The match between Radomiak Radom and Cracovia Krakow is a tight affair, with the model favouring a home win. The probabilities are 36% for Radomiak, 29% for a draw and 35% for Cracovia. The expected total is 2.6 goals, with the most likely total being two goals at 26%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.8% chance. Radomiak, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.64 goals scored and 0.91 conceded, while Cracovia, away against a similar side, averages 0.58 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.9% with a 3% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.3% with a 5% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.7% with a 3% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.6% with a 7% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.5% with a 6% edge), Under 5.5 (96.6% with a 5% edge) and Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.8% with a 3% edge). Radomiak’s recent form shows a draw streak, while Cracovia comes off a two-game winning run.
Results analysis
Radomiak Radom’s win over Cracovia Krakow was a surprise, extending a recent string that began with a victory. The final score was 2-1, giving the home side a triumph that the model had not predicted. The pre-match favourite was the away win, assigned a 36% probability, but the model’s call was wrong. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.7%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.9%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.8%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 97.6%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.2%, Under 5.5 hit at 96.6%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.2%. The model’s selections all performed as predicted, despite the upset.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Radomiak Radom win✓ Hit
34.9%
Avg Implied 31.7% · @ 2.93
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.05
Pinnacle
3.03
Superbet
3.00
Betano
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Draw✗ Miss
29.3%
Avg Implied 27.6% · @ 3.36
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.51
10Bet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Dafabet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.44
Cracovia Krakow win✗ Miss
35.8%
Avg Implied 40.7% · @ 2.28
Edge
-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.38
Pinnacle
2.33
Dafabet
2.32
Betfair
2.30
Betano
2.30
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Radomiak Radom
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.63
1.67
1.13
1.07
2.13
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
2.29
1.00
2.00
0.80
2.40
vs Similar (23)
1.52
1.43
1.77
1.00
1.20
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Cracovia Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cracovia Krakow
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.27
1.20
1.20
0.53
1.33
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
1.43
1.50
0.75
0.33
2.33
vs Similar (23)
0.83
1.22
1.09
1.36
0.58
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomiak Radom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.3%
@ 1.25-0.8%
Under 1.5
26.7%
@ 3.59+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Under
Pinnacle
3.81
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.5%
@ 1.86-3.9%
Under 2.5
53.5%
@ 1.89+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.90
SBO
1.89
Betfair
1.87
Unibet
1.87
Under
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.95
SBO
1.93
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.0%
@ 3.15-4.5%
Under 3.5
75.0%
@ 1.32+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.25
10Bet
3.25
Pinnacle
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Under
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.9%
@ 1.68-2.3%
No
47.1%
@ 2.07+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
1.73
William Hil
1.70
Bet365
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Betfair
1.67
No
Betfair
2.15
BetVictor
2.10
1xBet
2.09
Superbet
2.07
Betano
2.07
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%@ 6.20+6.8%
0-0
9.2%@ 10.31+4.9%
0-1
8.8%@ 7.92+3.2%
1-0
8.7%@ 9.10+3.8%
1-2
8.1%@ 8.44+2.8%
2-1 ✓
8.0%@ 9.82+3.5%
0-2
6.5%@ 10.88+2.4%
2-0
6.3%@ 14.19+3.1%
Radomiak Radom goals ↓
Cracovia Krakow goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.2%
8.8%
6.5%
2.7%
0.9%
1
8.7%
14%
8.1%
3.5%
1.1%
2
6.3%
8.0%
5.1%
2.2%
0.7%
3
2.6%
3.4%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.8%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Radomiak Radom goals (down), columns = Cracovia Krakow goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lech Poznan
2.60
Gornik Zabrze
2.40
Legia Warszawa
2.00
GKS Katowice
1.80
Jagiellonia
1.80
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Pogon Szczecin
1.60
Zaglebie Lubin
1.60
Korona Kielce
1.60
Cracovia Krakow
1.33
Piast Gliwice
1.17
Radomiak Radom
1.17
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Slask Wroclaw
1.00
Motor Lublin
0.83
Wisla Plock
0.80
Wieczysta Kraków
0.60
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
Radomiak Radom is 0.17 points worse than Cracovia Krakow in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
GKS Katowice
2.40
Gornik Zabrze
2.20
Wisla Krakow
2.00
Lech Poznan
2.00
Legia Warszawa
2.00
Jagiellonia
1.80
Piast Gliwice
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wieczysta Kraków
1.60
Pogon Szczecin
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.33
Raków Częstochowa
1.20
Korona Kielce
1.20
Radomiak Radom
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Zaglebie Lubin
1.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.00
Wisla Plock
0.60
Radomiak Radom and Cracovia Krakow are level in goals scored per game (both 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Legia Warszawa
0.67
Pogon Szczecin
0.80
Zaglebie Lubin
0.80
Korona Kielce
0.80
Lech Poznan
0.80
Cracovia Krakow
1.17
GKS Katowice
1.20
Gornik Zabrze
1.40
Jagiellonia
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Motor Lublin
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wisla Plock
2.00
Piast Gliwice
2.17
Radomiak Radom
2.17
Wieczysta Kraków
2.40
Raków Częstochowa
2.60
Radomiak Radom is 1.00 goals worse than Cracovia Krakow in terms of goals conceded per game (2.17 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Jagiellonia
58%
Piast Gliwice
56%
Wieczysta Kraków
54%
Lech Poznan
54%
Gornik Zabrze
53%
Raków Częstochowa
53%
Wisla Plock
52%
Legia Warszawa
52%
Wisla Krakow
52%
Radomiak Radom
50%
GKS Katowice
48%
Cracovia Krakow
48%
Korona Kielce
48%
Slask Wroclaw
47%
Zaglebie Lubin
47%
Widzew Łódź
46%
Motor Lublin
46%
Pogon Szczecin
41%
Radomiak Radom is 1.7 percentage points better than Cracovia Krakow in terms of average possession (50% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Radomiak Radom
For 4.3 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 13.5 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cracovia Krakow
For 6.7 · Against 4.4 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 11.3 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Radomiak Radom
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.6
10.4
4.8
4.5
5.2
27.9
28.6
27.2
vs Stronger (14)
10.4
10.6
10.3
3.9
3.6
4.3
28.3
27.7
28.9
vs Similar (36)
9.8
9.2
10.4
5.2
4.8
5.6
27.8
28.9
26.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
55%
48%
62%
64%
58%
71%
88%
88%
88%
% under line
45%
52%
38%
36%
42%
29%
12%
12%
12%
This opponent (Cracovia Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cracovia Krakow
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.5
10.4
4.0
4.2
3.8
25.4
25.1
25.8
vs Stronger (10)
10.6
10.2
10.8
4.5
5.8
3.7
25.1
26.0
24.4
vs Similar (39)
9.8
9.3
10.3
3.9
3.9
3.9
25.7
24.9
26.5
vs Weaker (1)
10.0
-
10.0
3.0
-
3.0
19.0
-
19.0
% over line
54%
42%
67%
52%
50%
54%
71%
75%
67%
% under line
46%
58%
33%
48%
50%
46%
29%
25%
33%
This opponent (Radomiak Radom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wisla Krakow
11.2
Wieczysta Kraków
11.0
Pogon Szczecin
10.6
Zaglebie Lubin
10.3
Slask Wroclaw
10.2
Korona Kielce
10.2
Lech Poznan
10.1
Gornik Zabrze
10.1
Motor Lublin
10.1
Radomiak Radom
10.0
Cracovia Krakow
9.9
Piast Gliwice
9.9
GKS Katowice
9.8
Wisla Plock
9.7
Jagiellonia
9.5
Widzew Łódź
9.1
Legia Warszawa
9.1
Raków Częstochowa
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Widzew Łódź
5.3
Radomiak Radom
5.0
Motor Lublin
4.9
Raków Częstochowa
4.7
Slask Wroclaw
4.6
Jagiellonia
4.5
Zaglebie Lubin
4.5
Cracovia Krakow
4.4
Legia Warszawa
4.3
Gornik Zabrze
4.0
Wisla Plock
4.0
Pogon Szczecin
4.0
Lech Poznan
3.9
Wisla Krakow
3.9
Korona Kielce
3.9
GKS Katowice
3.8
Wieczysta Kraków
3.8
Piast Gliwice
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radomiak Radom
27.8
Widzew Łódź
26.5
Wieczysta Kraków
26.5
Jagiellonia
26.4
Legia Warszawa
25.9
Korona Kielce
25.6
Wisla Krakow
25.4
Motor Lublin
25.3
Cracovia Krakow
25.2
Raków Częstochowa
24.9
Zaglebie Lubin
24.7
Slask Wroclaw
24.6
Piast Gliwice
24.5
Lech Poznan
23.9
GKS Katowice
23.8
Pogon Szczecin
23.6
Gornik Zabrze
22.9
Wisla Plock
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.5%
@ 1.83+2.7%
Under 9.5
46.5%
@ 1.89-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.86
Betano
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Under
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
Unibet
1.92
Betano
1.88
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
67.4%
@ 1.48+5.5%
Under 3.5
32.6%
@ 2.40-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.48
Under
Superbet
2.40
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
85.7%
Under 21.5
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Radomiak Radom or Draw✓ Hit
70.9%
Avg Implied 59.3% · @ 1.57
Edge
+11.6%
35%
29%
36%
covers Radomiak Radom + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.65
William Hil
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
Radomiak Radom or Cracovia Krakow✓ Hit
69.9%
Avg Implied 72.5% · @ 1.29
Edge
-2.6%
35%
29%
36%
covers Radomiak Radom + Cracovia Krakow
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Draw or Cracovia Krakow✗ Miss
59.2%
Avg Implied 68.2% · @ 1.37
Edge
-9.0%
35%
29%
36%
covers Draw + Cracovia Krakow
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.42
Betfair
1.40
10Bet
1.38
BetVictor
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Radomiak Radom over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.0%
@ 1.31+2.5%
Under
27.0%
@ 3.14-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
Under
Pinnacle
3.29
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
1xBet
3.14
Marathonbet
3.14
Radomiak Radom over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
37.7%
@ 2.59+1.8%
Under
62.3%
@ 1.45-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.72
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.60
BetVictor
2.60
Under
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.46
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
Radomiak Radom over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.5%
@ 6.14-0.6%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.09+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.45
Marathonbet
6.45
10Bet
6.25
Betfair
6.00
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Radomiak Radom over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.4%
@ 14.83-2.0%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.02+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Cracovia Krakow over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.7%
@ 1.23-9.7%
Under
34.3%
@ 3.76+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
Under
Pinnacle
4.02
1xBet
3.84
Marathonbet
3.84
BetVictor
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Cracovia Krakow over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
29.0%
@ 2.17-13.9%
Under
71.0%
@ 1.63+13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.25
Unibet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
1xBet
2.17
Under
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.64
Superbet
1.64
Cracovia Krakow over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.4%
@ 4.78-10.0%
Under
90.6%
@ 1.15+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
1xBet
4.90
BetVictor
4.80
Under
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Cracovia Krakow over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 10.25-6.8%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.03+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
10.00
Betfair
10.00
1xBet
9.50
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Radomiak Radom, so a minus line means Radomiak Radom give that many goals of a start and Cracovia Krakow receive them. At -1, Radomiak Radom must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Radomiak Radom win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap +1 (Radomiak Radom)Actual: Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom +1
70.9%
@ 1.57+14.0%
Draw +1
17.4%
@ 3.92-5.4%
Cracovia Krakow -1
11.7%
@ 4.37-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
Unibet
1.54
Betfair
1.53
Draw
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Unibet
3.80
Away
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Unibet
4.40
Superbet
4.20
Handicap +2 (Radomiak Radom)Actual: Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom +2
88.3%
@ 1.16+12.3%
Draw +2
8.2%
@ 6.19-6.0%
Cracovia Krakow -2
3.5%
@ 9.01-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.25
10Bet
6.25
Superbet
6.10
Away
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
9.50
10Bet
9.00
Superbet
8.60
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Radomiak Radom
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.87
0.80
0.67
0.27
1.07
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.43
1.00
1.50
0.00
1.40
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.70
0.77
0.54
0.40
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Cracovia Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cracovia Krakow
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.47
0.40
0.40
0.13
0.53
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.86
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (23)
0.26
0.35
0.36
0.36
0.17
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomiak Radom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
69.0%
@ 1.36+0.6%
Under 0.5
31.0%
@ 2.93-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.38
Superbet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.09
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
William Hil
3.00
Marathonbet
2.95
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
30.9%
@ 2.70-3.4%
Under 1.5
69.1%
@ 1.41+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.81
Betano
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Unibet
2.70
Under
BetVictor
1.43
Superbet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.3%
@ 6.59-4.8%
Under 2.5
90.7%
@ 1.08+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.85
1xBet
6.85
William Hil
6.50
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Radomiak Radom over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
44.7%
@ 2.18+2.0%
Under
55.3%
@ 1.62-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.24
Betano
2.22
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.17
10Bet
2.15
Under
10Bet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.64
Superbet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Radomiak Radom over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.6%
@ 7.10-2.5%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.07+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.00
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
7.00
Superbet
6.90
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
Radomiak Radom over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 18.25-3.1%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
24.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Cracovia Krakow over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
41.6%
@ 1.96-5.7%
Under
58.4%
@ 1.76+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.98
Unibet
1.96
Marathonbet
1.93
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
10Bet
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.76
Betano
1.75
Cracovia Krakow over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.1%
@ 5.87-4.8%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.10+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.40
1xBet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Superbet
5.60
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
Cracovia Krakow over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 14.75-4.9%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Radomiak Radom
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
0.87
0.47
0.80
1.07
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.86
0.00
0.50
0.80
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.91
0.74
1.00
0.46
0.80
1.10
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Cracovia Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cracovia Krakow
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
0.57
1.00
0.25
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.87
0.73
1.00
0.42
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomiak Radom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.0%
@ 1.21-1.4%
Under 0.5
25.0%
@ 3.92+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betano
4.00
1xBet
3.98
Marathonbet
3.98
Superbet
3.85
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
40.8%
@ 2.05-4.6%
Under 1.5
59.2%
@ 1.70+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.08
1xBet
2.06
Marathonbet
2.06
Superbet
2.05
William Hil
2.05
Under
Betano
1.78
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
William Hil
1.70
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
15.3%
@ 4.32-6.2%
Under 2.5
84.7%
@ 1.18+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.40
1xBet
4.40
10Bet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Under
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Radomiak Radom over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
52.7%
@ 1.82+1.9%
Under
47.3%
@ 1.89-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Betano
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
Under
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.88
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
Radomiak Radom over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
18.2%
@ 5.15+0.2%
Under
81.8%
@ 1.13-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.55
10Bet
5.25
Superbet
5.10
1xBet
5.10
Betano
4.75
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Radomiak Radom over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 13.25-3.3%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.02+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Cracovia Krakow over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
48.5%
@ 1.66-7.4%
Under
51.5%
@ 2.10+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.65
Betano
1.65
Under
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
Superbet
2.07
Cracovia Krakow over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.3%
@ 4.25-5.5%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.18+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Superbet
4.25
1xBet
4.20
Betano
3.95
Under
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Cracovia Krakow over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 10.62-6.1%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.03+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.6%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.6%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.7%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
90.7%
1.10
Betano
1.14
Pinnacle
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
90.6%
1.15
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Unibet
1.14
+10.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.4%
1.07
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.9%
1.10
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
88.3%
1.16
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+12.3%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
85.5%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.7%
1.18
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
+6.2%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
83.7%
1.18
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.8%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
-0.2%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
80.8%
1.11
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Unibet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.0%
1.21
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
-1.4%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.0%
1.32
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.3%
1.25
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
73.0%
1.31
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
71.0%
1.63
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.64
Superbet
1.64
+13.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
70.9%
1.57
Betano
1.65
William Hil
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
+11.6%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
70.9%
1.57
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
Unibet
1.54
Betfair
1.53
+14.0%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.3%
1.33
Superbet
1.36
Unibet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Betano
1.31
+1.5%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Radomiak Radom
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
R. Wolski33%
J. Grzesik17%
I. Camará17%
Conrado Buchanelli0%
Christos Donis0%
C. Nunnely0%
Luquinhas0%
Z. Ouattara0%
Adrián Diéguez0%
F. Majchrowicz0%
A. Tapsoba0%
K. Karasek0%
K. Szcześniak0%
Ronaldo Lumungo0%
F. Gouré0%
F. Koperski0%
Manu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Adrián Diéguez75%
A. Tapsoba50%
Conrado Buchanelli40%
Christos Donis40%
Luquinhas20%
R. Wolski17%
I. Camará17%
Z. Ouattara17%
F. Gouré17%
C. Nunnely0%
J. Grzesik0%
F. Majchrowicz0%
K. Karasek0%
K. Szcześniak0%
Ronaldo Lumungo0%
F. Koperski0%
Manu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luquinhas20%
J. Grzesik17%
Conrado Buchanelli0%
Christos Donis0%
C. Nunnely0%
R. Wolski0%
I. Camará0%
Z. Ouattara0%
Adrián Diéguez0%
F. Majchrowicz0%
A. Tapsoba0%
K. Karasek0%
K. Szcześniak0%
Ronaldo Lumungo0%
F. Gouré0%
F. Koperski0%
Manu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Grzesik50%
R. Wolski17%
Conrado Buchanelli0%
Christos Donis0%
C. Nunnely0%
I. Camará0%
Luquinhas0%
Z. Ouattara0%
Adrián Diéguez0%
F. Majchrowicz0%
A. Tapsoba0%
K. Karasek0%
K. Szcześniak0%
Ronaldo Lumungo0%
F. Gouré0%
F. Koperski0%
Manu0%
Cracovia Krakow
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ajdin Hasić33%
M. Minchev17%
D. Piła17%
M. Perković17%
Mateusz Klich0%
M. Praszelik0%
Amir Al-Ammari0%
Gustav Henriksson0%
Otar Kakabadze0%
S. Madejski0%
B. Traoré0%
D. Kameri0%
B. Selan0%
Vincent Burlet0%
Kacper Śmiglewski0%
Kahveh Zahiroleslam0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mateusz Klich40%
D. Kameri40%
Amir Al-Ammari33%
Ajdin Hasić17%
Gustav Henriksson17%
Otar Kakabadze17%
M. Minchev0%
M. Praszelik0%
D. Piła0%
S. Madejski0%
M. Perković0%
B. Traoré0%
B. Selan0%
Vincent Burlet0%
Kacper Śmiglewski0%
Kahveh Zahiroleslam0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mateusz Klich40%
Ajdin Hasić17%
Otar Kakabadze17%
D. Piła17%
M. Minchev0%
M. Praszelik0%
Amir Al-Ammari0%
Gustav Henriksson0%
S. Madejski0%
M. Perković0%
B. Traoré0%
D. Kameri0%
B. Selan0%
Vincent Burlet0%
Kacper Śmiglewski0%
Kahveh Zahiroleslam0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ajdin Hasić67%
D. Kameri40%
M. Perković33%
Kahveh Zahiroleslam17%
Mateusz Klich0%
M. Minchev0%
M. Praszelik0%
Amir Al-Ammari0%
Gustav Henriksson0%
Otar Kakabadze0%
D. Piła0%
S. Madejski0%
B. Traoré0%
B. Selan0%
Vincent Burlet0%
Kacper Śmiglewski0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (25)
€58m
WŁ (29)
€43m
RC (27)
€33m
JAG (26)
€30m
GZ (27)
€29m
CK (26)
€21m
LW (25)
€20m
PS (27)
€20m
ZL (28)
€19m
ML (20)
€19m
KK (23)
€16m
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
WK (22)
€12m
RR (25)
€11m
PG (22)
€9m
SW (22)
€7m
Radomiak Radom's squad is €10m less valuable than Cracovia Krakow's (€11m vs €21m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WŁ (13)
€21m
LP (10)
€21m
GZ (13)
€17m
JAG (11)
€12m
CK (12)
€11m
ZL (11)
€10m
LW (12)
€10m
ML (10)
€10m
RC (9)
€9m
PS (13)
€8m
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
RR (9)
€4m
PG (11)
€4m
WP (7)
€4m
KK (7)
€3m
GK (7)
€3m
SW (5)
€2m
Radomiak Radom's attack is €6m less valuable than Cracovia Krakow's (€4m vs €11m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (12)
€14m
LP (3)
€9m
KK (8)
€7m
WŁ (5)
€7m
GZ (4)
€6m
GK (10)
€6m
LW (7)
€4m
ZL (4)
€4m
JAG (5)
€3m
SW (9)
€3m
PS (5)
€3m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
CK (4)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
WK (3)
€1m
RR (4)
€1m
PG (1)
€0m
Radomiak Radom and Cracovia Krakow have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (12)
€28m
JAG (10)
€15m
WŁ (11)
€15m
RC (6)
€9m
PS (9)
€9m
CK (10)
€8m
ML (8)
€6m
GZ (10)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
LW (6)
€6m
RR (12)
€6m
KK (8)
€5m
WK (12)
€5m
ZL (13)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
PG (10)
€4m
SW (8)
€2m
Radomiak Radom's defence is €3m less valuable than Cracovia Krakow's (€6m vs €8m).
Poland: Ekstraklasa 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: Ekstraklasa stats & trends →
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Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
Gornik Zabrze
Wisla Krakow
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
Zaglebie Lubin
Piast Gliwice
Widzew Łódź
Slask Wroclaw
Motor Lublin
Wisla Plock
Wieczysta Kraków
Raków Częstochowa