Cracovia Krakow, coming off a draw against Slask Wroclaw, hosts Wieczysta Krakow, who suffered two consecutive defeats before facing Lech Poznan. This match is expected to be high-scoring, with a predicted total of 3.3 goals and a most likely total of 3. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 10.7% chance.
Cracovia Krakow's home form shows they average 1 goal scored and 1.22 conceded against similar opponents. Wieczysta Krakow's away form indicates they average 1 goal scored and 1 conceded against similar opponents.
The model predicts a 45% chance of an away win, with Wieczysta Krakow as the favourite. The model's selection for the match result is an away win. The model's selection for over 1.5 goals is 85.6%, for over 21.5 fouls is 83.6%, and for over 3.5 cards is 76.1%.
The home team has a 30% chance of winning, a 24% chance of drawing, and a 45% chance of losing. The model's selections are Over 1.5 (85.6%), Over 21.5 fouls (83.6%), and Over 3.5 cards (76.1%).
Results analysis
The upset came early as Cracovia Krakow snapped a two-game winning run to defeat the pre-match favourite, Wieczysta Kraków, 3-2. The model had tipped an away win with a 47 % probability, but that call proved wrong. The match delivered a high-scoring affair, with 5 goals, far above the expected 3.8 and the most likely 3-goal total. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 (96 %) and Under 6.5 (91 %) were correct, as were Home under 2.5 HT goals (96 %) and Away under 2.5 HT goals (94.5 %). Home under 3.5 goals (91 %) and Over 19.5 fouls (90 %) also succeeded, and the model’s edge picks - Over 1.5 (90 %) and Away under 1.5 HT goals (88.7 %) - were accurate. The home side’s recent form, noted as a 2-game winning streak, proved decisive.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Cracovia Krakow win✓ Hit
30.4%
Avg Implied 44.1% · @ 2.10
Edge
-13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.20
Dafabet
2.19
Bet365
2.15
Superbet
2.15
Betano
2.15
Draw✗ Miss
22.5%
Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.41
Edge
-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.65
Betfair
3.60
Dafabet
3.50
Pinnacle
3.49
Betano
3.45
Wieczysta Kraków win✗ Miss
47.2%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.23
Edge
+18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.45
888Sport
3.40
Pinnacle
3.36
10Bet
3.35
Dafabet
3.25
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Cracovia Krakow
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.27
1.07
1.14
0.56
1.38
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
1.43
1.50
0.75
0.33
2.33
vs Similar (23)
0.74
1.22
0.90
1.30
0.62
1.15
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Wieczysta Kraków) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wieczysta Kraków
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
1.60
1.75
1.62
2.36
1.57
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (21)
2.24
1.81
2.09
1.82
2.40
1.80
vs Weaker (8)
1.62
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Cracovia Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.0%
@ 1.23+14.3%
Under 1.5
10.0%
@ 3.82-14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Under
Betfair
4.20
Pinnacle
4.16
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
10Bet
3.85
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
72.9%
@ 1.76+19.7%
Under 2.5
27.1%
@ 2.01-19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.81
Unibet
1.81
10Bet
1.80
SBO
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Under
Betfair
2.10
SBO
2.07
Pinnacle
2.06
Bet365
2.05
Betano
2.05
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
52.4%
@ 2.87+20.1%
Under 3.5
47.6%
@ 1.37-20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.05
Pinnacle
3.02
10Bet
3.00
888Sport
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Under
Superbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
72.3%
@ 1.63+15.3%
No
27.7%
@ 2.16-15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.68
10Bet
1.67
888Sport
1.67
William Hil
1.62
Betfair
1.62
No
Betfair
2.25
William Hil
2.20
Superbet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.18
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
8.8%@ 6.33+1.8%
1-2
8.5%@ 10.31+4.1%
2-2
7.1%@ 11.85+3.3%
2-1
6.7%@ 8.11+1.2%
1-3
5.9%@ 24.18+4.1%
0-2
5.0%@ 16.60+2.3%
2-3
5.0%@ 27.46+3.4%
3-2 ✓
4.0%@ 21.37+1.9%
Cracovia Krakow goals ↓
Wieczysta Kraków goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.1%
4.0%
5.0%
3.5%
1.9%
1
3.0%
8.8%
8.5%
5.9%
3.1%
2
3.2%
6.7%
7.1%
5.0%
2.6%
3
1.8%
3.8%
4.0%
2.8%
1.5%
4
0.8%
1.6%
1.7%
1.2%
0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cracovia Krakow goals (down), columns = Wieczysta Kraków goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lech Poznan
2.60
Gornik Zabrze
2.40
Legia Warszawa
2.00
GKS Katowice
1.80
Jagiellonia
1.80
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Pogon Szczecin
1.60
Zaglebie Lubin
1.60
Korona Kielce
1.60
Cracovia Krakow
1.33
Piast Gliwice
1.17
Radomiak Radom
1.17
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Slask Wroclaw
1.00
Motor Lublin
0.83
Wisla Plock
0.80
Wieczysta Kraków
0.60
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
Cracovia Krakow is 0.73 points better than Wieczysta Kraków in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 0.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
GKS Katowice
2.40
Gornik Zabrze
2.20
Wisla Krakow
2.00
Lech Poznan
2.00
Legia Warszawa
2.00
Jagiellonia
1.80
Piast Gliwice
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wieczysta Kraków
1.60
Pogon Szczecin
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.33
Raków Częstochowa
1.20
Korona Kielce
1.20
Radomiak Radom
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Zaglebie Lubin
1.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.00
Wisla Plock
0.60
Cracovia Krakow is 0.60 goals worse than Wieczysta Kraków in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Legia Warszawa
0.67
Pogon Szczecin
0.80
Zaglebie Lubin
0.80
Korona Kielce
0.80
Lech Poznan
0.80
Cracovia Krakow
1.17
GKS Katowice
1.20
Gornik Zabrze
1.40
Jagiellonia
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Motor Lublin
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wisla Plock
2.00
Piast Gliwice
2.17
Radomiak Radom
2.17
Wieczysta Kraków
2.40
Raków Częstochowa
2.60
Cracovia Krakow is 1.23 goals better than Wieczysta Kraków in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 2.40).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Jagiellonia
58%
Piast Gliwice
56%
Wieczysta Kraków
54%
Lech Poznan
54%
Gornik Zabrze
53%
Raków Częstochowa
53%
Wisla Plock
52%
Legia Warszawa
52%
Wisla Krakow
52%
Radomiak Radom
50%
GKS Katowice
48%
Cracovia Krakow
48%
Korona Kielce
48%
Slask Wroclaw
47%
Zaglebie Lubin
47%
Widzew Łódź
46%
Motor Lublin
46%
Pogon Szczecin
41%
Cracovia Krakow is 5.8 percentage points worse than Wieczysta Kraków in terms of average possession (48% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cracovia Krakow
For 6.5 · Against 3.8 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 11.0 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wieczysta Kraków
For 2.7 · Against 6.3 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 1.3 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 13.0 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cracovia Krakow
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.2
10.2
4.1
4.3
3.9
25.2
25.0
25.4
vs Stronger (10)
10.6
10.2
10.8
4.5
5.8
3.7
25.1
26.0
24.4
vs Similar (39)
9.5
8.9
10.1
4.0
4.0
4.0
25.4
24.8
26.1
vs Weaker (1)
10.0
-
10.0
3.0
-
3.0
19.0
-
19.0
% over line
52%
39%
64%
54%
52%
56%
69%
74%
64%
% under line
48%
61%
36%
46%
48%
44%
31%
26%
36%
This opponent (Wieczysta Kraków) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wieczysta Kraków
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (40)
9.0
11.0
8.0
0.3
0.1
0.6
26.3
20.0
29.5
vs Stronger (1)
11.0
11.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
20.0
20.0
-
vs Similar (30)
8.0
-
8.0
0.4
0.0
0.7
29.5
-
29.5
vs Weaker (9)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
33%
100%
0%
2%
0%
5%
33%
0%
50%
% under line
67%
0%
100%
98%
100%
95%
67%
100%
50%
This opponent (Cracovia Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wisla Krakow
12.5
Pogon Szczecin
10.6
Zaglebie Lubin
10.4
Korona Kielce
10.3
Gornik Zabrze
10.2
Motor Lublin
10.1
Slask Wroclaw
10.1
Lech Poznan
10.0
Radomiak Radom
9.9
Piast Gliwice
9.9
Cracovia Krakow
9.9
GKS Katowice
9.8
Wisla Plock
9.7
Jagiellonia
9.6
Legia Warszawa
9.2
Widzew Łódź
9.2
Wieczysta Kraków
9.0
Raków Częstochowa
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Widzew Łódź
5.2
Motor Lublin
5.0
Radomiak Radom
5.0
Raków Częstochowa
4.8
Slask Wroclaw
4.7
Wieczysta Kraków
4.7
Jagiellonia
4.6
Cracovia Krakow
4.4
Zaglebie Lubin
4.4
Legia Warszawa
4.3
Wisla Plock
4.1
Gornik Zabrze
4.1
Pogon Szczecin
3.9
Lech Poznan
3.9
Korona Kielce
3.9
GKS Katowice
3.8
Wisla Krakow
3.8
Piast Gliwice
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radomiak Radom
27.8
Jagiellonia
26.8
Widzew Łódź
26.5
Wieczysta Kraków
26.3
Legia Warszawa
26.2
Korona Kielce
25.4
Motor Lublin
25.3
Cracovia Krakow
25.0
Wisla Krakow
25.0
Raków Częstochowa
24.9
Slask Wroclaw
24.9
Piast Gliwice
24.8
Zaglebie Lubin
24.6
GKS Katowice
23.7
Lech Poznan
23.7
Pogon Szczecin
23.7
Gornik Zabrze
22.9
Wisla Plock
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
44.7%
@ 1.55-14.8%
Under 9.5
55.3%
@ 2.28+14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.60
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.57
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.54
Under
Unibet
2.40
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.27
Marathonbet
2.22
Superbet
2.22
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
66.9%
@ 1.41+2.3%
Under 3.5
33.1%
@ 2.57-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.41
Under
Superbet
2.57
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
80.5%
Under 21.5
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Cracovia Krakow or Draw✓ Hit
52.8%
Avg Implied 71.2% · @ 1.31
Edge
-18.4%
30%
22%
47%
covers Cracovia Krakow + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Cracovia Krakow or Wieczysta Kraków✓ Hit
77.5%
Avg Implied 73.5% · @ 1.27
Edge
+4.0%
30%
22%
47%
covers Cracovia Krakow + Wieczysta Kraków
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
888Sport
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Draw or Wieczysta Kraków✗ Miss
69.6%
Avg Implied 55.2% · @ 1.69
Edge
+14.4%
30%
22%
47%
covers Draw + Wieczysta Kraków
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.77
SBO
1.74
888Sport
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Betano
1.72
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Cracovia Krakow over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.4%
@ 1.19+3.3%
Under
18.6%
@ 4.24-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.50
888Sport
4.33
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Superbet
4.20
Cracovia Krakow over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
50.1%
@ 1.97+2.8%
Under
49.9%
@ 1.76-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.05
BetVictor
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Under
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.80
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.77
10Bet
1.77
Cracovia Krakow over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
23.8%
@ 4.04+0.8%
Under
76.2%
@ 1.20-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.41
BetVictor
4.33
888Sport
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Under
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Cracovia Krakow over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.0%
@ 9.38-1.0%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.05+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
888Sport
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
8.60
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Wieczysta Kraków over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.9%
@ 1.33+17.9%
Under
12.1%
@ 3.09-17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.44
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Betano
3.15
Wieczysta Kraków over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
62.3%
@ 2.63+26.8%
Under
37.7%
@ 1.44-26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.80
10Bet
2.75
888Sport
2.70
Pinnacle
2.67
Betfair
2.63
Under
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Superbet
1.47
BetVictor
1.45
Marathonbet
1.45
Wieczysta Kraków over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
35.3%
@ 6.21+20.3%
Under
64.7%
@ 1.09-20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
888Sport
7.00
10Bet
6.50
1xBet
6.05
Marathonbet
6.05
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
Wieczysta Kraków over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
16.3%
@ 16.12+10.4%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.02-10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
21.00
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Cracovia Krakow, so a minus line means Cracovia Krakow give that many goals of a start and Wieczysta Kraków receive them. At -1, Cracovia Krakow must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Cracovia Krakow win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Cracovia Krakow)Actual: Wieczysta Kraków
This opponent (Wieczysta Kraków) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wieczysta Kraków
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.73
0.81
0.81
0.93
0.64
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.90
0.76
1.00
0.82
0.80
0.70
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Cracovia Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.2%
@ 1.33+2.4%
Under 0.5
27.8%
@ 3.07-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.34
Under
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.25
10Bet
3.20
William Hil
3.10
Betano
3.05
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
46.9%
@ 2.54+10.4%
Under 1.5
53.1%
@ 1.46-10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.69
Unibet
2.60
1xBet
2.56
Marathonbet
2.56
Betfair
2.55
Under
Betano
1.52
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
BetVictor
1.46
Pinnacle
1.46
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.2%
@ 5.79-0.7%
Under 2.5
84.8%
@ 1.10+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
William Hil
6.00
1xBet
5.80
Marathonbet
5.80
Superbet
5.60
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cracovia Krakow over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
63.0%
@ 1.81+11.6%
Under
37.0%
@ 1.91-11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathonbet
1.84
Betano
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Unibet
1.79
Under
1xBet
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.92
Betano
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Cracovia Krakow over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
18.4%
@ 5.08+0.1%
Under
81.6%
@ 1.14-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
Superbet
5.00
Betano
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Cracovia Krakow over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.0%
@ 12.75-3.4%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.02+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Wieczysta Kraków over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
37.9%
@ 2.19-4.6%
Under
62.1%
@ 1.62+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.26
Unibet
2.25
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
Superbet
2.17
Under
Betano
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.64
1xBet
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Wieczysta Kraków over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.3%
@ 6.88-2.2%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.07+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.40
1xBet
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Superbet
6.80
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
Wieczysta Kraków over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.5%
@ 18.00+0.2%
Under
94.5%
@ 1.01-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
24.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cracovia Krakow
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.80
0.71
0.79
0.44
0.81
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
0.57
1.00
0.25
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.87
0.60
1.00
0.46
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Wieczysta Kraków) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wieczysta Kraków
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.87
0.94
0.81
1.43
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.33
1.05
1.09
1.00
1.60
1.10
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Cracovia Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cracovia Krakow over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cracovia Krakow over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cracovia Krakow over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wieczysta Kraków over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wieczysta Kraków over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wieczysta Kraków over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
94.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
91.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-4.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
91.0%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
90.0%
1.23
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.23
+14.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.7%
1.07
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
87.9%
1.33
Unibet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
888Sport
1.33
+17.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.8%
1.10
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.08
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.8%
1.22
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
+11.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
83.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-10.4%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
81.7%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
-8.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
81.6%
1.14
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
81.4%
1.19
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.7%
1.50
Unibet
1.56
Superbet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.50
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.44
+16.1%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
77.5%
1.27
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
888Sport
1.29
Superbet
1.29
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
76.2%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
10Bet
1.20
-0.8%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5
72.9%
1.76
Pinnacle
1.81
Unibet
1.81
10Bet
1.80
SBO
1.77
1xBet
1.77
+19.7%
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
72.3%
1.63
Unibet
1.68
10Bet
1.67
888Sport
1.67
William Hil
1.62
Betfair
1.62
+15.3%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.2%
1.33
BetVictor
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.34
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
72.0%
1.08
Bet365
1.09
10Bet
1.07
-
-
-
-12.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cracovia Krakow
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ajdin Hasić33%
M. Minchev17%
D. Piła17%
M. Perković17%
Mateusz Klich0%
M. Praszelik0%
Amir Al-Ammari0%
Gustav Henriksson0%
Otar Kakabadze0%
S. Madejski0%
B. Traoré0%
D. Kameri0%
B. Selan0%
Vincent Burlet0%
Kacper Śmiglewski0%
Kahveh Zahiroleslam0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mateusz Klich40%
D. Kameri40%
Amir Al-Ammari33%
Ajdin Hasić17%
Gustav Henriksson17%
Otar Kakabadze17%
M. Minchev0%
M. Praszelik0%
D. Piła0%
S. Madejski0%
M. Perković0%
B. Traoré0%
B. Selan0%
Vincent Burlet0%
Kacper Śmiglewski0%
Kahveh Zahiroleslam0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mateusz Klich40%
Ajdin Hasić17%
Otar Kakabadze17%
D. Piła17%
M. Minchev0%
M. Praszelik0%
Amir Al-Ammari0%
Gustav Henriksson0%
S. Madejski0%
M. Perković0%
B. Traoré0%
D. Kameri0%
B. Selan0%
Vincent Burlet0%
Kacper Śmiglewski0%
Kahveh Zahiroleslam0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ajdin Hasić67%
D. Kameri40%
M. Perković33%
Kahveh Zahiroleslam17%
Mateusz Klich0%
M. Minchev0%
M. Praszelik0%
Amir Al-Ammari0%
Gustav Henriksson0%
Otar Kakabadze0%
D. Piła0%
S. Madejski0%
B. Traoré0%
B. Selan0%
Vincent Burlet0%
Kacper Śmiglewski0%
Wieczysta Kraków
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lucas Piazón25%
Lisandro Semedo25%
Antonio Milić0%
Kamil Dankowski0%
Karol Fila0%
Petar Pušić0%
Tobias Christensen0%
Mikkel Maigaard0%
Matúš Vojtko0%
Christopher Lungoyi0%
Miguel Villar Miki0%
Ben Lederman0%
Antoni Mikułko0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ben Lederman33%
Lucas Piazón25%
Tobias Christensen25%
Mikkel Maigaard25%
Miguel Villar Miki25%
Antonio Milić0%
Lisandro Semedo0%
Kamil Dankowski0%
Karol Fila0%
Petar Pušić0%
Matúš Vojtko0%
Christopher Lungoyi0%
Antoni Mikułko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kamil Dankowski33%
Miguel Villar Miki25%
Antonio Milić0%
Lucas Piazón0%
Lisandro Semedo0%
Karol Fila0%
Petar Pušić0%
Tobias Christensen0%
Mikkel Maigaard0%
Matúš Vojtko0%
Christopher Lungoyi0%
Ben Lederman0%
Antoni Mikułko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tobias Christensen25%
Antonio Milić0%
Lucas Piazón0%
Lisandro Semedo0%
Kamil Dankowski0%
Karol Fila0%
Petar Pušić0%
Mikkel Maigaard0%
Matúš Vojtko0%
Christopher Lungoyi0%
Miguel Villar Miki0%
Ben Lederman0%
Antoni Mikułko0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (25)
€58m
WŁ (29)
€43m
RC (27)
€33m
JAG (26)
€30m
GZ (27)
€29m
CK (26)
€21m
LW (25)
€20m
PS (27)
€20m
ZL (28)
€19m
ML (20)
€19m
KK (23)
€16m
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
WK (22)
€12m
RR (25)
€11m
PG (22)
€9m
SW (22)
€7m
Cracovia Krakow's squad is €9m more valuable than Wieczysta Kraków's (€21m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WŁ (13)
€21m
LP (10)
€21m
GZ (13)
€17m
JAG (11)
€12m
CK (12)
€11m
ZL (11)
€10m
LW (12)
€10m
ML (10)
€10m
RC (9)
€9m
PS (13)
€8m
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
RR (9)
€4m
PG (11)
€4m
WP (7)
€4m
KK (7)
€3m
GK (7)
€3m
SW (5)
€2m
Cracovia Krakow's attack is €6m more valuable than Wieczysta Kraków's (€11m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (12)
€14m
LP (3)
€9m
KK (8)
€7m
WŁ (5)
€7m
GZ (4)
€6m
GK (10)
€6m
LW (7)
€4m
ZL (4)
€4m
JAG (5)
€3m
SW (9)
€3m
PS (5)
€3m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
CK (4)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
WK (3)
€1m
RR (4)
€1m
PG (1)
€0m
Cracovia Krakow and Wieczysta Kraków have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (12)
€28m
JAG (10)
€15m
WŁ (11)
€15m
RC (6)
€9m
PS (9)
€9m
CK (10)
€8m
ML (8)
€6m
GZ (10)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
LW (6)
€6m
RR (12)
€6m
KK (8)
€5m
WK (12)
€5m
ZL (13)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
PG (10)
€4m
SW (8)
€2m
Cracovia Krakow's defence is €3m more valuable than Wieczysta Kraków's (€8m vs €5m).
Poland: Ekstraklasa 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: Ekstraklasa stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
Gornik Zabrze
Wisla Krakow
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
Zaglebie Lubin
Piast Gliwice
Radomiak Radom
Widzew Łódź
Slask Wroclaw
Motor Lublin
Wisla Plock
Raków Częstochowa