AS Roma are tipped to win, with a 49% chance of triumph, a 28% draw probability and 24% for Fiorentina. The model expects 2.6 goals, centring on a 2-goal total that is 26% likely. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.2% chance. Roma’s home form shows they average one goal scored and one conceded against similar opposition, while Fiorentina’s away record is 1.25 scored and one conceded versus comparable teams. The suggested selections are: Over 19.5 fouls at 86.1%, Over 2.5 cards at 85.4%, Under 11.5 corners at 78.1%, Over 1.5 at 74.7%, Over 21.5 fouls at 74.5%, Under 3.5 at 73.3% and Over 3.5 cards at 70.0%. Roma are on a five-game winning streak, having beaten Lecce 4-0, while Fiorentina have lost two straight games, losing 0-3 to Frosinone.
Results analysis
The 1-1 draw stunned the pre-match favourite, AS Roma, who had been on a five-game winning run and were tipped to win with a 49% probability. The model’s call was wrong, as the match finished in a stalemate. The most likely scoreline of 1-1, with a 13.2% chance, proved accurate, while the predicted total of 2.6 goals and the 26% probability for a 2-goal finish did not materialise. Every suggested pick hit: Over 19.5 fouls at 86.1%, Over 2.5 cards at 85.4%, Under 11.5 corners at 78.1%, Over 1.5 at 74.7%, Over 21.5 fouls at 74.5%, Under 3.5 at 73.3%, and Over 3.5 cards at 70.0%. The match delivered a surprising draw, leaving the model’s home-win prediction incorrect.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
AS Roma win✗ Miss
48.6%
Avg Implied 45.1% · @ 2.12
Edge
+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.6%
Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.32
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina win✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.65
Edge
-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
AS Roma
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.10
2.14
0.86
1.00
1.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.64
1.18
1.00
1.00
0.33
1.33
vs Weaker (19)
2.05
1.05
2.78
0.78
1.40
1.30
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fiorentina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
1.17
2.07
1.07
1.47
1.27
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.75
0.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (18)
1.67
1.06
2.00
1.10
1.25
1.00
vs Weaker (8)
2.50
1.12
2.75
1.00
2.25
1.25
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.7%
Under 1.5
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.5%
@ 2.18+4.7%
Under 2.5
51.5%
@ 1.70-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.7%
Under 3.5
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.4%
No
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.0%
AS Roma goals ↓
Fiorentina goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.5%
6.4%
4.0%
1.4%
0.4%
1
10%
13%
6.2%
2.2%
0.6%
2
9.1%
9.4%
4.9%
1.7%
0.4%
3
4.8%
5.0%
2.6%
0.9%
0.2%
4
1.9%
2.0%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AS Roma goals (down), columns = Fiorentina goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Inter
2.47
AC Milan
1.97
Juventus
1.87
Atalanta
1.82
Bologna
1.79
AS Roma
1.66
Lazio
1.61
Fiorentina
1.58
Napoli
1.39
Torino
1.39
Genoa
1.29
Monza
1.18
Lecce
1.00
Hellas Verona
1.00
Udinese
0.97
Cagliari
0.95
Empoli
0.95
Frosinone
0.92
Sassuolo
0.79
Salernitana
0.45
AS Roma is 0.08 points better than Fiorentina in terms of average points per game (1.66 vs 1.58).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Inter
2.34
AC Milan
2.00
Atalanta
1.89
AS Roma
1.71
Fiorentina
1.61
Napoli
1.45
Bologna
1.42
Juventus
1.42
Lazio
1.29
Genoa
1.18
Frosinone
1.16
Sassuolo
1.13
Cagliari
1.11
Monza
1.03
Hellas Verona
1.00
Udinese
0.97
Torino
0.95
Salernitana
0.84
Lecce
0.84
Empoli
0.76
AS Roma is 0.11 goals better than Fiorentina in terms of goals scored per game (1.71 vs 1.61).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Inter
0.58
Juventus
0.82
Bologna
0.84
Torino
0.95
Lazio
1.03
Atalanta
1.11
Genoa
1.18
Fiorentina
1.21
AS Roma
1.21
Napoli
1.26
AC Milan
1.29
Monza
1.34
Hellas Verona
1.34
Udinese
1.39
Lecce
1.42
Empoli
1.42
Cagliari
1.79
Frosinone
1.82
Sassuolo
1.97
Salernitana
2.13
AS Roma and Fiorentina are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Napoli
61%
Bologna
58%
Fiorentina
58%
Inter
57%
AC Milan
57%
AS Roma
55%
Monza
54%
Lazio
53%
Torino
52%
Atalanta
51%
Frosinone
50%
Juventus
48%
Lecce
45%
Hellas Verona
44%
Salernitana
44%
Genoa
44%
Empoli
44%
Sassuolo
44%
Cagliari
42%
Udinese
39%
AS Roma is 2.9 percentage points worse than Fiorentina in terms of average possession (55% vs 58%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
AS Roma
For 3.8 · Against 4.0 · Total 7.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 13.3 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Fiorentina
For 6.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 12.6 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AS Roma
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.8
8.5
3.2
2.8
3.5
25.2
25.1
25.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
7.8
7.7
8.0
3.5
3.6
3.4
25.3
26.2
24.6
vs Weaker (28)
9.3
9.7
8.9
2.9
2.3
3.6
25.2
24.1
26.1
% over line
36%
38%
33%
46%
42%
50%
75%
77%
73%
% under line
64%
62%
67%
54%
58%
50%
25%
23%
27%
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fiorentina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.4
9.7
2.8
3.2
2.5
26.0
27.2
24.6
vs Stronger (6)
7.7
11.0
6.0
2.0
4.0
1.6
25.3
33.0
21.5
vs Similar (28)
9.4
9.0
9.9
3.1
3.6
2.4
27.1
27.6
26.5
vs Weaker (16)
10.6
10.0
11.2
2.7
2.2
3.3
24.0
25.2
22.5
% over line
43%
44%
43%
40%
42%
38%
70%
75%
64%
% under line
57%
56%
57%
60%
58%
62%
30%
25%
36%
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Salernitana
10.8
Monza
10.6
Sassuolo
10.6
Napoli
10.5
Udinese
10.5
Empoli
10.5
Frosinone
10.2
Juventus
9.8
Inter
9.5
Atalanta
9.4
Cagliari
9.2
Hellas Verona
9.0
AS Roma
9.0
AC Milan
8.9
Lecce
8.9
Bologna
8.9
Fiorentina
8.9
Lazio
8.8
Torino
8.6
Genoa
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
AS Roma
5.9
Lecce
5.7
Lazio
5.5
Frosinone
5.4
Udinese
5.3
Monza
5.2
Genoa
5.1
Salernitana
5.0
AC Milan
5.0
Fiorentina
4.9
Hellas Verona
4.9
Bologna
4.9
Torino
4.8
Napoli
4.7
Sassuolo
4.6
Juventus
4.5
Empoli
4.5
Cagliari
4.4
Atalanta
4.4
Inter
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lecce
30.8
Monza
28.4
Frosinone
27.5
Genoa
27.4
Torino
27.3
Udinese
27.0
Salernitana
27.0
Fiorentina
26.5
Empoli
26.5
Hellas Verona
26.4
Cagliari
26.3
AS Roma
26.1
Bologna
25.3
AC Milan
25.1
Juventus
24.9
Atalanta
24.7
Sassuolo
24.6
Napoli
24.1
Lazio
24.0
Inter
23.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
44.2%
Under 9.5
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.0%
Under 3.5
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
74.5%
Under 21.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AS Roma
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.40
0.71
0.36
0.50
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.27
0.27
0.40
0.40
0.17
0.17
vs Weaker (19)
0.79
0.47
0.89
0.33
0.70
0.60
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fiorentina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.43
1.00
0.47
0.73
0.40
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.44
0.80
0.50
0.50
0.38
vs Weaker (8)
1.62
0.25
1.75
0.25
1.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AS Roma over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AS Roma
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.70
1.43
0.50
0.50
0.88
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.36
0.91
0.60
0.60
0.17
1.17
vs Weaker (19)
1.26
0.58
1.89
0.44
0.70
0.70
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Fiorentina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fiorentina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.73
1.07
0.60
0.73
0.87
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (18)
1.00
0.61
1.20
0.60
0.75
0.62
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.88
1.00
0.75
0.75
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Roma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AS Roma over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Roma over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fiorentina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
AS Roma
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Romelu Lukaku42%
Paulo Dybala30%
Lorenzo Pellegrini26%
Andrea Belotti20%
Houssem Aouar16%
Dean Huijsen15%
Gianluca Mancini15%
Sardar Azmoun11%
Leandro Paredes9%
Renato Sanches8%
Tammy Abraham8%
Bryan Cristante8%
Stephan El Shaarawy7%
Rasmus Kristensen3%
Leonardo Spinazzola3%
Diego Llorente2%
Edoardo Bove2%
Angeliño0%
Mile Svilar0%
Rick Karsdorp0%
Chris Smalling0%
Evan Ndicka0%
Rui Patrício0%
Zeki Çelik0%
Nicola Zalewski0%
Tommaso Baldanzi0%
Riccardo Pagano0%
João Costa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Leandro Paredes38%
Evan Ndicka32%
Dean Huijsen31%
Lorenzo Pellegrini26%
Bryan Cristante24%
Gianluca Mancini23%
João Costa20%
Rasmus Kristensen17%
Renato Sanches17%
Diego Llorente15%
Sardar Azmoun15%
Houssem Aouar12%
Edoardo Bove12%
Romelu Lukaku11%
Tommaso Baldanzi11%
Angeliño10%
Andrea Belotti10%
Nicola Zalewski10%
Leonardo Spinazzola9%
Tammy Abraham8%
Paulo Dybala8%
Rick Karsdorp8%
Zeki Çelik7%
Mile Svilar7%
Stephan El Shaarawy4%
Rui Patrício4%
Chris Smalling0%
Riccardo Pagano0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Paulo Dybala24%
Stephan El Shaarawy13%
Leandro Paredes13%
Romelu Lukaku9%
Leonardo Spinazzola9%
Evan Ndicka9%
Bryan Cristante8%
Rick Karsdorp8%
Lorenzo Pellegrini8%
Nicola Zalewski6%
Angeliño5%
Andrea Belotti5%
Diego Llorente5%
Edoardo Bove5%
Zeki Çelik4%
Rasmus Kristensen3%
Gianluca Mancini2%
Renato Sanches0%
Mile Svilar0%
Houssem Aouar0%
Chris Smalling0%
Sardar Azmoun0%
Rui Patrício0%
Tammy Abraham0%
Tommaso Baldanzi0%
Riccardo Pagano0%
Dean Huijsen0%
João Costa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Romelu Lukaku24%
Paulo Dybala22%
Stephan El Shaarawy7%
Bryan Cristante6%
Lorenzo Pellegrini5%
Andrea Belotti5%
Edoardo Bove5%
Rick Karsdorp4%
Sardar Azmoun4%
Nicola Zalewski3%
Evan Ndicka3%
Gianluca Mancini2%
Angeliño0%
Leandro Paredes0%
Renato Sanches0%
Rasmus Kristensen0%
Mile Svilar0%
Houssem Aouar0%
Leonardo Spinazzola0%
Chris Smalling0%
Rui Patrício0%
Tammy Abraham0%
Zeki Çelik0%
Diego Llorente0%
Tommaso Baldanzi0%
Riccardo Pagano0%
Dean Huijsen0%
João Costa0%
Fiorentina
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nicolás González33%
Giacomo Bonaventura21%
Lucas Beltrán20%
Lucas Martínez Quarta18%
Gaetano Castrovilli17%
Antonín Barák16%
Andrea Belotti14%
M'Bala Nzola14%
Jonathan Ikoné13%
Riccardo Sottil12%
Luca Ranieri10%
Rolando Mandragora9%
Cristiano Biraghi7%
Josip Brekalo6%
Christian Kouamé6%
Alfred Duncan5%
Arthur5%
Maxime López3%
Michael Kayode3%
Yerry Mina0%
Nikola Milenković0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Pietro Terracciano0%
Davide Faraoni0%
Dodô0%
Fabiano Parisi0%
Gino Infantino0%
Pietro Comuzzo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luca Ranieri38%
Lucas Martínez Quarta31%
Cristiano Biraghi29%
Yerry Mina20%
Pietro Comuzzo20%
Rolando Mandragora20%
Giacomo Bonaventura18%
Nikola Milenković18%
Fabiano Parisi17%
Jonathan Ikoné15%
Lucas Beltrán13%
Gino Infantino12%
Nicolás González10%
Michael Kayode9%
Arthur7%
Pietro Terracciano7%
M'Bala Nzola7%
Antonín Barák6%
Riccardo Sottil6%
Dodô6%
Christian Kouamé6%
Alfred Duncan5%
Andrea Belotti5%
Maxime López3%
Josip Brekalo0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Davide Faraoni0%
Gaetano Castrovilli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gaetano Castrovilli33%
Davide Faraoni20%
Cristiano Biraghi17%
Gino Infantino12%
Alfred Duncan11%
Giacomo Bonaventura10%
Nicolás González10%
M'Bala Nzola9%
Riccardo Sottil9%
Rolando Mandragora9%
Fabiano Parisi7%
Antonín Barák6%
Michael Kayode6%
Lucas Martínez Quarta5%
Jonathan Ikoné5%
Luca Ranieri5%
Arthur5%
Lucas Beltrán4%
Christian Kouamé3%
Nikola Milenković2%
Maxime López0%
Yerry Mina0%
Josip Brekalo0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Pietro Terracciano0%
Andrea Belotti0%
Dodô0%
Pietro Comuzzo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nicolás González45%
Andrea Belotti18%
Christian Kouamé11%
Jonathan Ikoné10%
Antonín Barák10%
Giacomo Bonaventura5%
M'Bala Nzola5%
Lucas Beltrán4%
Rolando Mandragora4%
Riccardo Sottil3%
Alfred Duncan3%
Lucas Martínez Quarta3%
Luca Ranieri3%
Nikola Milenković2%
Arthur0%
Maxime López0%
Yerry Mina0%
Josip Brekalo0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Pietro Terracciano0%
Cristiano Biraghi0%
Davide Faraoni0%
Gaetano Castrovilli0%
Dodô0%
Fabiano Parisi0%
Gino Infantino0%
Michael Kayode0%
Pietro Comuzzo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
SAS (38)
€194m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
CAG (31)
€134m
FRO (33)
€84m
LEC (31)
€72m
MON (29)
€70m
HV (34)
€57m
EMP (27)
€20m
AS Roma's squad is €141m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€471m vs €330m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
SAS (12)
€90m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
FRO (8)
€34m
MON (11)
€26m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
EMP (9)
€11m
AS Roma's attack is €13m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€138m vs €125m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
SAS (9)
€53m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
CAG (9)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
HV (9)
€14m
EMP (9)
€6m
AS Roma's midfield is €11m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€118m vs €107m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
SAS (17)
€52m
CAG (11)
€52m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
FRO (14)
€24m
MON (11)
€20m
EMP (9)
€4m
AS Roma's defence is €117m more valuable than Fiorentina's (€215m vs €98m).
Italy: Serie A 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →
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Inter
AC Milan
Juventus
Atalanta
Bologna
Lazio
Napoli
Torino
Genoa
Monza
Hellas Verona
Lecce
Udinese
Empoli
Cagliari
Frosinone
Sassuolo
Salernitana