This opponent (Catanzaro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Catanzaro
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.17
1.87
1.27
1.27
1.07
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (15)
1.67
1.00
1.57
1.00
1.75
1.00
vs Weaker (13)
1.62
1.31
2.29
1.43
0.83
1.17
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Ternana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
65.4%
Under 1.5
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.2%
@ 1.70-17.9%
Under 2.5
62.8%
@ 2.09+17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.7%
Under 3.5
82.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.4%
No
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-1
13.0%
0-0
12.6%
1-0 ✓
9.1%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.8%
Ternana goals ↓
Catanzaro goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
13%
9.0%
3.8%
1.2%
1
9.1%
14%
8.3%
3.5%
1.1%
2
4.8%
6.0%
3.8%
1.6%
0.5%
3
1.5%
1.8%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ternana goals (down), columns = Catanzaro goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Parma
2.00
Como
1.92
Venezia
1.90
Cremonese
1.71
Catanzaro
1.51
Sampdoria
1.46
Palermo
1.44
Brescia
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.24
Modena
1.24
Reggiana
1.24
Cittadella
1.21
Pisa
1.21
Spezia
1.16
Bari
1.12
Ternana
1.10
Ascoli
1.08
FeralpiSalo
0.87
Lecco
0.68
Ternana is 0.41 points worse than Catanzaro in terms of average points per game (1.10 vs 1.51).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Venezia
1.74
Parma
1.74
Palermo
1.59
Catanzaro
1.56
Como
1.53
Sampdoria
1.36
Pisa
1.34
Cremonese
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.21
Brescia
1.18
FeralpiSalo
1.16
Ternana
1.10
Modena
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Bari
1.05
Ascoli
1.00
Reggiana
1.00
Spezia
0.95
Lecco
0.92
Ternana is 0.46 goals worse than Catanzaro in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 1.56).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cremonese
0.86
Parma
0.92
Como
1.05
Brescia
1.08
Cosenza
1.11
Ascoli
1.11
Venezia
1.12
Reggiana
1.18
Cittadella
1.24
Modena
1.24
Bari
1.25
Sudtirol
1.26
Spezia
1.29
Sampdoria
1.33
Ternana
1.35
Palermo
1.37
Catanzaro
1.41
Pisa
1.42
FeralpiSalo
1.71
Lecco
1.95
Ternana is 0.06 goals better than Catanzaro in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 1.41).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Catanzaro
58%
Pisa
56%
Cremonese
56%
Venezia
52%
Reggiana
52%
Como
51%
Spezia
51%
Sampdoria
51%
Parma
50%
Bari
50%
Palermo
50%
Modena
50%
Cosenza
49%
Brescia
48%
Sudtirol
48%
Cittadella
47%
Lecco
47%
FeralpiSalo
45%
Ascoli
45%
Ternana
44%
Ternana is 14.2 percentage points worse than Catanzaro in terms of average possession (44% vs 58%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ternana
For 5.4 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 12.5 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Catanzaro
For 4.8 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 16.6 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ternana
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.3
10.2
3.4
3.7
3.1
26.9
25.9
27.8
vs Stronger (29)
10.0
9.7
10.2
3.2
3.8
2.7
27.2
27.4
27.0
vs Similar (21)
10.6
11.0
10.1
3.6
3.6
3.6
26.4
24.1
29.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
50%
61%
52%
56%
48%
81%
78%
83%
% under line
44%
50%
39%
48%
44%
52%
19%
22%
17%
This opponent (Catanzaro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Catanzaro
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (36)
9.2
9.2
9.3
5.2
4.9
5.4
28.9
29.2
28.5
vs Stronger (2)
9.5
11.0
8.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
27.0
26.0
28.0
vs Similar (19)
9.1
8.3
9.8
4.9
5.0
4.8
28.4
28.8
28.0
vs Weaker (15)
9.4
10.0
8.7
5.7
5.0
6.6
29.7
30.1
29.3
% over line
39%
39%
39%
83%
78%
89%
92%
89%
94%
% under line
61%
61%
61%
17%
22%
11%
8%
11%
6%
This opponent (Ternana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Venezia
10.4
Parma
10.2
Ternana
10.1
Brescia
10.0
Palermo
10.0
Cremonese
9.8
FeralpiSalo
9.8
Modena
9.7
Bari
9.7
Spezia
9.7
Cosenza
9.6
Lecco
9.6
Como
9.5
Ascoli
9.5
Reggiana
9.3
Catanzaro
9.2
Pisa
9.1
Cittadella
8.8
Sampdoria
8.6
Sudtirol
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cosenza
6.5
Pisa
6.2
Spezia
5.7
Modena
5.7
Ascoli
5.7
Bari
5.7
Sampdoria
5.7
Cittadella
5.6
Lecco
5.5
Sudtirol
5.4
Parma
5.4
Catanzaro
5.3
Reggiana
5.3
Palermo
5.2
Cremonese
5.2
Como
5.1
FeralpiSalo
5.1
Brescia
5.0
Ternana
4.9
Venezia
4.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ascoli
32.1
Cittadella
32.1
Sampdoria
30.2
Sudtirol
30.1
Spezia
29.8
Reggiana
29.6
Bari
29.3
Como
29.1
Catanzaro
28.9
Pisa
28.8
Palermo
28.8
Modena
28.7
Brescia
28.5
Lecco
27.9
Cremonese
27.4
Cosenza
27.3
Ternana
27.3
Parma
26.8
FeralpiSalo
26.8
Venezia
25.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.1%
Under 9.5
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.4%
Under 3.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.5%
Under 21.5
11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ternana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.67
0.29
0.43
0.50
0.88
vs Stronger (16)
0.25
0.81
0.00
0.71
0.44
0.89
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.50
0.57
0.14
0.57
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Catanzaro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Catanzaro
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.63
0.80
0.60
0.93
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (15)
1.07
0.53
0.71
0.43
1.38
0.62
vs Weaker (13)
0.69
0.77
0.86
0.86
0.50
0.67
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ternana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ternana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ternana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ternana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Catanzaro over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Catanzaro over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Catanzaro over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ternana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.73
0.64
0.43
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (16)
0.69
0.88
0.57
0.43
0.78
1.22
vs Similar (14)
1.00
0.57
0.71
0.43
1.29
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Catanzaro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Catanzaro
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
1.07
0.67
0.33
0.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
0.60
0.47
0.86
0.57
0.38
0.38
vs Weaker (13)
0.92
0.54
1.43
0.57
0.33
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Ternana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ternana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ternana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ternana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Catanzaro over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Catanzaro over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Catanzaro over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ternana
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gastón Pereiro30%
Filippo Distefano21%
Antonio Raimondo18%
Salim Diakite16%
Frederik Sørensen12%
Filippo Sgarbi11%
Tiago Casasola11%
Gregorio Luperini8%
Lorenzo Lucchesi7%
Alessandro Celli6%
César Falletti5%
Franco Carboni5%
Andrea Favilli4%
Federico Dionisi4%
Niklas Pyyhtiä3%
Marco Capuano0%
Federico Viviani0%
Antony Iannarilli0%
Tommaso Vitali0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Jakub Łabojko0%
Gabriele Boloca0%
Kees de Boer0%
Niccolò Corrado0%
Iulius Marginean0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Riccardo Zoia0%
Giacomo Faticanti0%
Lorenzo Amatucci0%
Costantino Favasuli0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jakub Łabojko35%
César Falletti32%
Salim Diakite32%
Gabriele Boloca29%
Lorenzo Lucchesi26%
Gastón Pereiro25%
Kees de Boer24%
Filippo Sgarbi22%
Gregorio Luperini22%
Lorenzo Amatucci22%
Federico Viviani20%
Iulius Marginean20%
Franco Carboni19%
Alessandro Celli19%
Federico Dionisi17%
Tommaso Vitali17%
Tiago Casasola13%
Andrea Favilli13%
Frederik Sørensen12%
Antony Iannarilli12%
Niklas Pyyhtiä10%
Antonio Raimondo10%
Costantino Favasuli10%
Filippo Distefano9%
Giacomo Faticanti9%
Marco Capuano8%
Christian Dalle Mura7%
Niccolò Corrado6%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Riccardo Zoia0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
César Falletti16%
Kees de Boer12%
Lorenzo Amatucci11%
Salim Diakite11%
Gastón Pereiro10%
Giacomo Faticanti9%
Tiago Casasola8%
Valerio Mantovani7%
Filippo Distefano6%
Gregorio Luperini6%
Niccolò Corrado6%
Jakub Łabojko4%
Lorenzo Lucchesi4%
Niklas Pyyhtiä3%
Costantino Favasuli3%
Antonio Raimondo2%
Frederik Sørensen0%
Andrea Favilli0%
Marco Capuano0%
Federico Viviani0%
Federico Dionisi0%
Antony Iannarilli0%
Tommaso Vitali0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Gabriele Boloca0%
Alessandro Celli0%
Iulius Marginean0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Franco Carboni0%
Riccardo Zoia0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antonio Raimondo25%
Gastón Pereiro20%
César Falletti16%
Filippo Distefano12%
Gregorio Luperini11%
Andrea Favilli9%
Salim Diakite5%
Franco Carboni5%
Niklas Pyyhtiä3%
Frederik Sørensen0%
Marco Capuano0%
Federico Viviani0%
Federico Dionisi0%
Antony Iannarilli0%
Tommaso Vitali0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Tiago Casasola0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Jakub Łabojko0%
Gabriele Boloca0%
Alessandro Celli0%
Kees de Boer0%
Niccolò Corrado0%
Iulius Marginean0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Riccardo Zoia0%
Lorenzo Lucchesi0%
Giacomo Faticanti0%
Lorenzo Amatucci0%
Costantino Favasuli0%
Catanzaro
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pietro Iemmello34%
Tommaso Biasci28%
Matias Antonini24%
Jari Vandeputte23%
Enrico Brignola15%
Alfredo Donnarumma13%
Giuseppe Ambrosino11%
Luca Verna10%
Simone Pontisso7%
Dimitrios Sounas6%
Andrea Ghion5%
Andrea Oliveri3%
Marco Pompetti3%
Nicolò Brighenti3%
Mario Šitum0%
Matteo Stoppa0%
Andrea Fulignati0%
Luka Krajnc0%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Jacopo Petriccione0%
Davide Veroli0%
Luca D'Andrea0%
Kevin Miranda0%
Panos Katseris0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stefano Scognamillo41%
Kevin Miranda30%
Nicolò Brighenti28%
Panos Katseris27%
Jacopo Petriccione26%
Davide Veroli19%
Mario Šitum19%
Jari Vandeputte18%
Dimitrios Sounas14%
Andrea Ghion14%
Luka Krajnc13%
Luca D'Andrea13%
Marco Pompetti13%
Matias Antonini12%
Matteo Stoppa12%
Simone Pontisso11%
Giuseppe Ambrosino11%
Tommaso Biasci10%
Pietro Iemmello8%
Luca Verna7%
Andrea Oliveri7%
Enrico Brignola5%
Andrea Fulignati2%
Alfredo Donnarumma0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jari Vandeputte31%
Pietro Iemmello18%
Panos Katseris13%
Dimitrios Sounas11%
Mario Šitum11%
Alfredo Donnarumma9%
Matteo Stoppa8%
Tommaso Biasci8%
Giuseppe Ambrosino7%
Marco Pompetti6%
Jacopo Petriccione5%
Luca Verna3%
Andrea Oliveri3%
Davide Veroli3%
Stefano Scognamillo3%
Enrico Brignola0%
Andrea Fulignati0%
Nicolò Brighenti0%
Luka Krajnc0%
Simone Pontisso0%
Andrea Ghion0%
Matias Antonini0%
Luca D'Andrea0%
Kevin Miranda0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pietro Iemmello24%
Tommaso Biasci21%
Alfredo Donnarumma13%
Jari Vandeputte10%
Matias Antonini6%
Luca D'Andrea4%
Giuseppe Ambrosino4%
Mario Šitum0%
Enrico Brignola0%
Matteo Stoppa0%
Luca Verna0%
Andrea Fulignati0%
Nicolò Brighenti0%
Luka Krajnc0%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Simone Pontisso0%
Jacopo Petriccione0%
Dimitrios Sounas0%
Andrea Ghion0%
Marco Pompetti0%
Davide Veroli0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Kevin Miranda0%
Panos Katseris0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Venezia
Parma
Como
Cremonese
Palermo
Sampdoria
Brescia
Cosenza
Sudtirol
Modena
Reggiana
Pisa
Cittadella
Bari
Spezia
Ascoli
FeralpiSalo
Lecco