This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CP
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.20
2.00
1.25
1.79
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.71
1.86
0.67
2.67
0.75
1.25
vs Weaker (23)
2.26
1.00
2.31
0.92
2.20
1.10
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.4%
Under 1.5
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.2%
Under 2.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.7%
Under 3.5
64.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.2%
No
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
1-2 ✓
9.9%
0-2
8.9%
0-1
8.3%
1-3
6.3%
0-0
5.9%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.7%
Rio Ave goals ↓
Sporting CP goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.9%
8.3%
8.9%
5.7%
2.7%
1
4.4%
11%
9.9%
6.3%
3.0%
2
3.0%
5.8%
5.5%
3.5%
1.7%
3
1.1%
2.1%
2.0%
1.3%
0.6%
4
0.3%
0.6%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rio Ave goals (down), columns = Sporting CP goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Benfica
2.71
Sporting CP
2.43
Rebordosa
2.40
Santa Clara
2.33
Alverca
2.33
Anadia
2.33
GIL Vicente
2.25
SC Braga
2.25
Amarante
2.25
Oliveira Hospital
2.25
São João Ver
2.17
Tirsense
2.14
Guimaraes
2.00
Moreirense
2.00
Chaves
2.00
Farense
2.00
Casa Pia
2.00
Penafiel
2.00
Torreense
2.00
União de Leiria
2.00
Leixoes
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
2.00
SC Covilha
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
União Santarém
2.00
Moncarapachense
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Varzim
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Moura
2.00
Operário
2.00
Lusitânia
1.75
Vila Real
1.75
Cinfães
1.75
Brito
1.75
O Elvas
1.60
Arouca
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Academica
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
Famalicao
1.50
AVS
1.50
FC Porto
1.50
Mafra
1.50
Vilaverdense
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Pevidem
1.50
Amora
1.50
Pombal
1.50
Os Limianos
1.50
Paredes
1.50
Pêro Pinheiro
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Guarda
1.50
Gondomar
1.50
Alcains
1.50
Lagoa
1.50
Sintrense
1.50
Sandinenses
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Machico
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
FC Serpa
1.50
Louletano
1.50
Sertanense
1.50
Régua
1.50
CF Benfica
1.50
Vieira
1.50
Estrela Vendas Novas
1.50
Arronches e Benfica
1.50
Aliança de Gandra
1.50
Atlético Arcos
1.50
Rio Ave
1.33
Sanjoanense
1.33
Caldas
1.33
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Estoril
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Leça
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Marinhense
1.00
Beira-Mar
1.00
Fátima
1.00
Joane
1.00
Estrela
0.50
União de Coimbra
0.50
Tondela
0.00
Boavista
0.00
Nacional
0.00
Maritimo
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Vizela
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Oliveirense
0.00
Trofense
0.00
União Lamas
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Fafe
0.00
Viana Alentejo
0.00
Dumiense
0.00
Olímpico do Montijo
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Tocha
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Coimbrões
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Monção
0.00
Castrense
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Bragança
0.00
Comércio Indústria
0.00
O Grandolense
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Maia Lidador
0.00
São Roque (Açores)
0.00
Macedo Cavaleiros
0.00
Juventude Gaula
0.00
Ginásio Figueirense
0.00
Estarreja
0.00
Valpaços
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Resende (Portugal)
0.00
Lagos
0.00
Cardielense
0.00
Praia Milfontes
0.00
Vinhais
0.00
Vila Cortez
0.00
Pedrógão São Pedro
0.00
Oliveira de Frades
0.00
Vieirense
0.00
Velense
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Ferreiras
0.00
Fabril Barreiro
0.00
FC Barreirense
0.00
Portel
0.00
Salgueiros
0.00
Abrantes e Benfica
0.00
Pedras Salgadas
0.00
Gavionenses
0.00
Madalena
0.00
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
0.00
Rio Ave is 1.10 points worse than Sporting CP in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 2.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Estarreja
4.00
Benfica
3.29
Arouca
3.00
Vizela
3.00
Casa Pia
3.00
Penafiel
3.00
Amarante
3.00
SC Covilha
3.00
Comércio Indústria
3.00
Valpaços
3.00
Alverca
2.67
Anadia
2.67
Vilaverdense
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Guarda
2.50
Alcains
2.50
FC Serpa
2.50
CF Benfica
2.50
Farense
2.33
Sanjoanense
2.33
Moncarapachense
2.33
Cinfães
2.25
Sporting CP
2.14
Guimaraes
2.00
Portimonense
2.00
AVS
2.00
FC Porto
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Dumiense
2.00
Coimbrões
2.00
Paredes
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
Oliveira Hospital
2.00
São João Ver
2.00
Rebordosa
2.00
Leça
2.00
Castrense
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Louletano
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Sertanense
2.00
Vila Cortez
2.00
FC Barreirense
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.67
União Santarém
1.67
Varzim
1.67
Moura
1.67
Rio Ave
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
SC Braga
1.50
Torreense
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Pombal
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Machico
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
Régua
1.50
Estrela Vendas Novas
1.50
Arronches e Benfica
1.50
Moreirense
1.33
Chaves
1.33
União de Leiria
1.33
GIL Vicente
1.25
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
O Elvas
1.20
Tirsense
1.14
Tondela
1.00
Nacional
1.00
Maritimo
1.00
Academica
1.00
Santa Clara
1.00
Famalicao
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
Oliveirense
1.00
Mafra
1.00
União Lamas
1.00
Fafe
1.00
Viana Alentejo
1.00
Pevidem
1.00
Olímpico do Montijo
1.00
Tocha
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Maria da Fonte
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Sintrense
1.00
Sandinenses
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Monção
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Bragança
1.00
Maia Lidador
1.00
São Roque (Açores)
1.00
União de Coimbra
1.00
Cardielense
1.00
Vinhais
1.00
Pedrógão São Pedro
1.00
Vieirense
1.00
Velense
1.00
Vieira
1.00
Fabril Barreiro
1.00
Operário
1.00
Aliança de Gandra
1.00
Atlético Arcos
1.00
Salgueiros
1.00
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
1.00
Vila Real
0.75
Brito
0.75
Caldas
0.67
Estrela
0.50
Amora
0.50
Pêro Pinheiro
0.50
Gondomar
0.50
Estoril
0.00
Boavista
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Trofense
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Fátima
0.00
O Grandolense
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Macedo Cavaleiros
0.00
Juventude Gaula
0.00
Ginásio Figueirense
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Resende (Portugal)
0.00
Lagos
0.00
Praia Milfontes
0.00
Joane
0.00
Oliveira de Frades
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Ferreiras
0.00
Portel
0.00
Abrantes e Benfica
0.00
Pedras Salgadas
0.00
Gavionenses
0.00
Madalena
0.00
Rio Ave is 0.64 goals worse than Sporting CP in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 2.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Estoril
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Fátima
0.00
Joane
0.00
Operário
0.00
GIL Vicente
0.25
Benfica
0.29
Santa Clara
0.33
Academica
0.50
Famalicao
0.50
Atlético CP
0.50
Gondomar
0.50
Vila Real
0.50
Brito
0.50
FC Serpa
0.50
Alpendorada
0.50
Arronches e Benfica
0.50
Sporting CP
0.57
Varzim
0.67
Caldas
0.67
SC Braga
0.75
São João Ver
0.83
Guimaraes
1.00
Moreirense
1.00
Arouca
1.00
Boavista
1.00
Feirense
1.00
Chaves
1.00
Casa Pia
1.00
FC Porto
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Torreense
1.00
União de Leiria
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.00
Mafra
1.00
União Santarém
1.00
Anadia
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Rebordosa
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Ferreira Zêzere
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Machico
1.00
Louletano
1.00
UD da Serra
1.00
Vieira
1.00
Moura
1.00
Estrela Vendas Novas
1.00
Aliança de Gandra
1.00
Portel
1.00
O Elvas
1.20
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Oliveira Hospital
1.25
Alverca
1.33
Sanjoanense
1.33
Moncarapachense
1.33
Tirsense
1.43
Rio Ave
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
AVS
1.50
Penafiel
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Pevidem
1.50
Pêro Pinheiro
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Alcains
1.50
Sandinenses
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
Régua
1.50
Atlético Arcos
1.50
SC Covilha
1.67
Cinfães
1.75
Tondela
2.00
Nacional
2.00
Maritimo
2.00
Farense
2.00
Amarante
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Oliveirense
2.00
União Lamas
2.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
2.00
Viana Alentejo
2.00
Vianense
2.00
Olímpico do Montijo
2.00
Camacha
2.00
Peniche
2.00
Eléctrico
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Sintrense
2.00
Leça
2.00
Monção
2.00
Sacavenense
2.00
Bragança
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Sertanense
2.00
Académico do Fundão
2.00
Maia Lidador
2.00
São Roque (Açores)
2.00
União de Coimbra
2.00
Cardielense
2.00
Vinhais
2.00
Velense
2.00
Fabril Barreiro
2.00
Salgueiros
2.00
Abrantes e Benfica
2.00
Pedras Salgadas
2.00
Madalena
2.00
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
2.00
Vilaverdense
2.50
Amora
2.50
Pombal
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Guarda
2.50
Lajense
2.67
Trofense
3.00
Dumiense
3.00
Coimbrões
3.00
Paredes
3.00
O Grandolense
3.00
Macedo Cavaleiros
3.00
Juventude Gaula
3.00
Resende (Portugal)
3.00
Lagos
3.00
Pedrógão São Pedro
3.00
Oliveira de Frades
3.00
Rabo Peixe
3.00
Ferreiras
3.00
FC Barreirense
3.00
Gavionenses
3.00
CF Benfica
3.50
Vizela
4.00
Estrela
4.00
Fafe
4.00
Tocha
4.00
Castrense
4.00
Comércio Indústria
4.00
Vila Cortez
4.00
Vieirense
4.00
Ginásio Figueirense
5.00
Estarreja
5.00
Valpaços
5.00
Praia Milfontes
5.00
Rio Ave is 0.93 goals worse than Sporting CP in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 0.57).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sporting CP
59%
Rio Ave
42%
Benfica
41%
Rio Ave is 17.2 percentage points worse than Sporting CP in terms of average possession (42% vs 59%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rio Ave
For 3.7 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 15.1 · Total 28.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sporting CP
For 5.1 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.6 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 14.8 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rio Ave
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.3
9.9
4.7
5.0
4.5
28.5
28.5
28.5
vs Stronger (13)
10.8
9.3
12.5
4.8
5.7
3.7
25.8
25.9
25.7
vs Similar (33)
9.7
10.7
8.7
4.5
4.7
4.3
29.9
30.0
29.7
vs Weaker (4)
10.8
11.0
10.7
6.8
5.0
7.3
28.0
27.0
28.3
% over line
50%
55%
46%
64%
78%
52%
96%
100%
92%
% under line
50%
45%
54%
36%
22%
48%
4%
0%
8%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CP
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
10.3
8.3
4.5
4.4
4.7
25.0
25.0
25.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
8.5
10.4
6.8
4.7
4.2
5.2
23.8
23.2
24.3
vs Weaker (39)
9.6
10.3
8.9
4.5
4.5
4.5
25.4
25.4
25.4
% over line
48%
62%
32%
56%
58%
54%
65%
67%
64%
% under line
52%
38%
68%
44%
42%
46%
35%
33%
36%
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Torreense
11.1
Farense
11.1
Oliveirense
11.1
Portimonense
11.0
Nacional
10.8
Tondela
10.8
Vilaverdense
10.8
Chaves
10.6
SC Covilha
10.6
Trofense
10.6
Academico Viseu
10.5
Pacos Ferreira
10.4
União de Leiria
10.4
Guimaraes
10.4
Penafiel
10.3
Estrela
10.2
Vizela
10.1
SC Braga
10.0
Rio Ave
10.0
Benfica
10.0
Famalicao
9.9
Arouca
9.9
Feirense
9.6
Sporting CP
9.6
Mafra
9.6
FC Porto
9.5
Casa Pia
9.4
Leixoes
9.4
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
Boavista
9.3
Estoril
9.3
AVS
9.2
Maritimo
9.2
Felgueiras 1932
9.0
GIL Vicente
8.9
Moreirense
8.4
Santa Clara
8.2
Alverca
7.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Trofense
7.1
FC Porto
6.0
Santa Clara
6.0
Guimaraes
5.8
Felgueiras 1932
5.7
Boavista
5.7
Famalicao
5.5
Oliveirense
5.5
Leixoes
5.5
SC Covilha
5.4
Maritimo
5.4
Chaves
5.3
AVS
5.3
Torreense
5.2
Penafiel
5.2
Rio Ave
5.2
SC Braga
5.1
Tondela
5.1
Arouca
5.1
União de Leiria
5.0
Sporting CP
5.0
Pacos Ferreira
5.0
Portimonense
4.9
Farense
4.9
Nacional
4.8
Vilaverdense
4.8
Casa Pia
4.8
Vizela
4.8
Moreirense
4.7
GIL Vicente
4.7
Estrela
4.6
Estoril
4.6
Feirense
4.5
Benfica
4.5
Lusitânia Lourosa
4.5
Academico Viseu
4.5
Alverca
4.3
CF Os Belenenses
4.1
Mafra
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Trofense
32.3
Famalicao
30.2
Santa Clara
29.1
Estrela
29.1
Moreirense
29.0
Vilaverdense
28.5
SC Covilha
28.2
Rio Ave
28.1
Guimaraes
28.0
Nacional
28.0
Estoril
27.9
Farense
27.6
Boavista
27.5
AVS
27.5
FC Porto
26.9
GIL Vicente
26.7
Arouca
26.6
Casa Pia
26.1
SC Braga
25.4
Sporting CP
25.0
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
Leixoes
24.0
Benfica
22.5
Tondela
22.5
Feirense
20.5
Pacos Ferreira
20.2
Vizela
20.2
Chaves
20.0
União de Leiria
19.8
Portimonense
19.2
Oliveirense
19.2
Academico Viseu
18.8
Torreense
18.5
Maritimo
18.4
Penafiel
17.9
Mafra
17.1
Felgueiras 1932
7.0
Alverca
6.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
76.4%
Under 9.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
14.3%
Under 3.5
85.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
29.8%
Under 21.5
70.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rio Ave or Draw✗ Miss
45.1%
Avg Implied -
21%
24%
55%
covers Rio Ave + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave or Sporting CP✓ Hit
75.7%
Avg Implied -
21%
24%
55%
covers Rio Ave + Sporting CP
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Sporting CP✓ Hit
79.2%
Avg Implied -
21%
24%
55%
covers Draw + Sporting CP
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rio Ave over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.1%
Under
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.6%
Under
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.2%
Under
89.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
85.2%
Under
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
56.9%
Under
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
29.9%
Under
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.7%
Under
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Rio Ave, so a minus line means Rio Ave give that many goals of a start and Sporting CP receive them. At -1, Rio Ave must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rio Ave win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rio Ave)Actual: Sporting CP
Rio Ave -2
2.4%
Draw -2
5.8%
Sporting CP +2
91.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Rio Ave)Actual: Sporting CP
Rio Ave -1
8.2%
Draw -1
12.6%
Sporting CP +1
79.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Rio Ave)Actual: Draw
Rio Ave +1
45.1%
Draw +1
22.3%
Sporting CP -1
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Rio Ave)Actual: Rio Ave
Rio Ave +2
67.4%
Draw +2
17.1%
Sporting CP -2
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rio Ave
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.80
0.79
0.71
0.38
0.88
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.57
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.33
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.57
1.00
0.56
0.42
0.58
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CP
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.60
1.12
0.62
0.79
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.43
0.71
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (23)
1.13
0.57
1.31
0.54
0.90
0.60
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rio Ave over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rio Ave
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.83
0.79
1.00
0.62
0.69
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.29
1.00
1.25
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (21)
0.76
0.71
0.78
0.89
0.75
0.58
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CP
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.60
0.88
0.62
1.00
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.29
1.14
0.33
1.67
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (23)
1.13
0.43
1.00
0.38
1.30
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rio Ave over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5 cards
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rio Ave
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Clayton39%
Francisco Petrasso14%
Tiago Morais12%
Ahmed Hassan11%
Brandon Aguilera11%
André Luiz11%
Demir Ege Tıknaz10%
Martim Neto8%
Fábio Ronaldo8%
Theofanis Bakoulas8%
Patrick William8%
Kiko Bondoso7%
João Graça6%
Jonathan Panzo5%
Ole Pohlmann3%
Marios Vrousai3%
Renato Pantalon0%
Omar Richards0%
Cezary Miszta0%
João Novais0%
Jhonatan0%
Vítor Gomes0%
Amine Oudrhiri0%
Aderllan Santos0%
Andreas Ndoj0%
Nelson Abbey0%
João Pedro0%
João Tomé0%
Karem Zoabi0%
Tobias Medina0%
Konstantinos Kostoulas0%
Tim Sousa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Konstantinos Kostoulas50%
Clayton36%
Theofanis Bakoulas33%
Patrick William31%
Francisco Petrasso29%
Martim Neto25%
Demir Ege Tıknaz23%
Ahmed Hassan22%
Andreas Ndoj22%
Jonathan Panzo20%
Aderllan Santos17%
Amine Oudrhiri15%
Marios Vrousai15%
Brandon Aguilera15%
Omar Richards15%
Jhonatan12%
Renato Pantalon11%
Nelson Abbey11%
André Luiz11%
João Tomé11%
Karem Zoabi8%
Cezary Miszta7%
João Novais6%
João Graça6%
Kiko Bondoso4%
Ole Pohlmann3%
Tiago Morais3%
Vítor Gomes0%
Fábio Ronaldo0%
João Pedro0%
Tobias Medina0%
Tim Sousa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
João Pedro20%
Karem Zoabi17%
Vítor Gomes14%
Marios Vrousai9%
Clayton9%
Fábio Ronaldo8%
Ole Pohlmann7%
Demir Ege Tıknaz7%
André Luiz6%
João Tomé6%
Martim Neto4%
Brandon Aguilera4%
Omar Richards4%
Kiko Bondoso4%
Ahmed Hassan0%
Patrick William0%
Renato Pantalon0%
Cezary Miszta0%
João Novais0%
Jhonatan0%
Amine Oudrhiri0%
Aderllan Santos0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
João Graça0%
Andreas Ndoj0%
Nelson Abbey0%
Tiago Morais0%
Francisco Petrasso0%
Tobias Medina0%
Konstantinos Kostoulas0%
Theofanis Bakoulas0%
Tim Sousa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Clayton39%
Tiago Morais15%
Francisco Petrasso14%
João Novais12%
André Luiz11%
Marios Vrousai9%
Andreas Ndoj6%
Brandon Aguilera4%
Ahmed Hassan0%
Patrick William0%
Renato Pantalon0%
Omar Richards0%
Cezary Miszta0%
Jhonatan0%
Vítor Gomes0%
Amine Oudrhiri0%
Aderllan Santos0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
João Graça0%
Kiko Bondoso0%
Ole Pohlmann0%
Martim Neto0%
Nelson Abbey0%
Fábio Ronaldo0%
João Pedro0%
João Tomé0%
Demir Ege Tıknaz0%
Karem Zoabi0%
Tobias Medina0%
Konstantinos Kostoulas0%
Theofanis Bakoulas0%
Tim Sousa0%
Sporting CP
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Viktor Gyökeres67%
Pedro Gonçalves21%
Geny Catamo16%
Daniel Bragança15%
Francisco Trincão14%
Gonçalo Inácio13%
Marcus Edwards12%
Conrad Harder11%
Nuno Santos11%
Iván Fresneda11%
Maximiliano Araújo9%
Morten Hjulmand7%
João Simões6%
Hidemasa Morita6%
Ousmane Diomande5%
Zeno Debast4%
Geovany Quenda4%
Eduardo Quaresma3%
Jeremiah St. Juste0%
Ricardo Esgaio0%
Matheus Reis0%
Rui Silva0%
Franco Israel0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Biel0%
Afonso Moreira0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Eduardo Felicíssimo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexandre Brito50%
Morten Hjulmand35%
Maximiliano Araújo24%
Pedro Gonçalves21%
Jeremiah St. Juste19%
Ousmane Diomande16%
Daniel Bragança15%
Gonçalo Inácio15%
Eduardo Felicíssimo14%
Zeno Debast13%
Viktor Gyökeres12%
João Simões12%
Matheus Reis11%
Hidemasa Morita9%
Rui Silva9%
Geovany Quenda8%
Iván Fresneda7%
Eduardo Quaresma7%
Geny Catamo7%
Franco Israel5%
Conrad Harder5%
Francisco Trincão4%
Marcus Edwards0%
Ricardo Esgaio0%
Nuno Santos0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Biel0%
Afonso Moreira0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pedro Gonçalves26%
Francisco Trincão24%
Daniel Bragança23%
Viktor Gyökeres21%
Conrad Harder11%
Geovany Quenda10%
Hidemasa Morita9%
Maximiliano Araújo9%
Zeno Debast7%
João Simões6%
Gonçalo Inácio5%
Morten Hjulmand5%
Matheus Reis5%
Geny Catamo4%
Jeremiah St. Juste0%
Marcus Edwards0%
Ricardo Esgaio0%
Nuno Santos0%
Rui Silva0%
Franco Israel0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Eduardo Quaresma0%
Biel0%
Iván Fresneda0%
Afonso Moreira0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
Ousmane Diomande0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Eduardo Felicíssimo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Viktor Gyökeres60%
Francisco Trincão28%
Pedro Gonçalves21%
Conrad Harder14%
Ousmane Diomande11%
Geny Catamo11%
Geovany Quenda4%
Daniel Bragança4%
Hidemasa Morita3%
Morten Hjulmand2%
Maximiliano Araújo2%
Jeremiah St. Juste0%
Marcus Edwards0%
Ricardo Esgaio0%
Matheus Reis0%
Nuno Santos0%
Rui Silva0%
Franco Israel0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Eduardo Quaresma0%
Gonçalo Inácio0%
Zeno Debast0%
Biel0%
Iván Fresneda0%
Afonso Moreira0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
João Simões0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Eduardo Felicíssimo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
VIZ (29)
€12m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
LL (19)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
ACA (11)
€2m
PF (13)
€2m
OLI (7)
€1m
AMA (6)
€1m
Rio Ave's squad is €376m less valuable than Sporting CP's (€37m vs €414m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
AV (11)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
MAR (10)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
ACA (6)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
LL (6)
€1m
PF (3)
€1m
AMA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
Rio Ave's attack is €138m less valuable than Sporting CP's (€8m vs €146m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
MAR (6)
€3m
EST (5)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
TOR (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
LL (2)
€1m
AMA (3)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
PEN (2)
€0m
ACA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
Rio Ave's midfield is €83m less valuable than Sporting CP's (€8m vs €91m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (11)
€3m
AVS (10)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
OLI (5)
€1m
ACA (4)
€1m
PF (8)
€1m
AMA (2)
€0m
Rio Ave's defence is €155m less valuable than Sporting CP's (€21m vs €176m).
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →
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Benfica
FC Porto
SC Braga
Santa Clara
Guimaraes
Famalicao
Estoril
Casa Pia
Moreirense
Arouca
GIL Vicente
Nacional
AVS
Estrela
Farense
Boavista
Vizela