Benfica’s dominance at home is unmistakable, with an 84% chance of victory and a 12% draw probability, leaving only a 4% chance for Moreirense to win. The model’s favourite result is a home win, reflected in the 84.2% probability for that pick. Benfica’s home form shows an average of 3.09 goals scored and only 0.36 conceded against weaker opposition, while Moreirense’s away form is weaker, conceding 3.0 goals on average and scoring only 0.5 against stronger teams. The expected total goals is 3.4, and the most likely scoreline is 2-0 with a 13.9% chance. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls (91.6%), Over 2.5 cards (85.6%), Over 1.5 goals (85.5%), Home win (84.2% with a 5% edge), Over 21.5 fouls (83.0%), Under 11.5 corners (74.9% miss), Over 23.5 fouls (70.7%), and Over 3.5 cards (70.4% miss). The match is set for a high-scoring Benfica win, with the model’s probabilities underscoring their offensive potency and the opponent’s defensive frailty.
Results analysis
Benfica extended their four-game winning streak with a 3-2 triumph over Moreirense, keeping the model’s home-win prediction on target. The model had named Benfica as favourite with an 84.2% probability, and the result confirmed that call. The suggested picks delivered a mixed bag: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 91.6%, Over 2.5 cards missed at 85.6%, Over 1.5 hit at 85.5%, Home win hit at 84.2%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 83.0%, Under 11.5 corners missed at 74.9%, Over 23.5 fouls hit at 70.7%, and Over 3.5 cards missed at 70.4%. The final score of 3-2 matched the model’s most likely 3-0 prediction within a 3-goal range, and the 84% confidence in a home win proved accurate.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Benfica win✓ Hit
84.2%
Avg Implied 79.4% · @ 1.19
Edge
+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
11.9%
Avg Implied 13.7% · @ 6.91
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Moreirense win✗ Miss
3.9%
Avg Implied 6.9% · @ 13.71
Edge
-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Benfica
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.47
0.90
3.13
0.87
1.80
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
2.22
1.56
3.25
2.25
1.40
1.00
vs Weaker (21)
2.57
0.62
3.09
0.36
2.00
0.90
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Moreirense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Moreirense
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.27
1.27
1.07
1.07
1.47
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
2.00
1.20
1.60
0.50
3.00
vs Similar (22)
1.18
1.09
1.30
0.80
1.08
1.33
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.5%
Under 1.5
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.4%
@ 1.57+5.5%
Under 2.5
34.6%
@ 2.35-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.5%
Under 3.5
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
39.1%
No
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.9%
3-0
13.2%
4-0
9.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-1
7.0%
1-1
5.7%
5-0
5.3%
Benfica goals ↓
Moreirense goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.0%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
1
9.3%
5.7%
1.4%
0.2%
0.0%
2
14%
7.3%
1.9%
0.3%
0.0%
3
13%
7.0%
1.8%
0.3%
0.0%
4
9.4%
4.9%
1.3%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Benfica goals (down), columns = Moreirense goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
FC Porto
2.09
SC Braga
1.94
Santa Clara
1.68
Guimaraes
1.59
Famalicao
1.38
Estoril
1.35
Casa Pia
1.32
Moreirense
1.18
Rio Ave
1.12
Arouca
1.12
GIL Vicente
1.00
Nacional
1.00
AVS
0.86
Estrela
0.85
Farense
0.79
Boavista
0.71
Vizela
0.50
Benfica is 1.18 points better than Moreirense in terms of average points per game (2.35 vs 1.18).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.59
Benfica
2.47
FC Porto
1.91
SC Braga
1.62
Estoril
1.41
Guimaraes
1.38
Famalicao
1.29
Moreirense
1.24
Casa Pia
1.15
Rio Ave
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Arouca
1.03
Vizela
1.00
GIL Vicente
1.00
Nacional
0.94
AVS
0.83
Farense
0.74
Estrela
0.71
Boavista
0.71
Benfica is 1.24 goals better than Moreirense in terms of goals scored per game (2.47 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sporting CP
0.79
Benfica
0.82
FC Porto
0.88
SC Braga
0.88
Santa Clara
0.94
Guimaraes
1.09
Famalicao
1.15
Casa Pia
1.29
Farense
1.35
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.44
Moreirense
1.47
Estrela
1.47
Nacional
1.47
Estoril
1.56
Rio Ave
1.62
AVS
1.72
Boavista
1.74
Vizela
2.50
Benfica is 0.65 goals better than Moreirense in terms of goals conceded per game (0.82 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Vizela
71%
FC Porto
62%
Sporting CP
60%
Benfica
58%
SC Braga
57%
Guimaraes
57%
Arouca
53%
GIL Vicente
51%
Famalicao
50%
Estoril
49%
Rio Ave
48%
Moreirense
47%
Nacional
47%
Casa Pia
47%
Estrela
45%
Santa Clara
44%
AVS
43%
Farense
41%
Boavista
40%
Benfica is 10.9 percentage points better than Moreirense in terms of average possession (58% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Benfica
For 6.2 · Against 2.8 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 10.8 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Moreirense
For 2.9 · Against 6.3 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.8 · Against 15.6 · Total 31.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Benfica
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.0
10.9
4.3
4.3
4.4
21.8
21.8
21.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
9.7
7.0
11.3
5.8
5.5
6.0
20.8
19.5
21.6
vs Weaker (39)
10.6
10.6
10.7
3.9
4.0
3.7
22.1
22.2
21.9
% over line
60%
50%
70%
56%
56%
56%
51%
50%
52%
% under line
40%
50%
30%
44%
44%
44%
49%
50%
48%
This opponent (Moreirense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Moreirense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.1
9.0
4.2
4.1
4.3
28.6
27.6
29.6
vs Stronger (11)
8.0
8.7
7.0
3.5
4.0
2.8
26.4
27.7
24.5
vs Similar (35)
9.4
9.1
9.7
4.4
4.2
4.5
29.4
28.1
30.7
vs Weaker (4)
9.2
11.0
7.5
4.5
4.0
5.0
27.2
24.0
30.5
% over line
32%
29%
35%
58%
56%
60%
87%
83%
91%
% under line
68%
71%
65%
42%
44%
40%
13%
17%
9%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Farense
11.5
Nacional
11.2
Guimaraes
10.9
Benfica
10.5
AVS
10.5
Estrela
10.4
SC Braga
10.3
FC Porto
10.2
Rio Ave
10.0
Vizela
10.0
Arouca
9.8
Estoril
9.8
Famalicao
9.8
Casa Pia
9.7
GIL Vicente
9.3
Sporting CP
9.2
Moreirense
9.2
Boavista
9.1
Santa Clara
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.5
Boavista
5.8
FC Porto
5.8
Famalicao
5.8
Guimaraes
5.8
Arouca
5.5
AVS
5.3
Rio Ave
5.3
Estoril
5.2
SC Braga
5.1
Nacional
5.1
Farense
5.0
Vizela
4.8
Moreirense
4.8
GIL Vicente
4.7
Benfica
4.7
Estrela
4.7
Sporting CP
4.6
Casa Pia
4.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
30.3
Moreirense
28.7
Santa Clara
28.5
Rio Ave
28.4
Nacional
27.6
Estrela
27.6
Estoril
27.5
FC Porto
27.4
Boavista
27.2
Guimaraes
26.9
AVS
26.7
Farense
26.6
GIL Vicente
26.5
Arouca
26.4
Casa Pia
26.0
SC Braga
25.3
Sporting CP
25.1
Vizela
24.3
Benfica
21.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
48.2%
Under 9.5
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
70.4%
Under 3.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.0%
Under 21.5
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Benfica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.47
1.33
0.53
0.87
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.89
0.67
1.25
1.00
0.60
0.40
vs Weaker (21)
1.19
0.38
1.36
0.36
1.00
0.40
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Moreirense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Moreirense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.53
0.73
0.47
0.40
0.60
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.86
0.80
0.60
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.45
0.70
0.40
0.42
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Benfica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Benfica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.43
1.80
0.33
0.93
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.33
0.89
2.00
1.25
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (21)
1.38
0.24
1.73
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Moreirense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Moreirense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.53
0.60
0.67
0.87
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.14
0.40
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.64
0.60
0.40
0.67
0.83
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Benfica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
84.2%
1.19
-
-
-
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Benfica
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vangelis Pavlidis42%
Marcos Leonardo33%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu27%
Ángel Di María26%
Tiago Gouveia25%
Orkun Kökçü24%
Zeki Amdouni20%
Arthur Cabral16%
Andrea Belotti15%
Nicolás Otamendi14%
Andreas Schjelderup9%
Bruma8%
Álvaro Carreras8%
Alexander Bah7%
Fredrik Aursnes6%
Benjamín Rollheiser6%
Florentino Luís5%
António Silva3%
Leandro Barreiro2%
Tomás Araújo2%
Renato Sanches0%
Anatoliy Trubin0%
Jan-Niklas Beste0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Issa Kaboré0%
Samuel Soares0%
Manuel Silva0%
João Rêgo0%
Gianluca Prestianni0%
Leandro Santos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Álvaro Carreras35%
Issa Kaboré33%
Manuel Silva33%
Florentino Luís25%
Tiago Gouveia25%
Leandro Santos25%
Orkun Kökçü22%
Leandro Barreiro18%
Jan-Niklas Beste14%
Nicolás Otamendi14%
Alexander Bah14%
Ángel Di María13%
António Silva13%
Gianluca Prestianni12%
Benjamín Rollheiser12%
Renato Sanches11%
João Rêgo11%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu8%
Vangelis Pavlidis8%
Zeki Amdouni8%
Arthur Cabral6%
Fredrik Aursnes6%
Samuel Dahl6%
Tomás Araújo2%
Anatoliy Trubin2%
Bruma0%
Andrea Belotti0%
Samuel Soares0%
Marcos Leonardo0%
Andreas Schjelderup0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manuel Silva33%
Samuel Dahl25%
Tiago Gouveia25%
Vangelis Pavlidis21%
Ángel Di María21%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu18%
Bruma17%
Orkun Kökçü16%
Fredrik Aursnes15%
Álvaro Carreras10%
Jan-Niklas Beste10%
Tomás Araújo7%
Alexander Bah7%
Nicolás Otamendi6%
Benjamín Rollheiser6%
Andreas Schjelderup6%
António Silva5%
Leandro Barreiro5%
Zeki Amdouni5%
Florentino Luís2%
Renato Sanches0%
Anatoliy Trubin0%
Arthur Cabral0%
Andrea Belotti0%
Issa Kaboré0%
Samuel Soares0%
Marcos Leonardo0%
João Rêgo0%
Gianluca Prestianni0%
Leandro Santos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vangelis Pavlidis31%
Ángel Di María28%
Tiago Gouveia25%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu20%
Bruma17%
Andrea Belotti15%
Arthur Cabral13%
Zeki Amdouni12%
Gianluca Prestianni12%
Orkun Kökçü12%
Andreas Schjelderup3%
António Silva3%
Leandro Barreiro2%
Fredrik Aursnes2%
Álvaro Carreras2%
Renato Sanches0%
Florentino Luís0%
Nicolás Otamendi0%
Anatoliy Trubin0%
Alexander Bah0%
Jan-Niklas Beste0%
Benjamín Rollheiser0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Issa Kaboré0%
Tomás Araújo0%
Samuel Soares0%
Marcos Leonardo0%
Manuel Silva0%
João Rêgo0%
Leandro Santos0%
Moreirense
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yan Maranhão38%
Gabrielzinho17%
Guilherme Schettine17%
Luís Asué16%
Alan16%
Cedric Teguia15%
Bernardo Martins13%
Madson de Souza Silva11%
Joel Jorquera8%
Ivo Rodrigues8%
Dinis Pinto7%
Lawrence Ofori4%
Maracás3%
Rúben Ramos Ismael3%
Sidnei Tavares3%
Godfried Frimpong3%
Marcelo3%
Kewin0%
Carlos Ponck0%
Caio0%
Jeremy Antonisse0%
Fabiano Silva0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Leonardo Buta0%
Michel Augusto0%
Gilberto Batista0%
Pedro Santos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Michel Augusto40%
Dinis Pinto30%
Leonardo Buta29%
Yan Maranhão25%
Sidnei Tavares24%
Bernardo Martins23%
Marcelo21%
Maracás21%
Rúben Ramos Ismael21%
Godfried Frimpong20%
Gilberto Batista20%
Alan19%
Pedro Santos19%
Fabiano Silva18%
Ivo Rodrigues15%
Kewin14%
Guilherme Schettine13%
Cedric Teguia8%
Jeremy Antonisse7%
Gabrielzinho6%
Madson de Souza Silva5%
Lawrence Ofori4%
Luís Asué3%
Carlos Ponck0%
Caio0%
Joel Jorquera0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alan19%
Guilherme Schettine13%
Godfried Frimpong10%
Bernardo Martins10%
Luís Asué10%
Ivo Rodrigues8%
Cedric Teguia8%
Gabrielzinho6%
Madson de Souza Silva5%
Lawrence Ofori4%
Dinis Pinto4%
Maracás3%
Rúben Ramos Ismael3%
Sidnei Tavares3%
Kewin0%
Carlos Ponck0%
Caio0%
Marcelo0%
Jeremy Antonisse0%
Joel Jorquera0%
Fabiano Silva0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Leonardo Buta0%
Yan Maranhão0%
Michel Augusto0%
Gilberto Batista0%
Pedro Santos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luís Asué23%
Guilherme Schettine17%
Madson de Souza Silva11%
Alan10%
Cedric Teguia8%
Gabrielzinho6%
Dinis Pinto4%
Ivo Rodrigues0%
Maracás0%
Kewin0%
Carlos Ponck0%
Caio0%
Lawrence Ofori0%
Godfried Frimpong0%
Bernardo Martins0%
Marcelo0%
Rúben Ramos Ismael0%
Jeremy Antonisse0%
Joel Jorquera0%
Fabiano Silva0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Sidnei Tavares0%
Leonardo Buta0%
Yan Maranhão0%
Michel Augusto0%
Gilberto Batista0%
Pedro Santos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
VIZ (29)
€12m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
Benfica's squad is €335m more valuable than Moreirense's (€357m vs €22m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
Benfica's attack is €167m more valuable than Moreirense's (€172m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
VIZ (5)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
Benfica's midfield is €68m more valuable than Moreirense's (€77m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
VIZ (11)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
AVS (10)
€3m
Benfica's defence is €99m more valuable than Moreirense's (€108m vs €9m).
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Sporting CP
FC Porto
SC Braga
Santa Clara
Guimaraes
Famalicao
Estoril
Casa Pia
Arouca
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
Nacional
AVS
Estrela
Farense
Boavista
Vizela