Yeovil vs Solihull Result & Analysis

Date: 25/04/2026

Time: 12:30

Final 1-4

Yeovil

37%

30%

33%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Solihull

England: National League

Referee: A Humphries

Match preview & prediction

This match between Yeovil and Solihull in the England National League is finely balanced, with Yeovil coming off a draw against Carlisle, while Solihull is looking to bounce back from two consecutive defeats. The model predicts a Home win, with a 37% chance, followed by a Draw at 30%, and an Away win at 33%.

The expected total number of goals is 2.5, with the most likely total being 2. The model suggests a 1-1 scoreline as the most likely outcome, with a probability of 14.1%.

At home, Yeovil scores an average of 1.21 goals and concedes 1.36, while away, Solihull scores 0.67 goals and concedes 1.33.

The model's selection for the match is a Home win, with a 37% chance. Other selections include Under 3.5 with a 75.9% chance and Over 1.5 with a 72.4% chance.

The probabilities for each outcome are: Home win 37%, Draw 30%, Away win 33%. The model's selections are: Home win 37%, Under 3.5 75.9%, and Over 1.5 72.4%.

Results analysis

In a stunning upset, Solihull secured a 1-4 away win over pre-match favourite Yeovil, marking a departure from their recent form which had seen them come off a draw. This result extends Yeovil's winless streak, while Solihull's victory follows two consecutive straight defeats. The model's selection, Home win, was incorrect, with a pre-match probability of 37%. The model's call was wrong. Meanwhile, the model's selection of Under 3.5 goals missed, with a probability of 75.9%, and Over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 72.4%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Yeovil win✗ Miss

37.3%

Avg Implied 32.3% · @ 2.80

Edge

+5.0%

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Draw✗ Miss

29.6%

Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.31

Edge

+2.3%

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Solihull win✓ Hit

33.1%

Avg Implied 40.4% · @ 2.24

Edge

-7.3%

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Yeovil

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.4

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

1.4

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.00	1.37	1.20	1.27	0.80	1.47
vs Stronger (1)	2.00	3.00	-	-	2.00	3.00
vs Similar (26)	1.00	1.35	1.21	1.36	0.75	1.33
vs Weaker (3)	0.67	1.00	1.00	0.00	0.50	1.50
Clean sheet %	23% (-3pp vs league)

This opponent (Solihull) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Solihull

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.3

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

1.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.67	1.50	2.20	1.67	1.13	1.33
vs Stronger (2)	2.50	1.50	4.00	1.00	1.00	2.00
vs Similar (20)	1.35	1.80	1.91	2.18	0.67	1.33
vs Weaker (8)	2.25	0.75	2.67	0.00	2.00	1.20
Clean sheet %	27% (+1pp vs league)

This opponent (Yeovil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

72.4%

Under 1.5

27.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

45.5%

@ 1.83-5.3%

Under 2.5

54.5%

@ 1.89+5.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

24.1%

Under 3.5

75.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

52.0%

48.0%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

14.1%

0-0

9.5%

1-0

9.4%

0-1

8.6%

2-1

8.3%

1-2

7.7%

2-0

6.9%

0-2

6.0%

Yeovil goals ↓

	Solihull goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.5%	8.6%	6.0%	2.4%	0.7%
1	9.4%	14%	7.7%	3.1%	0.9%
2	6.9%	8.3%	5.0%	2.0%	0.6%
3	3.0%	3.6%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.0%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Yeovil goals (down), columns = Solihull goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

York

2.35

Rochdale

2.30

Carlisle

2.07

Boreham Wood

1.96

Scunthorpe

1.78

Forest Green

1.76

Southend

1.76

Halifax

1.52

Hartlepool

1.48

Woking

1.37

Tamworth

1.35

Boston Utd

1.28

Altrincham

1.24

Solihull

1.22

Wealdstone

1.22

Yeovil

1.11

Gateshead

1.09

Eastleigh

1.09

Sutton

1.02

Aldershot

1.00

Brackley Town

0.91

Morecambe

0.83

Braintree Town

0.78

Truro

0.74

Yeovil is 0.11 points worse than Solihull in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

York

2.48

Boreham Wood

2.07

Rochdale

1.91

Carlisle

1.89

Southend

1.80

Forest Green

1.78

Scunthorpe

1.72

Solihull

1.54

Halifax

1.50

Woking

1.50

Aldershot

1.50

Wealdstone

1.48

Morecambe

1.43

Boston Utd

1.37

Tamworth

1.37

Sutton

1.28

Eastleigh

1.24

Altrincham

1.20

Gateshead

1.17

Hartlepool

1.17

Yeovil

1.04

Truro

0.91

Brackley Town

0.87

Braintree Town

0.83

Yeovil is 0.50 goals worse than Solihull in terms of goals scored per game (1.04 vs 1.54).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

York

0.89

Rochdale

0.89

Southend

1.02

Carlisle

1.11

Forest Green

1.13

Woking

1.17

Boreham Wood

1.26

Hartlepool

1.28

Scunthorpe

1.37

Altrincham

1.41

Halifax

1.43

Boston Utd

1.46

Yeovil

1.48

Tamworth

1.54

Solihull

1.57

Truro

1.57

Brackley Town

1.63

Braintree Town

1.65

Wealdstone

1.65

Sutton

1.72

Eastleigh

1.74

Aldershot

1.89

Gateshead

1.96

Morecambe

2.24

Yeovil is 0.09 goals better than Solihull in terms of goals conceded per game (1.48 vs 1.57).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %

York

62%

Boreham Wood

58%

Wealdstone

57%

Rochdale

56%

Sutton

54%

Aldershot

54%

Forest Green

53%

Southend

52%

Altrincham

52%

Gateshead

50%

Woking

50%

Scunthorpe

49%

Morecambe

49%

Carlisle

49%

Solihull

48%

Braintree Town

48%

Halifax

48%

Hartlepool

47%

Yeovil

47%

Truro

44%

Eastleigh

41%

Brackley Town

40%

Tamworth

38%

Yeovil is 1.4 percentage points worse than Solihull in terms of average possession (47% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔥 6. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 3.5	75.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss
Over 1.5	72.4%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit

💰 7. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

WEA (2)

€0m

MOR (2)

€0m

SCU (1)

€0m

CAR (1)

€0m

ALT (2)

€0m

HAR (1)

€0m

YOR (2)

€0m

SOU (1)

€0m

SUT (1)

€0m

SOL (1)

€0m

ROC (1)

€0m

BT (1)

€0m

BU (1)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

SCU (1)

€0m

SOU (1)

€0m

SOL (1)

€0m

ROC (1)

€0m

ALT (1)

€0m

WEA (1)

€0m

MOR (1)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

BU (0)

€0m

YOR (0)

€0m

BT (0)

€0m

SUT (0)

€0m

HAR (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

MOR (1)

€0m

WEA (1)

€0m

CAR (1)

€0m

ALT (1)

€0m

SUT (1)

€0m

SCU (0)

€0m

BU (0)

€0m

ROC (0)

€0m

YOR (0)

€0m

SOU (0)

€0m

SOL (0)

€0m

BT (0)

€0m

HAR (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

HAR (1)

€0m

YOR (2)

€0m

BT (1)

€0m

BU (1)

€0m

SCU (0)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

ROC (0)

€0m

SOU (0)

€0m

ALT (0)

€0m

SOL (0)

€0m

SUT (0)

€0m

MOR (0)

€0m

WEA (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 8. Games History

Head-to-head

Yeovil vs Solihull · H/A from YEO

Date	H/A	Game	Score
02/09/25	A	Solihull Vs YEO	0-1
22/03/25	A	Solihull Vs YEO	0-3
10/09/24	H	YEO Vs Solihull	0-1
15/04/23	A	Solihull Vs YEO	2-2
08/10/22	H	YEO Vs Solihull	1-0
05/02/22	H	YEO Vs Solihull	0-0
30/10/21	A	Solihull Vs YEO	0-0
27/04/21	H	YEO Vs Solihull	3-0

Yeovil

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
18/04/26	A	York Vs YEO	3-0
11/04/26	H	YEO Vs Halifax	0-0
06/04/26	A	Eastleigh Vs YEO	2-1
03/04/26	H	YEO Vs Truro	1-0
31/03/26	A	Southend Vs YEO	2-1
28/03/26	A	Gateshead Vs YEO	2-1
25/03/26	A	Wealdstone Vs YEO	0-2
21/03/26	H	YEO Vs Morecambe	3-2
17/03/26	A	Woking Vs YEO	1-0
14/03/26	A	Boston Utd Vs YEO	2-1

Solihull

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
18/04/26	H	SOL Vs Boston Utd	0-3
14/04/26	A	Woking Vs SOL	0-0
11/04/26	A	Southend Vs SOL	0-0
06/04/26	H	SOL Vs Boreham Wood	4-1
03/04/26	A	Tamworth Vs SOL	1-0
28/03/26	H	SOL Vs Altrincham	1-0
25/03/26	A	Truro Vs SOL	1-1
21/03/26	H	SOL Vs Halifax	0-3
17/03/26	A	Brackley Town Vs SOL	1-1
14/03/26	A	Wealdstone Vs SOL	5-1

📊 9. Overall Statistics

Yeovil

England: National League

Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LWLDL	1.10
Home	WLWWD	1.44
Away	WLLLL	0.76

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	32%	40%	24%
AVG goals	2.46	2.56	2.36
Over 1.5 %	70%	76%	64%
Over 2.5 %	50%	48%	52%
Over 3.5 %	16%	20%	12%
Scored	1.04	1.20	0.88
Conceded	1.42	1.36	1.48
BTTS	48%	56%	40%
Clean Sheet	22%	24%	20%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	4.08	4.32	3.84

Solihull

England: National League

Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LWDDL	1.20
Home	LLWWL	1.23
Away	DDLDD	1.17

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	35%	25%
AVG goals	3.02	3.62	2.38
Over 1.5 %	78%	81%	75%
Over 2.5 %	50%	65%	33%
Over 3.5 %	30%	42%	17%
Scored	1.46	1.85	1.04
Conceded	1.56	1.77	1.33
BTTS	52%	54%	50%
Clean Sheet	24%	19%	29%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	3.88	3.54	4.25

🏆 10. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	York	46	108	72%	2.3	114	41	+73	3.4	87%	72%	50%	-	0%	3.9	52%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.5	0.9	62%
2	Rochdale	46	106	72%	2.3	88	41	+47	2.8	80%	59%	28%	-	0%	3.1	48%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.9	0.9	56%
3	Carlisle	46	95	63%	2.1	87	51	+36	3.0	83%	61%	30%	-	0%	3.6	52%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.9	1.1	49%
4	Boreham Wood	46	90	59%	2.0	95	58	+37	3.3	89%	72%	39%	-	0%	3.2	43%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.1	1.3	58%
5	Scunthorpe	46	82	50%	1.8	79	63	+16	3.1	87%	61%	35%	-	0%	4.1	63%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.7	1.4	49%
6	Southend	46	81	50%	1.8	83	47	+36	2.8	83%	52%	20%	-	0%	3.7	54%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	1.0	52%
7	Forest Green	46	81	50%	1.8	82	52	+30	2.9	85%	52%	33%	-	0%	4.2	65%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	1.1	53%
8	Halifax	46	70	43%	1.5	69	66	+3	2.9	80%	63%	28%	-	0%	4.5	72%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	1.4	48%
9	Hartlepool	46	68	39%	1.5	54	59	-5	2.5	67%	41%	24%	-	0%	3.2	46%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.2	1.3	47%
10	Woking	46	63	35%	1.4	69	54	+15	2.7	76%	48%	30%	-	0%	4.1	57%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	1.2	50%
11	Tamworth	46	62	37%	1.3	63	71	-8	2.9	78%	54%	33%	-	0%	3.8	63%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	1.5	38%
12	Boston Utd	46	59	33%	1.3	63	67	-4	2.8	78%	54%	28%	-	0%	4.1	61%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	1.5	-
13	Altrincham	46	57	37%	1.2	55	65	-10	2.6	76%	57%	20%	-	0%	4.6	70%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.2	1.4	52%
14	Solihull	46	56	30%	1.2	71	72	-1	3.1	78%	52%	33%	-	0%	3.9	65%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	1.6	48%
15	Wealdstone	46	56	33%	1.2	68	76	-8	3.1	87%	57%	35%	-	0%	3.7	52%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	1.7	57%
16	Yeovil	46	51	33%	1.1	48	68	-20	2.5	70%	50%	20%	-	0%	4.1	59%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	1.5	47%
17	Eastleigh	46	50	28%	1.1	57	80	-23	3.0	85%	57%	35%	-	0%	4.2	61%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.2	1.7	41%
18	Gateshead	46	50	30%	1.1	54	90	-36	3.1	85%	65%	35%	-	0%	3.4	50%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.2	2.0	50%
19	Sutton	46	47	24%	1.0	59	79	-20	3.0	80%	61%	33%	-	0%	4.5	65%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.3	1.7	54%
20	Aldershot	46	46	28%	1.0	69	87	-18	3.4	89%	70%	41%	-	0%	4.7	70%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	1.9	54%
21	Brackley Town	46	42	22%	0.9	40	75	-35	2.5	74%	43%	20%	-	0%	4.1	59%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.9	1.6	40%
22	Morecambe	46	38	20%	0.8	66	103	-37	3.7	89%	70%	50%	-	0%	3.8	57%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	2.2	49%
23	Braintree Town	46	36	17%	0.8	38	76	-38	2.5	70%	48%	26%	-	0%	4.0	54%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.8	1.7	48%
24	Truro	46	34	17%	0.7	42	72	-30	2.5	74%	43%	24%	-	0%	3.3	46%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.9	1.6	44%

England: National League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →

← all matches

Yeovil vs Solihull Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Yeovil

Solihull

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🔥 6. Top picks for this game

💰 7. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 8. Games History

Head-to-head

Yeovil

Solihull

📊 9. Overall Statistics

🏆 10. League Table

A Pro feature