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Estrela vs Guimaraes Result & Analysis

Date: 14/09/2025
Time: 14:30
Final 0-2
Estrela
Estrela
Vs
35%
31%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estrela win✗ Miss
35.1%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.31
Edge
+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.0%
Avg Implied 28.9% · @ 3.21
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes win✓ Hit
33.9%
Avg Implied 43.1% · @ 2.15
Edge
-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L01L20W02L01L04L11D01L22D00DH·FAR13/04A·ARO19/04H·FC 26/04A·RIO05/05H·AVS11/05A·EST17/05A·EST11/08H·BEN16/08H·ALV25/08A·SAN31/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.531.001.290.381.75
vs Stronger (10)0.502.400.801.600.203.20
vs Similar (20)0.751.101.111.110.451.09
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GuimaraesGuimaraes

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W03L30W21W12L02L03L32W02L11DA·GIL11/04H·BEN19/04H·RIO27/04A·NAC03/05H·FAR11/05A·SPO17/05A·FC 11/08H·EST16/08A·MOR23/08H·ARO30/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.431.601.401.271.47
vs Stronger (6)0.832.171.332.330.332.00
vs Similar (11)1.551.271.501.251.571.29
vs Weaker (13)1.621.231.751.121.401.40
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.3%
Under 1.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.5%
@ 2.20-1.7%
Under 2.5
59.5%
@ 1.61+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.2%
Under 3.5
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.1%
No
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.3%
1-0
10.3%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
0-2 ✓
6.5%
Estrela goals ↓
Guimaraes goals →
01234
011%10%6.5%2.5%0.7%
110%15%7.6%2.9%0.8%
26.8%7.7%4.4%1.7%0.5%
32.6%3.0%1.7%0.6%0.2%
40.8%0.9%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Estrela goals (down), columns = Guimaraes goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Porto
2.59
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
SC Braga
1.74
Famalicao
1.65
GIL Vicente
1.47
Moreirense
1.26
Guimaraes
1.24
Arouca
1.24
Alverca
1.15
Estoril
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Rio Ave
1.06
Nacional
1.00
Casa Pia
0.94
Estrela
0.88
Tondela
0.82
AVS
0.62
Torreense
0.50
Estrela is 0.35 points worse than Guimaraes in terms of average points per game (0.88 vs 1.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.62
Benfica
2.18
FC Porto
1.94
SC Braga
1.88
Estoril
1.59
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.38
Famalicao
1.24
Guimaraes
1.15
Estrela
1.12
Moreirense
1.09
Nacional
1.09
Alverca
1.03
Rio Ave
1.03
Santa Clara
0.94
Casa Pia
0.92
AVS
0.79
Tondela
0.79
Torreense
0.00
Estrela is 0.03 goals worse than Guimaraes in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.53
Sporting CP
0.71
Benfica
0.74
Famalicao
0.85
Torreense
1.00
SC Braga
1.06
GIL Vicente
1.12
Santa Clara
1.21
Nacional
1.32
Moreirense
1.44
Guimaraes
1.50
Alverca
1.53
Casa Pia
1.58
Tondela
1.62
Estrela
1.65
Estoril
1.68
Rio Ave
1.68
Arouca
1.88
AVS
1.97
Estrela is 0.15 goals worse than Guimaraes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.65 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
SC Braga
63%
Sporting CP
62%
Torreense
60%
Benfica
58%
FC Porto
55%
Estoril
53%
Guimaraes
51%
Famalicao
51%
Arouca
50%
GIL Vicente
50%
Moreirense
50%
Santa Clara
48%
Rio Ave
47%
Estrela
47%
Nacional
46%
Alverca
45%
Tondela
44%
Casa Pia
41%
AVS
39%
Estrela is 4.5 percentage points worse than Guimaraes in terms of average possession (47% vs 51%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

EstrelaEstrela

For 3.9 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.0

🚩 Corners

16086254444416355114473889887816810A·SANH·ALVH·BENA·ESTA·ESTH·AVSA·RIOH·FC A·AROH·FAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.0

🟨 Cards

110225633142236453441411654310881A·SANH·ALVH·BENA·ESTA·ESTH·AVSA·RIOH·FC A·AROH·FAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 16.1 · Total 31.3

⚠️ Fouls

42011131824142316131318911161717141617221124423729312033313333A·SANH·ALVH·BENA·ESTA·ESTH·AVSA·RIOH·FC A·AROH·FAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

GuimaraesGuimaraes

For 5.8 · Against 3.5 · Total 9.3

🚩 Corners

190227342471716336917351410611819910106H·AROA·MORH·ESTA·FC A·SPOH·FARA·NACH·RIOH·BENA·GIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 2.9 · Total 6.2

🟨 Cards

80442543314344321224618774785367H·AROA·MORH·ESTA·FC A·SPOH·FARA·NACH·RIOH·BENA·GIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 13.6 · Total 28.4

⚠️ Fouls

350151717171817918171415713151671012181232343527312228232230H·AROA·MORH·ESTA·FC A·SPOH·FARA·NACH·RIOH·BENA·GIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

EstrelaEstrela

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.510.14.95.04.830.430.730.2
vs Stronger (16)10.58.612.65.15.84.431.031.630.3
vs Similar (34)9.510.09.14.84.64.930.230.230.1
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line46%42%50%74%71%77%94%92%96%
% under line54%58%50%26%29%23%6%8%4%
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GuimaraesGuimaraes

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.510.05.05.04.928.427.229.6
vs Stronger (9)10.810.011.46.37.85.228.024.830.6
vs Similar (20)9.710.59.14.83.65.928.127.228.8
vs Weaker (21)10.610.710.34.55.23.628.928.130.1
% over line60%70%50%66%56%76%96%91%100%
% under line40%30%50%34%44%24%4%9%0%
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Torreense
11.9
Nacional
10.9
Tondela
10.5
Guimaraes
10.4
Famalicao
10.2
Estrela
9.9
Benfica
9.8
Arouca
9.8
Rio Ave
9.8
SC Braga
9.7
Casa Pia
9.4
Sporting CP
9.4
FC Porto
9.3
AVS
8.9
GIL Vicente
8.9
Estoril
8.8
Alverca
8.4
Santa Clara
8.2
Moreirense
8.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.2
FC Porto
5.9
Guimaraes
5.7
Famalicao
5.6
AVS
5.5
Casa Pia
5.4
Torreense
5.4
Sporting CP
5.3
Arouca
5.3
Nacional
5.1
Moreirense
5.1
Estrela
5.0
SC Braga
4.9
Rio Ave
4.8
Benfica
4.8
Tondela
4.7
GIL Vicente
4.7
Alverca
4.7
Estoril
4.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
30.7
Estrela
30.4
Moreirense
29.3
Santa Clara
29.2
Estoril
28.4
Nacional
28.4
Guimaraes
28.2
Rio Ave
27.8
AVS
27.5
Arouca
27.4
GIL Vicente
27.2
Casa Pia
26.6
FC Porto
26.2
Sporting CP
26.1
SC Braga
25.8
Benfica
23.5
Tondela
20.2
Torreense
15.5
Alverca
12.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.8%
Under 9.5
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
81.8%
Under 3.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
95.5%
Under 21.5
4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

EstrelaEstrela

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D10W00D00D04L01L00D12L00DH·FAR13/04A·ARO19/04H·FC 26/04A·RIO05/05H·AVS11/05A·EST17/05A·EST11/08H·BEN16/08H·ALV25/08A·SAN31/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.230.800.290.640.190.94
vs Stronger (10)0.301.100.400.600.201.60
vs Similar (20)0.200.650.220.670.180.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GuimaraesGuimaraes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L30W10W01L00D02L11D00D11DA·GIL11/04H·BEN19/04H·RIO27/04A·NAC03/05H·FAR11/05A·SPO17/05A·FC 11/08H·EST16/08A·MOR23/08H·ARO30/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.530.800.600.270.47
vs Stronger (6)0.170.830.331.000.000.67
vs Similar (11)0.640.451.250.500.290.43
vs Weaker (13)0.620.460.750.500.400.40
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Estrela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

EstrelaEstrela

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L10W02L01L00D10W01L10W00DH·FAR13/04A·ARO19/04H·FC 26/04A·RIO05/05H·AVS11/05A·EST17/05A·EST11/08H·BEN16/08H·ALV25/08A·SAN31/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.730.710.640.190.81
vs Stronger (10)0.201.300.401.000.001.60
vs Similar (20)0.550.450.890.440.270.45
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GuimaraesGuimaraes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L00D11D11D02L01L21W02L00DA·GIL11/04H·BEN19/04H·RIO27/04A·NAC03/05H·FAR11/05A·SPO17/05A·FC 11/08H·EST16/08A·MOR23/08H·ARO30/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.900.800.801.001.00
vs Stronger (6)0.671.331.001.330.331.33
vs Similar (11)0.910.820.250.751.290.86
vs Weaker (13)1.000.771.000.621.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Estrela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls98.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls95.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards92.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls90.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards81.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls81.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.579.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Estrela
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kikas29%
Jovane Cabral22%
Sidny Lopes Cabral20%
Abraham Marcus16%
Stefan Leković11%
Rodrigo Pinho10%
Paulo Moreira10%
Sydney van Hooijdonk10%
Ianis Stoica9%
Eddy Doué7%
Renan Ribeiro0%
Billal Brahimi0%
Jefferson Encada0%
Kevin Höög Jansson0%
Bruno Langa0%
Atanas Chernev0%
Luan Patrick0%
Alan Godoy0%
Bernardo Schappo0%
Yahya Kalley0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Jorge Meireles0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Max Scholze0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho0%
Otavio0%
Alisson Souza de Jesus0%
Alex Sola0%
João Moisés Gastão0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yahya Kalley33%
Eddy Doué29%
Oumar Ngom27%
Jefferson Encada27%
Atanas Chernev27%
João Moisés Gastão25%
Paulo Moreira24%
Kevin Höög Jansson23%
Bernardo Schappo23%
Otavio23%
Stefan Leković22%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho22%
Sydney van Hooijdonk20%
Sidny Lopes Cabral20%
Alisson Souza de Jesus20%
Jovane Cabral19%
Max Scholze18%
Guilherme Montóia18%
Rodrigo Pinho17%
Renan Ribeiro15%
Alex Sola12%
Ianis Stoica12%
Luan Patrick10%
Abraham Marcus6%
Jorge Meireles5%
Billal Brahimi0%
Kikas0%
Bruno Langa0%
Alan Godoy0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sidny Lopes Cabral13%
Abraham Marcus13%
João Moisés Gastão12%
Sydney van Hooijdonk10%
Oumar Ngom9%
Jorge Meireles9%
Jefferson Encada8%
Paulo Moreira7%
Kikas6%
Otavio5%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho4%
Jovane Cabral4%
Rodrigo Pinho3%
Ianis Stoica3%
Renan Ribeiro0%
Billal Brahimi0%
Kevin Höög Jansson0%
Bruno Langa0%
Atanas Chernev0%
Luan Patrick0%
Alan Godoy0%
Bernardo Schappo0%
Yahya Kalley0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Stefan Leković0%
Max Scholze0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Alisson Souza de Jesus0%
Alex Sola0%
Eddy Doué0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sidny Lopes Cabral20%
Jovane Cabral19%
Kikas18%
Rodrigo Pinho10%
Abraham Marcus6%
Ianis Stoica6%
Jorge Meireles5%
Bernardo Schappo4%
Renan Ribeiro0%
Billal Brahimi0%
Sydney van Hooijdonk0%
Jefferson Encada0%
Kevin Höög Jansson0%
Bruno Langa0%
Atanas Chernev0%
Paulo Moreira0%
Luan Patrick0%
Alan Godoy0%
Yahya Kalley0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Stefan Leković0%
Max Scholze0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho0%
Otavio0%
Alisson Souza de Jesus0%
Alex Sola0%
João Moisés Gastão0%
Eddy Doué0%
Guimaraes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tiago Silva25%
Samu24%
Gustavo Silva22%
Oumar Camara17%
Nélson Oliveira12%
Matija Mitrović11%
Alioune Ndoye8%
Miguel Nóbrega8%
Thiago Balieiro8%
Noah Saviolo7%
Miguel Nogueira6%
Óscar Rivas6%
Tony Strata5%
Diogo Sousa5%
Rodrigo Abascal4%
João Mendes3%
Beni Mukendi3%
Telmo Arcanjo3%
Charles0%
Nuno Santos0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Juan Castillo0%
Tomás Händel0%
Vando Félix0%
Miguel Maga0%
Fabio Blanco0%
Gonçalo Nogueira0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tiago Silva75%
Thiago Balieiro38%
Vando Félix38%
João Mendes24%
Beni Mukendi24%
Miguel Maga23%
Diogo Sousa23%
Rodrigo Abascal22%
Fabio Blanco20%
Tony Strata14%
Samu14%
Gustavo Silva13%
Nélson Oliveira12%
Matija Mitrović11%
Charles11%
Gonçalo Nogueira9%
Alioune Ndoye8%
Miguel Nóbrega8%
Orest Lebedenko7%
Juan Castillo7%
Oumar Camara7%
Noah Saviolo7%
Óscar Rivas6%
Telmo Arcanjo3%
Nuno Santos0%
Tomás Händel0%
Miguel Nogueira0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tomás Händel33%
Nuno Santos20%
Gonçalo Nogueira17%
Noah Saviolo13%
Samu10%
Gustavo Silva9%
Rodrigo Abascal7%
Oumar Camara7%
Tony Strata5%
Diogo Sousa5%
Alioune Ndoye4%
João Mendes3%
Beni Mukendi3%
Nélson Oliveira0%
Charles0%
Tiago Silva0%
Miguel Nóbrega0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Juan Castillo0%
Óscar Rivas0%
Telmo Arcanjo0%
Vando Félix0%
Miguel Maga0%
Fabio Blanco0%
Thiago Balieiro0%
Matija Mitrović0%
Miguel Nogueira0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tiago Silva25%
Gustavo Silva22%
Alioune Ndoye8%
Nélson Oliveira8%
Samu7%
Fabio Blanco7%
Diogo Sousa5%
Telmo Arcanjo3%
Oumar Camara3%
Noah Saviolo3%
Charles0%
Miguel Nóbrega0%
Nuno Santos0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Rodrigo Abascal0%
Juan Castillo0%
Óscar Rivas0%
Tomás Händel0%
João Mendes0%
Beni Mukendi0%
Vando Félix0%
Miguel Maga0%
Gonçalo Nogueira0%
Thiago Balieiro0%
Tony Strata0%
Matija Mitrović0%
Miguel Nogueira0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
TON (20)
€10m
AVS (20)
€7m
Estrela's squad is €26m less valuable than Guimaraes's (€20m vs €46m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
MOR (5)
€5m
AVS (8)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
Estrela's attack is €16m less valuable than Guimaraes's (€6m vs €22m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
TOR (5)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
Estrela's midfield is €8m less valuable than Guimaraes's (€3m vs €11m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
AVS (10)
€3m
Estrela and Guimaraes have a similar defence value (both €11m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
0
EST wins
1
Draws
3
GUI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Estrela vs Guimaraes · H/A from EST
DateH/AGameScore
16/03/25AGuimaraes Vs EST2-0
27/10/24HEST Vs Guimaraes2-2
21/01/24AGuimaraes Vs EST3-0
13/08/23HEST Vs Guimaraes0-1

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/25ASanta Clara Vs EST0-0
25/08/25HEST Vs Alverca2-2
16/08/25HEST Vs Benfica0-1
11/08/25AEstoril Vs EST1-1
17/05/25AEstoril Vs EST4-0
11/05/25HEST Vs AVS0-1
05/05/25ARio Ave Vs EST2-0
26/04/25HEST Vs FC Porto2-0
19/04/25AArouca Vs EST1-0
13/04/25HEST Vs Farense0-1

GuimaraesGuimaraes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/25HGUI Vs Arouca1-1
23/08/25AMoreirense Vs GUI2-0
16/08/25HGUI Vs Estoril3-2
11/08/25AFC Porto Vs GUI3-0
17/05/25ASporting CP Vs GUI2-0
11/05/25HGUI Vs Farense1-2
03/05/25ANacional Vs GUI1-2
27/04/25HGUI Vs Rio Ave3-0
19/04/25HGUI Vs Benfica0-3
11/04/25AGIL Vicente Vs GUI0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Estrela
Estrela
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDD0.88
HomeLWLLD1.12
AwayLLLDD0.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%29%8%
AVG goals2.302.582.04
Over 1.5 %62%67%58%
Over 2.5 %38%54%23%
Over 3.5 %24%29%19%
Scored0.761.120.42
Conceded1.541.461.62
BTTS38%46%31%
Clean Sheet22%21%23%
Corners9.839.5410.12
Cards5.085.005.17
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLD1.64
HomeLWLWD1.96
AwayWWLLL1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%56%32%
AVG goals2.762.922.60
Over 1.5 %80%84%76%
Over 2.5 %56%60%52%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.561.761.36
Conceded1.201.161.24
BTTS50%44%56%
Clean Sheet30%44%16%
Corners10.2710.5210.00
Cards5.535.485.59

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC PortoFC Porto3488
82%
2.6
6618+48
2.5
71%
56%
24%
8.6
35%
5.5
82%
26.4
71%
467
2141051481.90.5
55%
2Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8924+65
3.3
91%
71%
35%
9.9
53%
5.2
62%
25.9
79%
414
146911762.60.7
62%
3BenficaBenfica3480
68%
2.4
7425+49
2.9
88%
71%
32%
10.0
56%
5.3
73%
26.8
74%
357
172771082.20.7
58%
4SC BragaSC Braga3459
47%
1.7
6436+28
2.9
76%
68%
38%
8.4
32%
5.0
79%
23.5
62%
165
4156681.91.1
63%
5FamalicaoFamalicao3456
44%
1.6
4229+13
2.1
53%
38%
24%
10.4
56%
5.1
68%
32.1
94%
57
1620221.20.9
51%
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3450
38%
1.5
4738+9
2.5
76%
53%
26%
9.5
50%
5.1
67%
28.2
85%
29
118111.41.1
50%
7MoreirenseMoreirense3443
35%
1.3
3749-12
2.5
74%
50%
21%
8.4
35%
4.9
68%
29.2
94%
22
5891.11.4
50%
8GuimaraesGuimaraes3442
35%
1.2
3951-12
2.6
76%
44%
24%
8.4
38%
5.2
74%
29.6
88%
46
2211121.11.5
51%
9AroucaArouca3442
35%
1.2
4764-17
3.3
79%
68%
50%
9.0
44%
5.7
79%
25.9
79%
28
11881.41.9
50%
10EstorilEstoril3439
29%
1.1
5457-3
3.3
76%
62%
53%
9.3
41%
4.9
88%
25.8
82%
42
248101.61.7
53%
11AlvercaAlverca3439
29%
1.1
3552-17
2.6
76%
50%
24%
8.9
44%
4.9
64%
26.4
71%
39
156181.01.5
45%
12Santa ClaraSanta Clara3436
26%
1.1
3241-9
2.1
56%
35%
15%
9.0
50%
6.1
85%
29.5
94%
27
96120.91.2
48%
13Rio AveRio Ave3436
24%
1.1
3557-22
2.7
82%
59%
29%
10.8
68%
5.2
62%
27.4
79%
37
88211.01.7
47%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3745-8
2.4
74%
41%
18%
10.8
68%
5.7
74%
27.2
88%
20
6591.11.3
46%
15Casa PiaCasa Pia3634
19%
0.9
3357-24
2.5
75%
42%
28%
10.0
50%
5.6
83%
29.8
92%
27
96120.91.6
41%
16EstrelaEstrela3430
18%
0.9
3856-18
2.8
74%
53%
38%
9.1
35%
5.6
82%
29.7
97%
20
63111.11.6
47%
17TondelaTondela3428
18%
0.8
2755-28
2.4
68%
50%
29%
9.8
50%
5.4
71%
26.8
82%
10
2160.81.6
44%
18AVSAVS3421
9%
0.6
2767-40
2.8
79%
59%
38%
9.5
47%
5.0
67%
24.7
71%
7
3230.82.0
39%
19TorreenseTorreense21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
11.5
50%
6.5
100%
25.5
100%
19
72100.01.0
60%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches