This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.07
1.75
0.81
1.14
1.36
vs Stronger (16)
1.25
0.94
1.40
0.70
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (14)
1.71
1.21
2.33
1.00
1.25
1.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.5%
Under 1.5
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.4%
@ 2.42+5.3%
Under 2.5
55.6%
@ 1.55-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.2%
Under 3.5
76.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.0%
No
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.0%
0-0 ✓
9.9%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
0-2
5.6%
Sporting Gijon goals ↓
FC Cartagena goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.9%
8.6%
5.6%
2.1%
0.6%
1
10.0%
14%
7.4%
2.8%
0.8%
2
7.4%
8.4%
4.8%
1.8%
0.5%
3
3.2%
3.7%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.1%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sporting Gijon goals (down), columns = FC Cartagena goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Granada CF
1.79
Levante
1.72
Alaves
1.72
Las Palmas
1.71
Eibar
1.64
Albacete
1.52
FC Andorra
1.40
Oviedo
1.40
FC Cartagena
1.38
Tenerife
1.36
Burgos
1.29
Racing Santander
1.29
Leganes
1.26
Zaragoza
1.26
Huesca
1.24
Mirandes
1.24
Villarreal II
1.19
Sporting Gijon
1.19
Malaga
1.05
Ponferradina
1.05
Ibiza
0.81
Lugo
0.74
Sporting Gijon is 0.19 points worse than FC Cartagena in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 1.38).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Albacete
1.34
Granada CF
1.31
Villarreal II
1.17
Las Palmas
1.17
Mirandes
1.14
Levante
1.13
FC Andorra
1.12
FC Cartagena
1.12
Alaves
1.11
Eibar
1.05
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Tenerife
1.00
Ponferradina
0.95
Zaragoza
0.95
Racing Santander
0.93
Malaga
0.88
Leganes
0.88
Huesca
0.86
Oviedo
0.81
Burgos
0.79
Ibiza
0.79
Lugo
0.64
Sporting Gijon is 0.10 goals worse than FC Cartagena in terms of goals scored per game (1.02 vs 1.12).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Las Palmas
0.69
Levante
0.70
Granada CF
0.71
Alaves
0.74
Burgos
0.83
Oviedo
0.83
Huesca
0.86
Tenerife
0.88
FC Andorra
0.88
Eibar
0.89
Zaragoza
0.93
Racing Santander
0.95
Leganes
1.00
Malaga
1.05
Sporting Gijon
1.14
FC Cartagena
1.17
Albacete
1.20
Ponferradina
1.26
Mirandes
1.29
Villarreal II
1.31
Lugo
1.36
Ibiza
1.57
Sporting Gijon is 0.02 goals better than FC Cartagena in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sporting Gijon
For 4.4 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 10.0 · Total 21.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Cartagena
For 3.4 · Against 4.5 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 15.0 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sporting Gijon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.5
9.7
3.0
3.0
3.0
23.4
23.7
23.1
vs Stronger (1)
14.0
14.0
-
2.0
2.0
-
9.0
9.0
-
vs Similar (34)
9.5
9.4
9.6
2.9
2.8
3.1
24.3
23.8
24.7
vs Weaker (15)
9.4
8.8
10.0
3.4
3.8
3.0
23.2
26.0
19.8
% over line
42%
44%
40%
44%
48%
40%
61%
62%
60%
% under line
58%
56%
60%
56%
52%
60%
39%
38%
40%
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
9.1
8.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
28.6
30.3
26.9
vs Stronger (27)
8.8
9.2
8.4
3.4
3.6
3.2
30.1
34.3
25.2
vs Similar (23)
8.3
9.0
7.6
2.6
2.2
2.9
26.9
25.1
28.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
56%
27%
46%
38%
54%
87%
88%
87%
% under line
58%
44%
73%
54%
62%
46%
13%
12%
13%
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mirandes
9.9
Huesca
9.9
Alaves
9.9
Ibiza
9.7
Zaragoza
9.6
Granada CF
9.3
Ponferradina
9.3
Eibar
9.2
Sporting Gijon
9.2
Malaga
9.2
Burgos
9.2
Lugo
9.1
Levante
9.0
Racing Santander
8.8
Oviedo
8.8
Tenerife
8.7
Las Palmas
8.7
Leganes
8.6
FC Cartagena
8.5
Albacete
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
6.0
Granada CF
5.6
Malaga
5.6
Albacete
5.5
Las Palmas
5.4
Levante
5.4
Tenerife
5.3
Zaragoza
5.1
Oviedo
5.0
FC Cartagena
4.9
Mirandes
4.9
Leganes
4.9
Huesca
4.8
Ponferradina
4.8
Alaves
4.7
Sporting Gijon
4.7
Lugo
4.6
Eibar
4.3
Ibiza
4.2
Burgos
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
33.9
Las Palmas
30.7
Leganes
30.0
Albacete
29.4
FC Cartagena
28.9
Ibiza
28.1
Huesca
28.1
Malaga
28.0
Tenerife
28.0
Lugo
27.7
Oviedo
27.2
Alaves
26.7
Zaragoza
26.6
Granada CF
25.9
Mirandes
25.6
Levante
25.3
Burgos
24.6
Eibar
24.6
Ponferradina
24.4
Sporting Gijon
24.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
38.2%
Under 9.5
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
71.8%
Under 3.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
81.4%
Under 21.5
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sporting Gijon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.43
0.79
0.64
0.38
0.25
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.38
0.56
0.56
0.33
0.25
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.75
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.43
0.56
0.25
0.71
0.64
vs Stronger (16)
0.56
0.31
0.50
0.20
0.67
0.50
vs Similar (14)
0.71
0.57
0.67
0.33
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sporting Gijon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.57
0.71
0.43
0.25
0.69
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.29
0.71
0.56
0.56
0.08
0.83
vs Weaker (8)
1.00
0.25
1.25
0.25
0.75
0.25
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.63
1.19
0.56
0.43
0.71
vs Stronger (16)
0.69
0.62
0.90
0.50
0.33
0.83
vs Similar (14)
1.00
0.64
1.67
0.67
0.50
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting Gijon) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sporting Gijon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting Gijon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sporting Gijon
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aitor García16%
Cristo González15%
Juan Otero15%
Uroš Đurđević12%
Pedro Díaz12%
José Gragera12%
Giovanni Zarfino11%
Víctor Campuzano10%
Dani Queipo10%
Jony6%
Pablo Insua6%
Diego Sanchez5%
Jordan Carrillo Rodriguez5%
Carlos Izquierdoz3%
Guille Rosas3%
Ignacio Jeraldino0%
Axel Bamba0%
Diego Mariño0%
Ignacio Méndez0%
Pol Valentín0%
Bruno González0%
José Ángel0%
Iván Cuéllar0%
Cristian Rivera0%
José Marsà0%
Jordi Pola0%
Uroš Milovanović0%
Jonathan Varane0%
Ignacio Martín0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cristian Rivera33%
Pablo Insua31%
Uroš Đurđević28%
Giovanni Zarfino26%
Uroš Milovanović25%
Juan Otero22%
Carlos Izquierdoz21%
Guille Rosas20%
Ignacio Martín19%
José Ángel18%
Jonathan Varane18%
Bruno González17%
José Marsà15%
Víctor Campuzano15%
Diego Sanchez15%
Ignacio Jeraldino12%
Iván Cuéllar12%
Cristo González12%
Pedro Díaz9%
José Gragera6%
Jordan Carrillo Rodriguez5%
Pol Valentín5%
Dani Queipo3%
Aitor García3%
Axel Bamba0%
Diego Mariño0%
Ignacio Méndez0%
Jony0%
Jordi Pola0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pedro Díaz15%
José Ángel15%
Jonathan Varane12%
Pol Valentín9%
Bruno González8%
José Marsà8%
Giovanni Zarfino7%
Diego Mariño6%
Diego Sanchez5%
Cristian Rivera4%
Iván Cuéllar4%
Uroš Đurđević3%
Carlos Izquierdoz3%
Guille Rosas3%
Pablo Insua3%
Cristo González0%
Ignacio Jeraldino0%
Axel Bamba0%
Juan Otero0%
Aitor García0%
Ignacio Méndez0%
Víctor Campuzano0%
Jony0%
José Gragera0%
Jordi Pola0%
Jordan Carrillo Rodriguez0%
Uroš Milovanović0%
Ignacio Martín0%
Dani Queipo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Uroš Đurđević22%
Juan Otero15%
Ignacio Jeraldino12%
José Gragera12%
Víctor Campuzano10%
Pedro Díaz9%
Giovanni Zarfino7%
Aitor García6%
Cristo González6%
Jordan Carrillo Rodriguez5%
Carlos Izquierdoz0%
Axel Bamba0%
Diego Mariño0%
Ignacio Méndez0%
Pol Valentín0%
Bruno González0%
Jony0%
José Ángel0%
Iván Cuéllar0%
Cristian Rivera0%
Pablo Insua0%
José Marsà0%
Jordi Pola0%
Guille Rosas0%
Uroš Milovanović0%
Jonathan Varane0%
Ignacio Martín0%
Dani Queipo0%
Diego Sanchez0%
FC Cartagena
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Armando Sadiku26%
Alfredo Ortuño22%
Darío Poveda20%
Borja Valle13%
Óscar Arribas Pasero10%
Mikel Rico8%
Franchu7%
Isak Jansson7%
Iván Martos6%
Pablo Vázquez6%
Jairo Izquierdo González5%
Pablo De Blasis5%
Kiko Olivas4%
Pedro Alcalá3%
Damián Musto3%
Ivan Calero3%
Toni Datković0%
Pêpê0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Sergio Tejera0%
Yan Eteki0%
Julián Delmás0%
Jaime Romero0%
Luca Sangalli0%
David Ferreiro0%
Marc Martínez0%
Farru0%
Alejandro Domingo0%
Oscar Ureña0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Damián Musto44%
Toni Datković33%
Yan Eteki30%
Franchu26%
Sergio Tejera25%
Pêpê24%
Luca Sangalli23%
Pablo Vázquez22%
Jairo Izquierdo González21%
Ivan Calero21%
Oscar Ureña20%
David Ferreiro19%
Pablo De Blasis17%
Pedro Alcalá16%
Darío Poveda13%
Iván Martos12%
Mikel Rico11%
Borja Valle10%
Armando Sadiku10%
Aarón Escandell8%
Isak Jansson4%
Alfredo Ortuño3%
Julián Delmás0%
Jaime Romero0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Óscar Arribas Pasero0%
Marc Martínez0%
Farru0%
Alejandro Domingo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pêpê29%
Oscar Ureña20%
David Ferreiro19%
Pablo De Blasis17%
Jairo Izquierdo González16%
Julián Delmás11%
Pablo Vázquez11%
Ivan Calero8%
Toni Datković5%
Luca Sangalli5%
Damián Musto3%
Franchu0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Borja Valle0%
Sergio Tejera0%
Iván Martos0%
Yan Eteki0%
Alfredo Ortuño0%
Jaime Romero0%
Mikel Rico0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Armando Sadiku0%
Óscar Arribas Pasero0%
Darío Poveda0%
Isak Jansson0%
Marc Martínez0%
Farru0%
Alejandro Domingo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alfredo Ortuño30%
Oscar Ureña20%
Borja Valle10%
Armando Sadiku10%
Jairo Izquierdo González8%
Ivan Calero8%
Darío Poveda7%
Pablo Vázquez6%
Franchu4%
Pedro Alcalá3%
Pablo De Blasis2%
Toni Datković0%
Pêpê0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Sergio Tejera0%
Iván Martos0%
Yan Eteki0%
Julián Delmás0%
Jaime Romero0%
Mikel Rico0%
Luca Sangalli0%
Kiko Olivas0%
David Ferreiro0%
Damián Musto0%
Óscar Arribas Pasero0%
Isak Jansson0%
Marc Martínez0%
Farru0%
Alejandro Domingo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Levante
Alaves
Granada CF
Las Palmas
Eibar
Albacete
FC Andorra
Oviedo
Tenerife
Racing Santander
Burgos
Zaragoza
Leganes
Huesca
Mirandes
Villarreal II
Malaga
Ponferradina
Ibiza
Lugo