This opponent (Sporting CP) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CP
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
0.97
1.93
1.00
1.87
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.71
1.29
0.50
1.50
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (23)
2.26
0.87
2.15
0.92
2.40
0.80
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.4%
Under 1.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.7%
Under 2.5
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.2%
Under 3.5
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.9%
No
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.1%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.8%
Benfica goals ↓
Sporting CP goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.1%
6.6%
3.9%
1.3%
0.3%
1
11%
13%
6.0%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.4%
9.4%
4.7%
1.6%
0.4%
3
4.8%
4.8%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.9%
1.9%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Benfica goals (down), columns = Sporting CP goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Benfica
2.71
Sporting CP
2.43
Rebordosa
2.40
Alverca
2.33
Santa Clara
2.33
Anadia
2.33
SC Braga
2.25
GIL Vicente
2.25
Oliveira Hospital
2.25
Amarante
2.25
São João Ver
2.17
Tirsense
2.14
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
Moura
2.00
Varzim
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Penafiel
2.00
Torreense
2.00
União Santarém
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Chaves
2.00
Operário
2.00
Leixoes
2.00
União de Leiria
2.00
SC Covilha
2.00
Moreirense
2.00
Casa Pia
2.00
Guimaraes
2.00
Moncarapachense
2.00
Farense
2.00
Vila Real
1.75
Brito
1.75
Cinfães
1.75
Lusitânia
1.75
O Elvas
1.60
FC Porto
1.50
Pêro Pinheiro
1.50
Pevidem
1.50
Sertanense
1.50
AVS
1.50
Famalicao
1.50
Mafra
1.50
Pombal
1.50
Alcains
1.50
Régua
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Lagoa
1.50
Arouca
1.50
Aliança de Gandra
1.50
Sandinenses
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
Paredes
1.50
Atlético Arcos
1.50
Louletano
1.50
Academica
1.50
Estrela Vendas Novas
1.50
Os Limianos
1.50
Vieira
1.50
CF Benfica
1.50
FC Serpa
1.50
Guarda
1.50
Sintrense
1.50
Amora
1.50
Arronches e Benfica
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
Machico
1.50
Vilaverdense
1.50
Gondomar
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Caldas
1.33
Sanjoanense
1.33
Rio Ave
1.33
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Ovarense
1.00
Marinhense
1.00
Beira-Mar
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Joane
1.00
Estoril
1.00
Leça
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Fátima
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
União de Coimbra
0.50
Estrela
0.50
Coimbrões
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Madalena
0.00
Maritimo
0.00
Bragança
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Oliveira de Frades
0.00
Maia Lidador
0.00
Pedras Salgadas
0.00
Velense
0.00
Pedrógão São Pedro
0.00
Cardielense
0.00
Comércio Indústria
0.00
Portel
0.00
Monção
0.00
Ginásio Figueirense
0.00
Estarreja
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Tondela
0.00
Nacional
0.00
Vizela
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Resende (Portugal)
0.00
Juventude Gaula
0.00
Tocha
0.00
Olímpico do Montijo
0.00
Praia Milfontes
0.00
Fabril Barreiro
0.00
Lagos
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
0.00
Vila Cortez
0.00
Valpaços
0.00
Viana Alentejo
0.00
Vinhais
0.00
Vieirense
0.00
Castrense
0.00
Gavionenses
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
União Lamas
0.00
Oliveirense
0.00
Feirense
0.00
São Roque (Açores)
0.00
Macedo Cavaleiros
0.00
FC Barreirense
0.00
Ferreiras
0.00
Dumiense
0.00
Fafe
0.00
Boavista
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Trofense
0.00
O Grandolense
0.00
Abrantes e Benfica
0.00
Salgueiros
0.00
Benfica is 0.29 points better than Sporting CP in terms of average points per game (2.71 vs 2.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Estarreja
4.00
Benfica
3.29
Comércio Indústria
3.00
Penafiel
3.00
Vizela
3.00
Arouca
3.00
Valpaços
3.00
SC Covilha
3.00
Casa Pia
3.00
Amarante
3.00
Alverca
2.67
Anadia
2.67
Alcains
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
CF Benfica
2.50
FC Serpa
2.50
Guarda
2.50
Vilaverdense
2.50
Sanjoanense
2.33
Moncarapachense
2.33
Farense
2.33
Cinfães
2.25
Sporting CP
2.14
FC Porto
2.00
São João Ver
2.00
Coimbrões
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Sertanense
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
AVS
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Rebordosa
2.00
Vila Cortez
2.00
Portimonense
2.00
Paredes
2.00
Oliveira Hospital
2.00
Louletano
2.00
Castrense
2.00
Leça
2.00
Guimaraes
2.00
FC Barreirense
2.00
Dumiense
2.00
Moura
1.67
Varzim
1.67
CF Os Belenenses
1.67
União Santarém
1.67
SC Braga
1.50
Torreense
1.50
Pombal
1.50
Régua
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Rio Ave
1.50
Estrela Vendas Novas
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Arronches e Benfica
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
Machico
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Chaves
1.33
União de Leiria
1.33
Moreirense
1.33
GIL Vicente
1.25
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
O Elvas
1.20
Tirsense
1.14
Ovarense
1.00
Maria da Fonte
1.00
Maritimo
1.00
Bragança
1.00
Maia Lidador
1.00
Pevidem
1.00
Velense
1.00
Pedrógão São Pedro
1.00
Cardielense
1.00
Monção
1.00
Famalicao
1.00
Mafra
1.00
Tondela
1.00
Nacional
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Tocha
1.00
Olímpico do Montijo
1.00
Operário
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Fabril Barreiro
1.00
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
1.00
Aliança de Gandra
1.00
Santa Clara
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
Sandinenses
1.00
Atlético Arcos
1.00
Viana Alentejo
1.00
Vinhais
1.00
Vieirense
1.00
Academica
1.00
União Lamas
1.00
Oliveirense
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Vieira
1.00
São Roque (Açores)
1.00
Sintrense
1.00
União de Coimbra
1.00
Fafe
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Salgueiros
1.00
Vila Real
0.75
Brito
0.75
Caldas
0.67
Pêro Pinheiro
0.50
Amora
0.50
Gondomar
0.50
Estrela
0.50
Sacavenense
0.00
Madalena
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Oliveira de Frades
0.00
Pedras Salgadas
0.00
Portel
0.00
Ginásio Figueirense
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Resende (Portugal)
0.00
Juventude Gaula
0.00
Joane
0.00
Praia Milfontes
0.00
Lagos
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Estoril
0.00
Gavionenses
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Macedo Cavaleiros
0.00
Ferreiras
0.00
Fátima
0.00
Boavista
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Trofense
0.00
O Grandolense
0.00
Abrantes e Benfica
0.00
Benfica is 1.14 goals better than Sporting CP in terms of goals scored per game (3.29 vs 2.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Marinhense
0.00
Joane
0.00
Operário
0.00
Estoril
0.00
Fátima
0.00
GIL Vicente
0.25
Benfica
0.29
Santa Clara
0.33
Atlético CP
0.50
Vila Real
0.50
Famalicao
0.50
Alpendorada
0.50
Brito
0.50
Academica
0.50
FC Serpa
0.50
Arronches e Benfica
0.50
Gondomar
0.50
Sporting CP
0.57
Varzim
0.67
Caldas
0.67
SC Braga
0.75
São João Ver
0.83
FC Porto
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Moura
1.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.00
Portel
1.00
Mafra
1.00
Torreense
1.00
UD da Serra
1.00
União Santarém
1.00
Chaves
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Arouca
1.00
Aliança de Gandra
1.00
Rebordosa
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
Louletano
1.00
União de Leiria
1.00
Anadia
1.00
Moreirense
1.00
Estrela Vendas Novas
1.00
Feirense
1.00
Casa Pia
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Vieira
1.00
Guimaraes
1.00
Boavista
1.00
Machico
1.00
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Ferreira Zêzere
1.00
O Elvas
1.20
Oliveira Hospital
1.25
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Alverca
1.33
Sanjoanense
1.33
Moncarapachense
1.33
Tirsense
1.43
Pêro Pinheiro
1.50
Pevidem
1.50
AVS
1.50
Penafiel
1.50
Alcains
1.50
Régua
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Sandinenses
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
Atlético Arcos
1.50
Rio Ave
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
SC Covilha
1.67
Cinfães
1.75
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Sacavenense
2.00
Madalena
2.00
Maritimo
2.00
Bragança
2.00
Maia Lidador
2.00
Pedras Salgadas
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Sertanense
2.00
Velense
2.00
Cardielense
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Monção
2.00
Académico do Fundão
2.00
Tondela
2.00
Nacional
2.00
Olímpico do Montijo
2.00
Vianense
2.00
Fabril Barreiro
2.00
Peniche
2.00
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
2.00
Viana Alentejo
2.00
Vinhais
2.00
Eléctrico
2.00
União Lamas
2.00
Oliveirense
2.00
Leça
2.00
São Roque (Açores)
2.00
Sintrense
2.00
Amarante
2.00
União de Coimbra
2.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
2.00
Farense
2.00
Camacha
2.00
Abrantes e Benfica
2.00
Salgueiros
2.00
Pombal
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Guarda
2.50
Amora
2.50
Vilaverdense
2.50
Lajense
2.67
Coimbrões
3.00
Rabo Peixe
3.00
Oliveira de Frades
3.00
Pedrógão São Pedro
3.00
Resende (Portugal)
3.00
Juventude Gaula
3.00
Lagos
3.00
Paredes
3.00
Gavionenses
3.00
Macedo Cavaleiros
3.00
FC Barreirense
3.00
Ferreiras
3.00
Dumiense
3.00
Trofense
3.00
O Grandolense
3.00
CF Benfica
3.50
Comércio Indústria
4.00
Vizela
4.00
Tocha
4.00
Vila Cortez
4.00
Vieirense
4.00
Castrense
4.00
Fafe
4.00
Estrela
4.00
Ginásio Figueirense
5.00
Estarreja
5.00
Praia Milfontes
5.00
Valpaços
5.00
Benfica is 0.29 goals better than Sporting CP in terms of goals conceded per game (0.29 vs 0.57).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sporting CP
59%
Rio Ave
42%
Benfica
41%
Benfica is 17.7 percentage points worse than Sporting CP in terms of average possession (41% vs 59%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Benfica
For 6.4 · Against 4.0 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 13.3 · Total 25.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sporting CP
For 4.9 · Against 2.8 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 4.1 · Total 6.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 16.4 · Total 29.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Benfica
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.4
9.4
4.1
4.0
4.3
22.9
22.5
23.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
8.9
8.3
9.4
5.1
5.6
4.6
21.8
23.1
20.6
vs Weaker (35)
10.4
11.3
9.4
3.7
3.3
4.2
23.4
22.2
24.7
% over line
52%
55%
50%
58%
52%
64%
64%
64%
64%
% under line
48%
45%
50%
42%
48%
36%
36%
36%
36%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CP
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
10.2
8.1
4.8
4.6
4.9
25.9
25.6
26.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
8.5
10.4
6.8
5.0
4.2
5.7
25.5
23.2
27.5
vs Weaker (39)
9.4
10.1
8.6
4.7
4.8
4.7
26.1
26.2
25.9
% over line
46%
65%
26%
60%
60%
60%
70%
70%
70%
% under line
54%
35%
74%
40%
40%
40%
30%
30%
30%
This opponent (Benfica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Torreense
12.1
Oliveirense
11.8
Portimonense
11.1
Farense
11.0
Chaves
10.9
Vilaverdense
10.8
Tondela
10.8
Nacional
10.6
SC Covilha
10.6
Trofense
10.6
União de Leiria
10.5
Penafiel
10.5
Guimaraes
10.4
Famalicao
10.3
SC Braga
10.2
Estrela
10.1
Vizela
10.0
Academico Viseu
9.9
Pacos Ferreira
9.9
Benfica
9.9
Arouca
9.8
Feirense
9.8
Rio Ave
9.8
Maritimo
9.6
FC Porto
9.5
Casa Pia
9.5
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
Leixoes
9.3
Felgueiras 1932
9.3
Sporting CP
9.3
Boavista
9.2
AVS
9.1
Estoril
8.9
Alverca
8.8
GIL Vicente
8.7
Mafra
8.5
Moreirense
8.3
Santa Clara
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Trofense
7.1
Felgueiras 1932
6.3
Santa Clara
6.2
FC Porto
6.0
Boavista
5.8
Famalicao
5.7
Guimaraes
5.7
SC Covilha
5.4
Pacos Ferreira
5.4
Oliveirense
5.4
Leixoes
5.3
Arouca
5.3
AVS
5.3
Maritimo
5.3
Chaves
5.2
SC Braga
5.2
Casa Pia
5.2
Farense
5.2
União de Leiria
5.2
Sporting CP
5.1
Torreense
5.1
Penafiel
5.1
Rio Ave
5.0
Vizela
5.0
Moreirense
4.9
Portimonense
4.9
Nacional
4.9
Estrela
4.9
Tondela
4.8
Vilaverdense
4.8
Estoril
4.7
Benfica
4.7
GIL Vicente
4.6
Feirense
4.5
Lusitânia Lourosa
4.5
CF Os Belenenses
4.4
Academico Viseu
4.4
Alverca
4.2
Mafra
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Trofense
32.3
Famalicao
30.4
Estrela
29.5
Santa Clara
29.4
Moreirense
29.0
Vilaverdense
28.5
Estoril
28.3
SC Covilha
28.2
Farense
28.2
Rio Ave
28.1
Nacional
27.8
Guimaraes
27.8
Boavista
27.7
AVS
27.6
Arouca
27.3
GIL Vicente
26.6
FC Porto
26.5
Casa Pia
26.2
SC Braga
26.0
Sporting CP
25.7
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
Leixoes
23.0
Benfica
22.9
Pacos Ferreira
21.0
Tondela
20.5
Oliveirense
19.1
Feirense
18.9
Vizela
18.9
Academico Viseu
18.5
União de Leiria
17.7
Portimonense
17.5
Chaves
17.5
Maritimo
17.2
Torreense
16.9
Penafiel
16.4
Mafra
14.9
Felgueiras 1932
11.1
Alverca
8.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.8%
Under 9.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.2%
Under 3.5
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
72.7%
Under 21.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Benfica or Draw✓ Hit
76.8%
Avg Implied -
49%
28%
23%
covers Benfica + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Benfica or Sporting CP✗ Miss
72.0%
Avg Implied -
49%
28%
23%
covers Benfica + Sporting CP
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Sporting CP✓ Hit
51.2%
Avg Implied -
49%
28%
23%
covers Draw + Sporting CP
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Benfica over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.7%
Under
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
45.7%
Under
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.3%
Under
79.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.1%
Under
92.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.1%
Under
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.3%
Under
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.0%
Under
92.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Benfica, so a minus line means Benfica give that many goals of a start and Sporting CP receive them. At -1, Benfica must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Benfica win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Benfica)Actual: Sporting CP
Benfica -2
10.5%
Draw -2
15.2%
Sporting CP +2
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Benfica)Actual: Sporting CP
Benfica -1
25.8%
Draw -1
23.0%
Sporting CP +1
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Benfica)Actual: Benfica
Benfica +1
76.8%
Draw +1
14.5%
Sporting CP -1
8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Benfica)Actual: Benfica
Benfica +2
91.2%
Draw +2
6.4%
Sporting CP -2
2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Benfica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.50
1.40
0.47
1.00
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.89
0.78
1.00
0.75
0.80
0.80
vs Weaker (21)
1.33
0.38
1.55
0.36
1.10
0.40
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CP
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.37
0.93
0.47
0.93
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.57
0.29
0.50
0.00
0.60
0.40
vs Weaker (23)
1.04
0.39
1.00
0.54
1.10
0.20
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Benfica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Benfica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.60
1.33
0.73
1.20
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.89
0.89
1.00
1.75
0.80
0.20
vs Weaker (21)
1.43
0.48
1.45
0.36
1.40
0.60
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CP
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.60
1.00
0.53
0.93
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.14
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.20
0.80
vs Weaker (23)
1.22
0.48
1.15
0.38
1.30
0.60
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Benfica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sporting CP over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Benfica
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vangelis Pavlidis42%
Marcos Leonardo33%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu27%
Ángel Di María26%
Tiago Gouveia25%
Orkun Kökçü24%
Zeki Amdouni20%
Arthur Cabral16%
Andrea Belotti15%
Nicolás Otamendi14%
Andreas Schjelderup9%
Bruma8%
Álvaro Carreras8%
Alexander Bah7%
Fredrik Aursnes6%
Benjamín Rollheiser6%
Florentino Luís5%
António Silva3%
Leandro Barreiro2%
Tomás Araújo2%
Renato Sanches0%
Anatoliy Trubin0%
Jan-Niklas Beste0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Issa Kaboré0%
Samuel Soares0%
Manuel Silva0%
João Rêgo0%
Gianluca Prestianni0%
Leandro Santos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Álvaro Carreras35%
Issa Kaboré33%
Manuel Silva33%
Florentino Luís25%
Tiago Gouveia25%
Leandro Santos25%
Orkun Kökçü22%
Leandro Barreiro18%
Jan-Niklas Beste14%
Nicolás Otamendi14%
Alexander Bah14%
Ángel Di María13%
António Silva13%
Gianluca Prestianni12%
Benjamín Rollheiser12%
Renato Sanches11%
João Rêgo11%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu8%
Vangelis Pavlidis8%
Zeki Amdouni8%
Arthur Cabral6%
Fredrik Aursnes6%
Samuel Dahl6%
Tomás Araújo2%
Anatoliy Trubin2%
Bruma0%
Andrea Belotti0%
Samuel Soares0%
Marcos Leonardo0%
Andreas Schjelderup0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manuel Silva33%
Samuel Dahl25%
Tiago Gouveia25%
Vangelis Pavlidis21%
Ángel Di María21%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu18%
Bruma17%
Orkun Kökçü16%
Fredrik Aursnes15%
Álvaro Carreras10%
Jan-Niklas Beste10%
Tomás Araújo7%
Alexander Bah7%
Nicolás Otamendi6%
Benjamín Rollheiser6%
Andreas Schjelderup6%
António Silva5%
Leandro Barreiro5%
Zeki Amdouni5%
Florentino Luís2%
Renato Sanches0%
Anatoliy Trubin0%
Arthur Cabral0%
Andrea Belotti0%
Issa Kaboré0%
Samuel Soares0%
Marcos Leonardo0%
João Rêgo0%
Gianluca Prestianni0%
Leandro Santos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vangelis Pavlidis31%
Ángel Di María28%
Tiago Gouveia25%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu20%
Bruma17%
Andrea Belotti15%
Arthur Cabral13%
Zeki Amdouni12%
Gianluca Prestianni12%
Orkun Kökçü12%
Andreas Schjelderup3%
António Silva3%
Leandro Barreiro2%
Fredrik Aursnes2%
Álvaro Carreras2%
Renato Sanches0%
Florentino Luís0%
Nicolás Otamendi0%
Anatoliy Trubin0%
Alexander Bah0%
Jan-Niklas Beste0%
Benjamín Rollheiser0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Issa Kaboré0%
Tomás Araújo0%
Samuel Soares0%
Marcos Leonardo0%
Manuel Silva0%
João Rêgo0%
Leandro Santos0%
Sporting CP
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Viktor Gyökeres67%
Pedro Gonçalves21%
Geny Catamo16%
Daniel Bragança15%
Francisco Trincão14%
Gonçalo Inácio13%
Marcus Edwards12%
Conrad Harder11%
Nuno Santos11%
Iván Fresneda11%
Maximiliano Araújo9%
Morten Hjulmand7%
João Simões6%
Hidemasa Morita6%
Ousmane Diomande5%
Zeno Debast4%
Geovany Quenda4%
Eduardo Quaresma3%
Jeremiah St. Juste0%
Ricardo Esgaio0%
Matheus Reis0%
Rui Silva0%
Franco Israel0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Biel0%
Afonso Moreira0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Eduardo Felicíssimo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexandre Brito50%
Morten Hjulmand35%
Maximiliano Araújo24%
Pedro Gonçalves21%
Jeremiah St. Juste19%
Ousmane Diomande16%
Daniel Bragança15%
Gonçalo Inácio15%
Eduardo Felicíssimo14%
Zeno Debast13%
Viktor Gyökeres12%
João Simões12%
Matheus Reis11%
Hidemasa Morita9%
Rui Silva9%
Geovany Quenda8%
Iván Fresneda7%
Eduardo Quaresma7%
Geny Catamo7%
Franco Israel5%
Conrad Harder5%
Francisco Trincão4%
Marcus Edwards0%
Ricardo Esgaio0%
Nuno Santos0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Biel0%
Afonso Moreira0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pedro Gonçalves26%
Francisco Trincão24%
Daniel Bragança23%
Viktor Gyökeres21%
Conrad Harder11%
Geovany Quenda10%
Hidemasa Morita9%
Maximiliano Araújo9%
Zeno Debast7%
João Simões6%
Gonçalo Inácio5%
Morten Hjulmand5%
Matheus Reis5%
Geny Catamo4%
Jeremiah St. Juste0%
Marcus Edwards0%
Ricardo Esgaio0%
Nuno Santos0%
Rui Silva0%
Franco Israel0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Eduardo Quaresma0%
Biel0%
Iván Fresneda0%
Afonso Moreira0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
Ousmane Diomande0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Eduardo Felicíssimo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Viktor Gyökeres60%
Francisco Trincão28%
Pedro Gonçalves21%
Conrad Harder14%
Ousmane Diomande11%
Geny Catamo11%
Geovany Quenda4%
Daniel Bragança4%
Hidemasa Morita3%
Morten Hjulmand2%
Maximiliano Araújo2%
Jeremiah St. Juste0%
Marcus Edwards0%
Ricardo Esgaio0%
Matheus Reis0%
Nuno Santos0%
Rui Silva0%
Franco Israel0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Eduardo Quaresma0%
Gonçalo Inácio0%
Zeno Debast0%
Biel0%
Iván Fresneda0%
Afonso Moreira0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
João Simões0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Eduardo Felicíssimo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
VIZ (29)
€12m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
LL (19)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
ACA (11)
€2m
PF (13)
€2m
OLI (7)
€1m
AMA (6)
€1m
Benfica's squad is €56m less valuable than Sporting CP's (€357m vs €414m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
AV (11)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
MAR (10)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
ACA (6)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
LL (6)
€1m
PF (3)
€1m
AMA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
Benfica's attack is €26m more valuable than Sporting CP's (€172m vs €146m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
MAR (6)
€3m
EST (5)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
TOR (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
LL (2)
€1m
AMA (3)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
PEN (2)
€0m
ACA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
Benfica's midfield is €14m less valuable than Sporting CP's (€77m vs €91m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (11)
€3m
AVS (10)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
OLI (5)
€1m
ACA (4)
€1m
PF (8)
€1m
AMA (2)
€0m
Benfica's defence is €68m less valuable than Sporting CP's (€108m vs €176m).
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →
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FC Porto
SC Braga
Santa Clara
Guimaraes
Famalicao
Estoril
Casa Pia
Moreirense
Arouca
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
Nacional
AVS
Estrela
Farense
Boavista
Vizela