This opponent (Nimes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nimes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.53
1.29
1.00
0.94
2.00
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
2.17
0.50
2.00
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (24)
1.25
1.38
1.60
0.60
1.00
1.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Paris FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.5%
Under 1.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.1%
@ 1.98+0.6%
Under 2.5
51.9%
@ 1.79-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.4%
Under 3.5
73.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.5%
No
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.7%
2-0
7.8%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
5.2%
Paris FC goals ↓
Nimes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.7%
7.3%
4.9%
1.9%
0.5%
1
9.5%
14%
7.1%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.8%
9.0%
5.2%
2.0%
0.6%
3
3.8%
4.3%
2.5%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.4%
1.6%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Paris FC goals (down), columns = Nimes goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Le Havre
1.98
Metz
1.95
Bordeaux
1.87
Bastia
1.52
Saint Etienne
1.50
Caen
1.48
Paris FC
1.45
Guingamp
1.38
Grenoble
1.35
Sochaux
1.35
Quevilly
1.32
Rouen
1.32
Amiens
1.25
Laval
1.23
Annecy
1.23
Rodez
1.21
PAU
1.18
Valenciennes
1.18
Dijon
1.10
Nimes
0.97
Niort
0.78
Paris FC is 0.47 points better than Nimes in terms of average points per game (1.45 vs 0.97).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Saint Etienne
1.73
Metz
1.62
Bordeaux
1.41
Sochaux
1.40
Caen
1.32
Bastia
1.32
Guingamp
1.27
Quevilly
1.24
Rouen
1.24
Paris FC
1.20
Nimes
1.18
Laval
1.18
Le Havre
1.18
PAU
1.10
Amiens
1.07
Valenciennes
1.07
Annecy
1.05
Niort
1.02
Rodez
1.00
Dijon
1.00
Grenoble
0.85
Paris FC is 0.02 goals better than Nimes in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 1.18).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Le Havre
0.47
Bordeaux
0.69
Metz
0.85
Grenoble
0.95
Sochaux
1.07
Dijon
1.12
Rodez
1.13
Caen
1.15
Paris FC
1.18
Bastia
1.18
Guingamp
1.25
Valenciennes
1.25
Quevilly
1.29
Rouen
1.29
Annecy
1.32
Amiens
1.38
Laval
1.45
PAU
1.45
Saint Etienne
1.52
Nimes
1.62
Niort
1.82
Paris FC is 0.45 goals better than Nimes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 1.62).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Paris FC
For 4.0 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 13.0 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nimes
For 2.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 7.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 13.0 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Paris FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
9.2
8.1
1.1
1.2
0.9
25.2
26.6
23.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
8.5
-
8.5
0.4
0.0
0.8
15.5
-
15.5
vs Weaker (43)
8.7
9.2
8.0
1.2
1.4
1.0
26.4
26.6
26.0
% over line
37%
50%
22%
10%
12%
8%
74%
80%
67%
% under line
63%
50%
78%
90%
88%
92%
26%
20%
33%
This opponent (Nimes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nimes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.1
10.3
1.2
1.3
1.1
26.6
27.4
25.8
vs Stronger (11)
10.2
8.5
12.0
0.8
0.8
0.8
24.2
23.5
25.0
vs Similar (39)
9.6
9.3
9.9
1.3
1.4
1.2
27.2
28.6
26.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
53%
44%
60%
8%
8%
8%
79%
78%
80%
% under line
47%
56%
40%
92%
92%
92%
21%
22%
20%
This opponent (Paris FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Metz
10.1
Nimes
9.5
Dijon
9.4
Saint Etienne
9.4
Bordeaux
9.4
Sochaux
9.3
Guingamp
9.2
PAU
9.1
Caen
9.1
Paris FC
8.8
Valenciennes
8.8
Niort
8.6
Amiens
8.6
Bastia
8.6
Grenoble
8.3
Le Havre
8.0
Rodez
7.8
Rouen
7.7
Annecy
7.0
Laval
4.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Laval
7.0
Valenciennes
4.6
Metz
4.5
Caen
4.4
Bordeaux
4.4
Sochaux
4.3
Grenoble
4.2
Guingamp
4.1
Rouen
4.0
Saint Etienne
4.0
Annecy
4.0
Le Havre
3.9
PAU
3.9
Bastia
3.9
Dijon
3.9
Rodez
3.9
Amiens
3.8
Nimes
3.7
Niort
3.3
Paris FC
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Laval
34.0
Valenciennes
31.4
Rouen
29.6
Caen
29.0
Guingamp
28.1
Rodez
28.1
Nimes
28.0
Bastia
27.8
Niort
27.7
Amiens
27.5
Dijon
27.0
Grenoble
26.9
PAU
26.9
Sochaux
26.0
Le Havre
25.7
Metz
25.4
Saint Etienne
25.3
Paris FC
24.9
Bordeaux
23.5
Annecy
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
39.2%
Under 9.5
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
47.2%
Under 3.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
84.5%
Under 21.5
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Paris FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.67
0.43
0.71
0.31
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.33
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (25)
0.32
0.64
0.27
0.55
0.36
0.71
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Nimes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nimes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.67
0.64
0.36
0.25
0.94
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.71
0.90
0.30
0.29
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Paris FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Paris FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Paris FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.73
0.64
0.71
0.94
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.80
0.00
1.33
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (25)
0.88
0.72
0.82
0.55
0.93
0.86
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Nimes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nimes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
0.64
0.64
0.69
1.06
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.67
0.50
1.50
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.67
0.70
0.30
0.71
0.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Paris FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Paris FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nimes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Paris FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Morgan Guilavogui41%
Julien López19%
Loup Gueho14%
Mehdi Chahiri14%
Khalid Boutaïb13%
Ilan Kebbal12%
Pierre-Yves Hamel12%
Yoan Koré11%
Jonathan Iglesias10%
Julien Le Cardinal8%
Warren Caddy5%
Samir Sophian Chergui3%
Cyril Mandouki3%
Maxime Bernauer3%
Ivan Filipović0%
Vincent Demarconnay0%
Axel Bamba0%
Ousmane Kanté0%
Alimami Gory0%
Jordan Lefort0%
Lebogang Phiri0%
Paul Lasne0%
Kouadio Dabila0%
Moustapha Name0%
Yvann Maçon0%
Florent Hanin0%
Sékou Sanogo0%
Setigui Karamoko0%
Jaouen Hadjam0%
Kevin Mbala0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kouadio Dabila40%
Moustapha Name40%
Setigui Karamoko29%
Loup Gueho29%
Samir Sophian Chergui28%
Morgan Guilavogui25%
Julien Le Cardinal23%
Yvann Maçon22%
Khalid Boutaïb13%
Lebogang Phiri12%
Maxime Bernauer11%
Cyril Mandouki9%
Ousmane Kanté8%
Paul Lasne7%
Julien López6%
Jordan Lefort6%
Ivan Filipović6%
Alimami Gory4%
Jonathan Iglesias3%
Vincent Demarconnay0%
Axel Bamba0%
Pierre-Yves Hamel0%
Mehdi Chahiri0%
Florent Hanin0%
Sékou Sanogo0%
Ilan Kebbal0%
Warren Caddy0%
Jaouen Hadjam0%
Kevin Mbala0%
Yoan Koré0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Khalid Boutaïb27%
Ilan Kebbal24%
Kevin Mbala17%
Morgan Guilavogui9%
Jaouen Hadjam9%
Maxime Bernauer9%
Ousmane Kanté8%
Florent Hanin8%
Samir Sophian Chergui7%
Julien López6%
Cyril Mandouki6%
Jordan Lefort6%
Yvann Maçon6%
Warren Caddy5%
Alimami Gory4%
Ivan Filipović0%
Vincent Demarconnay0%
Axel Bamba0%
Pierre-Yves Hamel0%
Jonathan Iglesias0%
Lebogang Phiri0%
Paul Lasne0%
Kouadio Dabila0%
Moustapha Name0%
Mehdi Chahiri0%
Sékou Sanogo0%
Julien Le Cardinal0%
Setigui Karamoko0%
Yoan Koré0%
Loup Gueho0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Morgan Guilavogui31%
Pierre-Yves Hamel29%
Warren Caddy15%
Khalid Boutaïb13%
Ilan Kebbal12%
Alimami Gory8%
Yvann Maçon6%
Mehdi Chahiri3%
Julien López3%
Ivan Filipović0%
Vincent Demarconnay0%
Axel Bamba0%
Ousmane Kanté0%
Cyril Mandouki0%
Jonathan Iglesias0%
Samir Sophian Chergui0%
Jordan Lefort0%
Lebogang Phiri0%
Paul Lasne0%
Kouadio Dabila0%
Moustapha Name0%
Florent Hanin0%
Sékou Sanogo0%
Julien Le Cardinal0%
Maxime Bernauer0%
Setigui Karamoko0%
Jaouen Hadjam0%
Kevin Mbala0%
Yoan Koré0%
Loup Gueho0%
Nimes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Malik Tchokounté29%
Rafiki Saïd27%
Moussa Koné17%
Nicolas Benezet10%
Pablo Pagis9%
Lys Mousset9%
Jens Jakob Thomasen9%
Guessouma Fofana8%
Elías Már Ómarsson8%
Jean N'Guessan6%
Lamine Fomba6%
Benoît Poulain5%
Thibault Vargas4%
Kelyan Guessoum3%
Yassine Benrahou0%
Joseph Lopy0%
Steve Ambri0%
Ronny Labonne0%
Lucas Dias0%
Patrick Burner0%
Maël Durand de Gevigney0%
Axel Maraval0%
Scotty Sadzoute0%
Mehdi Zerkane0%
Leon Delpech0%
Mahamadou Doucouré0%
Nasser Djiga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lamine Fomba33%
Guessouma Fofana25%
Yassine Benrahou22%
Steve Ambri21%
Jean N'Guessan20%
Nicolas Benezet19%
Nasser Djiga19%
Kelyan Guessoum17%
Maël Durand de Gevigney16%
Ronny Labonne12%
Mehdi Zerkane11%
Malik Tchokounté11%
Patrick Burner9%
Moussa Koné8%
Elías Már Ómarsson8%
Axel Maraval7%
Joseph Lopy6%
Benoît Poulain5%
Jens Jakob Thomasen4%
Thibault Vargas4%
Pablo Pagis3%
Lys Mousset0%
Lucas Dias0%
Scotty Sadzoute0%
Leon Delpech0%
Rafiki Saïd0%
Mahamadou Doucouré0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mahamadou Doucouré33%
Joseph Lopy19%
Lys Mousset18%
Thibault Vargas12%
Yassine Benrahou11%
Mehdi Zerkane11%
Malik Tchokounté11%
Rafiki Saïd10%
Pablo Pagis9%
Jens Jakob Thomasen9%
Elías Már Ómarsson8%
Steve Ambri7%
Jean N'Guessan6%
Lamine Fomba6%
Nicolas Benezet5%
Kelyan Guessoum3%
Ronny Labonne3%
Patrick Burner3%
Benoît Poulain0%
Lucas Dias0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Maël Durand de Gevigney0%
Axel Maraval0%
Moussa Koné0%
Scotty Sadzoute0%
Leon Delpech0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pablo Pagis22%
Elías Már Ómarsson17%
Malik Tchokounté13%
Yassine Benrahou11%
Lys Mousset9%
Moussa Koné8%
Rafiki Saïd7%
Jean N'Guessan6%
Thibault Vargas4%
Ronny Labonne3%
Benoît Poulain0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Joseph Lopy0%
Lamine Fomba0%
Steve Ambri0%
Lucas Dias0%
Kelyan Guessoum0%
Nicolas Benezet0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Patrick Burner0%
Maël Durand de Gevigney0%
Axel Maraval0%
Scotty Sadzoute0%
Mehdi Zerkane0%
Leon Delpech0%
Mahamadou Doucouré0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Le Havre
Metz
Bordeaux
Bastia
Saint Etienne
Caen
Guingamp
Sochaux
Grenoble
Quevilly
Rouen
Amiens
Laval
Annecy
Rodez
Valenciennes
PAU
Dijon
Niort