PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Nacional vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: 19/12/2024
Time: 17:00
Final 0-2
Nacional
Nacional
Vs
12%
21%
67%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Benfica
Benfica
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional win✗ Miss
12.5%
Avg Implied 8.9% · @ 10.60
Edge
+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.6%
Avg Implied 14.9% · @ 6.32
Edge
+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Benfica win✓ Hit
66.9%
Avg Implied 76.2% · @ 1.24
Edge
-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NacionalNacional

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L00D12L01L20W02L00D12L10WA·EST15/09H·SC 20/09A·FAM29/09A·UNI20/10A·CAS25/10H·SAN04/11A·EST10/11H·BOA30/11A·GIL07/12H·MOR14/12
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.171.861.210.941.12
vs Stronger (5)1.602.002.002.500.000.00
vs Similar (24)1.250.961.670.561.001.20
vs Weaker (1)3.002.003.002.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BenficaBenfica

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-750W21W01L41W70W32W20W10W00D11DH·RIO27/10A·FAR02/11A·BAY06/11H·FC 10/11H·EST23/11A·MON27/11A·ARO01/12H·GUI07/12H·BOL11/12A·AVS15/12
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.300.803.200.531.401.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)2.141.433.001.331.501.50
vs Weaker (23)2.350.613.250.331.360.91
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.6%
Under 1.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.6%
@ 1.43-7.3%
Under 2.5
41.4%
@ 2.76+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.2%
Under 3.5
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.9%
No
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2 ✓
11.4%
1-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.6%
0-3
8.3%
1-3
7.1%
0-0
5.7%
0-4
4.6%
Nacional goals ↓
Benfica goals →
01234
05.7%9.6%11%8.3%4.6%
13.2%9.8%9.8%7.1%3.9%
21.7%3.8%4.2%3.0%1.7%
30.5%1.1%1.2%0.9%0.5%
40.1%0.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nacional goals (down), columns = Benfica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
FC Porto
2.09
SC Braga
1.94
Santa Clara
1.68
Guimaraes
1.59
Famalicao
1.38
Estoril
1.35
Casa Pia
1.32
Moreirense
1.18
Rio Ave
1.12
Arouca
1.12
GIL Vicente
1.00
Nacional
1.00
AVS
0.86
Estrela
0.85
Farense
0.79
Boavista
0.71
Vizela
0.50
Nacional is 1.35 points worse than Benfica in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.35).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.59
Benfica
2.47
FC Porto
1.91
SC Braga
1.62
Estoril
1.41
Guimaraes
1.38
Famalicao
1.29
Moreirense
1.24
Casa Pia
1.15
Rio Ave
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Arouca
1.03
Vizela
1.00
GIL Vicente
1.00
Nacional
0.94
AVS
0.83
Farense
0.74
Estrela
0.71
Boavista
0.71
Nacional is 1.53 goals worse than Benfica in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 2.47).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sporting CP
0.79
Benfica
0.82
FC Porto
0.88
SC Braga
0.88
Santa Clara
0.94
Guimaraes
1.09
Famalicao
1.15
Casa Pia
1.29
Farense
1.35
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.44
Moreirense
1.47
Estrela
1.47
Nacional
1.47
Estoril
1.56
Rio Ave
1.62
AVS
1.72
Boavista
1.74
Vizela
2.50
Nacional is 0.65 goals worse than Benfica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 0.82).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Vizela
71%
FC Porto
62%
Sporting CP
60%
Benfica
58%
SC Braga
57%
Guimaraes
57%
Arouca
53%
GIL Vicente
51%
Famalicao
50%
Estoril
49%
Rio Ave
48%
Moreirense
47%
Nacional
47%
Casa Pia
47%
Estrela
45%
Santa Clara
44%
AVS
43%
Farense
41%
Boavista
40%
Nacional is 11.1 percentage points worse than Benfica in terms of average possession (47% vs 58%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NacionalNacional

For 5.2 · Against 5.9 · Total 11.1

🚩 Corners

140102764741026774866434412131114814121278H·MORA·GILH·BOAA·ESTH·SANA·CASA·FAMH·SC A·ESTH·FAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.3

🟨 Cards

110343121147334133223337321165646H·MORA·GILH·BOAA·ESTH·SANA·CASA·FAMH·SC A·ESTH·FAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.9 · Against 15.2 · Total 30.1

⚠️ Fouls

350141617131415121015141217221212171222191630302922292934293435H·MORA·GILH·BOAA·ESTH·SANA·CASA·FAMH·SC A·ESTH·FAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BenficaBenfica

For 5.6 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

15031046965742210838264314151111410111010A·AVSH·BOLH·GUIA·AROA·MONH·FC A·BAYA·FARH·RIOH·FEY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.9

🟨 Cards

100225531323626211112141045983123A·AVSH·BOLH·GUIA·AROA·MONH·FC A·BAYA·FARH·RIOH·FEY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 11.2 · Total 21.4

⚠️ Fouls

270138141391310158121013885101210131021272225202316152223A·AVSH·BOLH·GUIA·AROA·MONH·FC A·BAYA·FARH·RIOH·FEY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NacionalNacional

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.410.612.14.74.64.827.826.528.9
vs Stronger (7)10.69.511.34.32.86.326.824.028.7
vs Similar (41)11.610.812.24.95.14.828.027.028.9
vs Weaker (2)9.09.0-2.04.00.024.024.0-
% over line63%53%73%70%71%69%82%84%81%
% under line37%47%27%30%29%31%18%16%19%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BenficaBenfica

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.810.54.64.34.921.822.421.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (8)9.66.711.46.25.36.821.120.021.8
vs Weaker (42)10.811.310.34.24.14.421.922.820.9
% over line60%60%61%64%62%67%50%56%43%
% under line40%40%39%36%38%33%50%44%57%
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Farense
11.5
Nacional
11.5
Guimaraes
11.3
Estrela
10.8
AVS
10.6
Benfica
10.6
Estoril
10.5
FC Porto
10.2
Rio Ave
10.2
SC Braga
10.2
Casa Pia
10.0
Vizela
9.9
Arouca
9.9
Famalicao
9.9
Boavista
9.6
Moreirense
9.2
GIL Vicente
9.0
Sporting CP
9.0
Santa Clara
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.4
Famalicao
5.9
FC Porto
5.8
Guimaraes
5.8
Boavista
5.8
Arouca
5.7
Estoril
5.4
AVS
5.3
Rio Ave
5.3
Nacional
5.2
Vizela
5.1
SC Braga
5.0
Estrela
4.9
Benfica
4.8
Moreirense
4.8
Farense
4.8
GIL Vicente
4.8
Sporting CP
4.7
Casa Pia
4.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
31.0
Rio Ave
29.1
Santa Clara
28.9
Moreirense
28.5
Boavista
27.9
FC Porto
27.9
Nacional
27.6
Estoril
26.9
Farense
26.9
Guimaraes
26.8
Casa Pia
26.8
Estrela
26.7
Arouca
26.7
AVS
26.6
GIL Vicente
26.5
Vizela
25.9
SC Braga
24.5
Sporting CP
24.4
Benfica
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.0%
Under 9.5
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.1%
Under 3.5
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
78.3%
Under 21.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NacionalNacional

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D01L01L20W00D00D01L00DA·EST15/09H·SC 20/09A·FAM29/09A·UNI20/10A·CAS25/10H·SAN04/11A·EST10/11H·BOA30/11A·GIL07/12H·MOR14/12
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.501.210.500.440.50
vs Stronger (5)1.000.401.250.500.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.710.501.110.440.470.53
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BenficaBenfica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W11D00D11D30W01L10W10W00D10WH·RIO27/10A·FAR02/11A·BAY06/11H·FC 10/11H·EST23/11A·MON27/11A·ARO01/12H·GUI07/12H·BOL11/12A·AVS15/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.371.330.400.800.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.710.710.671.000.750.50
vs Weaker (23)1.170.261.500.250.820.27
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nacional over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NacionalNacional

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L00D11D00D00D02L00D11D10WA·EST15/09H·SC 20/09A·FAM29/09A·UNI20/10A·CAS25/10H·SAN04/11A·EST10/11H·BOA30/11A·GIL07/12H·MOR14/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.670.640.710.500.62
vs Stronger (5)0.601.600.752.000.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.540.460.560.110.530.67
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BenficaBenfica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W10W01L30W40W31W10W00D00D01LH·RIO27/10A·FAR02/11A·BAY06/11H·FC 10/11H·EST23/11A·MON27/11A·ARO01/12H·GUI07/12H·BOL11/12A·AVS15/12
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.431.870.130.600.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.430.712.330.330.751.00
vs Weaker (23)1.170.351.750.080.550.64
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nacional over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls88.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards87.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.581.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls78.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards73.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Nacional
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Miguel Baeza20%
Joel Tagueu14%
Dudu13%
Daniel Penha13%
Bruno Costa11%
Isaac11%
Nigel Thomas10%
André Sousa8%
Fuki Yamada8%
Rúben Macedo7%
José Gomes7%
João Aurélio7%
Paulinho Bóia7%
Ulisses7%
Léo Santos6%
Ze Vitor6%
Chiheb Labidi6%
Djibril Soumaré4%
Dyego Sousa0%
Tiago Reis0%
Arvin Appiah0%
Lucas França0%
Gabriel Santos0%
Adrián Butzke0%
Luís Esteves0%
Gustavo García0%
Matheus Dias0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Djibril Soumaré35%
Ze Vitor34%
Nigel Thomas30%
Matheus Dias26%
André Sousa23%
Léo Santos19%
Adrián Butzke18%
Lucas França18%
Luís Esteves18%
Chiheb Labidi17%
Ulisses17%
Gustavo García15%
Paulinho Bóia13%
Tiago Reis12%
Arvin Appiah12%
Isaac11%
José Gomes10%
Fuki Yamada8%
Joel Tagueu7%
João Aurélio7%
Daniel Penha6%
Bruno Costa0%
Dyego Sousa0%
Rúben Macedo0%
Gabriel Santos0%
Dudu0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fuki Yamada15%
Paulinho Bóia13%
Luís Esteves12%
Adrián Butzke9%
Gustavo García9%
Dudu9%
João Aurélio7%
Bruno Costa6%
Djibril Soumaré4%
Matheus Dias4%
Rúben Macedo4%
Isaac4%
José Gomes3%
Daniel Penha3%
Dyego Sousa0%
Léo Santos0%
Tiago Reis0%
Arvin Appiah0%
Nigel Thomas0%
Joel Tagueu0%
Lucas França0%
André Sousa0%
Chiheb Labidi0%
Gabriel Santos0%
Ulisses0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Ze Vitor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tiago Reis25%
Luís Esteves24%
Adrián Butzke18%
Paulinho Bóia13%
Daniel Penha13%
Dudu9%
Rúben Macedo7%
Djibril Soumaré4%
Isaac4%
José Gomes3%
Ulisses3%
Ze Vitor3%
Bruno Costa0%
Dyego Sousa0%
Léo Santos0%
Arvin Appiah0%
Nigel Thomas0%
João Aurélio0%
Joel Tagueu0%
Lucas França0%
André Sousa0%
Chiheb Labidi0%
Gabriel Santos0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Fuki Yamada0%
Gustavo García0%
Matheus Dias0%
Benfica
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vangelis Pavlidis42%
Marcos Leonardo33%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu27%
Ángel Di María26%
Tiago Gouveia25%
Orkun Kökçü24%
Zeki Amdouni20%
Arthur Cabral16%
Andrea Belotti15%
Nicolás Otamendi14%
Andreas Schjelderup9%
Bruma8%
Álvaro Carreras8%
Alexander Bah7%
Fredrik Aursnes6%
Benjamín Rollheiser6%
Florentino Luís5%
António Silva3%
Leandro Barreiro2%
Tomás Araújo2%
Renato Sanches0%
Anatoliy Trubin0%
Jan-Niklas Beste0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Issa Kaboré0%
Samuel Soares0%
Manuel Silva0%
João Rêgo0%
Gianluca Prestianni0%
Leandro Santos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Álvaro Carreras35%
Issa Kaboré33%
Manuel Silva33%
Florentino Luís25%
Tiago Gouveia25%
Leandro Santos25%
Orkun Kökçü22%
Leandro Barreiro18%
Jan-Niklas Beste14%
Nicolás Otamendi14%
Alexander Bah14%
Ángel Di María13%
António Silva13%
Gianluca Prestianni12%
Benjamín Rollheiser12%
Renato Sanches11%
João Rêgo11%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu8%
Vangelis Pavlidis8%
Zeki Amdouni8%
Arthur Cabral6%
Fredrik Aursnes6%
Samuel Dahl6%
Tomás Araújo2%
Anatoliy Trubin2%
Bruma0%
Andrea Belotti0%
Samuel Soares0%
Marcos Leonardo0%
Andreas Schjelderup0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manuel Silva33%
Samuel Dahl25%
Tiago Gouveia25%
Vangelis Pavlidis21%
Ángel Di María21%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu18%
Bruma17%
Orkun Kökçü16%
Fredrik Aursnes15%
Álvaro Carreras10%
Jan-Niklas Beste10%
Tomás Araújo7%
Alexander Bah7%
Nicolás Otamendi6%
Benjamín Rollheiser6%
Andreas Schjelderup6%
António Silva5%
Leandro Barreiro5%
Zeki Amdouni5%
Florentino Luís2%
Renato Sanches0%
Anatoliy Trubin0%
Arthur Cabral0%
Andrea Belotti0%
Issa Kaboré0%
Samuel Soares0%
Marcos Leonardo0%
João Rêgo0%
Gianluca Prestianni0%
Leandro Santos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vangelis Pavlidis31%
Ángel Di María28%
Tiago Gouveia25%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu20%
Bruma17%
Andrea Belotti15%
Arthur Cabral13%
Zeki Amdouni12%
Gianluca Prestianni12%
Orkun Kökçü12%
Andreas Schjelderup3%
António Silva3%
Leandro Barreiro2%
Fredrik Aursnes2%
Álvaro Carreras2%
Renato Sanches0%
Florentino Luís0%
Nicolás Otamendi0%
Anatoliy Trubin0%
Alexander Bah0%
Jan-Niklas Beste0%
Benjamín Rollheiser0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Issa Kaboré0%
Tomás Araújo0%
Samuel Soares0%
Marcos Leonardo0%
Manuel Silva0%
João Rêgo0%
Leandro Santos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
VIZ (29)
€12m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
Nacional's squad is €337m less valuable than Benfica's (€20m vs €357m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
Nacional's attack is €166m less valuable than Benfica's (€6m vs €172m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
VIZ (5)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
Nacional's midfield is €72m less valuable than Benfica's (€5m vs €77m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
VIZ (11)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
AVS (10)
€3m
Nacional's defence is €99m less valuable than Benfica's (€9m vs €108m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
NAC wins
1
Draws
7
BEN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nacional vs Benfica · H/A from NAC
DateH/AGameScore
11/05/21HNAC Vs Benfica1-3
25/01/21ABenfica Vs NAC1-1
10/02/19ABenfica Vs NAC10-0
02/09/18HNAC Vs Benfica0-4
05/02/17ABenfica Vs NAC3-0
27/08/16HNAC Vs Benfica1-3
15/05/16ABenfica Vs NAC4-1
11/01/16HNAC Vs Benfica1-4

NacionalNacional

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/12/24HNAC Vs Moreirense1-0
07/12/24AGIL Vicente Vs NAC2-1
30/11/24HNAC Vs Boavista0-0
10/11/24AEstrela Vs NAC2-0
04/11/24HNAC Vs Santa Clara2-0
25/10/24ACasa Pia Vs NAC1-0
20/10/24AUnião de Leiria Vs NAC2-1
29/09/24AFamalicao Vs NAC0-0
20/09/24HNAC Vs SC Braga0-3
15/09/24AEstoril Vs NAC1-0

BenficaBenfica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/12/24AAVS Vs BEN1-1
11/12/24HBEN Vs Bologna0-0
07/12/24HBEN Vs Guimaraes1-0
01/12/24AArouca Vs BEN0-2
27/11/24AMonaco Vs BEN2-3
23/11/24HBEN Vs Estrela7-0
10/11/24HBEN Vs FC Porto4-1
06/11/24ABayern München Vs BEN1-0
02/11/24AFarense Vs BEN1-2
27/10/24HBEN Vs Rio Ave5-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Nacional
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLW1.78
HomeWLWDW2.29
AwayDLLLL1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%71%35%
AVG goals2.703.122.31
Over 1.5 %76%88%65%
Over 2.5 %50%58%42%
Over 3.5 %28%38%19%
Scored1.582.081.12
Conceded1.121.041.19
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet32%42%23%
Corners11.3910.5812.09
Cards5.135.055.21
Benfica
Benfica
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDD2.26
HomeWWWWD2.65
AwayWLWWD1.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%85%54%
AVG goals3.103.622.54
Over 1.5 %80%85%75%
Over 2.5 %62%77%46%
Over 3.5 %40%54%25%
Scored2.303.041.50
Conceded0.800.581.04
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet44%54%33%
Corners10.6510.7610.52
Cards4.854.625.09

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8827+61
3.4
88%
68%
44%
9.2
44%
5.5
71%
26.2
76%
414
146911762.60.8
60%
2BenficaBenfica3480
74%
2.4
8428+56
3.3
88%
68%
38%
10.0
53%
4.5
68%
23.8
65%
357
172771082.50.8
58%
3FC PortoFC Porto3471
65%
2.1
6530+35
2.8
91%
53%
26%
8.8
41%
6.1
88%
27.6
91%
467
2141051481.90.9
62%
4SC BragaSC Braga3466
56%
1.9
5530+25
2.5
76%
47%
18%
9.9
56%
5.0
70%
26.6
82%
165
4156681.60.9
57%
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara3457
50%
1.7
3632+4
2.0
59%
29%
9%
8.1
24%
6.6
85%
29.9
88%
27
96121.10.9
44%
6GuimaraesGuimaraes3454
41%
1.6
4737+10
2.5
68%
47%
26%
10.6
65%
5.5
71%
28.8
100%
46
2211121.41.1
57%
7FamalicaoFamalicao3447
35%
1.4
4439+5
2.4
79%
53%
15%
10.4
50%
5.7
85%
30.2
88%
57
1620221.31.1
50%
8EstorilEstoril3446
35%
1.4
4853-5
3.0
79%
71%
41%
8.8
35%
4.4
62%
30.0
91%
42
248101.41.6
49%
9Casa PiaCasa Pia3445
35%
1.3
3944-5
2.4
74%
44%
26%
9.3
32%
5.5
73%
26.8
79%
27
96121.11.3
47%
10MoreirenseMoreirense3440
29%
1.2
4250-8
2.7
76%
53%
35%
8.3
26%
5.3
71%
30.5
97%
22
5891.21.5
47%
11AroucaArouca3438
26%
1.1
3549-14
2.5
71%
47%
29%
10.6
59%
5.4
76%
28.1
85%
28
11881.01.4
53%
12Rio AveRio Ave3438
26%
1.1
3955-16
2.8
82%
50%
29%
9.8
47%
4.7
65%
27.6
94%
37
88211.11.6
48%
13GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3434
24%
1.0
3447-13
2.4
71%
44%
18%
8.9
35%
4.7
71%
27.5
85%
29
118111.01.4
51%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3250-18
2.4
71%
44%
18%
10.2
53%
5.0
62%
27.3
85%
20
6590.91.5
47%
15AVSAVS3631
17%
0.9
3062-32
2.6
72%
44%
25%
8.6
36%
5.2
75%
26.9
78%
7
3230.81.7
43%
16EstrelaEstrela3429
21%
0.9
2450-26
2.2
59%
32%
18%
9.8
44%
5.2
76%
31.5
97%
20
63110.71.5
45%
17FarenseFarense3427
18%
0.8
2546-21
2.1
56%
41%
18%
11.0
53%
5.4
74%
28.7
94%
8
3240.71.4
41%
18BoavistaBoavista3424
18%
0.7
2459-35
2.4
65%
50%
26%
9.1
38%
5.7
76%
27.5
82%
0
0000.71.7
40%
19VizelaVizela21
0%
0.5
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
12.0
100%
6.0
100%
26.0
100%
12
5241.02.5
71%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches