This opponent (Niort) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niort
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.77
1.13
1.73
0.73
1.80
vs Stronger (13)
0.62
1.46
1.00
1.57
0.17
1.33
vs Similar (17)
1.18
2.00
1.25
1.88
1.11
2.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.4%
Under 1.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.4%
@ 2.12+5.2%
Under 2.5
50.6%
@ 1.68-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.5%
Under 3.5
72.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.2%
No
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.9%
0-0 ✓
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
5.0%
Valenciennes goals ↓
Niort goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.3%
6.3%
4.0%
1.4%
0.4%
1
10%
13%
6.3%
2.2%
0.6%
2
8.9%
9.5%
5.0%
1.8%
0.5%
3
4.7%
5.0%
2.7%
0.9%
0.2%
4
1.9%
2.0%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Valenciennes goals (down), columns = Niort goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Le Havre
1.98
Metz
1.95
Bordeaux
1.87
Bastia
1.52
Saint Etienne
1.50
Caen
1.48
Paris FC
1.45
Guingamp
1.38
Grenoble
1.35
Sochaux
1.35
Quevilly
1.32
Rouen
1.32
Amiens
1.25
Laval
1.23
Annecy
1.23
Rodez
1.21
PAU
1.18
Valenciennes
1.18
Dijon
1.10
Nimes
0.97
Niort
0.78
Valenciennes is 0.40 points better than Niort in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 0.78).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Saint Etienne
1.73
Metz
1.62
Bordeaux
1.41
Sochaux
1.40
Caen
1.32
Bastia
1.32
Guingamp
1.27
Quevilly
1.24
Rouen
1.24
Paris FC
1.20
Nimes
1.18
Laval
1.18
Le Havre
1.18
PAU
1.10
Amiens
1.07
Valenciennes
1.07
Annecy
1.05
Niort
1.02
Rodez
1.00
Dijon
1.00
Grenoble
0.85
Valenciennes is 0.05 goals better than Niort in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 1.02).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Le Havre
0.47
Bordeaux
0.69
Metz
0.85
Grenoble
0.95
Sochaux
1.07
Dijon
1.12
Rodez
1.13
Caen
1.15
Paris FC
1.18
Bastia
1.18
Guingamp
1.25
Valenciennes
1.25
Quevilly
1.29
Rouen
1.29
Annecy
1.32
Amiens
1.38
Laval
1.45
PAU
1.45
Saint Etienne
1.52
Nimes
1.62
Niort
1.82
Valenciennes is 0.57 goals better than Niort in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.82).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Valenciennes
For 2.0 · Against 8.5 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 0.5 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.5 · Against 20.0 · Total 37.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Niort
For 6.0 · Against 0.0 · Total 6.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 4.0 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 20.0 · Against 13.0 · Total 33.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Valenciennes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.1
7.1
9.1
1.7
2.0
1.5
31.8
32.5
31.1
vs Stronger (14)
9.2
10.0
8.8
1.7
1.1
2.3
24.8
17.0
28.8
vs Similar (36)
7.6
6.4
9.3
1.7
2.3
1.2
34.8
36.4
32.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
20%
10%
30%
26%
28%
24%
95%
90%
100%
% under line
80%
90%
70%
74%
72%
76%
5%
10%
0%
This opponent (Niort) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niort
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
7.1
9.8
1.0
1.0
1.0
26.3
26.6
26.0
vs Stronger (22)
9.2
7.8
10.4
0.8
1.0
0.6
23.1
23.5
22.8
vs Similar (28)
7.8
6.7
9.2
1.2
1.0
1.4
28.9
28.7
29.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
35%
20%
50%
10%
8%
12%
75%
80%
70%
% under line
65%
80%
50%
90%
92%
88%
25%
20%
30%
This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Metz
10.1
Nimes
9.5
Dijon
9.4
Saint Etienne
9.4
Bordeaux
9.4
Sochaux
9.3
Guingamp
9.2
PAU
9.1
Caen
9.1
Paris FC
8.8
Valenciennes
8.8
Niort
8.6
Amiens
8.6
Bastia
8.6
Grenoble
8.3
Le Havre
8.0
Rodez
7.8
Rouen
7.7
Annecy
7.0
Laval
4.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Laval
7.0
Valenciennes
4.6
Metz
4.5
Caen
4.4
Bordeaux
4.4
Sochaux
4.3
Grenoble
4.2
Guingamp
4.1
Saint Etienne
4.0
Annecy
4.0
Rouen
4.0
Le Havre
3.9
PAU
3.9
Bastia
3.9
Dijon
3.9
Rodez
3.9
Amiens
3.8
Nimes
3.7
Niort
3.3
Paris FC
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Laval
34.0
Valenciennes
31.4
Rouen
29.5
Caen
29.0
Guingamp
28.1
Rodez
28.1
Nimes
28.0
Bastia
27.8
Niort
27.7
Amiens
27.5
Dijon
27.0
Grenoble
26.9
PAU
26.9
Sochaux
26.0
Le Havre
25.7
Metz
25.4
Saint Etienne
25.3
Paris FC
24.9
Bordeaux
23.5
Annecy
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
35.0%
Under 9.5
65.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
55.6%
Under 3.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
92.2%
Under 21.5
7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Valenciennes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
0.71
1.00
1.00
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.52
0.73
0.45
0.42
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Niort) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niort
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.97
0.33
1.07
0.47
0.87
vs Stronger (13)
0.15
0.54
0.29
0.86
0.00
0.17
vs Similar (17)
0.59
1.29
0.38
1.25
0.78
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Valenciennes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Valenciennes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.83
0.80
0.73
0.20
0.93
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.14
1.25
1.50
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (23)
0.43
0.74
0.64
0.45
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Niort) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niort
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.80
0.80
0.67
0.27
0.93
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
0.92
0.71
0.71
0.17
1.17
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.71
0.88
0.62
0.33
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Valenciennes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Valenciennes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrian Grbić50%
Mohamed Kaba16%
Joffrey Cuffaut15%
Marius Noubissi11%
Jason Berthomier10%
Noah Diliberto10%
Ilyes Hamache9%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga8%
Ugo Bonnet8%
Floyd Ayité7%
Aymen Boutoutaou7%
Aeron Zinga7%
Mathieu Debuchy4%
Mathis Picouleau4%
Allan Linguet3%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Quentin Lecoeuche0%
Eric Vandenabeele0%
Julien Masson0%
Landry Nomel0%
Florian Martin0%
Stefan Bajić0%
Nassim Innocenti0%
Salim Ben Seghir0%
Matteo Rabuel0%
Madou Touré0%
Jordan Poha0%
Yassine Haouari0%
Lassana Sy0%
Sofiane Boudraa0%
Yacine El Amri0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Julien Masson33%
Madou Touré33%
Sofiane Boudraa29%
Eric Vandenabeele25%
Jordan Poha22%
Mathis Picouleau19%
Mohamed Kaba19%
Mathieu Debuchy17%
Jason Berthomier15%
Quentin Lecoeuche13%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga12%
Allan Linguet12%
Joffrey Cuffaut12%
Nassim Innocenti11%
Ilyes Hamache9%
Ugo Bonnet8%
Adrian Grbić7%
Noah Diliberto6%
Gautier Larsonneur6%
Marius Noubissi6%
Salim Ben Seghir6%
Aymen Boutoutaou3%
Floyd Ayité0%
Landry Nomel0%
Florian Martin0%
Stefan Bajić0%
Aeron Zinga0%
Matteo Rabuel0%
Yassine Haouari0%
Lassana Sy0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yassine Haouari14%
Sofiane Boudraa14%
Aymen Boutoutaou13%
Quentin Lecoeuche13%
Jordan Poha11%
Noah Diliberto10%
Aeron Zinga7%
Salim Ben Seghir6%
Julien Masson5%
Joffrey Cuffaut4%
Mathis Picouleau4%
Mohamed Kaba3%
Allan Linguet3%
Ugo Bonnet3%
Adrian Grbić0%
Marius Noubissi0%
Floyd Ayité0%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Eric Vandenabeele0%
Jason Berthomier0%
Mathieu Debuchy0%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga0%
Landry Nomel0%
Florian Martin0%
Stefan Bajić0%
Nassim Innocenti0%
Matteo Rabuel0%
Madou Touré0%
Ilyes Hamache0%
Lassana Sy0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adrian Grbić36%
Aymen Boutoutaou23%
Aeron Zinga7%
Marius Noubissi6%
Mathieu Debuchy4%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga4%
Mathis Picouleau4%
Mohamed Kaba3%
Ugo Bonnet3%
Floyd Ayité0%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Quentin Lecoeuche0%
Eric Vandenabeele0%
Jason Berthomier0%
Joffrey Cuffaut0%
Allan Linguet0%
Julien Masson0%
Landry Nomel0%
Florian Martin0%
Stefan Bajić0%
Nassim Innocenti0%
Noah Diliberto0%
Salim Ben Seghir0%
Matteo Rabuel0%
Madou Touré0%
Jordan Poha0%
Yassine Haouari0%
Ilyes Hamache0%
Lassana Sy0%
Sofiane Boudraa0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Niort
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bilal Boutobba29%
Moataz Zemzemi17%
Nesta Elphege17%
Junior Flemmings12%
Oumar Ngom12%
Amadou Sagna11%
Junior Olaitan9%
Samuel Renel8%
Kevin Rocheteau6%
Bryan Passi5%
Ibrahima Sory Conté5%
Lenny Vallier4%
Yanis Merdji4%
Samy Benchama3%
Charles Kabore0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama0%
Mathieu Michel0%
Jean Louchet0%
Joris Moutachy0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Ryan Bakayoko0%
Landry Manga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Charles Kabore30%
Dylan Durivaux21%
Bilal Boutobba17%
Joris Moutachy15%
Ibrahima Sory Conté14%
Moataz Zemzemi13%
Junior Flemmings12%
Oumar Ngom12%
Junior Olaitan12%
Quentin Bernard12%
Lenny Vallier11%
Yanis Merdji11%
Bryan Passi11%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo7%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama6%
Samy Benchama6%
Kevin Rocheteau6%
Amadou Sagna5%
Samuel Renel4%
Mathieu Michel3%
Jean Louchet0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Ryan Bakayoko0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Landry Manga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Amadou Sagna14%
Bilal Boutobba11%
Ryan Bakayoko9%
Junior Olaitan9%
Charles Kabore7%
Ibrahima Sory Conté5%
Samuel Renel4%
Moataz Zemzemi3%
Quentin Bernard0%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama0%
Mathieu Michel0%
Yanis Merdji0%
Jean Louchet0%
Bryan Passi0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Kevin Rocheteau0%
Junior Flemmings0%
Samy Benchama0%
Joris Moutachy0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Landry Manga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bilal Boutobba20%
Junior Olaitan18%
Junior Flemmings12%
Ryan Bakayoko9%
Amadou Sagna5%
Yanis Merdji4%
Charles Kabore0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Ibrahima Sory Conté0%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama0%
Mathieu Michel0%
Jean Louchet0%
Bryan Passi0%
Moataz Zemzemi0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Kevin Rocheteau0%
Samy Benchama0%
Samuel Renel0%
Joris Moutachy0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Landry Manga0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Le Havre
Metz
Bordeaux
Bastia
Saint Etienne
Caen
Paris FC
Guingamp
Sochaux
Grenoble
Quevilly
Rouen
Amiens
Laval
Annecy
Rodez
PAU
Dijon
Nimes