This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Southampton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
2.07
0.76
2.18
0.85
1.92
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
2.80
0.50
2.50
0.75
3.25
vs Similar (19)
0.89
1.79
0.91
2.00
0.88
1.50
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Norwich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.3%
Under 1.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.3%
Under 2.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.0%
Under 3.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.9%
No
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
Norwich goals ↓
Southampton goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
6.7%
5.1%
2.2%
0.7%
1
7.9%
13%
7.7%
3.4%
1.1%
2
6.8%
8.9%
5.8%
2.5%
0.8%
3
3.4%
4.5%
2.9%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.3%
1.7%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Norwich goals (down), columns = Southampton goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Newcastle
2.71
Sheffield Weds
2.50
Tottenham
2.40
Fleetwood Town
2.33
Crystal Palace
2.25
Coventry
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Fulham
2.00
Wycombe
2.00
Watford
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Everton
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Derby
2.00
Liverpool
2.00
Brighton
2.00
Arsenal
1.80
Southampton
1.75
Stoke
1.75
Preston
1.75
Brentford
1.75
Walsall
1.67
Cardiff
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
West Ham
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Birmingham
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Crawley Town
1.50
Chelsea
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Millwall
1.50
Norwich
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Harrogate
1.50
Oxford
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Barnsley
1.33
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Barrow
1.33
Leicester
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Exeter
1.00
Reading
1.00
Notts County
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Barnet
0.76
Oldham
0.70
Grimsby
0.50
Shrewsbury
0.50
Colchester
0.50
Bristol City
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Salford
0.00
Port Vale
0.00
Wrexham
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Burton
0.00
Stockport
0.00
Stevenage
0.00
Cambridge
0.00
Accrington
0.00
West Brom
0.00
Bromley
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Gillingham
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Hull
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Swindon
0.00
Newport County
0.00
Crewe
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Lincoln
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Norwich is 0.25 points worse than Southampton in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester United
5.00
Blackburn
3.50
Stevenage
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Brighton
3.00
Watford
2.67
Cardiff
2.50
Southampton
2.50
Chelsea
2.50
Stoke
2.50
Huddersfield
2.50
Crystal Palace
2.50
Liverpool
2.50
Sheffield Weds
2.25
Arsenal
2.20
Sheffield United
2.00
Port Vale
2.00
Wrexham
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Reading
2.00
Crawley Town
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Everton
2.00
Norwich
2.00
Swindon
2.00
Preston
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Newcastle
1.86
Tottenham
1.80
Fleetwood Town
1.67
Rotherham
1.50
Shrewsbury
1.50
Fulham
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Brentford
1.50
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Wycombe
1.33
Walsall
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Coventry
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
West Ham
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Grimsby
1.00
Stockport
1.00
Cambridge
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Barrow
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Harrogate
1.00
Hull
1.00
Oxford
1.00
Derby
1.00
Chesterfield
1.00
Newport County
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Crewe
1.00
Lincoln
1.00
Colchester
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Barnet
0.99
Oldham
0.92
Barnsley
0.67
Birmingham
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Bristol City
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Salford
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Burton
0.00
Accrington
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Norwich is 0.50 goals worse than Southampton in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 2.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.43
Fulham
0.50
Everton
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Oxford
0.50
Derby
0.50
Coventry
0.67
Blackpool
0.67
Wycombe
0.67
Watford
0.67
Sheffield Weds
0.75
Bristol City
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Fleetwood Town
1.00
Chelsea
1.00
Bournemouth
1.00
Swansea
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Plymouth
1.00
Stoke
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Portsmouth
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Preston
1.00
Luton
1.00
Charlton
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Liverpool
1.17
Crystal Palace
1.25
Brentford
1.25
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Leyton Orient
1.33
Arsenal
1.40
Doncaster
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Colchester
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Leicester
1.67
Brighton
1.67
Tottenham
1.80
Bristol Rvs
2.00
Salford
2.00
Southampton
2.00
Reading
2.00
Northampton
2.00
Cambridge
2.00
West Brom
2.00
Bromley
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Hull
2.00
Chesterfield
2.00
Tranmere
2.00
Crewe
2.00
Peterboro
2.00
Bolton
2.00
Lincoln
2.00
Burnley
2.00
Sunderland
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Barrow
2.33
Cardiff
2.50
West Ham
2.50
Shrewsbury
2.50
Middlesbrough
2.50
Barnet
2.54
Barnsley
2.67
Oldham
2.73
Cheltenham
3.00
Grimsby
3.00
Port Vale
3.00
Leeds
3.00
Crawley Town
3.00
Accrington
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Gillingham
3.00
Harrogate
3.00
Norwich
3.50
Wrexham
4.00
Burton
4.00
Stevenage
4.00
Swindon
4.00
Newport County
4.00
Milton Keynes Dons
5.00
Stockport
6.00
Norwich is 1.50 goals worse than Southampton in terms of goals conceded per game (3.50 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Norwich
For 4.2 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.9 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Southampton
For 5.0 · Against 6.4 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 10.2 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Norwich
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.8
10.1
3.9
3.8
4.0
22.7
22.3
23.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (48)
10.0
9.7
10.3
3.9
3.8
4.1
22.7
22.2
23.2
vs Weaker (2)
9.5
12.0
7.0
2.0
4.0
0.0
23.0
24.0
22.0
% over line
52%
54%
50%
56%
56%
56%
56%
58%
54%
% under line
48%
46%
50%
44%
44%
44%
44%
42%
46%
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Southampton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.6
10.4
3.5
3.2
3.9
23.8
21.9
25.6
vs Stronger (17)
11.4
11.9
10.9
3.3
2.9
3.8
21.2
18.9
23.5
vs Similar (32)
9.9
9.9
9.9
3.5
3.4
3.7
25.1
23.6
26.7
vs Weaker (1)
12.0
-
12.0
7.0
-
7.0
29.0
-
29.0
% over line
66%
68%
64%
50%
42%
58%
61%
55%
68%
% under line
34%
32%
36%
50%
58%
42%
39%
45%
32%
This opponent (Norwich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.5
Tottenham
11.2
Sheffield Weds
11.1
Newcastle
11.1
Bournemouth
11.1
Portsmouth
11.0
Brentford
11.0
Huddersfield
10.9
Harrogate
10.9
Luton
10.8
Sheffield United
10.8
QPR
10.8
Barnsley
10.7
Doncaster
10.7
Bromley
10.6
Crawley Town
10.6
Millwall
10.5
Liverpool
10.4
Aston Villa
10.4
Everton
10.4
Oxford
10.3
Hull
10.3
Reading
10.3
Nottingham Forest
10.3
Ipswich
10.3
Fulham
10.3
Stoke
10.2
Southampton
10.2
Middlesbrough
10.2
West Brom
10.2
Derby
10.1
Shrewsbury
10.1
Peterboro
10.1
Leicester
10.0
Manchester City
10.0
Newport County
10.0
Norwich
10.0
Watford
10.0
Crystal Palace
10.0
Leeds
10.0
Rotherham
10.0
Port Vale
10.0
Bristol Rvs
10.0
West Ham
9.9
Swindon
9.9
Barrow
9.9
Exeter
9.9
Manchester United
9.8
Walsall
9.8
Brighton
9.8
Wolves
9.7
Chesterfield
9.7
Grimsby
9.7
Charlton
9.7
Crewe
9.7
Bristol City
9.7
Cardiff
9.7
Chelsea
9.7
Sunderland
9.7
Blackburn
9.7
Barnet
9.7
Colchester
9.7
Cheltenham
9.7
Stevenage
9.7
Swansea
9.6
Blackpool
9.6
Burton
9.6
Lincoln
9.6
Bradford
9.6
Preston
9.6
Plymouth
9.6
Bolton
9.5
Wigan
9.5
Leyton Orient
9.5
Mansfield
9.5
Arsenal
9.4
Notts County
9.3
Wrexham
9.3
Oldham
9.3
Cambridge
9.3
Salford
9.3
Fleetwood Town
9.3
Wycombe
9.3
Burnley
9.1
AFC Wimbledon
9.1
Birmingham
9.0
Tranmere
8.9
Stockport
8.8
Northampton
8.8
Accrington
8.8
Milton Keynes Dons
8.6
Gillingham
7.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bolton
5.2
Accrington
5.0
Bournemouth
4.8
Bradford
4.8
Gillingham
4.7
Chelsea
4.7
Watford
4.6
Nottingham Forest
4.6
Crewe
4.5
Colchester
4.5
Grimsby
4.4
Wolves
4.4
Newcastle
4.4
Aston Villa
4.4
Brighton
4.4
Salford
4.4
Tranmere
4.4
Chesterfield
4.3
Sunderland
4.3
Manchester United
4.3
Portsmouth
4.3
Crystal Palace
4.2
Exeter
4.1
Crawley Town
4.1
Blackburn
4.1
Norwich
4.0
Cambridge
4.0
Liverpool
4.0
Stoke
4.0
Lincoln
4.0
Peterboro
4.0
Sheffield United
4.0
Stevenage
4.0
Preston
4.0
Shrewsbury
4.0
Barrow
4.0
Walsall
4.0
Ipswich
4.0
Stockport
3.9
Fleetwood Town
3.9
Doncaster
3.9
Bromley
3.9
Tottenham
3.9
Southampton
3.9
Luton
3.9
Burton
3.9
West Brom
3.9
Port Vale
3.9
Middlesbrough
3.9
Oldham
3.9
Notts County
3.8
Fulham
3.8
Charlton
3.8
Brentford
3.8
Wigan
3.8
AFC Wimbledon
3.8
Burnley
3.8
Barnet
3.8
Arsenal
3.8
Manchester City
3.8
Wycombe
3.8
Coventry
3.8
Northampton
3.7
Swansea
3.7
QPR
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Bristol Rvs
3.7
Cardiff
3.7
Huddersfield
3.7
Leicester
3.7
Plymouth
3.7
Newport County
3.7
West Ham
3.7
Barnsley
3.6
Mansfield
3.6
Cheltenham
3.6
Sheffield Weds
3.6
Oxford
3.6
Hull
3.6
Leyton Orient
3.6
Everton
3.5
Reading
3.5
Swindon
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Bristol City
3.5
Derby
3.5
Leeds
3.4
Rotherham
3.3
Blackpool
3.3
Millwall
3.2
Harrogate
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Oldham
28.5
Barnet
25.8
Accrington
25.7
Crewe
25.5
Bolton
25.4
Salford
25.3
Stevenage
25.2
Cheltenham
25.2
Birmingham
25.1
Colchester
24.8
Gillingham
24.7
Cambridge
24.7
Bradford
24.6
Wycombe
24.6
Grimsby
24.6
Millwall
24.5
Blackburn
24.5
Exeter
24.5
Stockport
24.4
Wolves
24.4
Rotherham
24.3
Bournemouth
24.3
Milton Keynes Dons
24.1
Wigan
24.1
Portsmouth
24.1
Luton
24.0
Doncaster
24.0
Preston
23.8
Lincoln
23.8
Swansea
23.8
Southampton
23.8
Mansfield
23.7
Peterboro
23.7
Charlton
23.6
Tottenham
23.6
Shrewsbury
23.5
Sheffield Weds
23.4
Sunderland
23.1
AFC Wimbledon
23.1
Watford
23.1
Burnley
23.1
Tranmere
23.0
Cardiff
23.0
Reading
23.0
Brighton
23.0
Crawley Town
22.9
Northampton
22.9
Fleetwood Town
22.9
QPR
22.9
Plymouth
22.9
Ipswich
22.8
Aston Villa
22.8
Huddersfield
22.8
Newcastle
22.7
Blackpool
22.7
Norwich
22.7
Bristol Rvs
22.6
Leeds
22.6
Newport County
22.6
Chesterfield
22.5
Sheffield United
22.5
Hull
22.2
Chelsea
22.1
Port Vale
22.1
West Ham
22.1
Barrow
22.1
Middlesbrough
22.0
Notts County
21.9
Manchester United
21.8
Bromley
21.8
Swindon
21.7
Walsall
21.6
Harrogate
21.6
West Brom
21.6
Everton
21.5
Crystal Palace
21.5
Burton
21.5
Leicester
21.4
Stoke
21.4
Nottingham Forest
21.3
Leyton Orient
21.3
Derby
21.3
Coventry
21.3
Oxford
21.3
Wrexham
21.2
Bristol City
21.2
Fulham
21.1
Arsenal
21.1
Barnsley
21.0
Liverpool
20.8
Brentford
19.0
Manchester City
17.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
58.3%
Under 9.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.0%
Under 3.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
67.3%
Under 21.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Norwich or Draw✗ Miss
68.1%
Avg Implied -
41%
27%
32%
covers Norwich + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Norwich or Southampton✓ Hit
72.5%
Avg Implied -
41%
27%
32%
covers Norwich + Southampton
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Southampton✓ Hit
59.3%
Avg Implied -
41%
27%
32%
covers Draw + Southampton
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Norwich over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
77.8%
Under
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norwich over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
44.3%
Under
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norwich over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.2%
Under
80.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norwich over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.6%
Under
93.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.9%
Under
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
37.6%
Under
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
14.5%
Under
85.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Norwich, so a minus line means Norwich give that many goals of a start and Southampton receive them. At -1, Norwich must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Norwich win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Norwich)Actual: Southampton
Norwich -2
8.0%
Draw -2
12.5%
Southampton +2
79.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Norwich)Actual: Southampton
Norwich -1
20.5%
Draw -1
20.2%
Southampton +1
59.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Norwich)Actual: Southampton
Norwich +1
68.1%
Draw +1
17.4%
Southampton -1
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Norwich)Actual: Southampton
Norwich +2
85.6%
Draw +2
9.5%
Southampton -2
5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Norwich
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.77
0.69
0.75
0.50
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.55
0.79
0.60
0.80
0.50
0.79
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Southampton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
1.03
0.29
0.94
0.38
1.15
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
1.50
0.17
1.67
0.50
1.25
vs Similar (19)
0.37
0.84
0.36
0.55
0.38
1.25
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Norwich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Norwich over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norwich over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norwich over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Norwich
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.77
1.06
0.94
0.43
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.79
0.69
1.13
0.80
0.43
0.57
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Southampton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.03
0.47
1.24
0.46
0.77
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
1.30
0.33
0.83
0.25
2.00
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.95
0.55
1.45
0.50
0.25
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Norwich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Norwich over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norwich over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norwich over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Norwich
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Touré50%
Marcelino Núñez33%
Jovon Makama32%
Josh Sargent29%
Anis Ben Slimane19%
Ali Ahmed19%
Mathias Kvistgaarden15%
Paris Maghoma12%
Oscar Schwartau11%
Forson Amankwah10%
Pelle Mattsson9%
Ben Chrisene8%
Kenny McLean7%
Tony Springett6%
Emiliano Marcondes6%
Matěj Jurásek5%
Jack Stacey5%
Liam Gibbs4%
José Córdoba3%
Harry Darling3%
Daniel Grimshaw0%
Jeffrey Schlupp0%
Shane Duffy0%
Sam Field0%
Mirko Topić0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Jakov Medić0%
Ante Crnac0%
Ruairi McConville0%
Kellen Fisher0%
Jacob Wright0%
Lucien Mahovo0%
Papa Amadou Diallo0%
Errol Mundle-Smith0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Shane Duffy50%
Pelle Mattsson29%
Kellen Fisher28%
Jakov Medić22%
Harry Darling21%
José Córdoba20%
Jeffrey Schlupp18%
Mirko Topić17%
Mohamed Touré17%
Ante Crnac17%
Anis Ben Slimane15%
Kenny McLean13%
Sam Field13%
Vladan Kovačević13%
Jack Stacey13%
Ben Chrisene12%
Jovon Makama10%
Jacob Wright10%
Ali Ahmed10%
Papa Amadou Diallo9%
Liam Gibbs8%
Ruairi McConville7%
Paris Maghoma6%
Tony Springett6%
Oscar Schwartau3%
Mathias Kvistgaarden2%
Daniel Grimshaw0%
Emiliano Marcondes0%
Josh Sargent0%
Matěj Jurásek0%
Marcelino Núñez0%
Forson Amankwah0%
Lucien Mahovo0%
Errol Mundle-Smith0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marcelino Núñez33%
Papa Amadou Diallo27%
Paris Maghoma19%
Daniel Grimshaw17%
Mohamed Touré17%
Anis Ben Slimane15%
Ali Ahmed14%
Josh Sargent12%
Emiliano Marcondes12%
Matěj Jurásek11%
Jacob Wright10%
Jeffrey Schlupp9%
Ben Chrisene8%
Kenny McLean7%
Sam Field7%
Jakov Medić6%
Oscar Schwartau5%
Forson Amankwah5%
Liam Gibbs4%
Ruairi McConville3%
José Córdoba3%
Harry Darling3%
Jack Stacey3%
Mathias Kvistgaarden2%
Pelle Mattsson0%
Shane Duffy0%
Mirko Topić0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Tony Springett0%
Ante Crnac0%
Jovon Makama0%
Kellen Fisher0%
Lucien Mahovo0%
Errol Mundle-Smith0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Touré25%
Jovon Makama23%
Josh Sargent12%
Mathias Kvistgaarden10%
Papa Amadou Diallo9%
Ante Crnac8%
Anis Ben Slimane8%
Kenny McLean7%
Paris Maghoma6%
Emiliano Marcondes6%
Harry Darling5%
Forson Amankwah5%
Liam Gibbs4%
Ruairi McConville3%
Jacob Wright3%
Pelle Mattsson3%
Daniel Grimshaw0%
Jeffrey Schlupp0%
Shane Duffy0%
Sam Field0%
Jack Stacey0%
Mirko Topić0%
José Córdoba0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Jakov Medić0%
Ben Chrisene0%
Matěj Jurásek0%
Marcelino Núñez0%
Tony Springett0%
Kellen Fisher0%
Ali Ahmed0%
Oscar Schwartau0%
Lucien Mahovo0%
Errol Mundle-Smith0%
Southampton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cyle Larin41%
Ross Stewart30%
Adam Armstrong28%
Mateus Fernandes25%
Finn Azaz21%
Kuryu Matsuki18%
Cameron Archer17%
Leo Scienza16%
Shea Charles16%
Ryan Manning16%
James Bree12%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis12%
Jay Robinson7%
Flynn Downes7%
Jack Stephens6%
Ryan Fraser6%
Caspar Jander5%
Cameron Bragg5%
Nathan Wood2%
Mads Roerslev0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Oriol Romeu0%
Joe Aribo0%
Yukinari Sugawara0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Ronnie Edwards0%
Welington0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Tom Fellows0%
Joshua Quarshie0%
Damion Downs0%
Elias Jelert0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Flynn Downes37%
Oriol Romeu29%
Mateus Fernandes25%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis23%
Cyle Larin18%
Cameron Bragg18%
Joshua Quarshie17%
Caspar Jander16%
Shea Charles16%
Jack Stephens16%
Finn Azaz15%
Joe Aribo14%
Ryan Manning14%
Nathan Wood13%
Adam Armstrong12%
Daniel Peretz12%
Kuryu Matsuki11%
Mads Roerslev10%
Welington10%
Cameron Archer8%
Ronnie Edwards7%
Damion Downs7%
Ross Stewart6%
Gavin Bazunu5%
Tom Fellows5%
James Bree4%
Leo Scienza2%
Ryan Fraser0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Yukinari Sugawara0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Elias Jelert0%
Jay Robinson0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mateus Fernandes25%
Leo Scienza20%
Tom Fellows19%
Finn Azaz15%
James Bree12%
Ryan Manning12%
Ryan Fraser11%
Cameron Archer11%
Samuel Edozie11%
Mads Roerslev10%
Welington10%
Adam Armstrong9%
Ross Stewart9%
Elias Jelert9%
Damion Downs7%
Kuryu Matsuki7%
Joshua Quarshie6%
Shea Charles5%
Cyle Larin5%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis4%
Jay Robinson4%
Flynn Downes2%
Caspar Jander2%
Nathan Wood2%
Alex McCarthy0%
Jack Stephens0%
Oriol Romeu0%
Joe Aribo0%
Yukinari Sugawara0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Ronnie Edwards0%
Cameron Bragg0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adam Armstrong44%
Leo Scienza25%
Finn Azaz17%
Cyle Larin9%
Kuryu Matsuki7%
Ross Stewart6%
Jay Robinson4%
Jack Stephens3%
Cameron Archer3%
Shea Charles3%
Tom Fellows2%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis2%
Ryan Manning2%
Mads Roerslev0%
Ryan Fraser0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Oriol Romeu0%
Nathan Wood0%
James Bree0%
Flynn Downes0%
Joe Aribo0%
Yukinari Sugawara0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Ronnie Edwards0%
Welington0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Caspar Jander0%
Cameron Bragg0%
Joshua Quarshie0%
Damion Downs0%
Mateus Fernandes0%
Elias Jelert0%
Nicholas Oyekunle0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
OLD (21)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
Norwich's squad is €98m less valuable than Southampton's (€107m vs €205m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
BAR (3)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
Norwich's attack is €26m less valuable than Southampton's (€46m vs €72m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
MKD (6)
€7m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
Norwich's midfield is €22m less valuable than Southampton's (€31m vs €53m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
BAR (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
Norwich's defence is €50m less valuable than Southampton's (€29m vs €79m).
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
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Coventry
Ipswich
Millwall
Middlesbrough
Hull
Wrexham
Derby
Birmingham
Swansea
Bristol City
Sheffield United
Preston
QPR
Watford
Stoke
Portsmouth
West Brom
Charlton
Leicester
Blackburn
Oxford
Sheffield Weds