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Tamworth vs Brackley Town Result & Analysis

Date: 25/08/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
Tamworth
Tamworth
vs
Brackley Town
Brackley Town
England: National League
Referee: A Jackson
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tamworth win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brackley Town win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TamworthTamworth

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L42W12L03L43W11D12L02L20W12LA·MAI05/04H·BRA12/04H·SOL18/04A·FOR21/04H·FYL26/04A·ALT05/05H·SCU09/08A·SOU16/08H·TRU19/08A·GAT23/08
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.471.731.331.331.60
vs Stronger (7)1.712.001.252.002.332.00
vs Similar (23)1.481.301.911.091.081.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Brackley Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Brackley TownBrackley Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W41W11D31W00D13L10W12L21WA·TRU14/09H·RAM28/09A·HAR12/10H·HAR15/10H·BRA02/11A·STO30/11H·EAS09/08A·YEO20/08H·ROC23/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.002.000.601.251.50
vs Stronger (5)2.201.403.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (4)1.000.500.500.001.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Tamworth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
York
2.35
Rochdale
2.29
Carlisle
2.04
Boreham Wood
1.90
Scunthorpe
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Southend
1.72
Halifax
1.52
Hartlepool
1.48
Woking
1.37
Tamworth
1.35
Boston Utd
1.28
Altrincham
1.24
Solihull
1.22
Wealdstone
1.22
Yeovil
1.11
Gateshead
1.09
Eastleigh
1.09
Sutton
1.02
Aldershot
1.00
Brackley Town
0.91
Morecambe
0.83
Braintree Town
0.78
Truro
0.74
Tamworth is 0.43 points better than Brackley Town in terms of average points per game (1.35 vs 0.91).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
York
2.48
Boreham Wood
2.00
Rochdale
1.92
Carlisle
1.87
Southend
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Scunthorpe
1.69
Solihull
1.54
Halifax
1.50
Woking
1.50
Aldershot
1.50
Wealdstone
1.48
Morecambe
1.43
Boston Utd
1.37
Tamworth
1.37
Sutton
1.28
Eastleigh
1.24
Altrincham
1.20
Gateshead
1.17
Hartlepool
1.17
Yeovil
1.04
Truro
0.91
Brackley Town
0.87
Braintree Town
0.83
Tamworth is 0.50 goals better than Brackley Town in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 0.87).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
York
0.89
Rochdale
0.92
Southend
1.02
Forest Green
1.11
Carlisle
1.11
Woking
1.17
Boreham Wood
1.24
Hartlepool
1.28
Scunthorpe
1.35
Altrincham
1.41
Halifax
1.43
Boston Utd
1.46
Yeovil
1.48
Tamworth
1.54
Solihull
1.57
Truro
1.57
Brackley Town
1.63
Braintree Town
1.65
Wealdstone
1.65
Sutton
1.72
Eastleigh
1.74
Aldershot
1.89
Gateshead
1.96
Morecambe
2.24
Tamworth is 0.09 goals better than Brackley Town in terms of goals conceded per game (1.54 vs 1.63).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
York
62%
Boreham Wood
58%
Wealdstone
57%
Rochdale
56%
Sutton
54%
Aldershot
54%
Forest Green
53%
Southend
52%
Altrincham
52%
Gateshead
50%
Woking
50%
Scunthorpe
49%
Morecambe
49%
Carlisle
49%
Solihull
48%
Braintree Town
48%
Halifax
48%
Hartlepool
47%
Yeovil
47%
Truro
44%
Eastleigh
41%
Brackley Town
40%
Tamworth
38%
Tamworth is 1.8 percentage points worse than Brackley Town in terms of average possession (38% vs 40%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TamworthTamworth

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L32W10W03L23L10W12L01L20W01LA·MAI05/04H·BRA12/04H·SOL18/04A·FOR21/04H·FYL26/04A·ALT05/05H·SCU09/08A·SOU16/08H·TRU19/08A·GAT23/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.730.930.730.530.73
vs Stronger (7)1.001.140.751.251.331.00
vs Similar (23)0.650.611.000.550.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Brackley Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Brackley TownBrackley Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W11D00D02L10W01L10WH·RAM28/09A·HAR12/10H·HAR15/10H·BRA02/11A·STO30/11H·EAS09/08A·YEO20/08H·ROC23/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.500.800.200.331.00
vs Stronger (5)0.800.601.000.330.501.00
vs Similar (3)0.330.330.500.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %62% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Tamworth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tamworth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tamworth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tamworth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brackley Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brackley Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brackley Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TamworthTamworth

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L10W02L00D20W01L00D01L00D11DA·MAI05/04H·BRA12/04H·SOL18/04A·FOR21/04H·FYL26/04A·ALT05/05H·SCU09/08A·SOU16/08H·TRU19/08A·GAT23/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.730.800.600.800.87
vs Stronger (7)0.710.860.500.751.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.830.700.910.550.750.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Brackley Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Brackley TownBrackley Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W01L20W00D11D00D11D11DH·RAM28/09A·HAR12/10H·HAR15/10H·BRA02/11A·STO30/11H·EAS09/08A·YEO20/08H·ROC23/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.621.200.400.671.00
vs Stronger (5)1.400.802.000.670.501.00
vs Similar (3)0.330.330.000.001.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %38% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Tamworth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tamworth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tamworth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tamworth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brackley Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brackley Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brackley Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards79.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards75.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ROC (10)
€2m
YOR (8)
€1m
FG (4)
€1m
BU (6)
€1m
EAS (5)
€1m
SOU (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€1m
SOL (3)
€0m
ALT (5)
€0m
ALD (4)
€0m
BT (4)
€0m
WOK (3)
€0m
YEO (3)
€0m
BT (3)
€0m
SCU (2)
€0m
TAM (4)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
WEA (2)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
HAL (2)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
TRU (2)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
Tamworth and Brackley Town have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ROC (3)
€1m
FG (2)
€0m
YOR (2)
€0m
ALD (3)
€0m
ALT (3)
€0m
SOL (2)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
BT (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
WOK (1)
€0m
TRU (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
SOU (0)
€0m
BT (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
WEA (0)
€0m
Tamworth and Brackley Town have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ROC (3)
€1m
YOR (2)
€0m
SOU (2)
€0m
BU (2)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
BT (1)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
TRU (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
SCU (0)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
ALD (0)
€0m
SOL (0)
€0m
BT (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
WOK (0)
€0m
Tamworth and Brackley Town have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ROC (4)
€1m
YOR (4)
€1m
BU (3)
€0m
EAS (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
BT (3)
€0m
WOK (2)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
SOL (1)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
SOU (1)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
ALD (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
TRU (1)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
TAM (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Tamworth and Brackley Town have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
TAM wins
0
Draws
0
BT wins

Head-to-head

Tamworth vs Brackley Town · H/A from TAM
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

TamworthTamworth

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/25AGateshead Vs TAM2-1
19/08/25HTAM Vs Truro2-0
16/08/25ASouthend Vs TAM2-0
09/08/25HTAM Vs Scunthorpe1-2
05/05/25AAltrincham Vs TAM1-1
26/04/25HTAM Vs Fylde4-3
21/04/25AForest Green Vs TAM3-0
18/04/25HTAM Vs Solihull1-2
12/04/25HTAM Vs Braintree Town4-2
05/04/25AMaidenhead Vs TAM3-1

Brackley TownBrackley Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/25HBT Vs Rochdale2-1
20/08/25AYeovil Vs BT2-1
09/08/25HBT Vs Eastleigh1-0
30/11/24AStockport Vs BT3-1
02/11/24HBT Vs Braintree Town0-0
15/10/24HBT Vs Hartlepool3-1
12/10/24AHartlepool Vs BT1-1
28/09/24HBT Vs Ramsgate4-1
14/09/24ATruro Vs BT0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tamworth
Tamworth
England: National League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWL1.44
HomeWLWLW1.77
AwayLLDLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%50%29%
AVG goals3.003.082.92
Over 1.5 %86%88%83%
Over 2.5 %58%58%58%
Over 3.5 %30%27%33%
Scored1.441.811.04
Conceded1.561.271.88
BTTS62%73%50%
Clean Sheet18%19%17%
Corners---
Cards4.524.784.26
Brackley Town
Brackley Town
England: National League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLW1.89
HomeWWDWW2.60
AwayWDLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%80%25%
AVG goals2.672.602.75
Over 1.5 %78%60%100%
Over 2.5 %56%60%50%
Over 3.5 %33%40%25%
Scored1.672.001.25
Conceded1.000.601.50
BTTS67%60%75%
Clean Sheet33%40%25%
Corners---
Cards5.335.006.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RochdaleRochdale48110
71%
2.3
9244+48
2.8
81%
60%
29%
-
0%
3.1
48%
-
0%
2
1111.90.9
56%
2YorkYork46108
72%
2.3
11441+73
3.4
87%
72%
50%
-
0%
3.9
52%
-
0%
1
0012.50.9
62%
3CarlisleCarlisle4796
62%
2.0
8852+36
3.0
83%
60%
30%
-
0%
3.6
52%
-
0%
0
0001.91.1
49%
4Boreham WoodBoreham Wood4993
55%
1.9
9861+37
3.2
88%
69%
39%
-
0%
3.2
43%
-
0%
0
0002.01.2
58%
5ScunthorpeScunthorpe4885
50%
1.8
8165+16
3.0
85%
60%
33%
-
0%
4.1
63%
-
0%
0
0001.71.4
49%
6Forest GreenForest Green4782
49%
1.7
8252+30
2.9
83%
51%
32%
-
0%
4.2
65%
-
0%
1
0001.71.1
53%
7SouthendSouthend4781
49%
1.7
8348+35
2.8
81%
51%
19%
-
0%
3.7
54%
-
0%
1
0001.81.0
52%
8HalifaxHalifax4670
43%
1.5
6966+3
2.9
80%
63%
28%
-
0%
4.5
72%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
48%
9HartlepoolHartlepool4668
39%
1.5
5459-5
2.5
67%
41%
24%
-
0%
3.2
46%
-
0%
1
0001.21.3
47%
10WokingWoking4663
35%
1.4
6954+15
2.7
76%
48%
30%
-
0%
4.1
57%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
50%
11TamworthTamworth4662
37%
1.3
6371-8
2.9
78%
54%
33%
-
0%
3.8
63%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
38%
12Boston UtdBoston Utd4659
33%
1.3
6367-4
2.8
78%
54%
28%
-
0%
4.1
61%
-
0%
1
0001.41.5
-
13AltrinchamAltrincham4657
37%
1.2
5565-10
2.6
76%
57%
20%
-
0%
4.6
70%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
52%
14SolihullSolihull4656
30%
1.2
7172-1
3.1
78%
52%
33%
-
0%
3.9
65%
-
0%
0
0001.51.6
48%
15WealdstoneWealdstone4656
33%
1.2
6876-8
3.1
87%
57%
35%
-
0%
3.7
52%
-
0%
0
0001.51.7
57%
16YeovilYeovil4651
33%
1.1
4868-20
2.5
70%
50%
20%
-
0%
4.1
59%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
47%
17EastleighEastleigh4650
28%
1.1
5780-23
3.0
85%
57%
35%
-
0%
4.2
61%
-
0%
1
0001.21.7
41%
18GatesheadGateshead4650
30%
1.1
5490-36
3.1
85%
65%
35%
-
0%
3.4
50%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
50%
19SuttonSutton4647
24%
1.0
5979-20
3.0
80%
61%
33%
-
0%
4.5
65%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
54%
20AldershotAldershot4646
28%
1.0
6987-18
3.4
89%
70%
41%
-
0%
4.7
70%
-
0%
0
0001.51.9
54%
21Brackley TownBrackley Town4642
22%
0.9
4075-35
2.5
74%
43%
20%
-
0%
4.1
59%
-
0%
0
0000.91.6
40%
22MorecambeMorecambe4638
20%
0.8
66103-37
3.7
89%
70%
50%
-
0%
3.8
57%
-
0%
0
0001.42.2
49%
23Braintree TownBraintree Town4636
17%
0.8
3876-38
2.5
70%
48%
26%
-
0%
4.0
54%
-
0%
0
0000.81.7
48%
24TruroTruro4634
17%
0.7
4272-30
2.5
74%
43%
24%
-
0%
3.3
46%
-
0%
0
0000.91.6
44%
England: National League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →

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