This opponent (Scunthorpe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Scunthorpe
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.60
1.53
1.47
1.73
1.73
vs Stronger (4)
2.00
1.25
2.50
1.00
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (26)
1.58
1.65
1.38
1.54
1.77
1.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Rochdale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.8%
Under 1.5
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.5%
Under 2.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.3%
Under 3.5
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.5%
No
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.7%
2-1 ✓
9.6%
2-0
7.4%
1-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-0
4.9%
Rochdale goals ↓
Scunthorpe goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.8%
3.9%
3.2%
1.4%
0.4%
1
6.5%
11%
6.3%
2.7%
0.9%
2
7.4%
9.6%
6.2%
2.7%
0.9%
3
4.9%
6.3%
4.1%
1.8%
0.6%
4
2.4%
3.1%
2.0%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rochdale goals (down), columns = Scunthorpe goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
York
2.35
Rochdale
2.29
Carlisle
2.04
Boreham Wood
1.90
Scunthorpe
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Southend
1.72
Halifax
1.52
Hartlepool
1.48
Woking
1.37
Tamworth
1.35
Boston Utd
1.28
Altrincham
1.24
Solihull
1.22
Wealdstone
1.22
Yeovil
1.11
Gateshead
1.09
Eastleigh
1.09
Sutton
1.02
Aldershot
1.00
Brackley Town
0.91
Morecambe
0.83
Braintree Town
0.78
Truro
0.74
Rochdale is 0.52 points better than Scunthorpe in terms of average points per game (2.29 vs 1.77).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
York
2.48
Boreham Wood
2.00
Rochdale
1.92
Carlisle
1.87
Southend
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Scunthorpe
1.69
Solihull
1.54
Halifax
1.50
Woking
1.50
Aldershot
1.50
Wealdstone
1.48
Morecambe
1.43
Boston Utd
1.37
Tamworth
1.37
Sutton
1.28
Eastleigh
1.24
Altrincham
1.20
Gateshead
1.17
Hartlepool
1.17
Yeovil
1.04
Truro
0.91
Brackley Town
0.87
Braintree Town
0.83
Rochdale is 0.23 goals better than Scunthorpe in terms of goals scored per game (1.92 vs 1.69).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
York
0.89
Rochdale
0.92
Southend
1.02
Forest Green
1.11
Carlisle
1.11
Woking
1.17
Boreham Wood
1.24
Hartlepool
1.28
Scunthorpe
1.35
Altrincham
1.41
Halifax
1.43
Boston Utd
1.46
Yeovil
1.48
Tamworth
1.54
Solihull
1.57
Truro
1.57
Brackley Town
1.63
Braintree Town
1.65
Wealdstone
1.65
Sutton
1.72
Eastleigh
1.74
Aldershot
1.89
Gateshead
1.96
Morecambe
2.24
Rochdale is 0.44 goals better than Scunthorpe in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 1.35).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
York
62%
Boreham Wood
58%
Wealdstone
57%
Rochdale
56%
Sutton
54%
Aldershot
54%
Forest Green
53%
Southend
52%
Altrincham
52%
Gateshead
50%
Woking
50%
Scunthorpe
49%
Morecambe
49%
Carlisle
49%
Solihull
48%
Braintree Town
48%
Halifax
48%
Hartlepool
47%
Yeovil
47%
Truro
44%
Eastleigh
41%
Brackley Town
40%
Tamworth
38%
Rochdale is 7.8 percentage points better than Scunthorpe in terms of average possession (56% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rochdale or Draw✓ Hit
76.1%
Avg Implied -
52%
24%
24%
covers Rochdale + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rochdale or Scunthorpe✓ Hit
76.3%
Avg Implied -
52%
24%
24%
covers Rochdale + Scunthorpe
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Scunthorpe✗ Miss
47.6%
Avg Implied -
52%
24%
24%
covers Draw + Scunthorpe
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rochdale over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.2%
Under
13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rochdale over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
58.8%
Under
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rochdale over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
31.8%
Under
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rochdale over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
13.9%
Under
86.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Scunthorpe over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.5%
Under
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Scunthorpe over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.1%
Under
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Scunthorpe over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.1%
Under
85.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Scunthorpe over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.2%
Under
95.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Rochdale, so a minus line means Rochdale give that many goals of a start and Scunthorpe receive them. At -1, Rochdale must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rochdale win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rochdale)Actual: Scunthorpe
Rochdale -2
15.0%
Draw -2
16.2%
Scunthorpe +2
68.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Rochdale)Actual: Draw
Rochdale -1
31.2%
Draw -1
21.2%
Scunthorpe +1
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Rochdale)Actual: Rochdale
Rochdale +1
76.1%
Draw +1
13.5%
Scunthorpe -1
10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Rochdale)Actual: Rochdale
Rochdale +2
89.7%
Draw +2
6.9%
Scunthorpe -2
3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rochdale
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.43
0.88
0.56
0.86
0.29
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.85
0.46
0.85
0.62
0.85
0.31
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Scunthorpe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Scunthorpe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
0.60
0.87
0.73
0.87
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.50
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.58
0.92
0.54
0.92
0.62
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Rochdale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rochdale over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rochdale over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rochdale over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Scunthorpe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Scunthorpe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Scunthorpe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rochdale
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.53
1.06
0.44
1.00
0.64
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.96
0.54
0.92
0.38
1.00
0.69
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Scunthorpe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Scunthorpe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.73
0.93
0.60
1.00
0.87
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.75
1.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
1.00
0.73
0.85
0.62
1.15
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Rochdale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rochdale over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rochdale over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rochdale over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Scunthorpe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Scunthorpe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Scunthorpe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rochdale · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ryan East25%
Ethan Ebanks-Landell25%
Zain Silcott-Duberry25%
Harvey Gilmour0%
Luke Hanannt0%
Emmanuel Dieseruvwe0%
Tobi Adebayo-Rowling0%
Edward Francis0%
Sam Sherring0%
Dajaune Brown0%
Daniel Moss0%
Kaiden Wilson0%
Nils Ramming0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daniel Moss50%
Dajaune Brown33%
Kaiden Wilson33%
Harvey Gilmour25%
Sam Sherring25%
Nils Ramming25%
Luke Hanannt0%
Emmanuel Dieseruvwe0%
Ryan East0%
Ethan Ebanks-Landell0%
Tobi Adebayo-Rowling0%
Edward Francis0%
Zain Silcott-Duberry0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ryan East25%
Harvey Gilmour0%
Luke Hanannt0%
Emmanuel Dieseruvwe0%
Ethan Ebanks-Landell0%
Tobi Adebayo-Rowling0%
Edward Francis0%
Sam Sherring0%
Dajaune Brown0%
Zain Silcott-Duberry0%
Daniel Moss0%
Kaiden Wilson0%
Nils Ramming0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luke Hanannt33%
Harvey Gilmour0%
Emmanuel Dieseruvwe0%
Ryan East0%
Ethan Ebanks-Landell0%
Tobi Adebayo-Rowling0%
Edward Francis0%
Sam Sherring0%
Dajaune Brown0%
Zain Silcott-Duberry0%
Daniel Moss0%
Kaiden Wilson0%
Nils Ramming0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ROC (10)
€2m
YOR (8)
€1m
FG (4)
€1m
BU (6)
€1m
EAS (5)
€1m
SOU (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€1m
SOL (3)
€0m
ALT (5)
€0m
ALD (4)
€0m
BT (4)
€0m
WOK (3)
€0m
YEO (3)
€0m
BT (3)
€0m
SCU (2)
€0m
TAM (4)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
WEA (2)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
HAL (2)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
TRU (2)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
Rochdale's squad is €2m more valuable than Scunthorpe's (€2m vs €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ROC (3)
€1m
FG (2)
€0m
YOR (2)
€0m
ALD (3)
€0m
ALT (3)
€0m
SOL (2)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
BT (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
WOK (1)
€0m
TRU (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
SOU (0)
€0m
BT (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
WEA (0)
€0m
Rochdale and Scunthorpe have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ROC (3)
€1m
YOR (2)
€0m
SOU (2)
€0m
BU (2)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
BT (1)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
TRU (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
SCU (0)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
ALD (0)
€0m
SOL (0)
€0m
BT (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
WOK (0)
€0m
Rochdale and Scunthorpe have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ROC (4)
€1m
YOR (4)
€1m
BU (3)
€0m
EAS (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
BT (3)
€0m
WOK (2)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
SOL (1)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
SOU (1)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
ALD (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
TRU (1)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
TAM (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Rochdale and Scunthorpe have a similar defence value (both €1m).
England: National League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →
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York
Carlisle
Boreham Wood
Forest Green
Southend
Halifax
Hartlepool
Woking
Tamworth
Boston Utd
Altrincham
Solihull
Wealdstone
Yeovil
Eastleigh
Gateshead
Sutton
Aldershot
Brackley Town
Morecambe
Braintree Town
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