This highly anticipated match between Zulte Waregem and SK Beveren in the Belgium: Jupiler Pro League is finely balanced, with both teams exhibiting strong recent form. Zulte Waregem has been unbeaten in their last 5 matches, drawing 0-0 against Union St. Gilloise, while SK Beveren is coming off a win, defeating Anderlecht 1-0.
The model predicts a home win for Zulte Waregem, with a 40% chance of victory, a 28% draw probability, and a 32% chance of an away win for SK Beveren. The expected total number of goals is 2.8, with 2 goals being the most likely total.
The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, with a 13.1% probability. Zulte Waregem has averaged 1.44 goals scored and 0.89 goals conceded at home, while SK Beveren has averaged 3.0 goals scored and 1.14 goals conceded away from home against similar opponents.
The model's selections include Over 1.5 with a 77.8% probability, and Home or Away with a 73.9% probability. Zulte Waregem has a 40% chance of winning, a 28% draw probability, and a 32% chance of an away win for SK Beveren.
Results analysis
Zulte Waregem’s 4-0 triumph over SK Beveren extended their unbeaten run, confirming the model’s Home win pick at 39 %. The model’s favourite was right, and the result matched the forecast. The selection Under 7.5 goals, with a 98.6 % probability, hit as the match produced only four goals. Under 6.5 (96.2 %) and Under 5.5 (90.7 %) also hit, while Home under 3.5 goals (93.4 %) missed. Away under 3.5 goals (92.3 %) was a hit, and Under 5.5 cards (82.1 %) succeeded. The model’s Away +2 handicap (82.7 %) missed, and Home under 2.5 goals (80.8 %) also missed. The predicted total of 2.8 goals was far below the actual tally, yet the model’s overall call and most picks proved accurate.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Zulte Waregem win✓ Hit
38.6%
Avg Implied 45.8% · @ 2.03
Edge
-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.10
Dafabet
2.09
Betano
2.07
Unibet
2.06
10Bet
2.05
Draw✗ Miss
27.7%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.47
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.63
1xBet
3.60
Dafabet
3.55
Betano
3.55
10Bet
3.55
SK Beveren win✗ Miss
33.7%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.41
Edge
+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.72
1xBet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.52
BetVictor
3.50
Superbet
3.45
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Zulte Waregem
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.47
1.71
1.36
1.44
1.56
vs Stronger (11)
1.45
2.09
2.20
2.20
0.83
2.00
vs Similar (19)
1.63
1.11
1.44
0.89
1.80
1.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SK Beveren
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.13
0.90
1.88
0.69
2.43
1.14
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
2.29
0.88
2.00
0.67
2.58
1.08
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.67
2.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Zulte Waregem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.9%
@ 1.24+2.5%
Under 1.5
22.1%
@ 3.80-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
4.15
Betfair
4.10
Superbet
3.85
888Sport
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.8%
@ 1.82+0.8%
Under 2.5
47.2%
@ 1.97-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.91
Unibet
1.87
Bet365
1.85
Betano
1.85
10Bet
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
2.08
Betano
2.02
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
1.99
Superbet
1.97
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.5%
@ 3.01-0.6%
Under 3.5
69.5%
@ 1.36+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.15
10Bet
3.10
Betfair
3.10
BetVictor
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Under
Pinnacle
1.41
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.7%
@ 1.67+2.2%
No
42.3%
@ 2.09-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.70
William Hil
1.70
Superbet
1.70
888Sport
1.70
Unibet
1.68
No
Betfair
2.15
1xBet
2.13
Betano
2.12
Superbet
2.12
BetVictor
2.10
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%@ 6.20+6.0%
2-1
8.6%@ 7.96+3.1%
1-2
8.0%@ 10.56+3.8%
1-0
7.7%@ 7.50+1.8%
0-0
7.4%@ 10.63+3.2%
0-1
7.1%@ 9.84+2.6%
2-0
6.5%@ 9.42+1.8%
2-2
5.8%@ 12.27+2.2%
Zulte Waregem goals ↓
SK Beveren goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
7.1%
5.5%
2.5%
0.8%
1
7.7%
13%
8.0%
3.6%
1.2%
2
6.5%
8.6%
5.8%
2.6%
0.9%
3
3.1%
4.2%
2.8%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.1%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zulte Waregem goals (down), columns = SK Beveren goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lommel United
2.67
Club Brugge KV
2.20
Union St. Gilloise
2.15
St. Truiden
1.77
Genk
1.46
Standard Liege
1.43
Anderlecht
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.33
KVC Westerlo
1.30
KV Mechelen
1.27
Charleroi
1.27
Gent
1.27
Antwerp
1.20
Kortrijk
1.16
Cercle Brugge
1.14
OH Leuven
1.00
SK Beveren
0.99
RAAL La Louvière
0.94
Zulte Waregem is 0.35 points better than SK Beveren in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 0.99).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lommel United
2.33
Club Brugge KV
2.27
Union St. Gilloise
1.65
St. Truiden
1.52
Anderlecht
1.48
Zulte Waregem
1.47
Cercle Brugge
1.47
Genk
1.39
Gent
1.29
KVC Westerlo
1.25
Charleroi
1.25
Kortrijk
1.20
KV Mechelen
1.20
Standard Liege
1.10
Antwerp
1.07
OH Leuven
1.02
SK Beveren
1.02
RAAL La Louvière
0.97
Zulte Waregem is 0.45 goals better than SK Beveren in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.02).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.68
Lommel United
0.83
Club Brugge KV
1.12
Standard Liege
1.15
St. Truiden
1.15
Antwerp
1.20
Charleroi
1.25
Genk
1.29
RAAL La Louvière
1.39
Gent
1.39
KVC Westerlo
1.43
Zulte Waregem
1.47
OH Leuven
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.55
Kortrijk
1.59
Cercle Brugge
1.61
SK Beveren
1.87
Zulte Waregem is 0.40 goals better than SK Beveren in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.87).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Club Brugge KV
60%
Genk
58%
St. Truiden
55%
Anderlecht
53%
Union St. Gilloise
52%
Charleroi
50%
Antwerp
49%
KVC Westerlo
49%
KV Mechelen
49%
Gent
49%
Zulte Waregem
48%
Cercle Brugge
48%
OH Leuven
46%
Lommel United
45%
Standard Liege
44%
RAAL La Louvière
39%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Zulte Waregem
For 5.5 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.8 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 14.0 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SK Beveren
For 4.8 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 12.1 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zulte Waregem
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.0
9.9
3.4
3.8
3.1
22.9
23.1
22.6
vs Stronger (15)
9.4
9.3
9.6
3.1
3.1
3.1
23.4
23.4
23.4
vs Similar (33)
10.2
10.3
10.1
3.6
4.1
3.1
23.0
23.0
22.9
vs Weaker (2)
9.5
-
9.5
3.0
-
3.0
17.0
-
17.0
% over line
51%
61%
42%
42%
50%
35%
57%
57%
58%
% under line
49%
39%
58%
58%
50%
65%
43%
43%
42%
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SK Beveren
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.9
9.9
2.6
2.1
3.1
22.9
21.6
23.9
vs Stronger (3)
10.5
13.0
8.0
2.0
0.5
5.0
23.0
24.0
22.0
vs Similar (42)
9.8
9.4
10.1
2.9
2.3
3.4
23.2
21.9
24.2
vs Weaker (5)
11.5
14.0
9.0
0.8
1.0
0.7
18.5
15.0
22.0
% over line
46%
56%
37%
34%
24%
44%
54%
44%
63%
% under line
54%
44%
63%
66%
76%
56%
46%
56%
37%
This opponent (Zulte Waregem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.1
Cercle Brugge
10.8
Charleroi
10.7
Club Brugge KV
10.6
KVC Westerlo
10.6
Anderlecht
10.4
KV Mechelen
10.2
Kortrijk
10.2
Gent
10.1
Standard Liege
10.1
SK Beveren
10.0
Zulte Waregem
9.9
St. Truiden
9.8
Lommel United
9.6
Genk
9.6
Union St. Gilloise
9.3
Antwerp
9.3
RAAL La Louvière
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anderlecht
5.3
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
OH Leuven
4.7
SK Beveren
4.5
Standard Liege
4.3
Kortrijk
4.3
Antwerp
4.2
St. Truiden
4.1
Cercle Brugge
4.1
Lommel United
4.0
KV Mechelen
4.0
KVC Westerlo
3.9
RAAL La Louvière
3.9
Charleroi
3.9
Zulte Waregem
3.8
Genk
3.8
Club Brugge KV
3.6
Gent
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
OH Leuven
25.2
Anderlecht
25.0
RAAL La Louvière
25.0
Lommel United
24.3
Antwerp
24.0
SK Beveren
23.6
Kortrijk
23.3
Cercle Brugge
23.1
KVC Westerlo
23.1
Zulte Waregem
23.0
Genk
22.5
Standard Liege
22.4
KV Mechelen
22.0
Charleroi
21.7
Union St. Gilloise
21.6
St. Truiden
21.3
Gent
21.1
Club Brugge KV
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Unibet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.86
Betano
1.82
10Bet
1.77
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
Superbet
1.77
Unibet
1.76
Under
Superbet
1.95
Betano
1.91
Unibet
1.91
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Zulte Waregem or Draw✓ Hit
61.3%
Avg Implied 72.5% · @ 1.29
Edge
-11.2%
39%
28%
34%
covers Zulte Waregem + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Zulte Waregem or SK Beveren✓ Hit
73.9%
Avg Implied 73.8% · @ 1.27
Edge
+0.2%
39%
28%
34%
covers Zulte Waregem + SK Beveren
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.30
Unibet
1.30
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Draw or SK Beveren✗ Miss
64.7%
Avg Implied 53.7% · @ 1.74
Edge
+11.0%
39%
28%
34%
covers Draw + SK Beveren
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.80
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.76
Superbet
1.74
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Zulte Waregem over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.8%
@ 1.19-0.3%
Under
22.2%
@ 4.23+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Unibet
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.33
1xBet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.20
Zulte Waregem over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
44.4%
@ 1.95-3.4%
Under
55.6%
@ 1.79+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Unibet
1.97
Pinnacle
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.90
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.83
Bet365
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
Zulte Waregem over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
19.2%
@ 3.99-4.1%
Under
80.8%
@ 1.21+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.10
Superbet
4.10
Unibet
4.10
Pinnacle
4.07
10Bet
4.00
Under
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Zulte Waregem over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
6.6%
@ 9.10-3.6%
Under
93.4%
@ 1.04+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
9.10
Unibet
9.00
1xBet
8.80
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Unibet
1.02
SK Beveren over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
79.5%
@ 1.36+11.3%
Under
20.5%
@ 2.91-11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.37
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Unibet
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.11
Betfair
3.00
Superbet
2.95
Betano
2.95
BetVictor
2.90
SK Beveren over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
47.0%
@ 2.76+13.2%
Under
53.0%
@ 1.41-13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.94
Unibet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.78
Superbet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Under
1xBet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
SK Beveren over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
21.2%
@ 6.83+7.6%
Under
78.8%
@ 1.07-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.10
BetVictor
7.00
1xBet
6.80
Unibet
6.75
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Bet365
1.08
SK Beveren over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.7%
@ 16.75+1.9%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.01-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Zulte Waregem, so a minus line means Zulte Waregem give that many goals of a start and SK Beveren receive them. At -1, Zulte Waregem must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Zulte Waregem win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Zulte Waregem)Actual: Zulte Waregem
Zulte Waregem -2
6.7%
@ 7.74-5.0%
Draw -2
10.7%
@ 5.78-4.9%
SK Beveren +2
82.7%
@ 1.24+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
8.00
10Bet
8.00
Superbet
8.00
Unibet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.20
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.90
Marathonbet
5.85
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.40
Away
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Unibet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Handicap -1 (Zulte Waregem)Actual: Zulte Waregem
Zulte Waregem -1
17.3%
@ 3.64-7.2%
Draw -1
17.9%
@ 3.80-5.6%
SK Beveren +1
64.7%
@ 1.73+12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
3.80
10Bet
3.75
Bet365
3.60
Unibet
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Unibet
3.70
Away
Marathonbet
1.76
Superbet
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.71
Handicap +1 (Zulte Waregem)Actual: Zulte Waregem
Zulte Waregem +1
61.3%
@ 1.29-8.1%
Draw +1
18.9%
@ 4.99+0.9%
SK Beveren -1
19.8%
@ 7.16+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.32
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Draw
Marathonbet
5.20
Superbet
5.20
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Away
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
7.30
Superbet
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Unibet
7.00
Handicap +2 (Zulte Waregem)Actual: Zulte Waregem
Zulte Waregem +2
80.2%
@ 1.07-6.5%
Draw +2
11.8%
@ 11.00+3.4%
SK Beveren -2
7.9%
@ 19.00+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Away
Bet365
19.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Zulte Waregem
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
0.71
0.71
0.75
0.62
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
0.91
0.60
1.20
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.53
0.78
0.44
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SK Beveren
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.40
0.94
0.38
0.93
0.43
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.96
0.42
0.92
0.33
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Zulte Waregem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.37
BetVictor
1.36
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.24
Betfair
3.20
William Hil
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.02
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.75
Pinnacle
2.73
Unibet
2.70
10Bet
2.65
Superbet
2.65
Under
Superbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
1xBet
1.45
BetVictor
1.45
Betano
1.45
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.50
Superbet
6.40
Betano
6.20
Marathonbet
6.00
Under
Superbet
1.11
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zulte Waregem over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
Unibet
1.86
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.82
Under
Pinnacle
2.01
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Betano
1.87
Superbet
1.87
Zulte Waregem over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
5.20
1xBet
5.15
Marathonbet
5.15
Superbet
5.10
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.13
Unibet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Zulte Waregem over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
10Bet
15.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
SK Beveren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.44
Unibet
2.32
10Bet
2.30
Betano
2.30
Superbet
2.25
Under
Superbet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.56
SK Beveren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.10
Marathonbet
8.10
10Bet
8.00
Unibet
7.50
Superbet
7.40
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Unibet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
SK Beveren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
27.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Zulte Waregem
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.80
1.00
0.64
0.69
0.94
vs Stronger (11)
0.82
1.18
1.60
1.00
0.17
1.33
vs Similar (19)
0.84
0.58
0.67
0.44
1.00
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (SK Beveren) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SK Beveren
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.50
0.94
0.31
1.50
0.71
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.33
0.46
1.08
0.33
1.58
0.58
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Zulte Waregem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zulte Waregem over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zulte Waregem over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zulte Waregem over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SK Beveren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SK Beveren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SK Beveren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.4%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Unibet
1.02
+3.6%
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
92.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-1.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.7%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.04
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
82.7%
1.24
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Unibet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
+9.9%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
80.8%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
+4.1%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
80.2%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-6.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
80.0%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
888Sport
1.13
-3.5%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
79.5%
1.36
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.37
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Unibet
1.36
+11.3%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
78.8%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-7.6%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.9%
1.24
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.25
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
77.8%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Unibet
1.18
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.9%
1.27
Superbet
1.30
Unibet
1.30
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.29
+0.2%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Zulte Waregem
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Serxho Ujka33%
Marley Aké33%
Tobias Hedl33%
Anosike Ementa33%
Thomas Claes33%
István Átrok33%
Louis Bostyn0%
Laurent Lemoine0%
Jakob Kiilerich0%
Enrique Lofolomo0%
Yannick Cappelle0%
Franz Tangala0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anosike Ementa33%
Serxho Ujka0%
Louis Bostyn0%
Laurent Lemoine0%
Jakob Kiilerich0%
Marley Aké0%
Enrique Lofolomo0%
Tobias Hedl0%
Thomas Claes0%
István Átrok0%
Yannick Cappelle0%
Franz Tangala0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anosike Ementa67%
Tobias Hedl33%
Yannick Cappelle33%
Serxho Ujka0%
Louis Bostyn0%
Laurent Lemoine0%
Jakob Kiilerich0%
Marley Aké0%
Enrique Lofolomo0%
Thomas Claes0%
István Átrok0%
Franz Tangala0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marley Aké33%
Tobias Hedl33%
István Átrok33%
Serxho Ujka0%
Louis Bostyn0%
Laurent Lemoine0%
Jakob Kiilerich0%
Enrique Lofolomo0%
Anosike Ementa0%
Thomas Claes0%
Yannick Cappelle0%
Franz Tangala0%
SK Beveren
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chris Lokesa25%
Yoni Gomis25%
Bruno Godeau0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Christian Brüls0%
Guillaume De Schryver0%
Kurt Abrahams0%
Laurent Jans0%
Sieben Dewaele0%
Lennart Mertens0%
Jearl Margaritha0%
Cheick Oumar Condé0%
Johannes Schenk0%
Moise Kaboré0%
Ferre Slegers0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jearl Margaritha67%
Sieben Dewaele50%
Christophe Janssens25%
Christian Brüls25%
Chris Lokesa25%
Yoni Gomis25%
Bruno Godeau0%
Guillaume De Schryver0%
Kurt Abrahams0%
Laurent Jans0%
Lennart Mertens0%
Cheick Oumar Condé0%
Johannes Schenk0%
Moise Kaboré0%
Ferre Slegers0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian Brüls25%
Ferre Slegers25%
Bruno Godeau0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Guillaume De Schryver0%
Kurt Abrahams0%
Laurent Jans0%
Sieben Dewaele0%
Lennart Mertens0%
Jearl Margaritha0%
Cheick Oumar Condé0%
Johannes Schenk0%
Chris Lokesa0%
Yoni Gomis0%
Moise Kaboré0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruno Godeau0%
Christophe Janssens0%
Christian Brüls0%
Guillaume De Schryver0%
Kurt Abrahams0%
Laurent Jans0%
Sieben Dewaele0%
Lennart Mertens0%
Jearl Margaritha0%
Cheick Oumar Condé0%
Johannes Schenk0%
Chris Lokesa0%
Yoni Gomis0%
Moise Kaboré0%
Ferre Slegers0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
USG (26)
€98m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
KW (26)
€38m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
LU (25)
€26m
RLL (30)
€23m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
Zulte Waregem's squad is €8m more valuable than SK Beveren's (€20m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
USG (10)
€32m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
KW (11)
€16m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
RLL (10)
€6m
SB (9)
€4m
Zulte Waregem's attack is €3m more valuable than SK Beveren's (€8m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (7)
€38m
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
LU (5)
€15m
ANT (4)
€10m
KW (5)
€9m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
RLL (7)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
Zulte Waregem and SK Beveren have a similar midfield value (both €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
USG (9)
€28m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
KW (10)
€12m
RLL (13)
€11m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
Zulte Waregem's defence is €4m more valuable than SK Beveren's (€9m vs €5m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Charleroi
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Standard Liege
Genk
Lommel United
Antwerp
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière
KVC Westerlo
OH Leuven
Kortrijk