This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Caen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.17
1.53
0.93
1.27
1.40
vs Stronger (8)
2.00
1.50
1.75
1.25
2.25
1.75
vs Similar (20)
1.10
1.05
1.40
0.90
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Nimes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.4%
Under 1.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.4%
@ 2.08+4.3%
Under 2.5
50.6%
@ 1.71-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.5%
Under 3.5
72.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.1%
No
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
0-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
0-1 ✓
8.1%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
6.1%
Nimes goals ↓
Caen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.3%
8.1%
6.1%
2.7%
0.9%
1
8.2%
14%
8.2%
3.6%
1.2%
2
6.3%
8.3%
5.4%
2.4%
0.8%
3
2.8%
3.7%
2.4%
1.1%
0.3%
4
0.9%
1.2%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nimes goals (down), columns = Caen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Le Havre
1.98
Metz
1.95
Bordeaux
1.87
Bastia
1.52
Saint Etienne
1.50
Caen
1.48
Paris FC
1.45
Guingamp
1.38
Grenoble
1.35
Sochaux
1.35
Quevilly
1.32
Rouen
1.32
Amiens
1.25
Laval
1.23
Annecy
1.23
Rodez
1.21
PAU
1.18
Valenciennes
1.18
Dijon
1.10
Nimes
0.97
Niort
0.78
Nimes is 0.50 points worse than Caen in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.48).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Saint Etienne
1.73
Metz
1.62
Bordeaux
1.41
Sochaux
1.40
Caen
1.32
Bastia
1.32
Guingamp
1.27
Quevilly
1.24
Rouen
1.24
Paris FC
1.20
Nimes
1.18
Laval
1.18
Le Havre
1.18
PAU
1.10
Amiens
1.07
Valenciennes
1.07
Annecy
1.05
Niort
1.02
Rodez
1.00
Dijon
1.00
Grenoble
0.85
Nimes is 0.15 goals worse than Caen in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.32).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Le Havre
0.47
Bordeaux
0.69
Metz
0.85
Grenoble
0.95
Sochaux
1.07
Dijon
1.12
Rodez
1.13
Caen
1.15
Paris FC
1.18
Bastia
1.18
Guingamp
1.25
Valenciennes
1.25
Quevilly
1.29
Rouen
1.29
Annecy
1.32
Amiens
1.38
Laval
1.45
PAU
1.45
Saint Etienne
1.52
Nimes
1.62
Niort
1.82
Nimes is 0.48 goals worse than Caen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.62 vs 1.15).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Nimes
For 3.5 · Against 6.9 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 13.1 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Caen
For 4.0 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.7 · Against 16.9 · Total 33.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nimes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.5
9.6
3.8
3.8
3.7
28.1
29.3
27.0
vs Stronger (20)
8.4
8.6
8.2
3.4
3.5
3.3
26.6
27.4
25.9
vs Similar (30)
10.3
10.1
10.5
4.0
4.1
3.9
29.1
30.6
27.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
44%
44%
48%
48%
48%
84%
84%
84%
% under line
56%
56%
56%
52%
52%
52%
16%
16%
16%
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Caen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.5
9.5
4.3
4.0
4.7
28.6
27.9
29.4
vs Stronger (12)
9.2
8.0
11.0
4.9
4.0
6.2
27.5
27.1
28.0
vs Similar (36)
8.9
8.6
9.3
4.1
3.8
4.4
28.7
27.6
29.7
vs Weaker (2)
9.0
11.0
7.0
4.5
6.0
3.0
34.5
39.0
30.0
% over line
48%
44%
52%
56%
52%
60%
84%
88%
80%
% under line
52%
56%
48%
44%
48%
40%
16%
12%
20%
This opponent (Nimes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Metz
10.1
Nimes
9.5
Bordeaux
9.4
Saint Etienne
9.4
Dijon
9.3
Sochaux
9.3
Guingamp
9.2
PAU
9.1
Caen
9.0
Rouen
8.9
Valenciennes
8.8
Paris FC
8.8
Bastia
8.7
Niort
8.7
Amiens
8.5
Grenoble
8.4
Le Havre
8.0
Rodez
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Metz
4.6
Valenciennes
4.5
Bordeaux
4.4
Caen
4.3
Sochaux
4.2
Grenoble
4.1
Guingamp
4.0
PAU
4.0
Saint Etienne
3.9
Dijon
3.9
Rodez
3.9
Le Havre
3.8
Amiens
3.8
Bastia
3.8
Rouen
3.8
Nimes
3.8
Niort
3.3
Paris FC
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Valenciennes
31.3
Rouen
30.2
Caen
28.6
Rodez
28.4
Nimes
28.1
Guingamp
28.0
Amiens
27.5
Niort
27.5
Bastia
27.2
Dijon
27.0
PAU
26.8
Grenoble
26.5
Sochaux
26.0
Metz
25.6
Le Havre
25.4
Paris FC
25.1
Saint Etienne
24.9
Bordeaux
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.5%
Under 9.5
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
58.5%
Under 3.5
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
90.3%
Under 21.5
9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Nimes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.57
0.73
0.67
0.40
0.47
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.62
0.50
1.00
0.50
0.25
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.55
0.82
0.55
0.36
0.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Caen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.60
0.53
0.67
0.40
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
0.75
0.75
0.50
1.25
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.40
0.60
0.60
0.40
0.20
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Nimes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nimes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Nimes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.90
0.40
0.93
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
0.88
0.25
0.50
0.50
1.25
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.91
0.45
1.09
0.64
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Caen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
0.93
0.40
0.60
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.75
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.65
0.80
0.30
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Nimes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nimes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Caen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Nimes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Malik Tchokounté29%
Rafiki Saïd27%
Moussa Koné17%
Nicolas Benezet10%
Pablo Pagis9%
Lys Mousset9%
Jens Jakob Thomasen9%
Guessouma Fofana8%
Elías Már Ómarsson8%
Jean N'Guessan6%
Lamine Fomba6%
Benoît Poulain5%
Thibault Vargas4%
Kelyan Guessoum3%
Yassine Benrahou0%
Joseph Lopy0%
Steve Ambri0%
Ronny Labonne0%
Lucas Dias0%
Patrick Burner0%
Maël Durand de Gevigney0%
Axel Maraval0%
Scotty Sadzoute0%
Mehdi Zerkane0%
Leon Delpech0%
Mahamadou Doucouré0%
Nasser Djiga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lamine Fomba33%
Guessouma Fofana25%
Yassine Benrahou22%
Steve Ambri21%
Jean N'Guessan20%
Nicolas Benezet19%
Nasser Djiga19%
Kelyan Guessoum17%
Maël Durand de Gevigney16%
Ronny Labonne12%
Mehdi Zerkane11%
Malik Tchokounté11%
Patrick Burner9%
Moussa Koné8%
Elías Már Ómarsson8%
Axel Maraval7%
Joseph Lopy6%
Benoît Poulain5%
Jens Jakob Thomasen4%
Thibault Vargas4%
Pablo Pagis3%
Lys Mousset0%
Lucas Dias0%
Scotty Sadzoute0%
Leon Delpech0%
Rafiki Saïd0%
Mahamadou Doucouré0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mahamadou Doucouré33%
Joseph Lopy19%
Lys Mousset18%
Thibault Vargas12%
Yassine Benrahou11%
Mehdi Zerkane11%
Malik Tchokounté11%
Rafiki Saïd10%
Pablo Pagis9%
Jens Jakob Thomasen9%
Elías Már Ómarsson8%
Steve Ambri7%
Jean N'Guessan6%
Lamine Fomba6%
Nicolas Benezet5%
Kelyan Guessoum3%
Ronny Labonne3%
Patrick Burner3%
Benoît Poulain0%
Lucas Dias0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Maël Durand de Gevigney0%
Axel Maraval0%
Moussa Koné0%
Scotty Sadzoute0%
Leon Delpech0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pablo Pagis22%
Elías Már Ómarsson17%
Malik Tchokounté13%
Yassine Benrahou11%
Lys Mousset9%
Moussa Koné8%
Rafiki Saïd7%
Jean N'Guessan6%
Thibault Vargas4%
Ronny Labonne3%
Benoît Poulain0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Joseph Lopy0%
Lamine Fomba0%
Steve Ambri0%
Lucas Dias0%
Kelyan Guessoum0%
Nicolas Benezet0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Patrick Burner0%
Maël Durand de Gevigney0%
Axel Maraval0%
Scotty Sadzoute0%
Mehdi Zerkane0%
Leon Delpech0%
Mahamadou Doucouré0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Caen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexandre Mendy46%
Godson Kyeremeh16%
Samuel Essende14%
Romain Thomas11%
Ali Abdi9%
Emmanuel Ntim9%
Yoann Court8%
Bilal Brahimi8%
Norman Bassette8%
Anton Saletros7%
Benjamin Jeannot6%
Hianga'a M'Bock4%
Djibril Diani4%
Hugo Vandermersch3%
Moussa Sylla0%
Johann Obiang0%
Caleb Zady Sery0%
Anthony Mandrea0%
Ibrahim Cissé0%
Jessy Deminguet0%
Quentin Daubin0%
Adolphe Teikeu0%
Iyad Mohamed0%
Brahim Traoré0%
Noe Lebreton0%
Mohamed Hafid0%
Diedonné Gaucho Debohi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Iyad Mohamed33%
Romain Thomas27%
Emmanuel Ntim22%
Hugo Vandermersch21%
Alexandre Mendy19%
Quentin Daubin18%
Adolphe Teikeu18%
Ali Abdi16%
Jessy Deminguet14%
Hianga'a M'Bock12%
Bilal Brahimi11%
Djibril Diani11%
Mohamed Hafid10%
Yoann Court8%
Moussa Sylla8%
Johann Obiang8%
Samuel Essende7%
Ibrahim Cissé6%
Anthony Mandrea5%
Godson Kyeremeh5%
Caleb Zady Sery0%
Benjamin Jeannot0%
Anton Saletros0%
Brahim Traoré0%
Noe Lebreton0%
Norman Bassette0%
Diedonné Gaucho Debohi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Moussa Sylla15%
Alexandre Mendy14%
Yoann Court12%
Caleb Zady Sery10%
Ali Abdi9%
Johann Obiang8%
Jessy Deminguet7%
Anton Saletros7%
Hugo Vandermersch6%
Godson Kyeremeh5%
Hianga'a M'Bock4%
Samuel Essende4%
Bilal Brahimi3%
Romain Thomas3%
Anthony Mandrea0%
Ibrahim Cissé0%
Benjamin Jeannot0%
Quentin Daubin0%
Adolphe Teikeu0%
Djibril Diani0%
Emmanuel Ntim0%
Iyad Mohamed0%
Brahim Traoré0%
Noe Lebreton0%
Norman Bassette0%
Mohamed Hafid0%
Diedonné Gaucho Debohi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexandre Mendy35%
Hianga'a M'Bock12%
Moussa Sylla8%
Jessy Deminguet7%
Benjamin Jeannot6%
Ali Abdi6%
Yoann Court4%
Samuel Essende4%
Quentin Daubin3%
Romain Thomas3%
Godson Kyeremeh3%
Johann Obiang0%
Caleb Zady Sery0%
Anthony Mandrea0%
Ibrahim Cissé0%
Adolphe Teikeu0%
Anton Saletros0%
Djibril Diani0%
Emmanuel Ntim0%
Hugo Vandermersch0%
Iyad Mohamed0%
Bilal Brahimi0%
Brahim Traoré0%
Noe Lebreton0%
Norman Bassette0%
Mohamed Hafid0%
Diedonné Gaucho Debohi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Le Havre
Metz
Bordeaux
Bastia
Saint Etienne
Paris FC
Guingamp
Sochaux
Grenoble
Quevilly
Rouen
Amiens
Laval
Annecy
Rodez
Valenciennes
PAU
Dijon
Niort