This opponent (Skalica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Skalica
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.33
0.93
0.93
1.50
1.69
vs Stronger (10)
0.80
1.70
0.50
1.75
1.00
1.67
vs Similar (20)
1.45
1.15
1.10
0.60
1.80
1.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.5%
Under 1.5
11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
70.3%
Under 2.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
49.2%
Under 3.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.1%
No
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
3-0
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
1-0
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
Žilina goals ↓
Skalica goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.4%
2.5%
2.0%
0.8%
0.2%
1
5.6%
8.6%
4.8%
2.0%
0.6%
2
7.7%
9.4%
5.8%
2.4%
0.7%
3
6.1%
7.5%
4.6%
1.9%
0.6%
4
3.7%
4.5%
2.8%
1.1%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Žilina goals (down), columns = Skalica goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slovan Bratislava
2.25
Žilina
1.69
Dunajska Streda
1.68
Spartak Trnava
1.62
FK Košice
1.36
Komárno
1.22
Zemplín Michalovce
1.21
Skalica
1.19
AS Trencin
1.15
Ružomberok
1.12
Podbrezová
1.12
Dukla Banská Bystrica
0.69
Zlaté Moravce
0.50
Žilina is 0.50 points better than Skalica in terms of average points per game (1.69 vs 1.19).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slovan Bratislava
2.31
Žilina
1.72
Dunajska Streda
1.56
Zlaté Moravce
1.50
Zemplín Michalovce
1.48
Spartak Trnava
1.44
FK Košice
1.42
Podbrezová
1.29
AS Trencin
1.24
Komárno
1.12
Skalica
1.12
Ružomberok
1.09
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.09
Žilina is 0.59 goals better than Skalica in terms of goals scored per game (1.72 vs 1.12).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spartak Trnava
1.06
Dunajska Streda
1.09
FK Košice
1.21
Slovan Bratislava
1.22
Žilina
1.25
Skalica
1.41
Podbrezová
1.41
Komárno
1.50
AS Trencin
1.50
Ružomberok
1.56
Zemplín Michalovce
1.76
Dukla Banská Bystrica
1.88
Zlaté Moravce
2.50
Žilina is 0.16 goals better than Skalica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.41).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Žilina
59%
Slovan Bratislava
59%
AS Trencin
53%
Dunajska Streda
52%
Zemplín Michalovce
50%
Podbrezová
49%
Spartak Trnava
48%
Ružomberok
48%
FK Košice
47%
Skalica
46%
Dukla Banská Bystrica
45%
Komárno
43%
Žilina is 12.7 percentage points better than Skalica in terms of average possession (59% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Žilina
For 5.6 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 12.9 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Skalica
For 5.2 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 13.4 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Žilina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.0
9.5
3.1
3.4
2.9
23.1
23.6
22.5
vs Stronger (8)
7.4
8.8
5.7
1.1
1.0
1.2
20.4
20.5
20.3
vs Similar (20)
9.2
9.4
9.0
3.6
4.6
2.7
23.8
23.2
24.4
vs Weaker (22)
11.0
11.1
11.0
3.4
3.1
3.6
23.5
25.1
21.8
% over line
46%
48%
43%
38%
44%
32%
58%
54%
62%
% under line
54%
52%
57%
62%
56%
68%
42%
46%
38%
This opponent (Skalica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Skalica
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.4
8.8
4.3
3.6
5.0
26.2
26.2
26.2
vs Stronger (16)
8.7
8.2
9.1
4.7
3.2
6.1
27.2
26.5
28.0
vs Similar (34)
9.3
10.0
8.6
4.1
3.7
4.5
25.8
26.1
25.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
49%
56%
42%
68%
60%
76%
80%
84%
75%
% under line
51%
44%
58%
32%
40%
24%
20%
16%
25%
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Podbrezová
11.4
Dukla Banská Bystrica
10.5
Zemplín Michalovce
10.4
Dunajska Streda
10.3
Komárno
10.2
Zlaté Moravce
10.1
AS Trencin
9.8
Ružomberok
9.7
Žilina
9.7
FK Košice
9.3
Skalica
9.1
Spartak Trnava
8.9
Slovan Bratislava
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
AS Trencin
4.6
Komárno
4.5
Skalica
4.3
Dunajska Streda
4.3
Spartak Trnava
4.2
Podbrezová
3.9
Zlaté Moravce
3.8
Ružomberok
3.8
Slovan Bratislava
3.7
Zemplín Michalovce
3.6
FK Košice
3.5
Žilina
3.5
Dukla Banská Bystrica
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Skalica
26.3
Zlaté Moravce
25.8
Dunajska Streda
25.4
Zemplín Michalovce
25.4
Spartak Trnava
25.2
AS Trencin
24.3
Slovan Bratislava
24.2
FK Košice
24.2
Ružomberok
23.7
Podbrezová
23.7
Dukla Banská Bystrica
23.2
Žilina
23.1
Komárno
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.5%
Under 9.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.7%
Under 3.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
81.3%
Under 21.5
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Žilina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.33
1.07
0.43
0.94
0.25
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
2.00
0.50
vs Similar (12)
1.08
0.25
1.17
0.33
1.00
0.17
vs Weaker (14)
0.93
0.21
1.33
0.17
0.62
0.25
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Skalica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Skalica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.57
0.57
0.69
0.81
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.70
0.25
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.70
0.70
0.40
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Žilina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skalica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skalica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skalica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Žilina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.80
1.00
1.00
0.75
0.62
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.25
0.00
2.00
2.00
0.50
vs Similar (12)
0.92
0.50
1.33
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (14)
0.79
0.93
1.00
1.17
0.62
0.75
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Skalica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Skalica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.36
0.36
0.81
0.88
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.00
0.25
0.75
0.50
1.17
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.45
0.40
0.20
1.00
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Žilina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skalica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skalica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skalica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Žilina
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrián Kaprálik31%
Yves Erick Bile28%
Dávid Ďuriš25%
Mario Sauer19%
Denis Alijagič17%
Xavier Adang16%
Peter Pekarík14%
Timotej Hranica12%
Ján Minárik10%
Ridwan Sanusi10%
Timotej Jambor9%
Miroslav Káčer7%
Krisztián Bari6%
Lukas Prokop6%
Samuel Gidi4%
Samuel Kopásek3%
Patrik Iľko3%
Tomáš Hubočan0%
Samuel Ďatko0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Aleksandre Narimanidze0%
James Ndjeungoue0%
Frantisek Kosa0%
Basirou Badjie0%
Tobias Paliscak0%
Adama Drame0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksandre Narimanidze57%
James Ndjeungoue38%
Samuel Kopásek20%
Frantisek Kosa20%
Tomáš Hubočan18%
Adama Drame15%
Ján Minárik15%
Samuel Gidi15%
Peter Pekarík14%
Miroslav Káčer14%
Adrián Kaprálik12%
Yves Erick Bile11%
Samuel Ďatko10%
Ridwan Sanusi10%
Krisztián Bari10%
Dávid Ďuriš9%
Mario Sauer9%
Timotej Hranica6%
Lukas Prokop6%
Patrik Iľko3%
Denis Alijagič0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Timotej Jambor0%
Xavier Adang0%
Basirou Badjie0%
Tobias Paliscak0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Samuel Ďatko30%
Yves Erick Bile28%
Adrián Kaprálik19%
Miroslav Káčer18%
Mario Sauer12%
Patrik Iľko10%
Krisztián Bari10%
Timotej Jambor9%
Denis Alijagič8%
Samuel Gidi7%
James Ndjeungoue6%
Lukas Prokop6%
Xavier Adang5%
Ján Minárik5%
Samuel Kopásek3%
Dávid Ďuriš3%
Tomáš Hubočan0%
Peter Pekarík0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Ridwan Sanusi0%
Aleksandre Narimanidze0%
Frantisek Kosa0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Basirou Badjie0%
Tobias Paliscak0%
Adama Drame0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adrián Kaprálik31%
Dávid Ďuriš28%
Yves Erick Bile22%
Xavier Adang21%
Mario Sauer12%
Ján Minárik10%
Timotej Jambor9%
Lukas Prokop6%
Samuel Gidi4%
Tomáš Hubočan4%
Peter Pekarík0%
Miroslav Káčer0%
Samuel Ďatko0%
Patrik Iľko0%
Krisztián Bari0%
Denis Alijagič0%
Ľubomír Belko0%
Samuel Kopásek0%
Ridwan Sanusi0%
Aleksandre Narimanidze0%
James Ndjeungoue0%
Frantisek Kosa0%
Timotej Hranica0%
Basirou Badjie0%
Tobias Paliscak0%
Adama Drame0%
Skalica
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tomáš Smejkal21%
Alex Sobczyk18%
Oliver Podhorín16%
Yann Michael Yao15%
Martin Nagy15%
Mario Šuver14%
Ján Vlasko12%
Lukas Leginus11%
Michal Ranko9%
Róbert Matejov8%
Lukáš Matějka8%
Adam Morong7%
Martin Černek7%
Davi Alves7%
Mário Hollý5%
Marek Fábry3%
Adam Gaži3%
Matej Hradecky0%
Adam Kopas0%
Adam Krčík0%
Taofiq Jibril0%
Martin Mášik0%
Martin Junas0%
Petr Pudhorocký0%
Sheun Emmanuel0%
Adam Ravas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Martin Mášik32%
Tomáš Smejkal29%
Oliver Podhorín26%
Adam Ravas25%
Martin Černek24%
Alex Sobczyk24%
Mário Hollý19%
Adam Morong17%
Ján Vlasko16%
Adam Krčík15%
Davi Alves13%
Adam Kopas12%
Lukas Leginus11%
Marek Fábry10%
Michal Ranko9%
Róbert Matejov8%
Yann Michael Yao8%
Lukáš Matějka8%
Martin Nagy8%
Petr Pudhorocký7%
Adam Gaži7%
Matej Hradecky4%
Martin Junas3%
Taofiq Jibril0%
Mario Šuver0%
Sheun Emmanuel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Petr Pudhorocký21%
Róbert Matejov17%
Ján Vlasko12%
Adam Kopas12%
Martin Černek10%
Lukáš Matějka8%
Adam Morong7%
Adam Gaži7%
Alex Sobczyk6%
Oliver Podhorín5%
Martin Mášik4%
Marek Fábry3%
Matej Hradecky0%
Yann Michael Yao0%
Adam Krčík0%
Martin Nagy0%
Taofiq Jibril0%
Tomáš Smejkal0%
Mario Šuver0%
Lukas Leginus0%
Mário Hollý0%
Martin Junas0%
Michal Ranko0%
Davi Alves0%
Sheun Emmanuel0%
Adam Ravas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alex Sobczyk12%
Taofiq Jibril10%
Ján Vlasko8%
Yann Michael Yao8%
Mario Šuver7%
Petr Pudhorocký7%
Davi Alves7%
Lukas Leginus4%
Martin Mášik4%
Adam Morong3%
Marek Fábry3%
Oliver Podhorín0%
Matej Hradecky0%
Adam Kopas0%
Róbert Matejov0%
Lukáš Matějka0%
Adam Krčík0%
Martin Nagy0%
Tomáš Smejkal0%
Mário Hollý0%
Martin Junas0%
Michal Ranko0%
Adam Gaži0%
Martin Černek0%
Sheun Emmanuel0%
Adam Ravas0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (28)
€35m
DS (27)
€15m
ŽIL (25)
€12m
AT (27)
€7m
ST (27)
€7m
FK (25)
€6m
POD (22)
€5m
RUŽ (26)
€5m
ZM (22)
€4m
KOM (24)
€3m
DBB (24)
€3m
SKA (22)
€2m
ZM (14)
€1m
Žilina's squad is €10m more valuable than Skalica's (€12m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (12)
€15m
DS (10)
€7m
ŽIL (10)
€4m
ST (9)
€2m
POD (8)
€2m
AT (9)
€2m
FK (5)
€1m
RUŽ (10)
€1m
KOM (10)
€1m
ZM (8)
€1m
DBB (7)
€1m
SKA (6)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
Žilina's attack is €4m more valuable than Skalica's (€4m vs €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (6)
€7m
DS (6)
€4m
FK (9)
€2m
AT (6)
€2m
POD (5)
€1m
ŽIL (4)
€1m
ST (6)
€1m
RUŽ (5)
€1m
ZM (5)
€1m
DBB (6)
€1m
KOM (5)
€1m
SKA (5)
€1m
ZM (4)
€0m
Žilina and Skalica have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SB (10)
€13m
ŽIL (11)
€6m
DS (11)
€5m
AT (12)
€4m
ST (12)
€3m
FK (11)
€2m
RUŽ (11)
€2m
POD (9)
€2m
ZM (9)
€2m
SKA (11)
€1m
KOM (9)
€1m
DBB (11)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
Žilina's defence is €5m more valuable than Skalica's (€6m vs €1m).
Slovakia: Super Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: Super Liga stats & trends →
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Slovan Bratislava
Dunajska Streda
Spartak Trnava
FK Košice
Zemplín Michalovce
AS Trencin
Komárno
Podbrezová
Ružomberok
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Zlaté Moravce