Zaglebie Lubin vs Raków Częstochowa Result & Analysis

Defensive solidity will shape this encounter, as Zaglebie Lubin have been conceding over two goals per match at home against stronger opposition, while Raków Częstochowa have been allowing less than a goal on the road against weaker teams. The model favours an away win, with a 53% chance of Raków triumphing, a 29% chance of a draw and a 18% chance of a home victory. The expected total is 2.2 goals, centring on a 2-goal match. The single most likely scoreline is 0-1 for Raków, with a 15% probability.

Zaglebie’s home form shows 0.33 goals scored and 2.33 conceded, whereas Raków’s away form boasts 1.18 goals scored and 0.64 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 3.5 goals at 82%, Over 19.5 fouls at 82%, Under 5.5 cards at 79.7% (missed), Over 2.5 cards at 75.1% and Under 11.5 corners at 71% (missed). The teams are coming off a draw for Zaglebie and a defeat for Raków, adding a slight edge to the visitors.

The 0-2 defeat of Zaglebie Lubin by Raków Czestochowa confirmed the model’s prediction of an away win, a call that was correct. The result extended Raków’s recent run, while Zaglebie’s form had only a single draw in their last five. The model’s favourite, an away win, carried a 53% probability, and the match finished as expected. The suggested picks performed mixedly: Under 3.5 goals hit at 82%, Over 19.5 fouls also hit at 82%, Under 5.5 cards missed at 79.7%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 75.1%, and Under 11.5 corners missed at 71%. Overall, the model’s selections were largely accurate, with only two of the five picks falling short.