian Castro0%
Tiago Galletto0%
Léo Alaba0%
Ignacio Rodríguez0%
Gustavo Mendonca0%
Issiaka Kamate0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
VIZ (29)
€12m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
Nacional's squad is €12m more valuable than AVS's (€20m vs €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
Nacional's attack is €3m more valuable than AVS's (€6m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
VIZ (5)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
Nacional's midfield is €4m more valuable than AVS's (€5m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
VIZ (11)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
AVS (10)
€3m
Nacional's defence is €6m more valuable than AVS's (€9m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
NAC wins
1
Draws
0
AVS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nacional vs AVS · H/A from NAC
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/24AAVS Vs NAC1-1
06/04/24HNAC Vs AVS2-1
19/11/23AAVS Vs NAC0-1

NacionalNacional

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/01/25HNAC Vs FC Porto2-0
29/12/24ARio Ave Vs NAC2-1
23/12/24AGuimaraes Vs NAC2-2
19/12/24HNAC Vs Benfica0-2
14/12/24HNAC Vs Moreirense1-0
07/12/24AGIL Vicente Vs NAC2-1
30/11/24HNAC Vs Boavista0-0
10/11/24AEstrela Vs NAC2-0
04/11/24HNAC Vs Santa Clara2-0
25/10/24ACasa Pia Vs NAC1-0

AVSAVS

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/01/25AMoreirense Vs AVS1-1
28/12/24HAVS Vs Estrela1-1
21/12/24ABoavista Vs AVS0-0
15/12/24HAVS Vs Benfica1-1
08/12/24ACasa Pia Vs AVS1-1
01/12/24HAVS Vs SC Braga0-1
23/11/24ALusitano Évora 1911 Vs AVS3-2
09/11/24AEstoril Vs AVS0-0
03/11/24HAVS Vs Famalicao2-3
28/10/24HAVS Vs FC Porto0-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Nacional
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLW1.74
HomeWDWLW2.29
AwayLLLDL1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%71%31%
AVG goals2.682.962.42
Over 1.5 %78%88%69%
Over 2.5 %48%50%46%
Over 3.5 %28%33%23%
Scored1.582.001.19
Conceded1.100.961.23
BTTS56%46%65%
Clean Sheet32%46%19%
Corners11.4310.5012.27
Cards5.065.174.96
AVS
AVS
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 6 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDDD1.50
HomeLLLDD1.46
AwayDLDDD1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%42%42%
AVG goals2.542.292.77
Over 1.5 %70%58%81%
Over 2.5 %46%33%58%
Over 3.5 %24%21%27%
Scored1.301.081.50
Conceded1.241.211.27
BTTS54%42%65%
Clean Sheet32%33%31%
Corners10.569.5911.57
Cards5.305.215.39

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8827+61
3.4
88%
68%
44%
9.2
44%
5.5
71%
26.2
76%
414
146911762.60.8
60%
2BenficaBenfica3480
74%
2.4
8428+56
3.3
88%
68%
38%
10.0
53%
4.5
68%
23.8
65%
357
172771082.50.8
58%
3FC PortoFC Porto3471
65%
2.1
6530+35
2.8
91%
53%
26%
8.8
41%
6.1
88%
27.6
91%
467
2141051481.90.9
62%
4SC BragaSC Braga3466
56%
1.9
5530+25
2.5
76%
47%
18%
9.9
56%
5.0
70%
26.6
82%
165
4156681.60.9
57%
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara3457
50%
1.7
3632+4
2.0
59%
29%
9%
8.1
24%
6.6
85%
29.9
88%
27
96121.10.9
44%
6GuimaraesGuimaraes3454
41%
1.6
4737+10
2.5
68%
47%
26%
10.6
65%
5.5
71%
28.8
100%
46
2211121.41.1
57%
7FamalicaoFamalicao3447
35%
1.4
4439+5
2.4
79%
53%
15%
10.4
50%
5.7
85%
30.2
88%
57
1620221.31.1
50%
8EstorilEstoril3446
35%
1.4
4853-5
3.0
79%
71%
41%
8.8
35%
4.4
62%
30.0
91%
42
248101.41.6
49%
9Casa PiaCasa Pia3445
35%
1.3
3944-5
2.4
74%
44%
26%
9.3
32%
5.5
73%
26.8
79%
27
96121.11.3
47%
10MoreirenseMoreirense3440
29%
1.2
4250-8
2.7
76%
53%
35%
8.3
26%
5.3
71%
30.5
97%
22
5891.21.5
47%
11AroucaArouca3438
26%
1.1
3549-14
2.5
71%
47%
29%
10.6
59%
5.4
76%
28.1
85%
28
11881.01.4
53%
12Rio AveRio Ave3438
26%
1.1
3955-16
2.8
82%
50%
29%
9.8
47%
4.7
65%
27.6
94%
37
88211.11.6
48%
13GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3434
24%
1.0
3447-13
2.4
71%
44%
18%
8.9
35%
4.7
71%
27.5
85%
29
118111.01.4
51%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3250-18
2.4
71%
44%
18%
10.2
53%
5.0
62%
27.3
85%
20
6590.91.5
47%
15AVSAVS3631
17%
0.9
3062-32
2.6
72%
44%
25%
8.6
36%
5.2
75%
26.9
78%
7
3230.81.7
43%
16EstrelaEstrela3429
21%
0.9
2450-26
2.2
59%
32%
18%
9.8
44%
5.2
76%
31.5
97%
20
63110.71.5
45%
17FarenseFarense3427
18%
0.8
2546-21
2.1
56%
41%
18%
11.0
53%
5.4
74%
28.7
94%
8
3240.71.4
41%
18BoavistaBoavista3424
18%
0.7
2459-35
2.4
65%
50%
26%
9.1
38%
5.7
76%
27.5
82%
0
0000.71.7
40%
19VizelaVizela21
0%
0.5
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
12.0
100%
6.0
100%
26.0
100%
12
5241.02.5
71%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches