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Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Result & Analysis

Date: 05/11/2023
Time: 20:00
Final 0-0
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Vs
71%
20%
9%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Spain: La Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Real Madrid’s recent five-game winning streak, highlighted by a 4-0 triumph over Malaga, fuels the model’s confidence that a home win is the most likely outcome. The algorithm assigns a 71% probability to a Real Madrid victory, 20% to a draw and 9% to a Rayo Vallecano win, making the home win the clear favourite. The model’s pick is a 2-0 scoreline, with a 13.8% chance, and it expects an average of 2.8 goals, centring on a 2-goal total at 25%. Real Madrid’s home form against weaker opposition shows an average of 2.42 goals scored and only 0.75 conceded, while Rayo Vallecano’s away form against stronger teams yields just 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 1.5 fouls at 78%, Over 19.5 fouls at 92.1%, Over 2.5 cards at 91.6%, Over 3.5 cards at 80.7%, Over 21.5 fouls at 83.9%, and Over 23.5 fouls at 72.0%. The model also lists a Home win pick at 70.8% but marks it as a miss.

Results analysis

Real Madrid finished 0-0 against Rayo Vallecano (Draw). Pythia had modelled a 71% home win, 20% draw and 9% away win. Picks that landed: Over 19.5 fouls (92%), Over 2.5 cards (92%), Over 21.5 fouls (84%), Over 3.5 cards (81%), Over 23.5 fouls (72%). Missed: Over 1.5 (78%), Home win (71%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid win✗ Miss
70.8%
Avg Implied 75.3% · @ 1.28
Edge
-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
19.9%
Avg Implied 15.8% · @ 6.08
Edge
+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano win✗ Miss
9.3%
Avg Implied 8.9% · @ 10.82
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Real MadridReal Madrid

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W10W13L20W30W32W40W11D21W21WH·REA17/09H·UNI20/09A·ATL24/09H·LAS27/09A·GIR30/09A·NAP03/10H·OSA07/10A·SEV21/10A·SC 24/10A·BAR28/10
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.032.290.711.621.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.571.571.500.501.602.00
vs Weaker (23)2.040.872.420.751.641.00
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-720W07L01L20W11D00D22D22D10W22DA·GRA21/08H·ATL28/08A·REA02/09H·ALA15/09H·VIL24/09A·CAD27/09H·MAL30/09A·SEV07/10A·LAS22/10H·REA29/10
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.531.471.530.801.53
vs Stronger (9)1.112.001.142.001.002.00
vs Similar (21)1.141.331.751.120.771.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.0%
Under 1.5
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.4%
@ 1.53-8.7%
Under 2.5
46.6%
@ 2.51+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.2%
Under 3.5
68.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.8%
No
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.8%
1-0
12.0%
3-0
9.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-0 ✓
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
5.3%
Real Madrid goals ↓
Rayo Vallecano goals →
01234
06.8%3.1%1.3%0.3%0.0%
112%9.4%2.9%0.6%0.1%
214%9.2%3.1%0.7%0.1%
39.9%6.6%2.2%0.5%0.1%
45.3%3.6%1.2%0.3%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Real Madrid goals (down), columns = Rayo Vallecano goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Real Madrid
2.50
Barcelona
2.24
Girona
2.13
Atletico Madrid
2.00
Athletic Club
1.79
Real Sociedad
1.58
Real Betis
1.50
Villarreal
1.39
Valencia
1.29
Alaves
1.21
Osasuna
1.18
Getafe
1.13
Celta Vigo
1.08
Sevilla
1.08
Mallorca
1.05
Las Palmas
1.05
Rayo Vallecano
1.00
Cadiz
0.87
Granada CF
0.55
Almeria
0.55
Real Madrid is 1.50 points better than Rayo Vallecano in terms of average points per game (2.50 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Real Madrid
2.29
Girona
2.24
Barcelona
2.08
Atletico Madrid
1.84
Villarreal
1.71
Athletic Club
1.61
Real Sociedad
1.34
Real Betis
1.26
Sevilla
1.26
Celta Vigo
1.21
Osasuna
1.18
Almeria
1.13
Getafe
1.11
Valencia
1.05
Granada CF
1.00
Alaves
0.95
Mallorca
0.87
Las Palmas
0.87
Rayo Vallecano
0.76
Cadiz
0.68
Real Madrid is 1.53 goals better than Rayo Vallecano in terms of goals scored per game (2.29 vs 0.76).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Real Madrid
0.68
Athletic Club
0.97
Real Sociedad
1.03
Atletico Madrid
1.13
Mallorca
1.16
Barcelona
1.16
Valencia
1.18
Real Betis
1.18
Girona
1.21
Alaves
1.21
Las Palmas
1.24
Rayo Vallecano
1.26
Getafe
1.42
Sevilla
1.42
Cadiz
1.45
Osasuna
1.47
Celta Vigo
1.50
Villarreal
1.71
Almeria
1.97
Granada CF
2.08
Real Madrid is 0.58 goals better than Rayo Vallecano in terms of goals conceded per game (0.68 vs 1.26).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Barcelona
65%
Las Palmas
60%
Real Madrid
59%
Girona
57%
Real Sociedad
56%
Atletico Madrid
51%
Real Betis
50%
Sevilla
50%
Athletic Club
50%
Villarreal
50%
Rayo Vallecano
49%
Osasuna
47%
Celta Vigo
46%
Almeria
46%
Granada CF
46%
Getafe
45%
Mallorca
45%
Valencia
44%
Cadiz
43%
Alaves
41%
Real Madrid is 10.2 percentage points better than Rayo Vallecano in terms of average possession (59% vs 49%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Real MadridReal Madrid

For 7.0 · Against 4.1 · Total 11.1

🚩 Corners

1803655645499417211616143910109185917177A·BARA·SC A·SEVH·OSAA·NAPA·GIRH·LASA·ATLH·UNIH·REA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

701222522313213111323274451425A·BARA·SC A·SEVH·OSAA·NAPA·GIRH·LASA·ATLH·UNIH·REA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 11.0 · Total 21.3

⚠️ Fouls

3001515117613961291413791013811111430181915212716231925A·BARA·SC A·SEVH·OSAA·NAPA·GIRH·LASA·ATLH·UNIH·REA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano

For 4.2 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

150455102125212853328365915145310851111H·REAA·LASA·SEVH·MALA·CADH·VILH·ALAA·REAH·ATLA·GRA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 3.7 · Total 6.9

🟨 Cards

1203244252575242353431358771265874H·REAA·LASA·SEVH·MALA·CADH·VILH·ALAA·REAH·ATLA·GRA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.7 · Against 16.6 · Total 32.3

⚠️ Fouls

420171611131916122013162018151420221917111433243532293829423625H·REAA·LASA·SEVH·MALA·CADH·VILH·ALAA·REAH·ATLA·GRA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Real MadridReal Madrid

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.710.910.61.61.41.822.120.323.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (11)11.811.711.83.02.83.123.622.024.3
vs Weaker (39)10.010.59.61.21.11.321.119.522.4
% over line55%44%62%26%21%31%55%44%62%
% under line45%56%38%74%79%69%45%56%38%
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.38.89.81.51.31.732.031.332.7
vs Stronger (15)10.010.0-1.22.00.035.735.7-
vs Similar (35)9.17.79.81.70.92.330.827.032.7
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line58%50%67%22%20%24%92%83%100%
% under line42%50%33%78%80%76%8%17%0%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Real Madrid
10.5
Real Betis
10.1
Sevilla
10.0
Villarreal
9.9
Athletic Club
9.9
Atletico Madrid
9.9
Rayo Vallecano
9.6
Barcelona
9.5
Osasuna
9.4
Granada CF
9.4
Cadiz
9.3
Alaves
9.3
Almeria
9.3
Las Palmas
9.2
Valencia
9.1
Real Sociedad
9.0
Celta Vigo
8.8
Getafe
8.6
Mallorca
8.5
Girona
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Valencia
6.9
Getafe
6.6
Mallorca
6.0
Cadiz
5.8
Granada CF
5.7
Rayo Vallecano
5.7
Las Palmas
5.7
Girona
5.6
Sevilla
5.5
Barcelona
5.4
Atletico Madrid
5.4
Athletic Club
5.3
Celta Vigo
5.2
Real Sociedad
5.1
Almeria
4.9
Osasuna
4.9
Alaves
4.8
Villarreal
4.8
Real Betis
4.6
Real Madrid
4.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Valencia
31.2
Las Palmas
29.6
Mallorca
29.3
Rayo Vallecano
28.9
Getafe
28.7
Girona
26.7
Granada CF
26.4
Alaves
26.3
Cadiz
26.2
Athletic Club
26.0
Celta Vigo
25.9
Sevilla
25.8
Real Sociedad
25.7
Real Betis
25.6
Villarreal
25.4
Almeria
25.1
Atletico Madrid
24.7
Barcelona
24.7
Osasuna
24.2
Real Madrid
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.2%
Under 9.5
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
80.7%
Under 3.5
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.9%
Under 21.5
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Real MadridReal Madrid

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D12L10W20W21W10W00D10W01LH·REA17/09H·UNI20/09A·ATL24/09H·LAS27/09A·GIR30/09A·NAP03/10H·OSA07/10A·SEV21/10A·SC 24/10A·BAR28/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.501.000.290.690.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.710.861.000.000.601.20
vs Weaker (23)0.870.391.000.330.730.45
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L00D10W11D00D11D20W00D11DA·GRA21/08H·ATL28/08A·REA02/09H·ALA15/09H·VIL24/09A·CAD27/09H·MAL30/09A·SEV07/10A·LAS22/10H·REA29/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.500.670.730.400.27
vs Stronger (9)0.330.890.431.000.000.50
vs Similar (21)0.620.330.880.500.460.23
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Real Madrid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Real MadridReal Madrid

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W01L10W10W11D30W11D11D20WH·REA17/09H·UNI20/09A·ATL24/09H·LAS27/09A·GIR30/09A·NAP03/10H·OSA07/10A·SEV21/10A·SC 24/10A·BAR28/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.531.290.430.940.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.860.710.500.501.000.80
vs Weaker (23)1.170.481.420.420.910.55
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W04L01L10W00D00D11D02L10W11DA·GRA21/08H·ATL28/08A·REA02/09H·ALA15/09H·VIL24/09A·CAD27/09H·MAL30/09A·SEV07/10A·LAS22/10H·REA29/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.030.800.800.401.27
vs Stronger (9)0.781.110.711.001.001.50
vs Similar (21)0.521.000.880.620.311.23
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Real Madrid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls92.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards91.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls83.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards80.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.578.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls72.0%-------✓ Hit
Home win70.8%1.28------4.4%✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Real Madrid
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Arda Güler50%
Jude Bellingham49%
Vinícius Júnior44%
Joselu27%
Rodrygo26%
Brahim Díaz22%
Nico Paz14%
Daniel Carvajal13%
Aurélien Tchouaméni9%
Lucas Vázquez8%
Federico Valverde6%
Luka Modrić5%
Dani Ceballos4%
Fran García3%
Toni Kroos2%
Antonio Rüdiger2%
Éder Militão0%
David Alaba0%
Ferland Mendy0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Nacho Fernández0%
Eduardo Camavinga0%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
Andriy Lunin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aurélien Tchouaméni29%
Eduardo Camavinga29%
Vinícius Júnior28%
Daniel Carvajal18%
Jude Bellingham18%
David Alaba18%
Ferland Mendy18%
Antonio Rüdiger16%
Nacho Fernández12%
Toni Kroos11%
Kepa Arrizabalaga11%
Arda Güler10%
Dani Ceballos9%
Fran García7%
Andriy Lunin7%
Lucas Vázquez5%
Luka Modrić5%
Rodrygo4%
Federico Valverde4%
Joselu2%
Éder Militão0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Brahim Díaz0%
Nico Paz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jude Bellingham26%
Toni Kroos22%
Vinícius Júnior19%
Fran García17%
Lucas Vázquez16%
Brahim Díaz15%
Luka Modrić14%
Rodrygo13%
David Alaba12%
Daniel Carvajal11%
Dani Ceballos9%
Federico Valverde8%
Eduardo Camavinga7%
Antonio Rüdiger4%
Joselu4%
Aurélien Tchouaméni3%
Nacho Fernández2%
Éder Militão0%
Ferland Mendy0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
Andriy Lunin0%
Arda Güler0%
Nico Paz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vinícius Júnior53%
Rodrygo36%
Joselu29%
Jude Bellingham23%
Arda Güler10%
Federico Valverde8%
David Alaba6%
Brahim Díaz5%
Toni Kroos4%
Lucas Vázquez3%
Eduardo Camavinga2%
Luka Modrić2%
Éder Militão0%
Ferland Mendy0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Daniel Carvajal0%
Nacho Fernández0%
Fran García0%
Dani Ceballos0%
Aurélien Tchouaméni0%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
Antonio Rüdiger0%
Andriy Lunin0%
Nico Paz0%
Rayo Vallecano
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Álvaro García19%
Isi Palazón11%
Bebé11%
Florian Lejeune8%
Sergio Camello6%
Randy Nteka6%
Jorge de Frutos6%
Abdul Mumin5%
Radamel Falcao5%
Josep Chavarría5%
Kike Pérez4%
Raúl de Tomás4%
Ismaila Ciss3%
Óscar Valentín3%
Unai López3%
Andrei Rațiu0%
Iván Balliu0%
Miguel Crespo0%
Aridane Hernández0%
Alfonso Espino0%
Stole Dimitrievski0%
Óscar Trejo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ismaila Ciss32%
Kike Pérez29%
Alfonso Espino29%
Miguel Crespo27%
Unai López26%
Abdul Mumin25%
Álvaro García22%
Isi Palazón22%
Raúl de Tomás20%
Radamel Falcao18%
Josep Chavarría18%
Óscar Valentín18%
Aridane Hernández16%
Florian Lejeune14%
Óscar Trejo13%
Randy Nteka12%
Iván Balliu12%
Sergio Camello10%
Andrei Rațiu8%
Stole Dimitrievski5%
Bebé5%
Jorge de Frutos3%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raúl de Tomás8%
Randy Nteka6%
Unai López6%
Josep Chavarría5%
Sergio Camello3%
Alfonso Espino3%
Álvaro García3%
Iván Balliu3%
Florian Lejeune3%
Isi Palazón3%
Radamel Falcao0%
Andrei Rațiu0%
Abdul Mumin0%
Ismaila Ciss0%
Miguel Crespo0%
Aridane Hernández0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Stole Dimitrievski0%
Bebé0%
Óscar Trejo0%
Kike Pérez0%
Jorge de Frutos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Florian Lejeune19%
Isi Palazón16%
Raúl de Tomás8%
Sergio Camello6%
Álvaro García6%
Jorge de Frutos6%
Bebé5%
Radamel Falcao5%
Kike Pérez4%
Unai López3%
Andrei Rațiu0%
Abdul Mumin0%
Iván Balliu0%
Ismaila Ciss0%
Miguel Crespo0%
Aridane Hernández0%
Alfonso Espino0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Stole Dimitrievski0%
Óscar Trejo0%
Randy Nteka0%
Josep Chavarría0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
GIR (28)
€114m
GET (24)
€90m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
LP (27)
€30m
CAD (29)
€27m
GC (18)
€17m
Real Madrid's squad is €1381m more valuable than Rayo Vallecano's (€1456m vs €76m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
GIR (12)
€64m
CV (9)
€57m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ALM (11)
€38m
GET (5)
€36m
RV (10)
€30m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
MAL (11)
€23m
LP (12)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
GC (5)
€6m
Real Madrid's attack is €812m more valuable than Rayo Vallecano's (€842m vs €30m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
GIR (7)
€28m
GET (6)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
OSA (4)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
ALM (4)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
Real Madrid's midfield is €228m more valuable than Rayo Vallecano's (€238m vs €9m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
GET (13)
€26m
GIR (9)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
GC (10)
€9m
Real Madrid's defence is €341m more valuable than Rayo Vallecano's (€377m vs €36m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
RM wins
0
Draws
2
RV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano · H/A from RM
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/23HRM Vs Rayo Vallecano2-1
07/11/22ARayo Vallecano Vs RM3-2
26/02/22ARayo Vallecano Vs RM0-1
06/11/21HRM Vs Rayo Vallecano2-1
28/04/19ARayo Vallecano Vs RM1-0
15/12/18HRM Vs Rayo Vallecano1-0
23/04/16ARayo Vallecano Vs RM2-3
20/12/15HRM Vs Rayo Vallecano10-2

Real MadridReal Madrid

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/10/23ABarcelona Vs RM1-2
24/10/23ASC Braga Vs RM1-2
21/10/23ASevilla Vs RM1-1
07/10/23HRM Vs Osasuna4-0
03/10/23ANapoli Vs RM2-3
30/09/23AGirona Vs RM0-3
27/09/23HRM Vs Las Palmas2-0
24/09/23AAtletico Madrid Vs RM3-1
20/09/23HRM Vs Union Berlin1-0
17/09/23HRM Vs Real Sociedad2-1

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/23HRV Vs Real Sociedad2-2
22/10/23ALas Palmas Vs RV0-1
07/10/23ASevilla Vs RV2-2
30/09/23HRV Vs Mallorca2-2
27/09/23ACadiz Vs RV0-0
24/09/23HRV Vs Villarreal1-1
15/09/23HRV Vs Alaves2-0
02/09/23AReal Betis Vs RV1-0
28/08/23HRV Vs Atletico Madrid0-7
21/08/23AGranada CF Vs RV0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Spain: La Liga
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW2.06
HomeWWWWW2.46
AwayWWDWW1.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%75%54%
AVG goals2.942.922.96
Over 1.5 %84%83%85%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %32%33%31%
Scored1.942.251.65
Conceded1.000.671.31
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet40%46%35%
Corners10.7310.8910.62
Cards3.643.673.62
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Spain: La Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWD1.32
HomeLWDDD1.52
AwayWLDDW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%40%28%
AVG goals2.663.002.32
Over 1.5 %78%88%68%
Over 2.5 %54%64%44%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored1.221.480.96
Conceded1.441.521.36
BTTS56%68%44%
Clean Sheet28%20%36%
Corners9.338.839.83
Cards6.335.507.17

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Real MadridReal Madrid3895
76%
2.5
8726+61
3.0
79%
55%
37%
9.4
42%
4.4
66%
24.1
66%
1456
8422383772.30.7
59%
2BarcelonaBarcelona3885
68%
2.2
7944+35
3.2
74%
61%
39%
10.2
58%
5.1
68%
23.8
58%
1282
5903243682.11.2
65%
3GironaGirona3881
66%
2.1
8546+39
3.4
76%
63%
42%
8.4
34%
4.8
63%
23.7
63%
114
6428222.21.2
57%
4Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid3876
63%
2.0
7043+27
3.0
79%
61%
32%
9.7
47%
4.7
65%
23.9
53%
653
2901552081.81.1
51%
5Athletic ClubAthletic Club3868
50%
1.8
6137+24
2.6
79%
42%
29%
9.7
42%
4.5
66%
25.4
79%
241
10657771.61.0
50%
6Real SociedadReal Sociedad3860
42%
1.6
5139+12
2.4
66%
39%
21%
8.8
42%
5.6
78%
28.2
95%
247
11058791.31.0
56%
7Real BetisReal Betis3857
37%
1.5
4845+3
2.4
76%
39%
21%
10.8
55%
5.0
61%
25.0
63%
235
13133701.31.2
50%
8VillarrealVillarreal3853
37%
1.4
6565+0
3.4
87%
66%
42%
9.8
61%
5.7
84%
25.6
82%
325
124521481.71.7
50%
9ValenciaValencia3849
34%
1.3
4045-5
2.2
55%
42%
24%
8.1
26%
4.8
67%
25.7
66%
125
4046391.11.2
44%
10AlavesAlaves3846
32%
1.2
3646-10
2.2
63%
29%
16%
9.3
39%
5.1
74%
25.2
76%
68
2422220.91.2
41%
11OsasunaOsasuna3845
32%
1.2
4556-11
2.7
82%
42%
24%
9.1
39%
5.0
75%
24.7
74%
71
2512331.21.5
47%
12GetafeGetafe3843
26%
1.1
4254-12
2.5
68%
42%
26%
8.3
29%
6.8
79%
29.3
87%
90
3628261.11.4
45%
13SevillaSevilla3841
26%
1.1
4854-6
2.7
74%
50%
24%
9.9
50%
5.1
68%
24.8
66%
134
4523651.31.4
50%
14Celta VigoCelta Vigo3841
26%
1.1
4657-11
2.7
71%
55%
29%
9.8
61%
4.5
57%
25.2
66%
163
5735711.21.5
46%
15MallorcaMallorca3840
21%
1.1
3344-11
2.0
53%
29%
18%
8.6
32%
4.4
62%
26.3
79%
48
239160.91.2
45%
16Las PalmasLas Palmas3840
26%
1.1
3347-14
2.1
66%
29%
11%
9.7
47%
5.1
70%
24.6
66%
30
143130.91.2
60%
17Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano3838
21%
1.0
2948-19
2.0
63%
37%
13%
9.0
50%
5.9
79%
29.5
92%
76
309360.81.3
49%
18CadizCadiz3833
16%
0.9
2655-29
2.1
66%
26%
18%
9.1
45%
5.7
87%
29.0
87%
27
113120.71.4
43%
19AlmeriaAlmeria3821
8%
0.6
4375-32
3.1
76%
66%
42%
10.2
53%
4.6
68%
26.0
68%
54
384111.12.0
46%
20Granada CFGranada CF3821
11%
0.6
3879-41
3.1
79%
47%
34%
9.2
42%
5.2
71%
27.6
89%
17
6391.02.1
46%
Spain: La Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches