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FC Porto vs Estrela Result & Analysis

Date: 15/12/2025
Time: 20:45
Final 3-1
FC Porto
FC Porto
Vs
77%
17%
6%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Estrela
Estrela
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto win✓ Hit
76.7%
Avg Implied 78.7% · @ 1.18
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
17.2%
Avg Implied 14.9% · @ 6.24
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Estrela win✗ Miss
6.2%
Avg Implied 6.5% · @ 14.34
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

FC PortoFC Porto

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L21W21W11D10W30W30W10W20W21WA·NOT23/10A·MOR27/10H·SC 02/11A·UTR06/11A·FAM09/11H·SIN22/11H·NIC27/11H·EST30/11A·TON07/12H·MAL11/12
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.970.602.130.601.800.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.251.501.001.672.001.00
vs Weaker (26)2.080.462.420.331.790.57
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L00D30W02L13L12L53W11D04L31WH·GUI14/09A·TON21/09H·AVS27/09A·GIL04/10A·ALP18/10H·RIO25/10A·CAS01/11H·NAC09/11A·SPO30/11H·ARO07/12
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.401.071.290.621.50
vs Stronger (8)0.501.880.801.800.002.00
vs Similar (22)0.951.231.221.000.771.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%016%125%222%316%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.6%
Under 1.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.1%
@ 1.59-5.2%
Under 2.5
46.9%
@ 2.22+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.8%
Under 3.5
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
37.2%
No
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
15.8%
1-0
13.1%
3-0
12.0%
2-1
8.2%
1-1
7.9%
4-0
6.8%
0-0
6.8%
3-1 ✓
6.3%
FC Porto goals ↓
Estrela goals →
01234
06.8%2.4%0.8%0.1%0.0%
113%7.9%1.9%0.3%0.0%
216%8.2%2.1%0.4%0.0%
312%6.3%1.6%0.3%0.0%
46.8%3.6%0.9%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = FC Porto goals (down), columns = Estrela goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Porto
2.59
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
SC Braga
1.74
Famalicao
1.65
GIL Vicente
1.47
Moreirense
1.26
Guimaraes
1.24
Arouca
1.24
Alverca
1.15
Estoril
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Rio Ave
1.06
Nacional
1.00
Casa Pia
0.94
Estrela
0.88
Tondela
0.82
AVS
0.62
Torreense
0.50
FC Porto is 1.71 points better than Estrela in terms of average points per game (2.59 vs 0.88).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.62
Benfica
2.18
FC Porto
1.94
SC Braga
1.88
Estoril
1.59
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.38
Famalicao
1.24
Guimaraes
1.15
Estrela
1.12
Moreirense
1.09
Nacional
1.09
Alverca
1.03
Rio Ave
1.03
Santa Clara
0.94
Casa Pia
0.92
AVS
0.79
Tondela
0.79
Torreense
0.00
FC Porto is 0.82 goals better than Estrela in terms of goals scored per game (1.94 vs 1.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.53
Sporting CP
0.71
Benfica
0.74
Famalicao
0.85
Torreense
1.00
SC Braga
1.06
GIL Vicente
1.12
Santa Clara
1.21
Nacional
1.32
Moreirense
1.44
Guimaraes
1.50
Alverca
1.53
Casa Pia
1.58
Tondela
1.62
Estrela
1.65
Estoril
1.68
Rio Ave
1.68
Arouca
1.88
AVS
1.97
FC Porto is 1.12 goals better than Estrela in terms of goals conceded per game (0.53 vs 1.65).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
SC Braga
63%
Sporting CP
62%
Torreense
60%
Benfica
58%
FC Porto
55%
Estoril
53%
Guimaraes
51%
Famalicao
51%
Arouca
50%
GIL Vicente
50%
Moreirense
50%
Santa Clara
48%
Rio Ave
47%
Estrela
47%
Nacional
46%
Alverca
45%
Tondela
44%
Casa Pia
41%
AVS
39%
FC Porto is 8.2 percentage points better than Estrela in terms of average possession (55% vs 47%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

FC PortoFC Porto

For 4.9 · Against 2.4 · Total 7.3

🚩 Corners

110542544342722372833356976959116H·MALA·TONH·ESTH·NICA·FAMA·UTRH·SC A·MORA·NOTH·BEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.1

🟨 Cards

9021213222554331322622344796448H·MALA·TONH·ESTH·NICA·FAMA·UTRH·SC A·MORA·NOTH·BEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 13.6 · Total 27.2

⚠️ Fouls

3701316109141116131324121615131315151315629192529372828282821H·MALA·TONH·ESTH·NICA·FAMA·UTRH·SC A·MORA·NOTH·BEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

EstrelaEstrela

For 3.2 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.2

🚩 Corners

1205315262545756625328868791212758H·AROA·SPOH·NACA·CASH·RIOA·GILH·AVSA·TONH·GUIA·SAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.6

🟨 Cards

901613432363343352227175967824H·AROA·SPOH·NACA·CASH·RIOA·GILH·AVSA·TONH·GUIA·SAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 15.3 · Total 28.6

⚠️ Fouls

410121412121215212016201512112013161011111326242741362731292124H·AROA·SPOH·NACA·CASH·RIOA·GILH·AVSA·TONH·GUIA·SAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC PortoFC Porto

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.98.98.95.65.55.826.927.126.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (8)7.57.57.57.17.07.524.225.022.0
vs Weaker (42)9.29.49.05.34.95.627.427.927.1
% over line40%39%40%82%83%81%83%83%84%
% under line60%61%60%18%17%19%17%17%16%
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstrelaEstrela

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.09.85.15.64.631.231.331.0
vs Stronger (16)9.88.011.94.75.53.930.030.929.0
vs Similar (34)9.29.58.95.35.64.931.731.631.9
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line36%29%43%74%75%73%96%92%100%
% under line64%71%57%26%25%27%4%8%0%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Famalicao
10.3
Nacional
10.3
Arouca
10.2
Rio Ave
10.1
Guimaraes
10.0
Torreense
9.8
Benfica
9.6
Estrela
9.4
Casa Pia
9.2
Tondela
9.2
Sporting CP
9.2
SC Braga
9.1
GIL Vicente
8.9
Estoril
8.9
FC Porto
8.8
AVS
8.7
Santa Clara
8.3
Alverca
8.2
Moreirense
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.6
FC Porto
6.0
Torreense
5.8
Famalicao
5.8
Casa Pia
5.7
Sporting CP
5.6
Arouca
5.5
Guimaraes
5.4
Estrela
5.4
AVS
5.3
Moreirense
5.2
Rio Ave
5.2
Nacional
5.1
Benfica
5.0
GIL Vicente
5.0
Alverca
4.8
Tondela
4.8
SC Braga
4.7
Estoril
4.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
31.6
Estrela
30.9
Moreirense
30.0
Santa Clara
29.9
Estoril
28.6
GIL Vicente
28.2
Rio Ave
28.1
Guimaraes
28.1
Casa Pia
27.9
Arouca
27.7
AVS
27.3
Nacional
27.3
FC Porto
26.8
Sporting CP
26.4
SC Braga
25.7
Benfica
24.9
Tondela
19.9
Alverca
16.5
Torreense
10.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
38.4%
Under 9.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
79.6%
Under 3.5
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
91.4%
Under 21.5
8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

FC PortoFC Porto

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D10W00D10W10W20W10W00D20WA·NOT23/10A·MOR27/10H·SC 02/11A·UTR06/11A·FAM09/11H·SIN22/11H·NIC27/11H·EST30/11A·TON07/12H·MAL11/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.301.200.270.730.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.250.750.331.000.000.00
vs Weaker (26)1.080.231.420.080.790.36
Clean sheet %73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstrelaEstrela

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D30W02L11D10W21W01L03L20WH·GUI14/09A·TON21/09H·AVS27/09A·GIL04/10A·ALP18/10H·RIO25/10A·CAS01/11H·NAC09/11A·SPO30/11H·ARO07/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.700.640.500.250.88
vs Stronger (8)0.251.000.400.800.001.33
vs Similar (22)0.500.590.780.330.310.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
FC Porto over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

FC PortoFC Porto

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W11D11D00D20W10W00D20W01LA·NOT23/10A·MOR27/10H·SC 02/11A·UTR06/11A·FAM09/11H·SIN22/11H·NIC27/11H·EST30/11A·TON07/12H·MAL11/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.300.930.331.070.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.000.750.670.672.001.00
vs Weaker (26)1.000.231.000.251.000.21
Clean sheet %73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstrelaEstrela

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D00D02L02L32W10W01L11DH·GUI14/09A·TON21/09H·AVS27/09A·GIL04/10A·ALP18/10H·RIO25/10A·CAS01/11H·NAC09/11A·SPO30/11H·ARO07/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.700.430.790.380.62
vs Stronger (8)0.250.880.401.000.000.67
vs Similar (22)0.450.640.440.670.460.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
FC Porto over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls96.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls91.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards91.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls83.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners82.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards79.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.577.6%-------✓ Hit
Home win76.7%1.18------2.0%✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners73.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls71.5%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

FC Porto
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Samu Aghehowa43%
William Gomes29%
Nehuén Pérez17%
Luuk de Jong17%
Seko Fofana17%
Oskar Pietuszewski17%
Victor Froholdt14%
Terem Moffi13%
Deniz Gül12%
Francisco Moura10%
Rodrigo Mora10%
Borja Sainz9%
Gabri Veiga9%
Pepê7%
Jan Bednarek6%
Pablo Rosario5%
Alan Varela5%
Zaidu Sanusi4%
Martim Fernandes3%
Alberto Costa2%
Thiago Silva0%
Diogo Costa0%
Stephen Eustaquio0%
Jakub Kiwior0%
Ángel Alarcón0%
Dominik Prpić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dominik Prpić38%
Alberto Costa26%
Jan Bednarek26%
Gabri Veiga25%
Pablo Rosario24%
Alan Varela21%
Francisco Moura21%
Terem Moffi20%
William Gomes19%
Luuk de Jong17%
Zaidu Sanusi16%
Borja Sainz14%
Martim Fernandes13%
Oskar Pietuszewski11%
Jakub Kiwior11%
Samu Aghehowa11%
Rodrigo Mora10%
Pepê9%
Stephen Eustaquio8%
Deniz Gül7%
Thiago Silva7%
Diogo Costa6%
Victor Froholdt6%
Seko Fofana6%
Nehuén Pérez0%
Ángel Alarcón0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gabri Veiga20%
Alberto Costa16%
Borja Sainz14%
Pepê14%
Victor Froholdt12%
Oskar Pietuszewski11%
Zaidu Sanusi8%
Francisco Moura7%
Terem Moffi7%
Martim Fernandes7%
Rodrigo Mora5%
Samu Aghehowa4%
Pablo Rosario3%
Jakub Kiwior3%
Deniz Gül2%
William Gomes2%
Nehuén Pérez0%
Luuk de Jong0%
Thiago Silva0%
Diogo Costa0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Seko Fofana0%
Stephen Eustaquio0%
Alan Varela0%
Ángel Alarcón0%
Dominik Prpić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Samu Aghehowa36%
Luuk de Jong17%
Victor Froholdt12%
William Gomes10%
Borja Sainz9%
Rodrigo Mora8%
Gabri Veiga7%
Oskar Pietuszewski6%
Francisco Moura3%
Pablo Rosario3%
Jakub Kiwior3%
Deniz Gül2%
Alan Varela2%
Nehuén Pérez0%
Thiago Silva0%
Diogo Costa0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Pepê0%
Seko Fofana0%
Stephen Eustaquio0%
Terem Moffi0%
Zaidu Sanusi0%
Ángel Alarcón0%
Alberto Costa0%
Martim Fernandes0%
Dominik Prpić0%
Estrela
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kikas29%
Jovane Cabral22%
Sidny Lopes Cabral20%
Abraham Marcus16%
Stefan Leković11%
Rodrigo Pinho10%
Paulo Moreira10%
Sydney van Hooijdonk10%
Ianis Stoica9%
Eddy Doué7%
Renan Ribeiro0%
Billal Brahimi0%
Jefferson Encada0%
Kevin Höög Jansson0%
Bruno Langa0%
Atanas Chernev0%
Luan Patrick0%
Alan Godoy0%
Bernardo Schappo0%
Yahya Kalley0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Jorge Meireles0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Max Scholze0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho0%
Otavio0%
Alisson Souza de Jesus0%
Alex Sola0%
João Moisés Gastão0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yahya Kalley33%
Eddy Doué29%
Oumar Ngom27%
Jefferson Encada27%
Atanas Chernev27%
João Moisés Gastão25%
Paulo Moreira24%
Kevin Höög Jansson23%
Bernardo Schappo23%
Otavio23%
Stefan Leković22%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho22%
Sydney van Hooijdonk20%
Sidny Lopes Cabral20%
Alisson Souza de Jesus20%
Jovane Cabral19%
Max Scholze18%
Guilherme Montóia18%
Rodrigo Pinho17%
Renan Ribeiro15%
Alex Sola12%
Ianis Stoica12%
Luan Patrick10%
Abraham Marcus6%
Jorge Meireles5%
Billal Brahimi0%
Kikas0%
Bruno Langa0%
Alan Godoy0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sidny Lopes Cabral13%
Abraham Marcus13%
João Moisés Gastão12%
Sydney van Hooijdonk10%
Oumar Ngom9%
Jorge Meireles9%
Jefferson Encada8%
Paulo Moreira7%
Kikas6%
Otavio5%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho4%
Jovane Cabral4%
Rodrigo Pinho3%
Ianis Stoica3%
Renan Ribeiro0%
Billal Brahimi0%
Kevin Höög Jansson0%
Bruno Langa0%
Atanas Chernev0%
Luan Patrick0%
Alan Godoy0%
Bernardo Schappo0%
Yahya Kalley0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Stefan Leković0%
Max Scholze0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Alisson Souza de Jesus0%
Alex Sola0%
Eddy Doué0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sidny Lopes Cabral20%
Jovane Cabral19%
Kikas18%
Rodrigo Pinho10%
Abraham Marcus6%
Ianis Stoica6%
Jorge Meireles5%
Bernardo Schappo4%
Renan Ribeiro0%
Billal Brahimi0%
Sydney van Hooijdonk0%
Jefferson Encada0%
Kevin Höög Jansson0%
Bruno Langa0%
Atanas Chernev0%
Paulo Moreira0%
Luan Patrick0%
Alan Godoy0%
Yahya Kalley0%
Ryan0%
Tom Moustier0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Stefan Leković0%
Max Scholze0%
Guilherme Montóia0%
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho0%
Otavio0%
Alisson Souza de Jesus0%
Alex Sola0%
João Moisés Gastão0%
Eddy Doué0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
TON (20)
€10m
AVS (20)
€7m
FC Porto's squad is €447m more valuable than Estrela's (€467m vs €20m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
MOR (5)
€5m
AVS (8)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
FC Porto's attack is €209m more valuable than Estrela's (€214m vs €6m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
TOR (5)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
FC Porto's midfield is €102m more valuable than Estrela's (€105m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
AVS (10)
€3m
FC Porto's defence is €136m more valuable than Estrela's (€148m vs €11m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
FP wins
0
Draws
1
EST wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

FC Porto vs Estrela · H/A from FP
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/25AEstrela Vs FP2-0
16/12/24HFP Vs Estrela2-0
17/02/24HFP Vs Estrela2-0
15/09/23AEstrela Vs FP0-1

FC PortoFC Porto

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/12/25HFP Vs Malmo FF2-1
07/12/25ATondela Vs FP0-2
30/11/25HFP Vs Estoril1-0
27/11/25HFP Vs Nice3-0
22/11/25HFP Vs Sintrense3-0
09/11/25AFamalicao Vs FP0-1
06/11/25AUtrecht Vs FP1-1
02/11/25HFP Vs SC Braga2-1
27/10/25AMoreirense Vs FP1-2
23/10/25ANottingham Forest Vs FP2-0

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/12/25HEST Vs Arouca3-1
30/11/25ASporting CP Vs EST4-0
09/11/25HEST Vs Nacional1-1
01/11/25ACasa Pia Vs EST3-5
25/10/25HEST Vs Rio Ave1-2
18/10/25AAlpendorada Vs EST3-1
04/10/25AGIL Vicente Vs EST2-0
27/09/25HEST Vs AVS3-0
21/09/25ATondela Vs EST0-0
14/09/25HEST Vs Guimaraes0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
FC Porto
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.16
HomeWWWWW2.33
AwayLWDWW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%71%62%
AVG goals2.502.502.50
Over 1.5 %80%83%77%
Over 2.5 %48%50%46%
Over 3.5 %20%17%23%
Scored1.761.921.62
Conceded0.740.580.88
BTTS40%42%38%
Clean Sheet50%54%46%
Corners8.888.878.88
Cards5.855.706.00
Estrela
Estrela
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLW0.88
HomeLWLDW1.12
AwayDLLWL0.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%29%12%
AVG goals2.442.542.35
Over 1.5 %66%71%62%
Over 2.5 %38%50%27%
Over 3.5 %24%25%23%
Scored0.841.170.54
Conceded1.601.381.81
BTTS38%46%31%
Clean Sheet20%21%19%
Corners9.389.009.78
Cards5.405.585.22

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC PortoFC Porto3488
82%
2.6
6618+48
2.5
71%
56%
24%
8.6
35%
5.5
82%
26.4
71%
467
2141051481.90.5
55%
2Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8924+65
3.3
91%
71%
35%
9.9
53%
5.2
62%
25.9
79%
414
146911762.60.7
62%
3BenficaBenfica3480
68%
2.4
7425+49
2.9
88%
71%
32%
10.0
56%
5.3
73%
26.8
74%
357
172771082.20.7
58%
4SC BragaSC Braga3459
47%
1.7
6436+28
2.9
76%
68%
38%
8.4
32%
5.0
79%
23.5
62%
165
4156681.91.1
63%
5FamalicaoFamalicao3456
44%
1.6
4229+13
2.1
53%
38%
24%
10.4
56%
5.1
68%
32.1
94%
57
1620221.20.9
51%
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3450
38%
1.5
4738+9
2.5
76%
53%
26%
9.5
50%
5.1
67%
28.2
85%
29
118111.41.1
50%
7MoreirenseMoreirense3443
35%
1.3
3749-12
2.5
74%
50%
21%
8.4
35%
4.9
68%
29.2
94%
22
5891.11.4
50%
8GuimaraesGuimaraes3442
35%
1.2
3951-12
2.6
76%
44%
24%
8.4
38%
5.2
74%
29.6
88%
46
2211121.11.5
51%
9AroucaArouca3442
35%
1.2
4764-17
3.3
79%
68%
50%
9.0
44%
5.7
79%
25.9
79%
28
11881.41.9
50%
10EstorilEstoril3439
29%
1.1
5457-3
3.3
76%
62%
53%
9.3
41%
4.9
88%
25.8
82%
42
248101.61.7
53%
11AlvercaAlverca3439
29%
1.1
3552-17
2.6
76%
50%
24%
8.9
44%
4.9
64%
26.4
71%
39
156181.01.5
45%
12Santa ClaraSanta Clara3436
26%
1.1
3241-9
2.1
56%
35%
15%
9.0
50%
6.1
85%
29.5
94%
27
96120.91.2
48%
13Rio AveRio Ave3436
24%
1.1
3557-22
2.7
82%
59%
29%
10.8
68%
5.2
62%
27.4
79%
37
88211.01.7
47%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3745-8
2.4
74%
41%
18%
10.8
68%
5.7
74%
27.2
88%
20
6591.11.3
46%
15Casa PiaCasa Pia3634
19%
0.9
3357-24
2.5
75%
42%
28%
10.0
50%
5.6
83%
29.8
92%
27
96120.91.6
41%
16EstrelaEstrela3430
18%
0.9
3856-18
2.8
74%
53%
38%
9.1
35%
5.6
82%
29.7
97%
20
63111.11.6
47%
17TondelaTondela3428
18%
0.8
2755-28
2.4
68%
50%
29%
9.8
50%
5.4
71%
26.8
82%
10
2160.81.6
44%
18AVSAVS3421
9%
0.6
2767-40
2.8
79%
59%
38%
9.5
47%
5.0
67%
24.7
71%
7
3230.82.0
39%
19TorreenseTorreense21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
11.5
50%
6.5
100%
25.5
100%
19
72100.01.0
60%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches