The match between Radomiak Radom and Zaglebie Lubin is likely to be a closely contested one, with Radomiak Radom's recent struggles, having lost three straight games, creating an interesting dynamic. Despite this, the model still favours Radomiak Radom to win at home, with a 42% chance of success, compared to a 27% draw probability and a 31% chance of Zaglebie Lubin winning.
The expected total goals in this match is 2.8, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13% probability. Radomiak Radom has a strong home record, scoring an average of 1.7 goals and conceding 0.9 goals against teams of similar strength. Zaglebie Lubin, on the other hand, has averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.11 goals conceded when playing away against similar opponents.
The model's selection is the Home win, with a 42% chance of success. The model also suggests Over 21.5 fouls (83.5%), Over 1.5 (78.3%), and no other selections. Radomiak Radom has a 42% chance of winning, a 27% chance of drawing, and a 31% chance of losing.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Radomiak Radom, failed to deliver as the game finished 0-0, a draw that left the model’s Home win call wrong. The match was a tight affair, with both sides struggling to break the deadlock. The model had highlighted a 39 % chance of a home win, 28 % for a draw, and 33 % for an away win, but the result was a stalemate. The model’s selections were all correct: Under 7.5 (99.2 %) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.6 %) hit, Under 6.5 (97.5 %) hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.4 %) hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.8 %) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (95.9 %) hit, Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.5 %) hit, and Under 5.5 (93.4 %) hit. The game’s scoreline matched the model’s most likely 2-goal total, though the actual total was zero. Both teams entered the match on a draw, and neither could turn that into a win.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Radomiak Radom win✗ Miss
38.6%
Avg Implied 39.3% · @ 2.37
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.46
Dafabet
2.45
Betano
2.42
Superbet
2.42
William Hil
2.40
Draw✓ Hit
28.4%
Avg Implied 28.3% · @ 3.28
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Dafabet
3.40
Pinnacle
3.34
Superbet
3.30
Zaglebie Lubin win✗ Miss
33.0%
Avg Implied 32.4% · @ 2.87
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.01
1xBet
2.91
Dafabet
2.90
Unibet
2.90
888Sport
2.90
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Radomiak Radom
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.63
1.67
1.13
1.07
2.13
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
2.29
1.00
2.00
0.80
2.40
vs Similar (23)
1.52
1.43
1.77
1.00
1.20
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Zaglebie Lubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zaglebie Lubin
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.97
1.27
0.60
1.00
1.33
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
0.88
0.75
0.50
0.50
1.25
vs Similar (22)
1.32
1.00
1.45
0.64
1.18
1.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomiak Radom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.7%
@ 1.27+2.3%
Under 1.5
24.3%
@ 3.49-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.28
Under
Pinnacle
3.84
Superbet
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
10Bet
3.55
888Sport
3.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.7%
@ 1.87-0.5%
Under 2.5
50.3%
@ 1.89+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Betfair
1.90
Unibet
1.88
SBO
1.88
Under
SBO
1.96
Pinnacle
1.96
Betano
1.91
Bet365
1.90
10Bet
1.90
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.8%
@ 3.13-2.0%
Under 3.5
72.2%
@ 1.32+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Unibet
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.37
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.3%
@ 1.68+0.1%
No
44.7%
@ 2.07-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.70
Unibet
1.70
888Sport
1.67
No
888Sport
2.10
William Hil
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
BetVictor
2.10
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%@ 6.14+6.3%
2-1
8.6%@ 8.63+3.4%
1-0
8.5%@ 8.01+2.9%
0-0 ✓
8.2%@ 9.35+3.4%
1-2
7.8%@ 9.71+3.3%
0-1
7.6%@ 8.91+2.6%
2-0
6.8%@ 11.30+2.8%
0-2
5.6%@ 13.79+2.4%
Radomiak Radom goals ↓
Zaglebie Lubin goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.2%
7.6%
5.6%
2.4%
0.8%
1
8.5%
14%
7.8%
3.3%
1.1%
2
6.8%
8.6%
5.5%
2.3%
0.7%
3
3.1%
4.0%
2.5%
1.1%
0.3%
4
1.1%
1.4%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Radomiak Radom goals (down), columns = Zaglebie Lubin goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lech Poznan
2.60
Gornik Zabrze
2.40
Legia Warszawa
2.00
GKS Katowice
1.80
Jagiellonia
1.80
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Pogon Szczecin
1.60
Zaglebie Lubin
1.60
Korona Kielce
1.60
Cracovia Krakow
1.33
Piast Gliwice
1.17
Radomiak Radom
1.17
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Slask Wroclaw
1.00
Motor Lublin
0.83
Wisla Plock
0.80
Wieczysta Kraków
0.60
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
Radomiak Radom is 0.43 points worse than Zaglebie Lubin in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
GKS Katowice
2.40
Gornik Zabrze
2.20
Wisla Krakow
2.00
Lech Poznan
2.00
Legia Warszawa
2.00
Jagiellonia
1.80
Piast Gliwice
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wieczysta Kraków
1.60
Pogon Szczecin
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.33
Raków Częstochowa
1.20
Korona Kielce
1.20
Radomiak Radom
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Zaglebie Lubin
1.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.00
Wisla Plock
0.60
Radomiak Radom and Zaglebie Lubin are level in goals scored per game (both 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Legia Warszawa
0.67
Pogon Szczecin
0.80
Zaglebie Lubin
0.80
Korona Kielce
0.80
Lech Poznan
0.80
Cracovia Krakow
1.17
GKS Katowice
1.20
Gornik Zabrze
1.40
Jagiellonia
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Motor Lublin
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wisla Plock
2.00
Piast Gliwice
2.17
Radomiak Radom
2.17
Wieczysta Kraków
2.40
Raków Częstochowa
2.60
Radomiak Radom is 1.37 goals worse than Zaglebie Lubin in terms of goals conceded per game (2.17 vs 0.80).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Jagiellonia
58%
Piast Gliwice
56%
Wieczysta Kraków
54%
Lech Poznan
54%
Gornik Zabrze
53%
Raków Częstochowa
53%
Wisla Plock
52%
Legia Warszawa
52%
Wisla Krakow
52%
Radomiak Radom
50%
GKS Katowice
48%
Cracovia Krakow
48%
Korona Kielce
48%
Slask Wroclaw
47%
Zaglebie Lubin
47%
Widzew Łódź
46%
Motor Lublin
46%
Pogon Szczecin
41%
Radomiak Radom is 3.0 percentage points better than Zaglebie Lubin in terms of average possession (50% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Radomiak Radom
For 3.9 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 13.6 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zaglebie Lubin
For 3.9 · Against 7.5 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 12.5 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Radomiak Radom
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.5
10.4
4.8
4.5
5.2
27.8
28.6
27.1
vs Stronger (14)
10.4
10.6
10.3
3.9
3.6
4.3
28.3
27.7
28.9
vs Similar (36)
9.8
9.0
10.5
5.2
4.9
5.5
27.7
29.0
26.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
55%
46%
64%
64%
60%
68%
88%
88%
88%
% under line
45%
54%
36%
36%
40%
32%
12%
12%
12%
This opponent (Zaglebie Lubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zaglebie Lubin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
9.4
11.3
3.9
4.5
3.4
24.5
25.2
23.8
vs Stronger (11)
9.8
9.2
10.3
4.7
5.2
4.3
26.8
28.6
25.3
vs Similar (39)
10.5
9.5
11.6
3.7
4.3
3.1
23.8
24.3
23.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
54%
40%
70%
60%
68%
52%
71%
72%
70%
% under line
46%
60%
30%
40%
32%
48%
29%
28%
30%
This opponent (Radomiak Radom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wisla Krakow
12.5
Wieczysta Kraków
11.0
Pogon Szczecin
10.6
Zaglebie Lubin
10.4
Gornik Zabrze
10.2
Slask Wroclaw
10.2
Korona Kielce
10.1
Motor Lublin
10.1
Lech Poznan
10.0
Radomiak Radom
9.9
Cracovia Krakow
9.9
Piast Gliwice
9.9
GKS Katowice
9.8
Wisla Plock
9.7
Jagiellonia
9.6
Legia Warszawa
9.2
Widzew Łódź
9.1
Raków Częstochowa
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Widzew Łódź
5.3
Radomiak Radom
5.0
Motor Lublin
4.9
Raków Częstochowa
4.8
Slask Wroclaw
4.7
Jagiellonia
4.6
Zaglebie Lubin
4.4
Cracovia Krakow
4.4
Legia Warszawa
4.3
Wisla Plock
4.1
Gornik Zabrze
4.1
Korona Kielce
4.0
Pogon Szczecin
3.9
Lech Poznan
3.9
GKS Katowice
3.8
Wisla Krakow
3.8
Wieczysta Kraków
3.8
Piast Gliwice
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radomiak Radom
27.8
Jagiellonia
26.8
Widzew Łódź
26.5
Wieczysta Kraków
26.5
Legia Warszawa
25.9
Korona Kielce
25.6
Motor Lublin
25.3
Cracovia Krakow
25.2
Wisla Krakow
25.0
Raków Częstochowa
24.9
Slask Wroclaw
24.8
Zaglebie Lubin
24.6
Piast Gliwice
24.5
GKS Katowice
23.7
Lech Poznan
23.7
Pogon Szczecin
23.7
Gornik Zabrze
22.9
Wisla Plock
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.6%
@ 1.64-1.7%
Under 9.5
45.4%
@ 2.11+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.65
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Under
Betano
2.20
Pinnacle
2.20
Marathonbet
2.15
Unibet
2.14
1xBet
2.10
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
66.0%
@ 1.52+5.6%
Under 3.5
34.0%
@ 2.32-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.52
Under
Superbet
2.32
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.6%
Under 21.5
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Radomiak Radom or Draw✓ Hit
69.4%
Avg Implied 67.4% · @ 1.39
Edge
+2.0%
39%
28%
33%
covers Radomiak Radom + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.40
888Sport
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Radomiak Radom or Zaglebie Lubin✗ Miss
72.6%
Avg Implied 71.9% · @ 1.30
Edge
+0.8%
39%
28%
33%
covers Radomiak Radom + Zaglebie Lubin
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Draw or Zaglebie Lubin✓ Hit
58.0%
Avg Implied 60.7% · @ 1.54
Edge
-2.7%
39%
28%
33%
covers Draw + Zaglebie Lubin
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.60
Betfair
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
BetVictor
1.53
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Radomiak Radom over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
78.4%
@ 1.25+4.1%
Under
21.6%
@ 3.61-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.99
BetVictor
3.70
10Bet
3.65
Superbet
3.60
888Sport
3.60
Radomiak Radom over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
45.3%
@ 2.23+3.5%
Under
54.7%
@ 1.60-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.29
Bet365
2.25
Betfair
2.25
888Sport
2.25
Betano
2.22
Under
Pinnacle
1.65
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
BetVictor
1.60
Radomiak Radom over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.9%
@ 4.89+1.0%
Under
80.1%
@ 1.14-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.00
Betfair
5.00
888Sport
5.00
Unibet
4.80
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Radomiak Radom over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.0%
@ 12.25-0.8%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.03+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
888Sport
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Zaglebie Lubin over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
72.2%
@ 1.31+1.2%
Under
27.8%
@ 3.19-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.50
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Superbet
3.20
Zaglebie Lubin over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
36.6%
@ 2.52-0.3%
Under
63.4%
@ 1.48+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Unibet
2.60
BetVictor
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.54
Under
Pinnacle
1.54
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.49
1xBet
1.48
Zaglebie Lubin over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.8%
@ 5.80-2.2%
Under
86.2%
@ 1.10+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
888Sport
6.00
Marathonbet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
888Sport
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Zaglebie Lubin over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.1%
@ 15.06-2.2%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.02+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
19.00
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
888Sport
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Radomiak Radom, so a minus line means Radomiak Radom give that many goals of a start and Zaglebie Lubin receive them. At -1, Radomiak Radom must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Radomiak Radom win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap +1 (Radomiak Radom)Actual: Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom +1
69.4%
@ 1.39+5.0%
Draw +1
17.0%
@ 4.47-3.0%
Zaglebie Lubin -1
13.7%
@ 5.70-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.37
Unibet
1.36
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Superbet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Unibet
4.25
Away
Bet365
6.00
Unibet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.55
Superbet
5.40
Handicap +2 (Radomiak Radom)Actual: Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom +2
86.3%
@ 1.10+4.6%
Draw +2
9.0%
@ 8.00-2.3%
Zaglebie Lubin -2
4.6%
@ 13.00-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
8.50
10Bet
7.50
Away
10Bet
13.00
Bet365
13.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Radomiak Radom
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.87
0.80
0.67
0.27
1.07
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.43
1.00
1.50
0.00
1.40
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.70
0.77
0.54
0.40
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Zaglebie Lubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zaglebie Lubin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.53
0.67
0.27
0.27
0.80
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
0.50
0.50
0.25
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.55
0.73
0.27
0.27
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomiak Radom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
70.8%
@ 1.36+2.8%
Under 0.5
29.2%
@ 2.90-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
BetVictor
1.38
Unibet
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.13
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
William Hil
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.7%
@ 2.71-0.6%
Under 1.5
66.3%
@ 1.41+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.80
Pinnacle
2.79
Bet365
2.75
Unibet
2.70
Under
William Hil
1.44
BetVictor
1.43
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.1%
@ 6.49-1.2%
Under 2.5
86.9%
@ 1.08+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
William Hil
6.50
Unibet
6.40
1xBet
6.25
Under
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Radomiak Radom over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
46.5%
@ 1.98-0.4%
Under
53.5%
@ 1.75+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
10Bet
1.80
Superbet
1.74
1xBet
1.73
Unibet
1.73
Radomiak Radom over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.8%
@ 5.91-3.9%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.10+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.15
1xBet
6.00
Superbet
5.85
Betano
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
Radomiak Radom over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 15.38-3.6%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.02+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Zaglebie Lubin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
45.5%
@ 2.16+2.4%
Under
54.5%
@ 1.64-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.21
1xBet
2.20
Betano
2.15
Unibet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
Under
Pinnacle
1.67
Superbet
1.65
10Bet
1.65
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Zaglebie Lubin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.0%
@ 6.86-1.5%
Under
88.0%
@ 1.07+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.20
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
7.00
Superbet
6.60
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
Zaglebie Lubin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 17.75-3.0%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
23.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Radomiak Radom
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
0.87
0.47
0.80
1.07
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.86
0.00
0.50
0.80
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.91
0.74
1.00
0.46
0.80
1.10
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Zaglebie Lubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zaglebie Lubin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.43
0.60
0.33
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.38
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (22)
0.82
0.45
0.73
0.36
0.91
0.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomiak Radom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
79.4%
@ 1.22+3.3%
Under 0.5
20.6%
@ 3.88-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
Under
Betano
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.82
1xBet
3.82
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
45.5%
@ 2.04-0.0%
Under 1.5
54.5%
@ 1.70+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.10
Betano
2.05
William Hil
2.05
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.03
Under
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
William Hil
1.70
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.1%
@ 4.21-1.9%
Under 2.5
79.9%
@ 1.19+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.25
Betano
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
Under
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Radomiak Radom over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
55.5%
@ 1.69+0.7%
Under
44.5%
@ 2.05-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.70
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.67
Under
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Radomiak Radom over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.2%
@ 4.29-1.5%
Under
79.8%
@ 1.19+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.15
Under
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Radomiak Radom over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.5%
@ 11.25-3.9%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.03+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
Zaglebie Lubin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
55.0%
@ 1.79+3.3%
Under
45.0%
@ 1.92-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Zaglebie Lubin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.3%
@ 4.90+1.3%
Under
79.7%
@ 1.14-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.05
Marathonbet
5.05
Superbet
4.90
Betano
4.60
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Zaglebie Lubin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 12.62-4.2%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.02+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.4%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
888Sport
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.4%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.03
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.2%
1.10
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.0%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.9%
1.08
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
86.3%
1.10
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
-
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
86.2%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
888Sport
1.10
Betfair
1.10
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
84.6%
1.10
Pinnacle
1.14
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
888Sport
1.11
Bet365
1.11
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
80.1%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.9%
1.19
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.8%
1.19
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
79.7%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
-
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.4%
1.22
Betano
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
+3.3%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
78.5%
1.16
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
78.4%
1.25
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+4.1%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
75.7%
1.27
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.28
+2.3%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
72.6%
1.30
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.31
+0.8%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
72.2%
1.32
Pinnacle
1.37
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
72.2%
1.31
Unibet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
+1.2%
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.8%
1.36
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
BetVictor
1.38
Unibet
1.36
+2.8%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
70.0%
1.31
Superbet
1.31
-
-
-
-
+0.8%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Radomiak Radom
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
R. Wolski33%
J. Grzesik17%
I. Camará17%
Conrado Buchanelli0%
Christos Donis0%
C. Nunnely0%
Luquinhas0%
Z. Ouattara0%
Adrián Diéguez0%
F. Majchrowicz0%
A. Tapsoba0%
K. Karasek0%
K. Szcześniak0%
Ronaldo Lumungo0%
F. Gouré0%
F. Koperski0%
Manu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Adrián Diéguez75%
A. Tapsoba50%
Conrado Buchanelli40%
Christos Donis40%
Luquinhas20%
R. Wolski17%
I. Camará17%
Z. Ouattara17%
F. Gouré17%
C. Nunnely0%
J. Grzesik0%
F. Majchrowicz0%
K. Karasek0%
K. Szcześniak0%
Ronaldo Lumungo0%
F. Koperski0%
Manu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luquinhas20%
J. Grzesik17%
Conrado Buchanelli0%
Christos Donis0%
C. Nunnely0%
R. Wolski0%
I. Camará0%
Z. Ouattara0%
Adrián Diéguez0%
F. Majchrowicz0%
A. Tapsoba0%
K. Karasek0%
K. Szcześniak0%
Ronaldo Lumungo0%
F. Gouré0%
F. Koperski0%
Manu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Grzesik50%
R. Wolski17%
Conrado Buchanelli0%
Christos Donis0%
C. Nunnely0%
I. Camará0%
Luquinhas0%
Z. Ouattara0%
Adrián Diéguez0%
F. Majchrowicz0%
A. Tapsoba0%
K. Karasek0%
K. Szcześniak0%
Ronaldo Lumungo0%
F. Gouré0%
F. Koperski0%
Manu0%
Zaglebie Lubin
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jakub Sypek33%
Filip Kocaba25%
Marcel Regula25%
Sebastian Kerk0%
Zlatan Alomerović0%
Mateusz Grzybek0%
Josip Ćorluka0%
Damian Michalski0%
Aleks Ławniczak0%
Filip Szymczak0%
Michalis Kosidis0%
Jakub Kolan0%
Kamil Nowogoński0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mateusz Grzybek33%
Michalis Kosidis33%
Kamil Nowogoński33%
Filip Szymczak25%
Filip Kocaba25%
Sebastian Kerk0%
Zlatan Alomerović0%
Josip Ćorluka0%
Damian Michalski0%
Aleks Ławniczak0%
Jakub Sypek0%
Jakub Kolan0%
Marcel Regula0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mateusz Grzybek33%
Jakub Sypek33%
Sebastian Kerk0%
Zlatan Alomerović0%
Josip Ćorluka0%
Damian Michalski0%
Aleks Ławniczak0%
Filip Szymczak0%
Michalis Kosidis0%
Filip Kocaba0%
Jakub Kolan0%
Marcel Regula0%
Kamil Nowogoński0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marcel Regula75%
Aleks Ławniczak25%
Sebastian Kerk0%
Zlatan Alomerović0%
Mateusz Grzybek0%
Josip Ćorluka0%
Damian Michalski0%
Filip Szymczak0%
Jakub Sypek0%
Michalis Kosidis0%
Filip Kocaba0%
Jakub Kolan0%
Kamil Nowogoński0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (25)
€58m
WŁ (29)
€43m
RC (27)
€33m
JAG (26)
€30m
GZ (27)
€29m
CK (26)
€21m
LW (25)
€20m
PS (27)
€20m
ZL (28)
€19m
ML (20)
€19m
KK (23)
€16m
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
WK (22)
€12m
RR (25)
€11m
PG (22)
€9m
SW (22)
€7m
Radomiak Radom's squad is €8m less valuable than Zaglebie Lubin's (€11m vs €19m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WŁ (13)
€21m
LP (10)
€21m
GZ (13)
€17m
JAG (11)
€12m
CK (12)
€11m
ZL (11)
€10m
LW (12)
€10m
ML (10)
€10m
RC (9)
€9m
PS (13)
€8m
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
RR (9)
€4m
PG (11)
€4m
WP (7)
€4m
KK (7)
€3m
GK (7)
€3m
SW (5)
€2m
Radomiak Radom's attack is €6m less valuable than Zaglebie Lubin's (€4m vs €10m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (12)
€14m
LP (3)
€9m
KK (8)
€7m
WŁ (5)
€7m
GZ (4)
€6m
GK (10)
€6m
LW (7)
€4m
ZL (4)
€4m
JAG (5)
€3m
SW (9)
€3m
PS (5)
€3m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
CK (4)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
WK (3)
€1m
RR (4)
€1m
PG (1)
€0m
Radomiak Radom's midfield is €3m less valuable than Zaglebie Lubin's (€1m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (12)
€28m
JAG (10)
€15m
WŁ (11)
€15m
RC (6)
€9m
PS (9)
€9m
CK (10)
€8m
ML (8)
€6m
GZ (10)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
LW (6)
€6m
RR (12)
€6m
KK (8)
€5m
WK (12)
€5m
ZL (13)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
PG (10)
€4m
SW (8)
€2m
Radomiak Radom and Zaglebie Lubin have a similar defence value (both €6m).
Poland: Ekstraklasa 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: Ekstraklasa stats & trends →
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Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
Gornik Zabrze
Wisla Krakow
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
Cracovia Krakow
Piast Gliwice
Widzew Łódź
Slask Wroclaw
Motor Lublin
Wisla Plock
Wieczysta Kraków
Raków Częstochowa