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Estrela vs Casa Pia Result & Analysis

Date: 20/03/2026
Time: 20:15
Final 4-0
Estrela
Estrela
Vs
45%
29%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estrela win✓ Hit
44.5%
Avg Implied 38.9% · @ 2.38
Edge
+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied 30.0% · @ 3.09
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Casa Pia win✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied 31.1% · @ 2.98
Edge
-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-533D05L04L11D10W12L02L00D22D12LH·SC 03/01H·EST19/01A·BEN25/01A·ALV31/01H·SAN07/02A·GUI14/02H·TON20/02A·AVS28/02H·GIL08/03A·RIO15/03
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.831.141.570.882.06
vs Stronger (8)1.002.621.002.001.003.00
vs Similar (22)1.001.551.181.450.821.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Casa Pia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Casa PiaCasa Pia

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D13L03L33D21W00D32W02L11D00DH·GUI28/12A·RIO04/01A·SPO16/01H·AVS23/01H·FC 02/02A·NAC08/02H·ARO14/02A·FAM23/02H·MOR01/03A·EST07/03
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.631.361.791.061.50
vs Stronger (11)0.732.001.001.000.502.83
vs Similar (19)1.471.421.562.221.400.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.8%
Under 1.5
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.0%
@ 2.19+3.6%
Under 2.5
54.0%
@ 1.61-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.6%
Under 3.5
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.5%
No
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.4%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
4.8%
Estrela goals ↓
Casa Pia goals →
01234
09.3%7.4%4.6%1.6%0.4%
110%14%6.7%2.4%0.6%
28.5%9.0%4.8%1.7%0.5%
34.1%4.4%2.3%0.8%0.2%
41.5%1.6%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Estrela goals (down), columns = Casa Pia goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Porto
2.59
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
SC Braga
1.74
Famalicao
1.65
GIL Vicente
1.47
Moreirense
1.26
Guimaraes
1.24
Arouca
1.24
Alverca
1.15
Estoril
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Rio Ave
1.06
Nacional
1.00
Casa Pia
0.94
Estrela
0.88
Tondela
0.82
AVS
0.62
Torreense
0.50
Estrela is 0.06 points worse than Casa Pia in terms of average points per game (0.88 vs 0.94).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.62
Benfica
2.18
FC Porto
1.94
SC Braga
1.88
Estoril
1.59
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.38
Famalicao
1.24
Guimaraes
1.15
Estrela
1.12
Moreirense
1.09
Nacional
1.09
Alverca
1.03
Rio Ave
1.03
Santa Clara
0.94
Casa Pia
0.92
AVS
0.79
Tondela
0.79
Torreense
0.00
Estrela is 0.20 goals better than Casa Pia in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 0.92).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.53
Sporting CP
0.71
Benfica
0.74
Famalicao
0.85
Torreense
1.00
SC Braga
1.06
GIL Vicente
1.12
Santa Clara
1.21
Nacional
1.32
Moreirense
1.44
Guimaraes
1.50
Alverca
1.53
Casa Pia
1.58
Tondela
1.62
Estrela
1.65
Estoril
1.68
Rio Ave
1.68
Arouca
1.88
AVS
1.97
Estrela is 0.06 goals worse than Casa Pia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.65 vs 1.58).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
SC Braga
63%
Sporting CP
62%
Torreense
60%
Benfica
58%
FC Porto
55%
Estoril
53%
Guimaraes
51%
Famalicao
51%
Arouca
50%
GIL Vicente
50%
Moreirense
50%
Santa Clara
48%
Rio Ave
47%
Estrela
47%
Nacional
46%
Alverca
45%
Tondela
44%
Casa Pia
41%
AVS
39%
Estrela is 5.7 percentage points better than Casa Pia in terms of average possession (47% vs 41%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

EstrelaEstrela

For 3.2 · Against 6.9 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

16041089753293629161457148168119117512A·RIOH·GILA·AVSH·TONA·GUIH·SANA·ALVA·BENH·ESTH·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

70241213342341214332216347553753A·RIOH·GILA·AVSH·TONA·GUIH·SANA·ALVA·BENH·ESTH·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 13.6 · Total 28.9

⚠️ Fouls

340121616179171217181315917172410161214828332629312434342822A·RIOH·GILA·AVSH·TONA·GUIH·SANA·ALVA·BENH·ESTH·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Casa PiaCasa Pia

For 3.0 · Against 7.0 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

14054177723112102116449239814513101310135A·ESTH·MORA·FAMH·AROA·NACH·FC H·AVSA·SPOA·RIOH·GUI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

802223235232333531424557568316A·ESTH·MORA·FAMH·AROA·NACH·FC H·AVSA·SPOA·RIOH·GUI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.0 · Against 12.2 · Total 29.2

⚠️ Fouls

34012102212171721811151414151312122310231122343429262828243334A·ESTH·MORA·FAMH·AROA·NACH·FC H·AVSA·SPOA·RIOH·GUI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

EstrelaEstrela

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.28.89.55.35.65.131.130.831.4
vs Stronger (15)9.19.09.15.15.44.830.629.931.2
vs Similar (35)9.28.89.65.45.65.231.331.131.4
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line37%29%44%76%71%81%96%92%100%
% under line63%71%56%24%29%19%4%8%0%
This opponent (Casa Pia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Casa PiaCasa Pia

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.48.710.05.24.85.628.328.428.3
vs Stronger (17)9.89.010.64.94.45.526.427.125.5
vs Similar (32)9.38.510.05.45.15.629.629.329.9
vs Weaker (1)5.0-5.06.0-6.027.0-27.0
% over line41%36%46%78%75%81%87%86%88%
% under line59%64%54%22%25%19%13%14%12%
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Famalicao
10.5
Nacional
10.3
Torreense
10.1
Benfica
9.9
Rio Ave
9.8
Sporting CP
9.6
Tondela
9.4
Casa Pia
9.3
Arouca
9.3
AVS
9.3
Estrela
9.3
Guimaraes
9.2
GIL Vicente
9.2
Santa Clara
8.7
FC Porto
8.6
Estoril
8.6
Alverca
8.5
SC Braga
8.4
Moreirense
8.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.3
Casa Pia
5.8
Sporting CP
5.8
Torreense
5.7
Arouca
5.7
Benfica
5.6
FC Porto
5.5
Guimaraes
5.5
AVS
5.4
Nacional
5.4
Estrela
5.4
Famalicao
5.3
Moreirense
5.1
Rio Ave
5.1
GIL Vicente
5.1
Tondela
5.0
Alverca
4.9
Estoril
4.6
SC Braga
4.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
32.1
Estrela
30.9
Santa Clara
30.7
Moreirense
30.3
Guimaraes
29.6
Casa Pia
28.4
Rio Ave
28.3
GIL Vicente
28.2
Estoril
27.9
Sporting CP
27.4
Arouca
27.2
Nacional
27.0
AVS
27.0
FC Porto
26.8
Benfica
26.0
SC Braga
24.7
Tondela
22.1
Alverca
19.5
Torreense
15.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.6%
Under 9.5
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
78.2%
Under 3.5
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
91.5%
Under 21.5
8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EstrelaEstrela

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D01L01L00D00D10W01L00D01L01LH·SC 03/01H·EST19/01A·BEN25/01A·ALV31/01H·SAN07/02A·GUI14/02H·TON20/02A·AVS28/02H·GIL08/03A·RIO15/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.830.570.570.381.06
vs Stronger (8)0.501.120.330.670.601.40
vs Similar (22)0.450.730.640.550.270.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Casa Pia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Casa PiaCasa Pia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D02L10W20W00D32W01L10W00DH·GUI28/12A·RIO04/01A·SPO16/01H·AVS23/01H·FC 02/02A·NAC08/02H·ARO14/02A·FAM23/02H·MOR01/03A·EST07/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.770.790.790.380.75
vs Stronger (11)0.271.090.600.400.001.67
vs Similar (19)0.740.580.891.000.600.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Estrela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Casa Pia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Casa Pia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Casa Pia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EstrelaEstrela

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D04L03L11D10W02L01L00D21W11DH·SC 03/01H·EST19/01A·BEN25/01A·ALV31/01H·SAN07/02A·GUI14/02H·TON20/02A·AVS28/02H·GIL08/03A·RIO15/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.000.571.000.501.00
vs Stronger (8)0.501.500.671.330.401.60
vs Similar (22)0.550.820.550.910.550.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Casa Pia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Casa PiaCasa Pia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D13L01L23L01L00D00D01L01L00DH·GUI28/12A·RIO04/01A·SPO16/01H·AVS23/01H·FC 02/02A·NAC08/02H·ARO14/02A·FAM23/02H·MOR01/03A·EST07/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.870.571.000.690.75
vs Stronger (11)0.450.910.400.600.501.17
vs Similar (19)0.740.840.671.220.800.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Estrela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Casa Pia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Casa Pia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Casa Pia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls96.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls91.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards90.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls83.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards78.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.575.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners75.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls71.7%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Estrela
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kikas29%
Jovane Cabral22%
Sidny Lopes Cabral20%
Abraham Marcus16%
Stefan Leković11%
Rodrigo Pinho10%
Paulo Moreira10%
Sydney van Hooijdonk10%
Ianis Stoica9%
Eddy Doué7%
Renan Ribeiro0%
Billal Brahimi0%
Jefferson Encada0%
Kevin Höög Jansson0%
Bruno Langa0%
Atanas Chernev0%
Luan Patrick0%
Alan Godoy0%
Bernardo Schappo0%
Yahya Kalley0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Jorge Meireles0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Max Scholze0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho0%
Otavio0%
Alisson Souza de Jesus0%
Alex Sola0%
João Moisés Gastão0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yahya Kalley33%
Eddy Doué29%
Oumar Ngom27%
Jefferson Encada27%
Atanas Chernev27%
João Moisés Gastão25%
Paulo Moreira24%
Kevin Höög Jansson23%
Bernardo Schappo23%
Otavio23%
Stefan Leković22%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho22%
Sydney van Hooijdonk20%
Sidny Lopes Cabral20%
Alisson Souza de Jesus20%
Jovane Cabral19%
Max Scholze18%
Guilherme Montóia18%
Rodrigo Pinho17%
Renan Ribeiro15%
Alex Sola12%
Ianis Stoica12%
Luan Patrick10%
Abraham Marcus6%
Jorge Meireles5%
Billal Brahimi0%
Kikas0%
Bruno Langa0%
Alan Godoy0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sidny Lopes Cabral13%
Abraham Marcus13%
João Moisés Gastão12%
Sydney van Hooijdonk10%
Oumar Ngom9%
Jorge Meireles9%
Jefferson Encada8%
Paulo Moreira7%
Kikas6%
Otavio5%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho4%
Jovane Cabral4%
Rodrigo Pinho3%
Ianis Stoica3%
Renan Ribeiro0%
Billal Brahimi0%
Kevin Höög Jansson0%
Bruno Langa0%
Atanas Chernev0%
Luan Patrick0%
Alan Godoy0%
Bernardo Schappo0%
Yahya Kalley0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Stefan Leković0%
Max Scholze0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Alisson Souza de Jesus0%
Alex Sola0%
Eddy Doué0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sidny Lopes Cabral20%
Jovane Cabral19%
Kikas18%
Rodrigo Pinho10%
Abraham Marcus6%
Ianis Stoica6%
Jorge Meireles5%
Bernardo Schappo4%
Renan Ribeiro0%
Billal Brahimi0%
Sydney van Hooijdonk0%
Jefferson Encada0%
Kevin Höög Jansson0%
Bruno Langa0%
Atanas Chernev0%
Paulo Moreira0%
Luan Patrick0%
Alan Godoy0%
Yahya Kalley0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Stefan Leković0%
Max Scholze0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho0%
Otavio0%
Alisson Souza de Jesus0%
Alex Sola0%
João Moisés Gastão0%
Eddy Doué0%
Casa Pia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Duplexe Tchamba20%
Gaizka Larrazabal17%
Kaique Rocha17%
Cassiano15%
Renato Nhaga11%
Oluwakorede Osundina11%
Kelian Nsona10%
Jérémy Livolant9%
Rafael Brito8%
Claudio Mendes8%
Lawrence Ofori7%
David Sousa7%
João Marques7%
José Fonte6%
Iyad Mohamed4%
João Goulart4%
Abdu Conté0%
Daniel Azevedo0%
Ricardo Batista0%
André Geraldes0%
Sebastián Pérez0%
Patrick Sequeira0%
Yassin Oukili0%
Miguel Sousa0%
Fahem Benaissa-Yahia0%
Tiago Morais0%
Max Svensson0%
Xander Severina0%
Pedro Rosas0%
Dailon Rocha Livramento0%
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira0%
Kevin Prieto0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David Sousa46%
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira43%
Duplexe Tchamba40%
Daniel Azevedo33%
Pedro Rosas30%
André Geraldes29%
Yassin Oukili25%
Miguel Sousa25%
Renato Nhaga22%
Iyad Mohamed21%
Rafael Brito20%
João Marques20%
Xander Severina20%
João Goulart19%
Sebastián Pérez17%
Gaizka Larrazabal17%
José Fonte17%
Max Svensson17%
Cassiano15%
Patrick Sequeira13%
Jérémy Livolant11%
Tiago Morais11%
Fahem Benaissa-Yahia10%
Claudio Mendes8%
Dailon Rocha Livramento8%
Kevin Prieto8%
Lawrence Ofori7%
Oluwakorede Osundina5%
Abdu Conté4%
Kaique Rocha0%
Ricardo Batista0%
Kelian Nsona0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jérémy Livolant23%
Miguel Sousa17%
Gaizka Larrazabal11%
Kelian Nsona10%
Abdu Conté9%
Kevin Prieto8%
João Marques7%
Oluwakorede Osundina5%
Rafael Brito4%
Dailon Rocha Livramento4%
José Fonte0%
Kaique Rocha0%
Cassiano0%
Duplexe Tchamba0%
Lawrence Ofori0%
Daniel Azevedo0%
Ricardo Batista0%
André Geraldes0%
Sebastián Pérez0%
Patrick Sequeira0%
João Goulart0%
Yassin Oukili0%
Claudio Mendes0%
Iyad Mohamed0%
David Sousa0%
Fahem Benaissa-Yahia0%
Tiago Morais0%
Max Svensson0%
Xander Severina0%
Pedro Rosas0%
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira0%
Renato Nhaga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Max Svensson17%
Dailon Rocha Livramento12%
Gaizka Larrazabal11%
Cassiano9%
Jérémy Livolant6%
Abdu Conté0%
José Fonte0%
Kaique Rocha0%
Duplexe Tchamba0%
Lawrence Ofori0%
Daniel Azevedo0%
Ricardo Batista0%
André Geraldes0%
Sebastián Pérez0%
Rafael Brito0%
Patrick Sequeira0%
João Goulart0%
Kelian Nsona0%
Yassin Oukili0%
Claudio Mendes0%
Miguel Sousa0%
Iyad Mohamed0%
David Sousa0%
Fahem Benaissa-Yahia0%
Tiago Morais0%
João Marques0%
Xander Severina0%
Pedro Rosas0%
Oluwakorede Osundina0%
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira0%
Kevin Prieto0%
Renato Nhaga0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
TON (20)
€10m
AVS (20)
€7m
Estrela's squad is €7m less valuable than Casa Pia's (€20m vs €27m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
MOR (5)
€5m
AVS (8)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
Estrela's attack is €4m less valuable than Casa Pia's (€6m vs €9m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
TOR (5)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
Estrela's midfield is €3m less valuable than Casa Pia's (€3m vs €6m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
AVS (10)
€3m
Estrela and Casa Pia have a similar defence value (both €11m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
3
EST wins
0
Draws
2
CP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Estrela vs Casa Pia · H/A from EST
DateH/AGameScore
01/11/25ACasa Pia Vs EST3-5
09/02/25ACasa Pia Vs EST1-0
31/08/24HEST Vs Casa Pia0-1
08/03/24HEST Vs Casa Pia3-1
08/10/23ACasa Pia Vs EST0-1

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/03/26ARio Ave Vs EST2-1
08/03/26HEST Vs GIL Vicente2-2
28/02/26AAVS Vs EST0-0
20/02/26HEST Vs Tondela0-2
14/02/26AGuimaraes Vs EST2-1
07/02/26HEST Vs Santa Clara1-0
31/01/26AAlverca Vs EST1-1
25/01/26ABenfica Vs EST4-0
19/01/26HEST Vs Estoril0-5
03/01/26HEST Vs SC Braga3-3

Casa PiaCasa Pia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/26AEstoril Vs CP0-0
01/03/26HCP Vs Moreirense1-1
23/02/26AFamalicao Vs CP2-0
14/02/26HCP Vs Arouca3-2
08/02/26ANacional Vs CP0-0
02/02/26HCP Vs FC Porto2-1
23/01/26HCP Vs AVS3-3
16/01/26ASporting CP Vs CP3-0
04/01/26ARio Ave Vs CP3-1
28/12/25HCP Vs Guimaraes0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Estrela
Estrela
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDL0.90
HomeDLWLD1.04
AwayLDLDL0.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%25%15%
AVG goals2.442.582.31
Over 1.5 %66%67%65%
Over 2.5 %40%46%35%
Over 3.5 %28%29%27%
Scored0.881.080.69
Conceded1.561.501.62
BTTS40%42%38%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners9.168.839.48
Cards5.435.585.28
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDD1.22
HomeDDWWD1.29
AwayLLDLD1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%33%31%
AVG goals2.763.002.54
Over 1.5 %80%83%77%
Over 2.5 %56%54%58%
Over 3.5 %32%38%27%
Scored1.241.381.12
Conceded1.521.621.42
BTTS56%71%42%
Clean Sheet24%12%35%
Corners9.378.6810.00
Cards5.825.526.08

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC PortoFC Porto3488
82%
2.6
6618+48
2.5
71%
56%
24%
8.6
35%
5.5
82%
26.4
71%
467
2141051481.90.5
55%
2Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8924+65
3.3
91%
71%
35%
9.9
53%
5.2
62%
25.9
79%
414
146911762.60.7
62%
3BenficaBenfica3480
68%
2.4
7425+49
2.9
88%
71%
32%
10.0
56%
5.3
73%
26.8
74%
357
172771082.20.7
58%
4SC BragaSC Braga3459
47%
1.7
6436+28
2.9
76%
68%
38%
8.4
32%
5.0
79%
23.5
62%
165
4156681.91.1
63%
5FamalicaoFamalicao3456
44%
1.6
4229+13
2.1
53%
38%
24%
10.4
56%
5.1
68%
32.1
94%
57
1620221.20.9
51%
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3450
38%
1.5
4738+9
2.5
76%
53%
26%
9.5
50%
5.1
67%
28.2
85%
29
118111.41.1
50%
7MoreirenseMoreirense3443
35%
1.3
3749-12
2.5
74%
50%
21%
8.4
35%
4.9
68%
29.2
94%
22
5891.11.4
50%
8GuimaraesGuimaraes3442
35%
1.2
3951-12
2.6
76%
44%
24%
8.4
38%
5.2
74%
29.6
88%
46
2211121.11.5
51%
9AroucaArouca3442
35%
1.2
4764-17
3.3
79%
68%
50%
9.0
44%
5.7
79%
25.9
79%
28
11881.41.9
50%
10EstorilEstoril3439
29%
1.1
5457-3
3.3
76%
62%
53%
9.3
41%
4.9
88%
25.8
82%
42
248101.61.7
53%
11AlvercaAlverca3439
29%
1.1
3552-17
2.6
76%
50%
24%
8.9
44%
4.9
64%
26.4
71%
39
156181.01.5
45%
12Santa ClaraSanta Clara3436
26%
1.1
3241-9
2.1
56%
35%
15%
9.0
50%
6.1
85%
29.5
94%
27
96120.91.2
48%
13Rio AveRio Ave3436
24%
1.1
3557-22
2.7
82%
59%
29%
10.8
68%
5.2
62%
27.4
79%
37
88211.01.7
47%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3745-8
2.4
74%
41%
18%
10.8
68%
5.7
74%
27.2
88%
20
6591.11.3
46%
15Casa PiaCasa Pia3634
19%
0.9
3357-24
2.5
75%
42%
28%
10.0
50%
5.6
83%
29.8
92%
27
96120.91.6
41%
16EstrelaEstrela3430
18%
0.9
3856-18
2.8
74%
53%
38%
9.1
35%
5.6
82%
29.7
97%
20
63111.11.6
47%
17TondelaTondela3428
18%
0.8
2755-28
2.4
68%
50%
29%
9.8
50%
5.4
71%
26.8
82%
10
2160.81.6
44%
18AVSAVS3421
9%
0.6
2767-40
2.8
79%
59%
38%
9.5
47%
5.0
67%
24.7
71%
7
3230.82.0
39%
19TorreenseTorreense21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
11.5
50%
6.5
100%
25.5
100%
19
72100.01.0
60%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches