Racing Santander vs Alaves Result & Analysis

Racing Santander’s recent win over Elche gives the home side a slight lift, yet the model still favours a draw, assigning 36% to that outcome versus 32% each for a home or away win. The expected total of 1.8 goals points to a low-scoring affair, with the most likely scoreline 0-0 at 18.5%. Racing’s home form shows 0.62 goals scored and 1.12 conceded against similar opposition, while Alavés, playing away, averages 0.89 goals scored and 2.11 conceded. The model’s edge lies in the over/under selections: the Over 19.5 fouls pick carries a 94.8% probability, and the Under 2.5 goals pick, with a 74.1% chance and an 11% edge over the market. Additional selections include Over 21.5 fouls at 88.7%, Over 23.5 fouls at 79.0%, Over 2.5 cards at 85.9%, Under 11.5 corners at 77.0%, Over 3.5 cards at 70.9%, and Under 3.5 at 89.7%. The final result, a 1-1 draw, confirms the model’s prediction.

The match saw Racing Santander’s recent win extend their five-game run, while Alaves also entered after a victory, setting the stage for a tightly contested draw. The final score was 1-1, confirming the actual result of a draw. The model had picked a draw with a 36% probability, and this choice proved correct. Its selections were also largely accurate: the Under 3.5 goal market hit with an 89.7% probability, and the Under 2.5 goal market, with a 74.1% probability, also hit. Overall, the model’s predictions aligned well with the outcome, delivering a solid performance.