This opponent (Rouen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rouen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.40
0.94
1.12
0.64
1.71
vs Stronger (19)
0.84
1.47
1.20
1.00
0.44
2.00
vs Similar (11)
0.73
1.27
0.50
1.33
1.00
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
63.7%
Under 1.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.5%
@ 2.47-2.6%
Under 2.5
64.5%
@ 1.52+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.4%
Under 3.5
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.2%
No
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.8%
1-1
13.8%
0-0 ✓
13.3%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.9%
3-0
4.8%
Valenciennes goals ↓
Rouen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
8.2%
3.7%
1.0%
0.2%
1
15%
14%
4.9%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
8.4%
3.3%
0.9%
0.2%
3
4.8%
3.7%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.6%
1.2%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Valenciennes goals (down), columns = Rouen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Le Havre
1.98
Metz
1.95
Bordeaux
1.87
Bastia
1.52
Saint Etienne
1.50
Caen
1.48
Paris FC
1.45
Guingamp
1.38
Grenoble
1.35
Sochaux
1.35
Quevilly
1.32
Rouen
1.32
Amiens
1.25
Laval
1.23
Annecy
1.23
Rodez
1.21
PAU
1.18
Valenciennes
1.18
Dijon
1.10
Nimes
0.97
Niort
0.78
Valenciennes is 0.14 points worse than Rouen in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.32).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Saint Etienne
1.73
Metz
1.62
Bordeaux
1.41
Sochaux
1.40
Caen
1.32
Bastia
1.32
Guingamp
1.27
Quevilly
1.24
Rouen
1.24
Paris FC
1.20
Nimes
1.18
Laval
1.18
Le Havre
1.18
PAU
1.10
Amiens
1.07
Valenciennes
1.07
Annecy
1.05
Niort
1.02
Rodez
1.00
Dijon
1.00
Grenoble
0.85
Valenciennes is 0.16 goals worse than Rouen in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Le Havre
0.47
Bordeaux
0.69
Metz
0.85
Grenoble
0.95
Sochaux
1.07
Dijon
1.12
Rodez
1.13
Caen
1.15
Paris FC
1.18
Bastia
1.18
Guingamp
1.25
Valenciennes
1.25
Quevilly
1.29
Rouen
1.29
Annecy
1.32
Amiens
1.38
Laval
1.45
PAU
1.45
Saint Etienne
1.52
Nimes
1.62
Niort
1.82
Valenciennes is 0.04 goals better than Rouen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.29).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Valenciennes
For 3.6 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.8 · Against 14.3 · Total 30.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rouen
For 3.8 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 12.8 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Valenciennes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.2
9.4
4.3
4.7
4.0
31.1
30.8
31.6
vs Stronger (16)
9.6
9.2
10.0
3.3
3.7
2.9
27.0
25.8
28.7
vs Similar (34)
8.5
7.8
9.2
4.8
5.2
4.4
32.9
33.2
32.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
36%
33%
39%
70%
80%
60%
98%
96%
100%
% under line
64%
67%
61%
30%
20%
40%
2%
4%
0%
This opponent (Rouen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rouen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.2
9.3
3.8
4.2
3.4
30.1
29.0
31.2
vs Stronger (32)
8.8
8.0
9.7
3.6
4.1
3.1
29.4
28.6
30.4
vs Similar (18)
8.5
8.4
8.6
4.1
4.3
3.9
31.3
29.9
33.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
37%
27%
48%
52%
65%
38%
85%
86%
84%
% under line
63%
73%
52%
48%
35%
62%
15%
14%
16%
This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Metz
10.1
Nimes
9.5
Bordeaux
9.4
Saint Etienne
9.4
Dijon
9.3
Sochaux
9.3
Guingamp
9.2
PAU
9.1
Caen
9.0
Paris FC
8.9
Valenciennes
8.8
Bastia
8.7
Niort
8.7
Rouen
8.7
Amiens
8.5
Grenoble
8.4
Le Havre
8.0
Rodez
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Metz
4.6
Valenciennes
4.5
Bordeaux
4.4
Caen
4.3
Sochaux
4.2
Grenoble
4.1
Guingamp
4.0
Saint Etienne
4.0
PAU
4.0
Rodez
3.9
Dijon
3.9
Le Havre
3.8
Amiens
3.8
Rouen
3.8
Bastia
3.8
Nimes
3.8
Niort
3.3
Paris FC
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Valenciennes
31.3
Rouen
30.1
Caen
28.6
Rodez
28.3
Nimes
28.1
Guingamp
28.0
Amiens
27.5
Niort
27.5
Bastia
27.2
Dijon
27.0
PAU
26.8
Grenoble
26.5
Sochaux
26.0
Metz
25.6
Le Havre
25.4
Saint Etienne
25.3
Paris FC
24.9
Bordeaux
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
36.6%
Under 9.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
57.6%
Under 3.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
92.4%
Under 21.5
7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Valenciennes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.60
0.73
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
0.92
0.17
1.17
0.50
0.67
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.56
0.89
0.44
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rouen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.70
0.50
0.75
0.21
0.64
vs Stronger (19)
0.37
0.68
0.60
0.60
0.11
0.78
vs Similar (11)
0.36
0.73
0.33
1.00
0.40
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Valenciennes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Valenciennes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.47
0.47
0.47
0.20
0.47
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.17
0.33
vs Similar (18)
0.28
0.33
0.33
0.11
0.22
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rouen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.70
0.44
0.38
0.29
1.07
vs Stronger (19)
0.47
0.79
0.60
0.40
0.33
1.22
vs Similar (11)
0.18
0.55
0.17
0.33
0.20
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Valenciennes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Valenciennes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrian Grbić50%
Mohamed Kaba16%
Joffrey Cuffaut15%
Marius Noubissi11%
Jason Berthomier10%
Noah Diliberto10%
Ilyes Hamache9%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga8%
Ugo Bonnet8%
Floyd Ayité7%
Aymen Boutoutaou7%
Aeron Zinga7%
Mathieu Debuchy4%
Mathis Picouleau4%
Allan Linguet3%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Quentin Lecoeuche0%
Eric Vandenabeele0%
Julien Masson0%
Landry Nomel0%
Florian Martin0%
Stefan Bajić0%
Nassim Innocenti0%
Salim Ben Seghir0%
Matteo Rabuel0%
Madou Touré0%
Jordan Poha0%
Yassine Haouari0%
Lassana Sy0%
Sofiane Boudraa0%
Yacine El Amri0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Julien Masson33%
Madou Touré33%
Sofiane Boudraa29%
Eric Vandenabeele25%
Jordan Poha22%
Mathis Picouleau19%
Mohamed Kaba19%
Mathieu Debuchy17%
Jason Berthomier15%
Quentin Lecoeuche13%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga12%
Allan Linguet12%
Joffrey Cuffaut12%
Nassim Innocenti11%
Ilyes Hamache9%
Ugo Bonnet8%
Adrian Grbić7%
Noah Diliberto6%
Gautier Larsonneur6%
Marius Noubissi6%
Salim Ben Seghir6%
Aymen Boutoutaou3%
Floyd Ayité0%
Landry Nomel0%
Florian Martin0%
Stefan Bajić0%
Aeron Zinga0%
Matteo Rabuel0%
Yassine Haouari0%
Lassana Sy0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yassine Haouari14%
Sofiane Boudraa14%
Aymen Boutoutaou13%
Quentin Lecoeuche13%
Jordan Poha11%
Noah Diliberto10%
Aeron Zinga7%
Salim Ben Seghir6%
Julien Masson5%
Joffrey Cuffaut4%
Mathis Picouleau4%
Mohamed Kaba3%
Allan Linguet3%
Ugo Bonnet3%
Adrian Grbić0%
Marius Noubissi0%
Floyd Ayité0%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Eric Vandenabeele0%
Jason Berthomier0%
Mathieu Debuchy0%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga0%
Landry Nomel0%
Florian Martin0%
Stefan Bajić0%
Nassim Innocenti0%
Matteo Rabuel0%
Madou Touré0%
Ilyes Hamache0%
Lassana Sy0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adrian Grbić36%
Aymen Boutoutaou23%
Aeron Zinga7%
Marius Noubissi6%
Mathieu Debuchy4%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga4%
Mathis Picouleau4%
Mohamed Kaba3%
Ugo Bonnet3%
Floyd Ayité0%
Gautier Larsonneur0%
Quentin Lecoeuche0%
Eric Vandenabeele0%
Jason Berthomier0%
Joffrey Cuffaut0%
Allan Linguet0%
Julien Masson0%
Landry Nomel0%
Florian Martin0%
Stefan Bajić0%
Nassim Innocenti0%
Noah Diliberto0%
Salim Ben Seghir0%
Matteo Rabuel0%
Madou Touré0%
Jordan Poha0%
Yassine Haouari0%
Ilyes Hamache0%
Lassana Sy0%
Sofiane Boudraa0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (37)
€176m
SE (30)
€93m
LH (25)
€55m
MET (26)
€43m
ROD (23)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
ANN (21)
€10m
LAV (24)
€9m
BAS (19)
€7m
SOC (20)
€7m
DIJ (20)
€5m
AMI (14)
€4m
CAE (18)
€4m
VAL (21)
€4m
ROU (14)
€3m
QUE (10)
€2m
Valenciennes's squad is €1m more valuable than Rouen's (€4m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
SE (10)
€54m
MET (11)
€17m
LH (10)
€9m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
BAS (9)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
ANN (7)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
LAV (7)
€2m
CAE (8)
€2m
ROU (5)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€1m
VAL (8)
€1m
AMI (4)
€0m
QUE (2)
€0m
Valenciennes and Rouen have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
LH (5)
€23m
MET (5)
€18m
SE (7)
€11m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
ANN (6)
€3m
LAV (7)
€3m
GRE (5)
€3m
PAU (4)
€2m
DIJ (6)
€2m
BAS (3)
€1m
SOC (3)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
CAE (4)
€1m
AMI (2)
€0m
QUE (2)
€0m
ROU (3)
€0m
Valenciennes and Rouen have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (17)
€62m
SE (13)
€28m
LH (10)
€23m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
PAU (10)
€6m
LAV (10)
€4m
ANN (8)
€4m
GRE (10)
€4m
AMI (8)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
BAS (7)
€2m
VAL (10)
€2m
CAE (6)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€2m
QUE (6)
€1m
ROU (6)
€1m
Valenciennes and Rouen have a similar defence value (both €2m).
France: Ligue 2 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Le Havre
Metz
Bordeaux
Bastia
Saint Etienne
Caen
Paris FC
Guingamp
Sochaux
Grenoble
Quevilly
Amiens
Laval
Annecy
Rodez
PAU
Dijon
Nimes
Niort