This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Saint Etienne
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.90
1.40
2.07
0.93
1.73
vs Stronger (10)
0.80
2.60
1.17
3.33
0.25
1.50
vs Similar (17)
1.35
1.53
1.62
1.25
1.11
1.78
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.67
1.00
1.00
1.50
2.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.6%
Under 1.5
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.2%
@ 2.16+3.8%
Under 2.5
52.8%
@ 1.66-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.6%
Under 3.5
74.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.5%
No
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
12.6%
0-2
12.1%
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.0%
Rouen goals ↓
Saint Etienne goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.8%
13%
12%
7.1%
3.2%
1
5.0%
12%
9.6%
5.7%
2.5%
2
2.4%
4.3%
3.8%
2.2%
1.0%
3
0.6%
1.1%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rouen goals (down), columns = Saint Etienne goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Le Havre
1.98
Metz
1.95
Bordeaux
1.87
Bastia
1.52
Saint Etienne
1.50
Caen
1.48
Paris FC
1.45
Guingamp
1.38
Grenoble
1.35
Sochaux
1.35
Quevilly
1.32
Rouen
1.32
Amiens
1.25
Laval
1.23
Annecy
1.23
Rodez
1.21
PAU
1.18
Valenciennes
1.18
Dijon
1.10
Nimes
0.97
Niort
0.78
Rouen is 0.18 points worse than Saint Etienne in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Saint Etienne
1.73
Metz
1.62
Bordeaux
1.41
Sochaux
1.40
Caen
1.32
Bastia
1.32
Guingamp
1.27
Quevilly
1.24
Rouen
1.24
Paris FC
1.20
Nimes
1.18
Laval
1.18
Le Havre
1.18
PAU
1.10
Amiens
1.07
Valenciennes
1.07
Annecy
1.05
Niort
1.02
Rodez
1.00
Dijon
1.00
Grenoble
0.85
Rouen is 0.49 goals worse than Saint Etienne in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.73).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Le Havre
0.47
Bordeaux
0.69
Metz
0.85
Grenoble
0.95
Sochaux
1.07
Dijon
1.12
Rodez
1.13
Caen
1.15
Paris FC
1.18
Bastia
1.18
Guingamp
1.25
Valenciennes
1.25
Quevilly
1.29
Rouen
1.29
Annecy
1.32
Amiens
1.38
Laval
1.45
PAU
1.45
Saint Etienne
1.52
Nimes
1.62
Niort
1.82
Rouen is 0.24 goals better than Saint Etienne in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.52).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rouen
For 4.0 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 12.4 · Total 26.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Saint Etienne
For 3.1 · Against 3.7 · Total 6.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 12.3 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rouen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.2
9.2
3.7
4.0
3.4
29.7
28.2
31.2
vs Stronger (31)
8.9
8.1
9.7
3.5
3.8
3.1
28.8
27.3
30.4
vs Similar (19)
8.4
8.4
8.4
4.0
4.3
3.7
31.3
29.9
33.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
37%
28%
46%
50%
64%
36%
85%
85%
84%
% under line
63%
72%
54%
50%
36%
64%
15%
15%
16%
This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Saint Etienne
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.3
9.2
3.8
3.2
4.4
24.9
22.9
26.8
vs Stronger (20)
9.1
9.1
9.0
3.9
3.8
4.0
25.1
22.9
27.2
vs Similar (23)
9.4
9.2
9.6
3.6
2.9
4.2
24.1
22.6
25.5
vs Weaker (7)
9.8
10.7
8.5
3.9
2.2
6.0
27.6
24.0
33.0
% over line
46%
54%
38%
48%
40%
56%
75%
62%
88%
% under line
54%
46%
62%
52%
60%
44%
25%
38%
12%
This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Metz
10.1
Nimes
9.5
Bordeaux
9.4
Saint Etienne
9.4
Dijon
9.3
Sochaux
9.3
Guingamp
9.2
PAU
9.1
Caen
9.0
Paris FC
8.9
Rouen
8.9
Valenciennes
8.8
Bastia
8.7
Niort
8.7
Amiens
8.5
Grenoble
8.4
Le Havre
8.0
Rodez
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Metz
4.6
Valenciennes
4.5
Bordeaux
4.4
Caen
4.3
Sochaux
4.2
Grenoble
4.1
Guingamp
4.0
PAU
4.0
Saint Etienne
3.9
Rodez
3.9
Dijon
3.9
Le Havre
3.8
Amiens
3.8
Bastia
3.8
Rouen
3.8
Nimes
3.8
Niort
3.3
Paris FC
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Valenciennes
31.3
Rouen
29.7
Caen
28.6
Rodez
28.3
Nimes
28.1
Guingamp
28.0
Amiens
27.5
Niort
27.5
Bastia
27.2
Dijon
27.0
PAU
26.8
Grenoble
26.5
Sochaux
26.0
Metz
25.6
Le Havre
25.4
Paris FC
24.9
Saint Etienne
24.9
Bordeaux
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
29.1%
Under 9.5
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.6%
Under 3.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
90.2%
Under 21.5
9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rouen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.70
0.50
0.75
0.21
0.64
vs Stronger (19)
0.37
0.68
0.60
0.60
0.11
0.78
vs Similar (11)
0.36
0.73
0.33
1.00
0.40
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Saint Etienne
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.93
0.67
1.00
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
1.20
1.00
1.50
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (17)
0.53
0.65
0.38
0.62
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.67
1.00
1.00
0.50
2.00
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rouen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rouen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.70
0.44
0.38
0.29
1.07
vs Stronger (19)
0.47
0.79
0.60
0.40
0.33
1.22
vs Similar (11)
0.18
0.55
0.17
0.33
0.20
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Saint Etienne) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Saint Etienne
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.97
0.73
1.07
0.40
0.87
vs Stronger (10)
0.10
1.40
0.17
1.83
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.88
1.25
0.62
0.44
1.11
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rouen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Saint Etienne over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 9.5 corners
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Saint Etienne
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gaëtan Charbonnier43%
Jean-Philippe Krasso40%
Ibrahima Wadji33%
Abdoul Kader Bamba29%
Yvann Maçon25%
Niels Nkounkou25%
Mathieu Cafaro15%
Ayman Aiki14%
Dylan Chambost11%
Louis Mouton7%
Mickael Nade6%
Lenny Pintor5%
Aimen Moueffek4%
Anthony Briançon4%
Leo Petrot3%
Benjamin Bouchouari3%
Victor Lobry3%
Sergi Palencia0%
Dennis Appiah0%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Jimmy Giraudon0%
Lamine Fomba0%
Matthieu Dreyer0%
Thomas Monconduit0%
Gabriel Silva0%
Mahdi Camara0%
Maxence Rivera0%
Etienne Green0%
Mathys Saban0%
Anas Namri0%
Saïdou Sow0%
Abdoulaye Bakayoko0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sergi Palencia44%
Jimmy Giraudon44%
Abdoulaye Bakayoko33%
Gaëtan Charbonnier29%
Lamine Fomba25%
Anthony Briançon25%
Mahdi Camara25%
Yvann Maçon25%
Maxence Rivera25%
Abdoul Kader Bamba21%
Mathieu Cafaro21%
Niels Nkounkou20%
Benjamin Bouchouari18%
Thomas Monconduit17%
Saïdou Sow16%
Lenny Pintor14%
Jean-Philippe Krasso14%
Louis Mouton13%
Mickael Nade12%
Leo Petrot10%
Ibrahima Wadji10%
Gautier Larsonneur10%
Victor Lobry6%
Dennis Appiah5%
Aimen Moueffek4%
Dylan Chambost4%
Matthieu Dreyer0%
Gabriel Silva0%
Etienne Green0%
Mathys Saban0%
Anas Namri0%
Ayman Aiki0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jean-Philippe Krasso31%
Niels Nkounkou30%
Mahdi Camara25%
Gaëtan Charbonnier14%
Sergi Palencia11%
Dylan Chambost11%
Leo Petrot10%
Mathieu Cafaro9%
Thomas Monconduit9%
Yvann Maçon8%
Ibrahima Wadji7%
Lamine Fomba6%
Victor Lobry6%
Dennis Appiah5%
Aimen Moueffek4%
Lenny Pintor0%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Jimmy Giraudon0%
Matthieu Dreyer0%
Anthony Briançon0%
Gabriel Silva0%
Mickael Nade0%
Abdoul Kader Bamba0%
Maxence Rivera0%
Etienne Green0%
Mathys Saban0%
Anas Namri0%
Saïdou Sow0%
Benjamin Bouchouari0%
Abdoulaye Bakayoko0%
Louis Mouton0%
Ayman Aiki0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ibrahima Wadji37%
Gaëtan Charbonnier29%
Mathieu Cafaro27%
Jean-Philippe Krasso23%
Niels Nkounkou15%
Abdoul Kader Bamba14%
Victor Lobry8%
Yvann Maçon8%
Dylan Chambost7%
Thomas Monconduit4%
Aimen Moueffek4%
Leo Petrot3%
Lenny Pintor0%
Sergi Palencia0%
Dennis Appiah0%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Jimmy Giraudon0%
Lamine Fomba0%
Matthieu Dreyer0%
Anthony Briançon0%
Gabriel Silva0%
Mickael Nade0%
Mahdi Camara0%
Maxence Rivera0%
Etienne Green0%
Mathys Saban0%
Anas Namri0%
Saïdou Sow0%
Benjamin Bouchouari0%
Abdoulaye Bakayoko0%
Louis Mouton0%
Ayman Aiki0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (37)
€176m
SE (30)
€93m
LH (25)
€55m
MET (26)
€43m
ROD (23)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
ANN (21)
€10m
LAV (24)
€9m
BAS (19)
€7m
SOC (20)
€7m
DIJ (20)
€5m
AMI (14)
€4m
CAE (18)
€4m
VAL (21)
€4m
ROU (14)
€3m
QUE (10)
€2m
Rouen's squad is €90m less valuable than Saint Etienne's (€3m vs €93m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
SE (10)
€54m
MET (11)
€17m
LH (10)
€9m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
BAS (9)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
ANN (7)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
LAV (7)
€2m
CAE (8)
€2m
ROU (5)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€1m
VAL (8)
€1m
AMI (4)
€0m
QUE (2)
€0m
Rouen's attack is €53m less valuable than Saint Etienne's (€2m vs €54m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
LH (5)
€23m
MET (5)
€18m
SE (7)
€11m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
ANN (6)
€3m
LAV (7)
€3m
GRE (5)
€3m
PAU (4)
€2m
DIJ (6)
€2m
BAS (3)
€1m
SOC (3)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
CAE (4)
€1m
AMI (2)
€0m
QUE (2)
€0m
ROU (3)
€0m
Rouen's midfield is €10m less valuable than Saint Etienne's (€0m vs €11m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (17)
€62m
SE (13)
€28m
LH (10)
€23m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
PAU (10)
€6m
LAV (10)
€4m
ANN (8)
€4m
GRE (10)
€4m
AMI (8)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
BAS (7)
€2m
VAL (10)
€2m
CAE (6)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€2m
QUE (6)
€1m
ROU (6)
€1m
Rouen's defence is €27m less valuable than Saint Etienne's (€1m vs €28m).
France: Ligue 2 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Le Havre
Metz
Bordeaux
Bastia
Caen
Paris FC
Guingamp
Sochaux
Grenoble
Quevilly
Amiens
Laval
Annecy
Rodez
Valenciennes
PAU
Dijon
Nimes
Niort