This opponent (Galway United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Galway United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.33
1.33
1.40
0.87
1.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.10
1.33
1.33
1.40
0.87
1.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
64.6%
Under 1.5
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.4%
Under 2.5
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.1%
Under 3.5
82.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.1%
No
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0 â
13.7%
0-0
12.9%
2-0
9.7%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.3%
Shelbourne goals ↓
Galway United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
8.7%
4.3%
1.2%
0.3%
1
14%
14%
5.6%
1.6%
0.3%
2
9.7%
8.3%
3.6%
1.0%
0.2%
3
4.2%
3.6%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.3%
1.2%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Shelbourne goals (down), columns = Galway United goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.83
Derry City
1.75
Shelbourne
1.64
Bohemians
1.50
St Patrick's Athl.
1.44
Drogheda United
1.42
Sligo Rovers
1.14
Waterford
1.14
Galway United
1.08
Cork City
0.67
Bray Wanderers
0.00
Shelbourne is 0.56 points better than Galway United in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.08).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.56
Derry City
1.44
Shelbourne
1.33
Bohemians
1.33
Sligo Rovers
1.17
St Patrick's Athl.
1.17
Waterford
1.16
Drogheda United
1.06
Galway United
1.03
Bray Wanderers
1.00
Cork City
0.92
Shelbourne is 0.31 goals better than Galway United in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.03).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
St Patrick's Athl.
0.89
Shamrock Rovers
0.92
Shelbourne
1.03
Drogheda United
1.06
Bohemians
1.08
Derry City
1.08
Galway United
1.22
Sligo Rovers
1.50
Waterford
1.65
Cork City
1.69
Bray Wanderers
2.00
Shelbourne is 0.19 goals better than Galway United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.22).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
60%
Shelbourne
57%
Bohemians
56%
St Patrick's Athl.
54%
Derry City
54%
Sligo Rovers
49%
Waterford
47%
Cork City
46%
Galway United
41%
Drogheda United
36%
Shelbourne is 16.8 percentage points better than Galway United in terms of average possession (57% vs 41%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Shelbourne
For 4.4 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.1
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.2
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 9.8 · Total 21.6
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Galway United
For 5.2 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.1
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 3.4 · Total 6.1
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 12.8 · Total 26.1
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Shelbourne
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.9
8.9
4.1
4.2
4.0
21.4
21.2
21.6
vs Stronger (6)
7.7
6.0
8.5
1.0
1.7
0.3
18.3
22.0
16.5
vs Similar (44)
9.0
9.1
9.0
4.5
4.5
4.5
21.7
21.1
22.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
42%
35%
60%
60%
60%
54%
53%
55%
% under line
62%
58%
65%
40%
40%
40%
46%
47%
45%
This opponent (Galway United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Galway United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.7
9.5
4.8
4.7
5.0
24.3
24.7
24.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (50)
9.6
9.7
9.5
4.8
4.7
5.0
24.3
24.7
24.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
49%
57%
42%
74%
68%
80%
70%
74%
67%
% under line
51%
43%
58%
26%
32%
20%
30%
26%
33%
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bohemians
10.8
Cork City
10.6
Sligo Rovers
10.5
Waterford
10.5
Drogheda United
9.9
St Patrick's Athl.
9.9
Galway United
9.5
Shamrock Rovers
9.2
Shelbourne
8.8
Derry City
8.5
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Derry City
5.9
Bohemians
5.8
Shelbourne
5.6
Waterford
5.4
Sligo Rovers
5.3
Shamrock Rovers
5.3
St Patrick's Athl.
5.2
Galway United
5.2
Cork City
5.0
Drogheda United
4.7
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cork City
24.8
Derry City
24.5
Galway United
24.3
Waterford
23.8
Bohemians
23.6
Sligo Rovers
23.1
St Patrick's Athl.
22.5
Shamrock Rovers
22.3
Shelbourne
22.3
Drogheda United
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.0%
Under 9.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.3%
Under 3.5
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
55.2%
Under 21.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Shelbourne
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.53
0.60
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.65
0.62
0.62
0.54
0.69
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Galway United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Galway United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.60
0.53
0.53
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.50
0.60
0.53
0.53
0.47
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Shelbourne over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galway United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galway United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galway United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Shelbourne
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.80
0.73
0.60
0.33
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.25
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.42
0.85
0.54
0.54
0.31
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Galway United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Galway United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.80
0.87
0.40
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.60
0.73
0.80
0.87
0.40
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Shelbourne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Shelbourne over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shelbourne over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galway United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galway United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galway United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 3.5 cards
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Shelbourne
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Harry Wood20%
Ademipo Odubeko18%
Alistair Coote15%
John Martin13%
Daniel Kelly12%
Kerr McInroy11%
Sean Boyd8%
Jack Henry-Francis7%
Sam Bone7%
Evan Caffrey5%
Ellis Chapman4%
Mark Coyle3%
Jonathan Lunney3%
Rayhaan Tulloch0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Sean Gannon0%
Conor Kearns0%
Paddy Barrett0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Ryan O'Kane0%
Tyreke Wilson0%
James Norris0%
Kameron Ledwidge0%
Wessel Speel0%
Lewis Temple0%
Milan Mbeng0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mark Coyle42%
Rayhaan Tulloch33%
Tyreke Wilson29%
Sean Boyd28%
Paddy Barrett28%
Sam Bone27%
Sean Gannon26%
Harry Wood25%
John Martin18%
John O'Sullivan18%
James Norris18%
Jack Henry-Francis14%
Milan Mbeng13%
Jonathan Lunney13%
Kameron Ledwidge11%
Ademipo Odubeko11%
Evan Caffrey10%
Daniel Kelly8%
Kerr McInroy8%
Lewis Temple8%
Alistair Coote6%
Wessel Speel6%
Ellis Chapman4%
Conor Kearns0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Ryan O'Kane0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kerr McInroy11%
Harry Wood10%
Sean Boyd8%
Ademipo Odubeko8%
Evan Caffrey8%
Tyreke Wilson7%
Daniel Kelly4%
Sean Gannon4%
Mark Coyle3%
James Norris3%
Jonathan Lunney3%
John Martin3%
Kameron Ledwidge3%
Ellis Chapman0%
Rayhaan Tulloch0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Sam Bone0%
Conor Kearns0%
Paddy Barrett0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Alistair Coote0%
Ryan O'Kane0%
Wessel Speel0%
Jack Henry-Francis0%
Lewis Temple0%
Milan Mbeng0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ademipo Odubeko26%
Kerr McInroy16%
Harry Wood15%
Ellis Chapman11%
Jack Henry-Francis7%
Milan Mbeng7%
Alistair Coote6%
John Martin5%
Evan Caffrey5%
Sean Boyd4%
Rayhaan Tulloch0%
John O'Sullivan0%
Sean Gannon0%
Daniel Kelly0%
Sam Bone0%
Jonathan Lunney0%
Conor Kearns0%
Mark Coyle0%
Paddy Barrett0%
Lorcan Healy0%
Ryan O'Kane0%
Tyreke Wilson0%
James Norris0%
Kameron Ledwidge0%
Wessel Speel0%
Lewis Temple0%
Galway United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Moses Dyer37%
Patrick Hickey13%
Vincent Borden13%
David Hurley12%
Stephen Walsh12%
Dara McGuinness10%
Conor McCormack9%
Jimmy Keohane5%
Edward McCarthy4%
Bobby Burns3%
Killian Brouder3%
Robert Slevin3%
Greg Cunningham0%
Brendan Clarke0%
Regan Donelon0%
Colm Horgan0%
Garry Buckley0%
Cian Byrne0%
Jeannot Esua0%
Aaron Bolger0%
Malcolm Isaiah Shaw0%
Jeremy Sivi0%
Sean Kerrigan0%
Axel Piesold0%
Evan Watts0%
Max Wilson0%
Cillian Tollett0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Max Wilson67%
Greg Cunningham40%
Moses Dyer37%
Aaron Bolger36%
Cian Byrne31%
Malcolm Isaiah Shaw29%
Sean Kerrigan25%
Patrick Hickey23%
Cillian Tollett22%
Garry Buckley21%
Conor McCormack18%
Robert Slevin18%
Vincent Borden17%
Edward McCarthy17%
Bobby Burns16%
David Hurley16%
Stephen Walsh15%
Jimmy Keohane14%
Killian Brouder12%
Regan Donelon9%
Colm Horgan9%
Evan Watts7%
Brendan Clarke5%
Jeannot Esua3%
Dara McGuinness0%
Jeremy Sivi0%
Axel Piesold0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bobby Burns19%
Evan Watts13%
David Hurley12%
Dara McGuinness10%
Jeannot Esua9%
Cian Byrne6%
Stephen Walsh6%
Robert Slevin6%
Greg Cunningham5%
Jimmy Keohane5%
Vincent Borden4%
Patrick Hickey3%
Brendan Clarke0%
Regan Donelon0%
Colm Horgan0%
Garry Buckley0%
Conor McCormack0%
Killian Brouder0%
Moses Dyer0%
Aaron Bolger0%
Malcolm Isaiah Shaw0%
Edward McCarthy0%
Jeremy Sivi0%
Sean Kerrigan0%
Axel Piesold0%
Max Wilson0%
Cillian Tollett0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Moses Dyer32%
Malcolm Isaiah Shaw29%
Patrick Hickey23%
Stephen Walsh21%
Dara McGuinness10%
Jimmy Keohane10%
Bobby Burns6%
Vincent Borden4%
David Hurley3%
Greg Cunningham0%
Brendan Clarke0%
Regan Donelon0%
Colm Horgan0%
Garry Buckley0%
Conor McCormack0%
Killian Brouder0%
Cian Byrne0%
Jeannot Esua0%
Aaron Bolger0%
Robert Slevin0%
Edward McCarthy0%
Jeremy Sivi0%
Sean Kerrigan0%
Axel Piesold0%
Evan Watts0%
Max Wilson0%
Cillian Tollett0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
Shelbourne's squad is €1m more valuable than Galway United's (€4m vs €3m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
Shelbourne and Galway United have a similar attack value (both €1m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
Shelbourne and Galway United have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
Shelbourne and Galway United have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
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Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Cork City
Bray Wanderers