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Bologna vs AC Milan Result & Analysis

Date: 27/02/2025
Time: 19:45
Final 2-1
Bologna
Bologna
Vs
50%
26%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table18 Who played

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bologna win✓ Hit
49.5%
Avg Implied 33.5% · @ 2.84
Edge
+16.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied 29.0% · @ 3.28
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AC Milan win✗ Miss
24.0%
Avg Implied 37.5% · @ 2.54
Edge
-13.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚜ 2. Goal Analysis

BolognaBologna

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D22D31W21W11D11D20W00D32W02LH·AS 12/01A·INT15/01H·MON18/01H·BOR21/01A·EMP25/01A·SPO29/01H·COM01/02A·LEC09/02H·TOR14/02A·PAR22/02
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.171.500.931.191.38
vs Stronger (12)1.081.331.001.001.141.57
vs Similar (17)1.470.941.750.621.221.22
vs Weaker (1)2.003.002.003.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W32W12L11D20W01L10W11D12LA·JUV18/01H·GIR22/01H·PAR26/01A·DIN29/01H·INT02/02A·EMP08/02A·FEY12/02H·HEL15/02H·FEY18/02A·TOR22/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.001.400.671.401.33
vs Stronger (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
vs Similar (15)1.001.271.141.000.881.50
vs Weaker (14)1.710.711.620.381.831.17
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Bologna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.8%
Under 1.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.8%
@ 1.99+4.7%
Under 2.5
47.2%
@ 1.84-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.5%
Under 3.5
69.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.7%
No
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
2-1 ✓
9.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
Bologna goals ↓
AC Milan goals →
01234
07.3%5.7%3.8%1.4%0.4%
19.2%13%6.4%2.4%0.7%
28.7%9.6%5.3%2.0%0.5%
34.9%5.4%3.0%1.1%0.3%
42.0%2.3%1.3%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bologna goals (down), columns = AC Milan goals (across).

đŸ’Ș 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Napoli
2.16
Inter
2.13
Atalanta
1.95
Juventus
1.84
AS Roma
1.82
Fiorentina
1.71
Lazio
1.71
AC Milan
1.66
Bologna
1.63
Como
1.29
Udinese
1.16
Torino
1.16
Genoa
1.13
Hellas Verona
0.97
Cagliari
0.95
Parma
0.95
Lecce
0.89
Empoli
0.82
Venezia
0.76
Monza
0.47
Bologna is 0.03 points worse than AC Milan in terms of average points per game (1.63 vs 1.66).

⚔ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter
2.08
Atalanta
2.05
Lazio
1.61
AC Milan
1.61
Fiorentina
1.58
Napoli
1.55
Juventus
1.53
Bologna
1.50
AS Roma
1.47
Como
1.29
Parma
1.16
Udinese
1.08
Cagliari
1.05
Torino
1.03
Genoa
0.97
Hellas Verona
0.89
Empoli
0.87
Venezia
0.84
Monza
0.74
Lecce
0.71
Bologna is 0.11 goals worse than AC Milan in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.61).

đŸ›Ąïž Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Napoli
0.71
Inter
0.92
Juventus
0.92
AS Roma
0.92
Atalanta
0.97
Fiorentina
1.08
AC Milan
1.13
Torino
1.18
Bologna
1.24
Genoa
1.29
Lazio
1.29
Como
1.37
Udinese
1.47
Venezia
1.47
Cagliari
1.47
Lecce
1.53
Parma
1.53
Empoli
1.55
Hellas Verona
1.74
Monza
1.82
Bologna is 0.11 goals worse than AC Milan in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.13).

⏱ Possession

Avg possession %
Inter
59%
Bologna
59%
Juventus
58%
Atalanta
55%
Lazio
55%
Como
55%
Napoli
55%
AC Milan
54%
AS Roma
54%
Fiorentina
51%
Monza
49%
Torino
47%
Udinese
47%
Genoa
46%
Venezia
45%
Cagliari
45%
Parma
44%
Lecce
44%
Empoli
41%
Hellas Verona
38%
Bologna is 4.5 percentage points better than AC Milan in terms of average possession (59% vs 54%).

đŸŽČ 4. Props Analysis

BolognaBologna

For 4.9 · Against 2.9 · Total 7.8

đŸš© Corners

11048256426542654335441011611611469A·PARH·TORA·LECH·COMA·SPOA·EMPH·BORH·MONA·INTH·AS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.4

🟹 Cards

90124235543441341353428938458A·PARH·TORA·LECH·COMA·SPOA·EMPH·BORH·MONH·AS H·HEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.6 · Against 17.1 · Total 32.7

⚠ Fouls

47013147171614161829181325151816181319181027243034473833343228A·PARH·TORA·LECH·COMA·SPOA·EMPH·BORH·MONA·INTH·AS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AC MilanAC Milan

For 6.7 · Against 4.9 · Total 11.6

đŸš© Corners

190114431076562811457463551571711819911910A·TORH·FEYH·HELA·FEYA·EMPH·INTA·DINH·PARH·GIRA·JUV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.1

🟹 Cards

801153341253253252222873828742A·TORH·FEYH·HELA·FEYA·EMPH·INTA·DINH·PARH·GIRA·JUV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 13.1 · Total 23.5

⚠ Fouls

300514111011189810175916111471218111919212917271427213030A·TORH·FEYH·HELA·FEYA·EMPH·INTA·DINH·PARH·GIRA·JUV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BolognaBologna

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.79.28.24.85.14.528.328.028.6
vs Stronger (18)9.39.39.35.65.75.528.628.928.5
vs Similar (29)7.98.57.34.34.93.628.227.728.6
vs Weaker (3)12.012.0-5.05.0-27.727.7-
% over line40%48%32%70%76%64%88%88%88%
% under line60%52%68%30%24%36%12%12%12%
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.39.94.54.64.522.421.423.4
vs Stronger (1)13.0-13.06.0-6.020.0-20.0
vs Similar (24)9.59.69.55.05.14.922.221.323.0
vs Weaker (25)10.610.910.24.04.23.722.621.524.3
% over line54%58%50%60%62%58%46%38%54%
% under line46%42%50%40%38%42%54%62%46%
This opponent (Bologna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

đŸš© Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Empoli
10.7
Lecce
10.5
Udinese
10.4
Venezia
10.3
Cagliari
10.3
Parma
10.2
AC Milan
10.1
Hellas Verona
10.0
Lazio
9.9
Genoa
9.8
Torino
9.6
Juventus
9.4
Napoli
9.4
Inter
9.3
AS Roma
9.2
Como
8.9
Fiorentina
8.9
Monza
8.8
Bologna
8.7
Atalanta
8.0

🟹 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lazio
5.8
Fiorentina
5.0
Parma
4.9
Bologna
4.9
Udinese
4.8
Como
4.7
AS Roma
4.7
Hellas Verona
4.6
Cagliari
4.5
Monza
4.5
AC Milan
4.5
Venezia
4.4
Torino
4.3
Lecce
4.1
Genoa
4.0
Empoli
4.0
Napoli
3.9
Juventus
3.8
Inter
3.3
Atalanta
3.3

⚠ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bologna
28.3
Empoli
27.9
Como
27.9
Monza
26.6
Fiorentina
26.3
Hellas Verona
25.8
Venezia
25.7
Lecce
25.4
Lazio
24.8
Udinese
24.8
Cagliari
24.6
Genoa
23.9
Torino
23.7
AS Roma
23.6
Parma
23.6
Napoli
23.2
Inter
22.9
Atalanta
22.8
Juventus
22.6
AC Milan
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.1%
Under 9.5
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
70.3%
Under 3.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.1%
Under 21.5
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

đŸ„… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ 7. Handicap

⏱ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BolognaBologna

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L21W01L11D10W10W00D11D01LH·AS 12/01A·INT15/01H·MON18/01H·BOR21/01A·EMP25/01A·SPO29/01H·COM01/02A·LEC09/02H·TOR14/02A·PAR22/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.430.430.430.500.44
vs Stronger (12)0.330.330.000.200.570.43
vs Similar (17)0.530.410.620.380.440.44
vs Weaker (1)1.002.001.002.00--
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W11D01L10W00D01L00D10W01LA·JUV18/01H·GIR22/01H·PAR26/01A·DIN29/01H·INT02/02A·EMP08/02A·FEY12/02H·HEL15/02H·FEY18/02A·TOR22/02
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.430.870.270.530.60
vs Stronger (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
vs Similar (15)0.470.530.710.430.250.62
vs Weaker (14)0.860.291.000.120.670.50
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Bologna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

đŸ„… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bologna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bologna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bologna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BolognaBologna

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D10W10W20W00D01L10W00D21W01LH·AS 12/01A·INT15/01H·MON18/01H·BOR21/01A·EMP25/01A·SPO29/01H·COM01/02A·LEC09/02H·TOR14/02A·PAR22/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.731.070.500.690.94
vs Stronger (12)0.751.001.000.800.571.14
vs Similar (17)0.940.531.120.250.780.78
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (AC Milan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AC MilanAC Milan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D21W11D01L20W00D10W01L11DA·JUV18/01H·GIR22/01H·PAR26/01A·DIN29/01H·INT02/02A·EMP08/02A·FEY12/02H·HEL15/02H·FEY18/02A·TOR22/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.570.530.400.870.73
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (15)0.530.730.430.570.620.88
vs Weaker (14)0.860.430.620.251.170.67
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Bologna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

đŸ„… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bologna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bologna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bologna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AC Milan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

đŸ”„ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls92.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards85.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls84.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.577.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners76.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls72.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards70.3%-------✗ Miss

đŸŽœ 13. Player market rates

Bologna
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Riccardo Orsolini40%
Santiago Castro22%
Dan Ndoye17%
Jens Odgaard16%
Jesper Karlsson14%
Thijs Dallinga14%
Tommaso Pobega13%
Samuel Iling Junior12%
BenjamĂ­n DomĂ­nguez11%
Giovanni Fabbian10%
Kacper UrbaƄski8%
Lorenzo De Silvestri5%
NicolĂČ Cambiaghi5%
Lewis Ferguson4%
Emil Holm3%
Jhon LucumĂ­2%
Remo Freuler2%
Juan Miranda0%
Stefan Posch0%
Michel Aebischer0%
Nikola Moro0%
Davide Calabria0%
Ɓukasz Skorupski0%
Charalampos Lykogiannīs0%
Martin Erlić0%
Federico Ravaglia0%
NicolĂČ Casale0%
Sam Beukema0%
Oussama El Azzouzi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jhon LucumĂ­25%
Charalampos Lykogiannīs24%
Davide Calabria23%
Emil Holm21%
Santiago Castro20%
Michel Aebischer19%
Remo Freuler18%
Tommaso Pobega17%
Kacper UrbaƄski17%
Stefan Posch15%
Jesper Karlsson14%
Lewis Ferguson12%
Dan Ndoye12%
Giovanni Fabbian12%
Juan Miranda11%
Riccardo Orsolini10%
Martin Erlić9%
NicolĂČ Casale9%
Sam Beukema9%
Nikola Moro6%
Samuel Iling Junior6%
Jens Odgaard5%
Lorenzo De Silvestri5%
Ɓukasz Skorupski3%
Thijs Dallinga2%
NicolĂČ Cambiaghi0%
Federico Ravaglia0%
Oussama El Azzouzi0%
BenjamĂ­n DomĂ­nguez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Charalampos Lykogiannīs28%
NicolĂČ Cambiaghi15%
Juan Miranda13%
Dan Ndoye12%
Santiago Castro11%
BenjamĂ­n DomĂ­nguez11%
Riccardo Orsolini10%
Nikola Moro9%
Jens Odgaard8%
Davide Calabria8%
Tommaso Pobega7%
Thijs Dallinga5%
NicolĂČ Casale5%
Sam Beukema4%
Lewis Ferguson4%
Remo Freuler4%
Emil Holm3%
Giovanni Fabbian2%
Jhon LucumĂ­2%
Stefan Posch0%
Michel Aebischer0%
Ɓukasz Skorupski0%
Lorenzo De Silvestri0%
Martin Erlić0%
Federico Ravaglia0%
Jesper Karlsson0%
Samuel Iling Junior0%
Kacper UrbaƄski0%
Oussama El Azzouzi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Riccardo Orsolini28%
Santiago Castro17%
Dan Ndoye17%
Thijs Dallinga12%
Jens Odgaard11%
Martin Erlić9%
BenjamĂ­n DomĂ­nguez7%
Tommaso Pobega7%
Samuel Iling Junior6%
Lewis Ferguson4%
Emil Holm3%
Juan Miranda0%
Stefan Posch0%
Michel Aebischer0%
Nikola Moro0%
Davide Calabria0%
Jhon LucumĂ­0%
Remo Freuler0%
Ɓukasz Skorupski0%
NicolĂČ Cambiaghi0%
Lorenzo De Silvestri0%
Charalampos Lykogiannīs0%
Federico Ravaglia0%
NicolĂČ Casale0%
Sam Beukema0%
Jesper Karlsson0%
Kacper UrbaƄski0%
Oussama El Azzouzi0%
Giovanni Fabbian0%
AC Milan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christian Puliơić29%
Santiago Giménez26%
Álvaro Morata26%
Tijjani Reijnders25%
Rafael LeĂŁo22%
Tammy Abraham19%
Luka Jović18%
JoĂŁo FĂ©lix14%
Samuel Chukwueze11%
Theo HernĂĄndez9%
Davide Calabria8%
Noah Okafor6%
Strahinja Pavlović6%
Matteo Gabbia6%
Malick Thiaw3%
Youssouf Fofana2%
Kyle Walker0%
Emerson Royal0%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek0%
Ismaël Bennacer0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Yunus Musah0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Warren Bondo0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Francesco Camarda0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Álvaro Morata35%
Ismaël Bennacer29%
Filippo Terracciano25%
Davide Calabria23%
Álex Jiménez23%
Fikayo Tomori21%
Emerson Royal21%
Warren Bondo20%
JoĂŁo FĂ©lix19%
Yunus Musah18%
Theo HernĂĄndez17%
Santiago Giménez16%
Rafael LeĂŁo14%
Matteo Gabbia14%
Youssouf Fofana14%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek11%
Malick Thiaw10%
Strahinja Pavlović9%
Francesco Camarda7%
Christian Puliơić6%
Kyle Walker6%
Luka Jović6%
Tijjani Reijnders6%
Samuel Chukwueze6%
Mike Maignan4%
Tammy Abraham2%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Noah Okafor0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafael LeĂŁo20%
Christian Puliơić19%
Youssouf Fofana18%
Santiago Giménez16%
Ismaël Bennacer14%
Tammy Abraham14%
Noah Okafor12%
Theo HernĂĄndez9%
Samuel Chukwueze8%
Tijjani Reijnders8%
Álex Jiménez8%
Fikayo Tomori6%
Yunus Musah5%
Álvaro Morata4%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek4%
Malick Thiaw3%
Strahinja Pavlović3%
JoĂŁo FĂ©lix0%
Kyle Walker0%
Emerson Royal0%
Davide Calabria0%
Luka Jović0%
Mike Maignan0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Matteo Gabbia0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Warren Bondo0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Francesco Camarda0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
JoĂŁo FĂ©lix29%
Rafael LeĂŁo14%
Tijjani Reijnders13%
Álvaro Morata13%
Theo HernĂĄndez11%
Santiago Giménez11%
Christian Puliơić10%
Tammy Abraham7%
Youssouf Fofana4%
Álex Jiménez4%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek4%
Matteo Gabbia3%
Samuel Chukwueze3%
Yunus Musah3%
Kyle Walker0%
Emerson Royal0%
Davide Calabria0%
Luka Jović0%
Ismaël Bennacer0%
Fikayo Tomori0%
Mike Maignan0%
Marco Sportiello0%
Riccardo Sottil0%
Strahinja Pavlović0%
Noah Okafor0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Filippo Terracciano0%
Warren Bondo0%
Davide Bartesaghi0%
Francesco Camarda0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (25)
€694m
AM (33)
€585m
JUV (28)
€569m
COM (34)
€488m
AR (29)
€471m
NAP (33)
€459m
ATA (26)
€438m
FIO (28)
€330m
LAZ (35)
€240m
BOL (25)
€218m
GEN (32)
€182m
UDI (30)
€157m
TOR (31)
€144m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
VEN (36)
€117m
LEC (31)
€72m
MON (29)
€70m
HV (34)
€57m
EMP (27)
€20m
Bologna's squad is €367m less valuable than AC Milan's (€218m vs €585m).

⚔ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
JUV (10)
€240m
AM (8)
€223m
INT (5)
€220m
NAP (12)
€206m
ATA (7)
€158m
AR (6)
€138m
FIO (9)
€125m
BOL (8)
€104m
LAZ (9)
€60m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
UDI (8)
€46m
TOR (10)
€43m
VEN (9)
€39m
PAR (8)
€35m
MON (11)
€26m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
EMP (9)
€11m
Bologna's attack is €118m less valuable than AC Milan's (€104m vs €223m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€232m
AM (11)
€153m
JUV (6)
€140m
ATA (10)
€128m
AR (5)
€118m
FIO (6)
€107m
NAP (7)
€101m
LAZ (8)
€86m
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
TOR (8)
€46m
GEN (6)
€44m
UDI (8)
€39m
BOL (5)
€34m
VEN (11)
€31m
CAG (9)
€31m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
HV (9)
€14m
EMP (9)
€6m
Bologna's midfield is €119m less valuable than AC Milan's (€34m vs €153m).

đŸ›Ąïž Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INT (10)
€242m
AR (18)
€215m
AM (14)
€209m
JUV (12)
€189m
ATA (9)
€153m
NAP (14)
€152m
COM (14)
€144m
FIO (13)
€98m
LAZ (18)
€93m
GEN (17)
€84m
BOL (12)
€79m
UDI (14)
€72m
TOR (13)
€54m
CAG (11)
€52m
VEN (16)
€47m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
MON (11)
€20m
EMP (9)
€4m
Bologna's defence is €130m less valuable than AC Milan's (€79m vs €209m).

đŸ€ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
BOL wins
3
Draws
5
AM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bologna vs AC Milan · H/A from BOL
DateH/AGameScore
27/01/24AAC Milan Vs BOL2-2
21/08/23HBOL Vs AC Milan0-2
15/04/23HBOL Vs AC Milan1-1
27/08/22AAC Milan Vs BOL2-0
04/04/22AAC Milan Vs BOL0-0
23/10/21HBOL Vs AC Milan2-4
30/01/21HBOL Vs AC Milan1-2
21/09/20AAC Milan Vs BOL2-0

BolognaBologna

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/02/25AParma Vs BOL2-0
14/02/25HBOL Vs Torino3-2
09/02/25ALecce Vs BOL0-0
01/02/25HBOL Vs Como2-0
29/01/25ASporting CP Vs BOL1-1
25/01/25AEmpoli Vs BOL1-1
21/01/25HBOL Vs Borussia Dortmund2-1
18/01/25HBOL Vs Monza3-1
15/01/25AInter Vs BOL2-2
12/01/25HBOL Vs AS Roma2-2

AC MilanAC Milan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/02/25ATorino Vs AM2-1
18/02/25HAM Vs Feyenoord1-1
15/02/25HAM Vs Hellas Verona1-0
12/02/25AFeyenoord Vs AM1-0
08/02/25AEmpoli Vs AM0-2
02/02/25HAM Vs Inter1-1
29/01/25ADinamo Zagreb Vs AM2-1
26/01/25HAM Vs Parma3-2
22/01/25HAM Vs Girona1-0
18/01/25AJuventus Vs AM2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bologna
Bologna
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWL1.64
HomeDWWWW1.80
AwayDDDDL1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%48%36%
AVG goals2.462.562.36
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %44%44%44%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored1.421.681.16
Conceded1.040.881.20
BTTS46%48%44%
Clean Sheet38%44%32%
Corners8.669.168.16
Cards4.905.124.67
AC Milan
AC Milan
Italy: Serie A
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL1.64
HomeWWDWD1.85
AwayLLWLL1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%50%42%
AVG goals2.942.883.00
Over 1.5 %76%73%79%
Over 2.5 %62%54%71%
Over 3.5 %34%35%33%
Scored1.701.851.54
Conceded1.241.041.46
BTTS62%54%71%
Clean Sheet28%38%17%
Corners10.1410.359.92
Cards4.524.584.46

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NapoliNapoli3882
63%
2.2
5927+32
2.3
71%
45%
16%
9.4
50%
3.2
41%
23.3
66%
459
2061011521.60.7
55%
2InterInter3881
63%
2.1
7935+44
3.0
79%
55%
39%
9.5
43%
3.3
44%
22.5
49%
694
2202322422.10.9
59%
3AtalantaAtalanta3874
58%
1.9
7837+41
3.0
82%
55%
39%
8.4
24%
3.4
36%
22.4
55%
438
1581281532.11.0
55%
4JuventusJuventus3870
47%
1.8
5835+23
2.4
76%
42%
21%
9.5
53%
3.8
58%
22.9
71%
569
2401401891.50.9
58%
5AS RomaAS Roma3869
53%
1.8
5635+21
2.4
66%
39%
24%
8.5
39%
4.3
59%
24.0
68%
471
1381182151.50.9
54%
6FiorentinaFiorentina3865
50%
1.7
6041+19
2.7
71%
61%
24%
8.0
30%
4.9
81%
27.2
86%
330
125107981.61.1
51%
7LazioLazio3865
47%
1.7
6149+12
2.9
82%
61%
29%
10.4
50%
6.2
92%
24.5
76%
240
6086931.61.3
55%
8AC MilanAC Milan3863
47%
1.7
6143+18
2.7
82%
61%
26%
9.9
53%
4.1
50%
22.7
50%
585
2231532091.61.1
54%
9BolognaBologna3862
42%
1.6
5747+10
2.7
82%
53%
34%
8.2
34%
4.4
70%
31.0
97%
218
10434791.51.2
59%
10ComoComo3849
34%
1.3
4952-3
2.7
84%
45%
24%
8.3
39%
5.1
74%
27.6
95%
488
261831441.31.4
55%
11TorinoTorino3844
26%
1.2
3945-6
2.2
68%
26%
21%
9.3
50%
3.9
61%
23.6
63%
144
4346541.01.2
47%
12UdineseUdinese3844
32%
1.2
4156-15
2.6
74%
50%
24%
10.0
61%
4.3
65%
24.9
76%
157
4639721.11.5
47%
13GenoaGenoa3843
26%
1.1
3749-12
2.3
68%
39%
21%
9.4
42%
4.1
64%
25.7
79%
182
5444841.01.3
46%
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3837
26%
1.0
3466-32
2.6
68%
47%
26%
9.3
47%
4.4
65%
25.1
66%
57
1314300.91.7
38%
15ParmaParma3836
18%
0.9
4458-14
2.7
71%
55%
39%
10.3
68%
4.4
55%
23.4
61%
142
3560461.21.5
44%
16CagliariCagliari3836
24%
0.9
4056-16
2.5
76%
50%
21%
9.8
50%
3.8
53%
24.3
66%
134
5131521.11.5
45%
17LecceLecce3834
21%
0.9
2758-31
2.2
58%
39%
24%
10.4
47%
4.1
61%
24.2
68%
72
2016370.71.5
44%
18EmpoliEmpoli3831
16%
0.8
3359-26
2.4
74%
47%
21%
9.6
50%
3.9
46%
27.8
84%
20
11640.91.6
41%
19VeneziaVenezia3829
13%
0.8
3256-24
2.3
68%
42%
24%
9.6
47%
3.9
45%
26.3
79%
117
3931470.81.5
45%
20MonzaMonza3818
8%
0.5
2869-41
2.6
79%
50%
24%
8.7
45%
4.2
58%
28.3
84%
70
2624200.71.8
49%
Italy: Serie A 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →

đŸ‘„ 18. Who played

Bologna
90'Juan Miranda6.3
90'Dan Ndoye⚽7.9
90'NicolĂČ Casale7.3
90'Sam Beukema7.2
90'Remo Freuler7.2
90'Ɓukasz Skorupski6.6
84'Lorenzo De Silvestri7.0
80'BenjamĂ­n DomĂ­nguez6.2
79'Santiago Castro⚽7.2
72'Lewis Ferguson7.5
72'Giovanni Fabbian1A7.5
18'Tommaso Pobega6.3
18'Jens Odgaard6.9
12'Davide Calabria6.6
11'Thijs Dallinga6.9
10'NicolĂČ Cambiaghi1A7.2
AC Milan
90'Tijjani Reijnders6.9
90'Yunus Musah7.0
90'Theo HernĂĄndez6.3
90'Mike Maignan6.9
90'Rafael LeĂŁo⚽7.2
90'Youssouf Fofana6.6
90'Strahinja Pavlović6.7
90'Malick Thiaw7.3
84'Álex Jiménez6.6
76'Santiago Giménez1A7.3
61'JoĂŁo FĂ©lix6.3
29'Christian Puliơić6.3
14'Luka Jović6.6
12'Tammy Abraham6.3
Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

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